HarrisDemocratic18.6%1,316TrumpRepublican80.8%5,701OliverLibertarian0.2%14
R+62.1- Lead
- 4,385
- Total
- 7,060
- vs nation
- R+60.6
- Turnout
- 63.9%
Akashiccounty
Dickenson County, VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.9% of 11,106 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.6%1,503TrumpRepublican78.7%5,748JorgensenLibertarian0.6%44
R+58.1- Lead
- 4,245
- Total
- 7,303
- vs nation
- R+62.6
- Turnout
- 62.6%
ClintonDemocratic20.7%1,335TrumpRepublican76.6%4,932JohnsonLibertarian1.3%81
R+55.9- Lead
- 3,597
- Total
- 6,440
- vs nation
- R+57.9
- Turnout
- 54.0%
ObamaDemocratic35.8%2,473RomneyRepublican61.9%4,274OtherAll other candidates2.3%157
R+26.1- Lead
- 1,801
- Total
- 6,904
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.5%3,278McCainRepublican49.2%3,324OtherAll other candidates2.2%151
R+0.7- Lead
- 46
- Total
- 6,753
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic50.8%3,761BushRepublican48.5%3,591OtherAll other candidates0.7%54
D+2.3- Lead
- 170
- Total
- 7,406
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic54.7%3,951BushRepublican43.2%3,122NaderGreen1.2%85
D+11.5- Lead
- 829
- Total
- 7,226
- vs nation
- D+11.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic57.0%3,913DoleRepublican32.5%2,229PerotReform9.6%660
D+24.5- Lead
- 1,684
- Total
- 6,868
- vs nation
- D+16.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,7332024 5-year
- Median household income
- $47,2542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 97.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Menifee County, KY · twin score 96.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.9%7,100 participants ÷ 11,106 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.8%–41.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,537 | 12,114 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,551 | 11,959 | 38.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,327 | 11,707 | 62.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,904 | 11,346 | 34.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,100 | 11,106 | 63.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 7,060 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -101 - SOUTH CLINTWOOD101 - SOUTH CLINTWOOD | 301 | 1,140 | 16 | 1,457 | 20.7% | 78.2% | R+57.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -401 - HAYSI-COLLEY401 - HAYSI-COLLEY | 286 | 1,060 | 9 | 1,355 | 21.1% | 78.2% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -502 - NORTH CLINTWOOD502 - NORTH CLINTWOOD | 250 | 956 | 4 | 1,210 | 20.7% | 79.0% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -203 - CLINCHCO203 - CLINCHCO | 126 | 508 | 6 | 640 | 19.7% | 79.4% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -201 - NORA201 - NORA | 75 | 395 | 3 | 473 | 15.9% | 83.5% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -303 - RIDGE303 - RIDGE | 65 | 373 | 1 | 439 | 14.8% | 85.0% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -302 - HERALD302 - HERALD | 35 | 398 | 2 | 435 | 8.0% | 91.5% | R+83.4 |
| Precinct -304 - LONGS FORK304 - LONGS FORK | 44 | 324 | 1 | 369 | 11.9% | 87.8% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -501 - TARPON501 - TARPON | 82 | 213 | 0 | 295 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -301 - WEST DANTE301 - WEST DANTE | 22 | 184 | 0 | 206 | 10.7% | 89.3% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -202 - FRYING PAN202 - FRYING PAN | 30 | 150 | 1 | 181 | 16.6% | 82.9% | R+66.3 |
| Clinchco51051000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Frying Pan51051000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Haysi-Colley51051000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Herald51051000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nora51051000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Clintwood51051000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridge51051000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Clintwood51051000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tarpon51051000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Dante51051000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +18.5% |
| 1896 | +1.2% |
| 1900 | +3.1% |
| 1904 | −8.5% |
| 1908 | −9.8% |
| 1912 | +12.0% |
| 1916 | −7.2% |
| 1920 | −8.2% |
| 1924 | +10.6% |
| 1928 | +0.3% |
| 1932 | +36.3% |
| 1936 | +40.1% |
| 1940 | +17.6% |
| 1944 | +22.5% |
| 1948 | +14.5% |
| 1952 | +4.8% |
| 1956 | +3.5% |
| 1960 | +11.1% |
| 1964 | +23.8% |
| 1968 | −0.8% |
| 1972 | −14.3% |
| 1976 | +13.5% |
| 1980 | +6.1% |
| 1984 | +10.5% |
| 1988 | +18.0% |
| 1992 | +27.8% |
| 1996 | +24.5% |
| 2000 | +11.5% |
| 2004 | +2.3% |
| 2008 | −0.7% |
| 2012 | −26.1% |
| 2016 | −55.9% |
| 2020 | −58.1% |
| 2024 | −62.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,805 |
| 2018 | 10,138 |
| 2020 | 10,277 |
| 2022 | 10,133 |
| 2024 | 10,247 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−29 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,223 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,073 in average income, against $56,655 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+65.4 on average — 3.3 points more Republican-leaning than Dickenson County, VA itself (R+62.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wise County, VA49R+63.2
- Buchanan County, VA21R+70.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wise County, VA80
- Buchanan County, VA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −55 |
| 2012 | −43 |
| 2013 | −162 |
| 2014 | −124 |
| 2015 | −70 |
| 2016 | −112 |
| 2017 | −220 |
| 2018 | −116 |
| 2019 | −126 |
| 2021 | −100 |
| 2022 | −5 |
| 2023 | +2 |
| 2024 | −63 |
| 2025 | −29 |
Nestled in Virginia's southwestern coalfields, Dickenson County delivered a 62-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting a dramatic shift from the Democratic-leaning mining communities it once was just two decades ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 62.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.1 points.
A population of 13,733, a 97% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,254 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Menifee County and Buchanan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Menifee County
Kentucky
96.1twin score
12-yr trend% unaffiliated2004 margin
Buchanan County
Virginia
93.9twin score
12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ elasticity
Magoffin County
Kentucky
89.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectory% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dickenson County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dickenson County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dickenson County, Virginia voted Republican by 62.1 points (R+62.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,060 votes cast, 1,316 went Democratic and 5,701 went Republican.
When did Dickenson County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dickenson County, Virginia voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Dickenson County, Virginia?
Dickenson County, Virginia has a population of 13,733 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dickenson County, Virginia?
Median household income in Dickenson County, Virginia is $47,254 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Dickenson County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dickenson County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.