Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
California 45th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+1.82012D+8.72016D+21.22020D+10.52024D+3.9
full record · 20082024
D+3.9
2024
median income$105,124U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age40.4U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate10.2%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)43.1%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english47.4%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Vietnamese12.1%
Chinese6.7%
Korean5.8%
Mexican28.0%
Salvadoran1.4%
Guatemalan1.0%
German5.1%
English4.9%
Irish4.1%
African American2.0%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Orange County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

California 45th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionCalifornia 45th Congressional DistrictHarrisD+3.9
California 45th Congressional District premium atlas map: Harris D+3.9, 336 precincts, 8 city labels.
2024
336 precincts by 2024 margin · 8 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +3.9% in 2024.+3.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+1.8%
2012+8.7%
2016+21.2%
2020+10.5%
2024+3.9%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DDerek TranU.S. House · CA-45-0.26
DAdam SchiffU.S. Senate-0.35
DAlex PadillaU.S. Senate-0.44

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202445D
50.1%158,264
49.9%157,611
315,875
202245R
47.6%103,466
52.4%113,960
217,426
202045D
53.5%221,843
46.5%193,096
414,939
201845D
52.1%158,906
47.9%146,383
305,289
201645R
41.4%129,231
58.6%182,618
311,849
201445R
34.9%56,819
65.1%106,083
162,902
201245R
41.5%121,814
58.5%171,417
293,231
201045R
42.1%87,141
51.5%106,472
206,801
200845R
41.7%111,026
58.3%155,166
266,192
200645R
39.3%64,613
60.7%99,638
164,251
200445R
33.4%76,967
66.6%153,523
230,490
200245R
32.7%43,692
65.2%87,101
133,533
200045R
32.4%71,066
62.1%136,275
219,385
199845R
37.3%60,022
58.7%94,296
160,770
199645R
33.2%68,312
61.0%125,326
205,522
199445R
30.9%55,849
69.1%124,875
180,724
199245R
39.0%88,508
54.5%123,731
227,016
199045R
0.0%0
72.8%123,591
169,659
198845R
24.0%54,012
74.0%166,451
224,903
198645R
21.2%32,800
76.9%118,900
154,675
198445R
22.9%45,325
75.1%149,011
198,307
198245R
29.2%50,148
68.6%117,771
171,758

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
58.9%9,036,252
41.1%6,312,594
15,348,846
2022D
61.1%6,621,621
38.9%4,222,029
10,843,650
2018D
100.0%11,113,364
0.0%0
11,113,364
2016D
100.0%12,244,170
0.0%0
12,244,170
2012D
62.5%7,864,624
37.5%4,713,887
12,578,511
2010D
52.2%5,218,441
42.2%4,217,366
10,000,093
2006D
59.4%5,076,289
35.0%2,990,822
8,541,150
2004D
57.7%6,955,728
37.8%4,555,922
12,053,242
2000D
55.8%5,932,522
36.6%3,886,853
10,623,608
1998D
53.1%4,410,056
43.0%3,575,078
8,311,905
1994D
46.7%3,979,152
44.8%3,817,025
8,513,916
1992D
47.9%5,173,467
43.0%4,644,182
10,799,436
1988R
44.0%4,287,253
52.8%5,143,409
9,743,547
1986D
49.3%3,646,672
47.9%3,541,804
7,398,462
1982R
44.8%3,494,968
51.5%4,022,565
7,805,450
1980D
56.5%4,704,098
37.1%3,091,671
8,324,012
1976R
46.9%3,502,862
50.2%3,748,973
7,470,586

CA-45 covers parts of Orange County once considered reliably Republican turf; the 2024 presidential margin of D+6.3 reflects a suburban realignment driven by demographic change and growing shares of college-educated and Asian American voters.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.9 points.

A population of 757,128, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,124 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 28 and Congressional District 6.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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California 45th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0645/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within California 45th Congressional District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did California 45th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, California 45th Congressional District voted Democratic by 3.9 points (D+3.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 300,312 votes cast, 151,716 went Democratic and 139,855 went Republican.
How many people live in California 45th Congressional District?
California 45th Congressional District has a population of 757,128 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in California 45th Congressional District?
Median household income in California 45th Congressional District is $105,124 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of California 45th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in California 45th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.