California 38th Congressional District, California: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+30%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+30MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 373,0802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,2182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: NAPOLITANO, Grace Flores (2011–2013), NAPOLITANO, Grace Flores (2009–2011), NAPOLITANO, Grace Flores (2007–2009), NAPOLITANO, Grace Flores (2005–2007)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 91,098 | 47,824 | 143,618 | ||
| D | 113,655 | 46,479 | 164,265 | ||
| D | 91,976 | 31,730 | 131,471 | ||
| D | 82,396 | 36,486 | 121,904 | ||
| D | 85,510 | 38,942 | 126,996 | ||
| D | 70,699 | 43,727 | 115,937 | ||
| D | 63,541 | 35,628 | 103,470 | ||
| D | 53,142 | 30,346 | 92,524 | ||
| D | 53,503 | 32,011 | 105,523 | ||
| D | 50,550 | 48,918 | 100,703 | ||
| R | 42,490 | 55,830 | 99,448 | ||
| R | 35,946 | 47,852 | 92,744 | ||
| R | 44,939 | 44,968 | 92,241 | ||
| R | 43,297 | 58,453 | 105,220 | ||
| R | 44,196 | 47,282 | 97,693 | ||
| D | 56,526 | 42,735 | 99,319 | ||
| D | 47,364 | 47,220 | 94,871 | ||
| R | 35,772 | 45,153 | 81,196 | ||
| R | 33,539 | 43,650 | 78,041 | ||
| D | 28,700 | 28,589 | 61,233 | ||
| D | 31,269 | 23,673 | 55,257 | ||
| D | 29,043 | 20,427 | 50,117 | ||
| D | 26,772 | 12,723 | 40,052 | ||
| D | 19,619 | 13,286 | 34,380 | ||
| R | 7,415 | 18,251 | 25,943 | ||
| R | 1,198 | 10,670 | 16,280 | ||
| R | 1,980 | 6,351 | 9,185 | ||
| R | 4,051 | 4,842 | 9,548 | ||
| O | 1,969 | 0 | 5,890 | ||
| R | 790 | 1,482 | 2,613 | ||
| R | 361 | 1,162 | 1,752 | ||
| R | 477 | 692 | 1,259 | ||
| R | 577 | 609 | 1,227 | ||
| R | 293 | 369 | 824 | ||
| R | 354 | 483 | 884 | ||
| R | 164 | 196 | 379 | ||
| R | 100 | 102 | 213 | ||
| D | 126 | 106 | 233 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.9% | 41.1% | 15,348,846 |
| 2022 | D | 61.1% | 38.9% | 10,843,650 |
| 2018 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 11,113,364 |
| 2016 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 12,244,170 |
| 2012 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 12,578,511 |
| 2010 | D | 52.2% | 42.2% | 10,000,160 |
| 2006 | D | 59.4% | 35.0% | 8,541,476 |
| 2004 | D | 57.7% | 37.8% | 12,053,295 |
| 2000 | D | 55.8% | 36.6% | 10,623,608 |
| 1998 | D | 53.1% | 43.0% | 8,311,905 |
| 1994 | D | 46.7% | 44.8% | 8,514,089 |
| 1992 | D | 47.9% | 43.0% | 10,799,703 |
| 1988 | R | 44.0% | 52.8% | 9,743,598 |
| 1986 | D | 49.3% | 47.9% | 7,398,462 |
| 1982 | R | 44.8% | 51.5% | 7,805,450 |
| 1980 | D | 56.5% | 37.1% | 8,324,012 |
| 1976 | R | 46.9% | 50.2% | 7,470,586 |
Demographics
CA-38 covers a dense stretch of Los Angeles County suburbs with a majority-Hispanic and Asian-American population, and has returned Democratic presidential margins above 15 points in each of the last three cycles.
The Democratic margin in California 38th Congressional District reached its widest at forty-six points in 2016. The margin in 2024 was thirty points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $92,218, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 373,080 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 38, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0638/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.