- Lead
- 25,850
- Total
- 42,260
- vs nation
- D+62.6
Virginia 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 27,781
- Total
- 43,910
- vs nation
- D+58.8
- Lead
- 22,865
- Total
- 40,754
- vs nation
- D+54.0
- Lead
- 17,306
- Total
- 38,575
- vs nation
- D+41.0
- Lead
- 17,903
- Total
- 36,103
- vs nation
- D+42.3
- Lead
- 10,204
- Total
- 28,744
- vs nation
- D+38.0
- Lead
- 5,535
- Total
- 24,324
- vs nation
- D+22.2
- Lead
- 5,530
- Total
- 22,247
- vs nation
- D+16.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+61.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,1842024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,910 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 30.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,4012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27.5 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 88, NC · twin score 91.1
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80.7%
35,421 votes · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 79.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
31.6%
9,092 votes · D+35.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 26.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
35,421votes
80.7% of the vote · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 33,680 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
10,254votes
26.6% of the vote · D+44.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 9,092 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+62.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+61.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +58.8 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−38.0pts R vs U.S.
Place D+35.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −41.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 86.2%28,794 | 13.8%4,621 | 33,415 |
| 2018 | D | 75.3%29,887 | 24.7%9,823 | 39,710 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+61.2, this district ranks among the most heavily Democratic in the state, suggesting a dense urban or majority-minority core where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 27.5 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.2 points.
A population of 88,184, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,401 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 88 and State House District 57.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.