HarrisDemocratic41.0%346,650TrumpRepublican57.3%485,350OtherAll other candidates1.7%14,502
R+16.4- Lead
- 138,700
- Total
- 846,502
- vs nation
- R+14.9
Akashicmedia market
Louisville
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
29 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic43.2%379,672TrumpRepublican54.9%482,166OtherAll other candidates1.8%16,038
R+11.7- Lead
- 102,494
- Total
- 877,876
- vs nation
- R+16.1
ClintonDemocratic39.9%315,464TrumpRepublican55.0%435,253OtherAll other candidates5.2%40,828
R+15.1- Lead
- 119,789
- Total
- 791,545
- vs nation
- R+17.2
ObamaDemocratic45.2%336,035RomneyRepublican53.0%393,506OtherAll other candidates1.8%13,337
R+7.7- Lead
- 57,471
- Total
- 742,878
- vs nation
- R+11.6
ObamaDemocratic46.9%358,208McCainRepublican51.9%395,781OtherAll other candidates1.2%9,230
R+4.9- Lead
- 37,573
- Total
- 763,219
- vs nation
- R+12.2
KerryDemocratic42.2%304,496BushRepublican57.0%411,149OtherAll other candidates0.8%5,526
R+14.8- Lead
- 106,653
- Total
- 721,171
- vs nation
- R+12.3
GoreDemocratic43.7%274,651BushRepublican54.2%340,944OtherAll other candidates2.1%13,240
R+10.5- Lead
- 66,293
- Total
- 628,835
- vs nation
- R+11.1
ClintonDemocratic47.3%272,987DoleRepublican43.3%250,170OtherAll other candidates9.4%54,406
D+4.0- Lead
- 22,817
- Total
- 577,563
- vs nation
- R+4.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,817,4552024 5-year
- Population density
- 183 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9,932 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,0832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Roanoke-Lynchburg, VA · twin score 53.6
presidential history
Party record book
Louisville · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.2%
282,222 votes · D+28.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
60.8%
272,694 votes · R+23.4
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 59.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
379,672votes
43.2% of the vote · R+11.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 358,208 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
485,350votes
57.3% of the vote · R+16.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 482,166 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+26.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.2 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +24.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+17.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+15.1 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +16.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 321,880 |
| 2018 (partial) | 297,910 |
| 2020 (partial) | 311,435 |
| 2022 (partial) | 317,530 |
| 2024 | 1,418,351 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−685 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,000 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,723 |
| 2012 | −232 |
| 2013 | +4,542 |
| 2014 | −1,618 |
| 2015 | −4,019 |
| 2016 | −72 |
| 2017 | +3,062 |
| 2018 | +1,729 |
| 2019 | +851 |
| 2021 | +594 |
| 2022 | +1,346 |
| 2023 | +1,202 |
| 2024 | +1,577 |
| 2025 | −685 |
Louisville's Jefferson County delivers Democratic margins that routinely offset Republican gains in surrounding rural counties, making the market's inner precincts a reliable bellwether for statewide competitive races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 23.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.4 points.
A population of 1,817,455, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,083 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Roanoke-Lynchburg and Champaign & Springfield-Decatur.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Roanoke-Lynchburg
Virginia
53.6twin score
% White% Latino% Asian≠ American ancestry
Champaign & Springfield-Decatur
Illinois
49.4twin score
% Latino% White% Catholic
Nashville
Tennessee
48.6twin score
population scaleEnglish ancestry% Latino≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisville, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/529/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Louisville
counties29
Adair CountyBreckinridge CountyBullitt CountyCarroll CountyClark CountyCrawford CountyFloyd CountyGrayson CountyGreen CountyHardin CountyHarrison CountyHenry CountyJackson CountyJefferson CountyJefferson CountyJennings CountyLarue CountyMarion CountyMeade CountyNelson CountyOldham CountyOrange CountyScott CountyShelby County+5 more
Frequently asked questions
How did Louisville, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Louisville, Kentucky voted Republican by 16.4 points (R+16.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 846,502 votes cast, 346,650 went Democratic and 485,350 went Republican.
When did Louisville, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisville, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Louisville, Kentucky?
Louisville, Kentucky has a population of 1,817,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville, Kentucky?
Median household income in Louisville, Kentucky is $72,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Louisville, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Louisville, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.