akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 49·California

California 49th Congressional District delivered D+9 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Coastal San Diego district where defense and biotech shape the electorate

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
D+9
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
714,367
2024 ACS

California 49th Congressional District, California: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+9%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
714,3672024 5-year
Median household income
$111,9972024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
45.1%2024 5-year
Black
2.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
34.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+42 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
LEVIN, MikeCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: ISSA, Darrell (2017–2019), ISSA, Darrell (2015–2017), ISSA, Darrell (2013–2015), ISSA, Darrell (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+8.8%
167,512139,667316,989
D
+15.0%
194,755143,099345,411
D
+13.5%
147,111109,872276,509
R
−0.2%
124,435125,056255,905
D
+3.0%
132,910125,035263,773
R
−14.4%
103,060138,249244,449
R
−10.6%
91,264114,088214,435
R
−8.6%
78,52795,109193,789
R
−6.5%
73,77587,793217,253
R
−30.4%
65,709124,295192,491
R
−43.1%
50,522128,653181,230
R
−40.6%
40,975108,899167,342
R
−21.6%
54,48985,583143,775
R
−35.8%
42,02192,404140,636
R
−28.0%
34,80364,955107,582
R
−7.0%
42,48048,87291,411
R
−17.5%
30,38243,31373,889
R
−31.6%
17,01032,85450,161
R
−31.4%
13,67526,31240,241
R
−9.6%
12,88115,71629,412
D
+0.3%
12,06512,00024,217
D
+2.2%
10,2669,81020,304
D
+21.3%
9,8626,35116,475
D
+7.8%
7,3196,20314,279
R
−45.6%
3,0988,38811,590
R
−50.2%
6054,6838,130
R
−43.3%
1,2413,4955,200
R
−9.4%
2,4002,9485,818
O
+42.2%
1,47403,495
R
−27.4%
4699221,654
R
−38.5%
2637441,250
R
−13.0%
4786321,186
R
−0.2%
5845871,209
R
−12.0%
3464771,091
R
−18.0%
297434762
R
−16.4%
74104183
R
−14.8%
5169122
R
−8.8%
6274136

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D58.9%41.1%15,348,846
2022D61.1%38.9%10,843,650
2018D100.0%0.0%11,113,364
2016D100.0%0.0%12,244,170
2012D62.5%37.5%12,578,511
2010D52.2%42.2%10,000,160
2006D59.4%35.0%8,541,476
2004D57.7%37.8%12,053,295
2000D55.8%36.6%10,623,608
1998D53.1%43.0%8,311,905
1994D46.7%44.8%8,514,089
1992D47.9%43.0%10,799,703
1988R44.0%52.8%9,743,598
1986D49.3%47.9%7,398,462
1982R44.8%51.5%7,805,450
1980D56.5%37.1%8,324,012
1976R46.9%50.2%7,470,586

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.2%
English
7.6%
Irish
6.8%
Italian
3.9%
American
3.6%
French
1.6%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.5%
speak English only
Spanish24.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander12.4%
Other Indo-European4.4%
Other languages1.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.4%
Other Christian
9.9%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Baptist
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

CA-49 stretches along north San Diego County's Pacific coast through communities like Carlsbad and Encinitas, blending a large military and veteran population with a growing biotech corridor that has pushed college-degree attainment well above the national median.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-two points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 714,367, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $111,997 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 49, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0649/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 49, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 49, California voted Democratic by 8.8 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 316,989 votes cast, 167,512 went Democratic and 139,667 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 49, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 49, California as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 29 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 49, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 49, California voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 49, California?
Congressional District 49, California has a population of 714,367 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 49, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 49, California is $111,997 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 49, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 49, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.