Kentucky 2nd Congressional District (KY) — Elections 1876–2024

Kentucky 2nd Congressional District, Kentucky: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+33%. Republican peak: R+33 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+33MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 879,4142024 5-year
Median household income: $65,8042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.6%2024 5-year
Black: 7.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+28 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+33 in 2024MIT Election Lab

GUTHRIE, BrettCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: LEWIS, Ron (2007–2009), LEWIS, Ron (2005–2007), LEWIS, Ron (2003–2005), LEWIS, Ron (2001–2003)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

20 counties · 1 D · 19 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−32.9%	130,463	261,274	398,109
2020	R	−27.4%	143,601	254,709	405,506
2016	R	−30.7%	117,122	228,478	363,162
2012	R	−19.7%	131,160	196,718	333,347
2008	R	−15.0%	142,778	193,925	341,270
2004	R	−23.4%	123,552	199,618	325,571
2000	R	−18.6%	111,346	163,568	280,133
1996	R	−1.3%	112,257	115,603	251,922
1992	D	+2.3%	117,918	111,731	267,096
1988	R	−13.8%	100,324	132,777	234,342
1984	R	−23.7%	90,022	146,227	237,460
1980	R	−4.7%	103,146	113,589	223,551
1976	D	+6.0%	103,257	91,333	197,837
1972	R	−30.0%	60,492	113,906	178,256
1968	R	−9.1%	62,552	78,708	176,903
1964	D	+26.7%	107,809	62,247	170,654
1960	R	−12.1%	80,463	102,558	183,020
1956	R	−14.6%	69,750	93,676	164,149
1952	R	−6.5%	70,554	80,352	151,285
1948	D	+10.2%	65,824	53,403	121,625
1944	D	+5.0%	70,364	63,622	134,492
1940	D	+12.7%	80,786	62,572	143,766
1936	D	+18.3%	81,151	55,774	139,010
1932	D	+18.5%	90,759	62,200	154,125
1928	R	−20.0%	60,198	90,440	150,902
1924	D	+1.0%	65,860	64,490	133,949
1920	R	−0.8%	74,900	76,073	152,394
1916	D	+3.8%	44,976	41,608	87,843
1912	D	+28.2%	37,821	15,738	78,235
1908	D	+2.1%	42,111	40,318	84,234
1904	D	+3.3%	38,235	35,710	76,271
1900	D	+2.1%	40,956	39,225	81,376
1896	D	+4.0%	39,173	36,075	77,175
1892	D	+12.9%	28,811	21,153	59,152
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 16 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2022	R	38.2%	61.8%	1,477,830
2020	R	38.2%	57.8%	2,135,057
2016	R	42.7%	57.3%	1,903,465
2014	R	40.7%	56.2%	1,435,868
2010	R	44.2%	55.7%	1,356,096
2008	R	47.0%	53.0%	1,800,821
2004	R	49.3%	50.7%	1,724,362
2002	R	35.3%	64.7%	1,131,313
1998	R	49.2%	49.7%	1,145,414
1996	R	42.8%	55.5%	1,307,046
1992	D	62.9%	35.8%	1,330,858
1990	R	47.8%	52.2%	916,010
1986	D	74.4%	25.6%	677,280
1984	R	49.5%	49.9%	1,292,407
1980	D	65.1%	34.9%	1,106,920
1978	D	61.0%	36.9%	476,783

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

13.9%

German

11.2%

American

11.2%

Irish

10.6%

Scottish

2.0%

Italian

2.0%

French

0.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.6%

85+

1.1%

2.2%

75–84

2.8%

4.8%

65–74

5.4%

6.3%

55–64

6.7%

6.1%

45–54

6.1%

6.4%

35–44

6.3%

6.6%

25–34

6.4%

4.7%

18–24

4.3%

8.7%

5–17

8.4%

3.0%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$65,804

Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 2$65,804

Kentucky$63,726

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

15.0%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1819.5%

Working age (18–64)13.7%

Seniors (65+)14.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

92.1%

speak English only

Spanish3.5%

Other Indo-European2.1%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%

Other languages0.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Baptist

25.0%

Catholic & Orthodox

9.2%

Other Christian

8.8%

Methodist

4.1%

Mainline Protestant

1.6%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.5%

Non-Christian

0.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning rural south-central and western Kentucky, this district recorded an R+41.9 margin in 2024 — among the largest in the nation — reflecting a deeply consolidated Republican coalition across its small-town and agricultural communities.

The Republican margin in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-three points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was thirty-three points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $65,804, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 879,414 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 2, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 2, Kentucky voted Republican by 32.9 points (R+33), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 398,109 votes cast, 130,463 went Democratic and 261,274 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 2, Kentucky's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Kentucky as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 2, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Congressional District 2, Kentucky?

Congressional District 2, Kentucky has a population of 879,414 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Kentucky?

Median household income in Congressional District 2, Kentucky is $65,804 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Kentucky 2nd Congressional District has voted Republican in eight straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions