HarrisDemocratic13.4%782TrumpRepublican85.9%5,033KennedyIndependent0.4%25
R+72.6- Lead
- 4,251
- Total
- 5,857
- vs nation
- R+71.1
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Akashiccounty
Green County, KY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 8,946 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic15.8%920TrumpRepublican83.2%4,838JorgensenLibertarian0.5%29
R+67.4- Lead
- 3,918
- Total
- 5,812
- vs nation
- R+71.9
- Turnout
- 67.9%
ClintonDemocratic15.6%832TrumpRepublican82.0%4,372JohnsonLibertarian1.6%84
R+66.4- Lead
- 3,540
- Total
- 5,333
- vs nation
- R+68.5
- Turnout
- 62.5%
ObamaDemocratic24.0%1,165RomneyRepublican74.8%3,634OtherAll other candidates1.2%57
R+50.8- Lead
- 2,469
- Total
- 4,856
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic23.7%1,204McCainRepublican74.5%3,785OtherAll other candidates1.8%90
R+50.8- Lead
- 2,581
- Total
- 5,079
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic25.2%1,312BushRepublican74.3%3,866OtherAll other candidates0.5%28
R+49.1- Lead
- 2,554
- Total
- 5,206
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic22.8%1,085BushRepublican76.0%3,615NaderGreen0.7%31
R+53.2- Lead
- 2,530
- Total
- 4,756
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic28.3%1,285DoleRepublican60.9%2,763PerotReform10.5%475
R+32.6- Lead
- 1,478
- Total
- 4,540
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+72.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,3692024 5-year
- Population density
- 40 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 286 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $46,7982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cleburne County, AL · twin score 94.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.8%5,886 participants ÷ 8,946 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.0%–52.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,401 | 8,641 | 62.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,551 | 8,616 | 52.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,830 | 8,586 | 67.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,405 | 8,800 | 50.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,886 | 8,946 | 65.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Green County, KY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
50.4%
2,160 votes · D+1.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 49.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
85.9%
5,033 votes · R+72.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
2,277votes
49.7% of the vote · R+0.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 2,160 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,033votes
85.9% of the vote · R+72.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,838 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+14.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+10.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +14.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+71.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +71.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+46.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+72.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 26 points more Republican than the rolls.
8,701 registered voters · 2024
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+133 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +647 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,791 in average income, against $51,396 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+56.7 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Green County, KY itself (R+72.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Taylor County, KY74R+56.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Taylor County, KY79
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −38 |
| 2012 | +82 |
| 2013 | −89 |
| 2014 | −111 |
| 2015 | −30 |
| 2016 | +49 |
| 2017 | +82 |
| 2018 | −8 |
| 2019 | −26 |
| 2021 | +236 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | +121 |
| 2024 | +128 |
| 2025 | +133 |
Green County delivered a 72.6-point Republican margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided rural counties in the state. Its population of roughly 11,500 has declined steadily alongside broader trends across south-central Kentucky's agricultural interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 72.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.6 points.
A population of 11,369, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,798 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cleburne County and Hancock County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cleburne County
Alabama
94.4twin score
% Evangelical2004–2024 trajectory
Hancock County
Tennessee
94.1twin score
% Evangelical2012–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Throckmorton County
Texas
93.9twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated2008–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Green County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Green County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Green County, Kentucky voted Republican by 72.6 points (R+72.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,857 votes cast, 782 went Democratic and 5,033 went Republican.
When did Green County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Green County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Green County, Kentucky?
Green County, Kentucky has a population of 11,369 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Green County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Green County, Kentucky is $46,798 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Green County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Green County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.