HarrisDemocratic38.1%5,942TrumpRepublican61.2%9,549OliverLibertarian0.3%41
R+23.1- Lead
- 3,607
- Total
- 15,611
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- 71.0%
Akashiccounty
Dinwiddie County, VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.0% of 22,109 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.3%6,244TrumpRepublican57.5%8,695JorgensenLibertarian1.0%144
R+16.2- Lead
- 2,451
- Total
- 15,112
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- 68.0%
ClintonDemocratic42.5%5,765TrumpRepublican54.9%7,447JohnsonLibertarian1.4%196
R+12.4- Lead
- 1,682
- Total
- 13,575
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Turnout
- 62.2%
ObamaDemocratic48.2%6,550RomneyRepublican50.6%6,875OtherAll other candidates1.2%164
R+2.4- Lead
- 325
- Total
- 13,589
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.4%6,246McCainRepublican50.6%6,526OtherAll other candidates0.9%120
R+2.2- Lead
- 280
- Total
- 12,892
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.2%4,569BushRepublican57.1%6,193OtherAll other candidates0.7%77
R+15.0- Lead
- 1,624
- Total
- 10,839
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.8%4,001BushRepublican54.3%4,959NaderGreen0.8%74
R+10.5- Lead
- 958
- Total
- 9,136
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.4%3,871DoleRepublican42.9%3,503PerotReform8.2%666
D+4.5- Lead
- 368
- Total
- 8,166
- vs nation
- R+4.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,1912024 5-year
- Population density
- 56 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 504 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,7042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 29.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Buckingham County, VA · twin score 85.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.0%15,691 participants ÷ 22,109 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.7%–51.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,575 | 21,818 | 62.2% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,581 | 22,075 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,092 | 22,191 | 68.0% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,626 | 21,990 | 43.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,691 | 22,109 | 71.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Dinwiddie County, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.1%
1,343 votes · D+82.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 90.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
62.5%
3,314 votes · R+26.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
6,550votes
48.2% of the vote · R+2.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,246 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,549votes
61.2% of the vote · R+23.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,695 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+93.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +80.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+21.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.1 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +20.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,132 |
| 2018 | 19,117 |
| 2020 | 20,179 |
| 2022 | 20,761 |
| 2024 | 21,784 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+223 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,606 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,175 in average income, against $69,723 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+17.7 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Dinwiddie County, VA itself (R+23.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Chesterfield County, VA201D+8.9
- Petersburg city, VA130D+72.5
- Prince George County, VA83R+21.3
- Colonial Heights city, VA57R+32.4
- Hopewell city, VA36D+13.7
- Richmond city, VA33D+65.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Chesterfield County, VA136
- Petersburg city, VA97
- Prince George County, VA52
- Colonial Heights city, VA49
- Hopewell city, VA24
- Richmond city, VA24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −19 |
| 2012 | −10 |
| 2013 | −204 |
| 2014 | −39 |
| 2015 | −47 |
| 2016 | +232 |
| 2017 | +159 |
| 2018 | +104 |
| 2019 | −7 |
| 2021 | +239 |
| 2022 | +259 |
| 2023 | +397 |
| 2024 | +319 |
| 2025 | +223 |
Dinwiddie anchors Virginia's Southside plateau, where a predominantly rural population and longstanding demographic shifts away from its historic Democratic base have produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in federal contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 26.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.1 points.
A population of 28,191, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,704 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Buckingham County and Southampton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Buckingham County
Virginia
85.2twin score
% Black2012–2016 trajectory% Catholic≠ median income
Southampton County
Virginia
85.2twin score
% Black2008–2012 trajectory% Catholic
Sussex County
Virginia
82.9twin score
% Catholic12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ 2004 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dinwiddie County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dinwiddie County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dinwiddie County, Virginia voted Republican by 23.1 points (R+23.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,611 votes cast, 5,942 went Democratic and 9,549 went Republican.
When did Dinwiddie County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dinwiddie County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dinwiddie County, Virginia?
Dinwiddie County, Virginia has a population of 28,191 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dinwiddie County, Virginia?
Median household income in Dinwiddie County, Virginia is $83,704 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Dinwiddie County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dinwiddie County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.