akashic
1876–2024
Orange County, California
Orange County·California

Orange County votes the way the country votes.

Once a Republican fortress, now a genuine battleground

18762024·38 elections
Orange County, California · Don Ramey Logan · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
3,165,820
2024 ACS
Most similar
Gwinnett County
GA · similarity 0.97
1,615 precincts · 1,391,307 votes cast
Harris · D+3
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+2.7%
691,731654,8151,391,307
2020D
+9.0%
814,009676,4981,522,113
2016D
+8.6%
609,961507,1481,197,521
2012R
−6.2%
512,440582,3321,122,664
2008R
−2.6%
549,558579,0641,153,687
2004R
−20.7%
419,239641,8321,075,399
2000R
−15.4%
391,819541,299970,905
1996R
−13.8%
327,485446,717864,576
1992R
−12.3%
306,930426,613972,549
1988R
−36.7%
269,013586,230865,307
1984R
−50.4%
206,272635,013850,077
1980R
−45.3%
176,704529,797780,212
1976R
−26.8%
232,246408,632657,433
1972R
−41.3%
176,847448,291656,653
1968R
−33.3%
148,869314,905498,707
1964R
−11.9%
176,539224,196401,165
1960R
−21.9%
112,007174,891287,599
1956R
−34.5%
54,895113,510169,879
1952R
−40.6%
32,53077,548110,904
1948R
−24.5%
29,01848,58779,814
1944R
−14.4%
28,64938,39467,450
1940R
−12.1%
28,23636,07064,997
1936D
+11.7%
29,83623,49454,251
1932D
+2.5%
23,83522,62349,276
1928R
−59.6%
7,61130,57238,527
1924R
−58.7%
2,56519,91329,566
1920R
−51.9%
3,50212,79717,893
1916R
−22.1%
6,47410,60918,746
1912D
+38.6%
4,406011,421
1908R
−22.1%
1,9113,2446,037
1904R
−36.4%
1,0342,6654,476
1900R
−9.0%
1,7772,1554,206
1896R
−5.8%
1,7121,9323,784
1892R
−5.2%
1,0001,1522,899
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
30.5%
Other Christian
9.8%
Baptist
2.8%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Orange County's shift from a reliably conservative anchor to a D+2.6 presidential result in 2024 reflects rapid demographic change, particularly growth among Latino and Asian American voters in cities like Anaheim and Westminster.

The Democratic margin in Orange County has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Orange County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $116,289 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gwinnett County and Fort Bend County.