Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Kentucky 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+21.92012R+28.12016R+39.82020R+36.62024R+41.3
full record · 20082024
R+41.3
2024
median income$66,796U.S. $80,734 · KY $63,726
median age39.0U.S. 39.1 · KY 39.2
poverty rate14.7%U.S. 12.5% · KY 16.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)24.9%U.S. 35.6% · KY 27.7%
non-english7.9%U.S. 22.3% · KY 6.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English14.6%
German11.8%
American11.8%
African American4.9%
African0.3%
Mexican1.9%
Cuban0.6%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Burmese0.6%
Asian Indian0.4%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Daviess County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Kentucky 2nd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionKentucky 2nd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+41.3
Kentucky 2nd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+41.3, 422 precincts, 9 city labels.
2024
422 precincts by 2024 margin · 9 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −41.3% in 2024.−41.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−21.9%
2012−28.1%
2016−39.8%
2020−36.6%
2024−41.3%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RBrett GuthrieU.S. House · KY-02+0.43
RMitch McConnellU.S. Senate+0.40
RRand PaulU.S. Senate+0.88

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20242R
26.9%93,029
73.1%252,826
345,855
20222R
28.1%66,769
71.9%170,487
237,256
20202R
26.3%94,643
71.0%255,735
360,399
20182R
31.1%79,964
66.7%171,700
257,345
20162R
0.0%0
100.0%251,825
251,825
20142R
30.8%69,898
69.2%156,936
226,834
20122R
31.7%89,541
64.3%181,508
282,267
20102R
32.1%73,749
67.9%155,906
229,655
20082R
47.4%143,379
52.6%158,936
302,315
20062R
44.6%95,415
55.4%118,548
213,963
20042R
32.1%87,585
67.9%185,394
272,979
20022R
29.2%51,431
69.6%122,773
176,288
20002R
31.4%74,537
67.7%160,800
237,462
19982R
35.3%62,848
63.7%113,285
177,966
19962R
41.9%90,483
58.1%125,433
215,916
19942R
40.2%60,867
59.8%90,535
151,402
19922D
61.4%126,894
38.6%79,684
206,578
19902D
66.0%77,057
34.0%39,624
116,681
19882D
60.6%92,184
39.4%59,907
152,099
19862D
100.0%57,644
0.0%0
57,652
19842D
62.1%93,042
37.9%56,700
149,742
19822D
73.8%49,571
26.2%17,561
67,138
19802D
65.7%99,670
34.3%52,110
151,780
19782D
100.0%36,441
0.0%0
36,459
19762D
60.4%79,016
39.6%51,900
130,920

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2022R
38.2%564,311
61.8%913,326
1,477,830
2020R
38.2%816,257
57.8%1,233,315
2,135,057
2016R
42.7%813,246
57.3%1,090,177
1,903,423
2014R
40.7%584,698
56.2%806,787
1,435,789
2010R
44.3%600,052
55.7%755,706
1,355,758
2008R
47.0%847,005
53.0%953,816
1,800,821
2004R
49.3%850,855
50.7%873,507
1,724,362
2002R
35.3%399,634
64.7%731,679
1,131,313
1998R
49.2%563,051
49.7%569,817
1,145,414
1996R
42.8%560,012
55.5%724,794
1,307,029
1992D
62.9%836,888
35.8%476,604
1,330,858
1990R
47.8%437,976
52.2%478,034
916,010
1986D
74.4%503,775
25.6%173,330
677,105
1984R
49.5%639,721
49.9%644,990
1,292,407
1980D
65.1%720,891
34.9%386,029
1,106,920
1978D
61.0%290,730
36.9%175,766
476,740

Spanning rural south-central and western Kentucky, this district recorded an R+41.9 margin in 2024 — among the largest in the nation — reflecting a deeply consolidated Republican coalition across its small-town and agricultural communities.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 41.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.3 points.

A population of 750,989, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,796 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 5 and Congressional District 1.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →

Places within Kentucky 2nd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Kentucky 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 41.3 points (R+41.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 351,413 votes cast, 100,533 went Democratic and 245,720 went Republican.
How many people live in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District?
Kentucky 2nd Congressional District has a population of 750,989 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District is $66,796 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.