HarrisDemocratic19.4%1,886TrumpRepublican79.7%7,746OliverLibertarian0.3%26
R+60.3- Lead
- 5,860
- Total
- 9,719
- vs nation
- R+58.8
- Turnout
- 68.2%
Akashiccounty
Patrick County, VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.2% of 14,300 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.5%1,954TrumpRepublican78.5%7,485JorgensenLibertarian0.8%81
R+58.0- Lead
- 5,531
- Total
- 9,534
- vs nation
- R+62.5
- Turnout
- 66.1%
ClintonDemocratic20.7%1,768TrumpRepublican75.7%6,454JohnsonLibertarian1.7%147
R+55.0- Lead
- 4,686
- Total
- 8,525
- vs nation
- R+57.1
- Turnout
- 58.6%
ObamaDemocratic29.3%2,417RomneyRepublican68.1%5,622OtherAll other candidates2.7%220
R+38.8- Lead
- 3,205
- Total
- 8,259
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic33.7%2,879McCainRepublican64.4%5,491OtherAll other candidates1.9%161
R+30.6- Lead
- 2,612
- Total
- 8,531
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic31.3%2,572BushRepublican67.0%5,507OtherAll other candidates1.7%136
R+35.7- Lead
- 2,935
- Total
- 8,215
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic30.5%2,254BushRepublican66.4%4,901NaderGreen1.4%101
R+35.8- Lead
- 2,647
- Total
- 7,385
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.0%2,301DoleRepublican52.4%3,547PerotReform10.6%719
R+18.4- Lead
- 1,246
- Total
- 6,771
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,5122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,0382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.3 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grayson County, VA · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.2%9,759 participants ÷ 14,300 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.2%–49.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,599 | 14,677 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,729 | 14,560 | 46.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,569 | 14,471 | 66.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,962 | 14,496 | 41.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,759 | 14,300 | 68.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 9,719 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -301 - CRITZ/STELLA301 - CRITZ/STELLA | 272 | 989 | 9 | 1,270 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -503 - WOOLWINE503 - WOOLWINE | 178 | 806 | 11 | 995 | 17.9% | 81.0% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -502 - ELAMSVILLE502 - ELAMSVILLE | 162 | 779 | 15 | 956 | 16.9% | 81.5% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -401 - MEADOWS OF DAN401 - MEADOWS OF DAN | 211 | 608 | 9 | 828 | 25.5% | 73.4% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -202 - PATRICK SPRINGS202 - PATRICK SPRINGS | 174 | 617 | 5 | 796 | 21.9% | 77.5% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -203 - RUSSELL CREEK203 - RUSSELL CREEK | 162 | 616 | 8 | 786 | 20.6% | 78.4% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -302 - LIBERTY302 - LIBERTY | 90 | 623 | 3 | 716 | 12.6% | 87.0% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -103 - WILLIS GAP103 - WILLIS GAP | 90 | 575 | 2 | 667 | 13.5% | 86.2% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -101 - ARARAT101 - ARARAT | 139 | 497 | 8 | 644 | 21.6% | 77.2% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -102 - CLAUDVILLE102 - CLAUDVILLE | 97 | 487 | 4 | 588 | 16.5% | 82.8% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -402 - STUART FAIRGROUNDS402 - STUART FAIRGROUNDS | 129 | 410 | 4 | 543 | 23.8% | 75.5% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -201 - DRY POND201 - DRY POND | 87 | 390 | 1 | 478 | 18.2% | 81.6% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -403 - STUART COMMUNITY403 - STUART COMMUNITY | 95 | 349 | 8 | 452 | 21.0% | 77.2% | R+56.2 |
| Ararat51141000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claudville51141000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Critz/Stella51141000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dry Pond51141000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elamsville51141000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty51141000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meadows of Dan51141000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Patrick Springs51141000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Russell Creek51141000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stuart Community51141000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stuart Fairgrounds51141000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willis Gap51141000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woolwine51141000503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +18.6% |
| 1896 | −12.5% |
| 1900 | −11.0% |
| 1904 | +8.7% |
| 1908 | −20.3% |
| 1912 | +17.7% |
| 1916 | +3.4% |
| 1920 | −3.2% |
| 1924 | +18.4% |
| 1928 | −14.9% |
| 1932 | +46.2% |
| 1936 | +37.2% |
| 1940 | +48.3% |
| 1944 | +32.3% |
| 1948 | +6.1% |
| 1952 | +8.4% |
| 1956 | +10.8% |
| 1960 | +9.7% |
| 1964 | −2.8% |
| 1968 | −20.5% |
| 1972 | −44.6% |
| 1976 | +7.3% |
| 1980 | −17.2% |
| 1984 | −41.9% |
| 1988 | −30.5% |
| 1992 | −14.7% |
| 1996 | −18.4% |
| 2000 | −35.8% |
| 2004 | −35.7% |
| 2008 | −30.6% |
| 2012 | −38.8% |
| 2016 | −55.0% |
| 2020 | −58.0% |
| 2024 | −60.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,372 |
| 2018 | 12,065 |
| 2020 | 12,667 |
| 2022 | 12,828 |
| 2024 | 13,360 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+185 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +918 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,760 in average income, against $60,483 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.3 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Patrick County, VA itself (R+60.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Henry County, VA62R+32.8
- Surry County, NC36R+53.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Henry County, VA84
- Surry County, NC38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −18 |
| 2012 | +71 |
| 2013 | +52 |
| 2014 | +46 |
| 2015 | −78 |
| 2016 | −41 |
| 2017 | +11 |
| 2018 | +57 |
| 2019 | +37 |
| 2021 | +278 |
| 2022 | +160 |
| 2023 | +88 |
| 2024 | +70 |
| 2025 | +185 |
Tucked into the Blue Ridge foothills along the North Carolina border, Patrick County delivered a roughly 60-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a rural Southside Virginia electorate that has shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.3 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.3 points.
A population of 17,512, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,038 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grayson County and Wythe County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Grayson County
Virginia
96.6twin score
American ancestry2016–2024 trajectory
Wythe County
Virginia
94.8twin score
American ancestry2016–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Carroll County
Virginia
94.5twin score
American ancestry2016–2024 trajectory≠ Irish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Patrick County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Patrick County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Patrick County, Virginia voted Republican by 60.3 points (R+60.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,719 votes cast, 1,886 went Democratic and 7,746 went Republican.
When did Patrick County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Patrick County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Patrick County, Virginia?
Patrick County, Virginia has a population of 17,512 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Patrick County, Virginia?
Median household income in Patrick County, Virginia is $53,038 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Patrick County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Patrick County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.