Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Louisville
presidential margin
2008R+4.92012R+7.72016R+15.12020R+11.72024R+16.4
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+16.4
2024
median income$72,083U.S. $80,734 · KY $63,726
median age39.5U.S. 39.1
poverty rate13.1%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)29.6%U.S. 35.6%
non-english8.3%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German15.8%
English13.5%
Irish11.9%
African American†9.6%
African0.9%
Mexican2.7%
Cuban1.6%
Puerto Rican0.7%
Asian Indian0.5%
Filipino0.2%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.4%
Black Protestant3.4%
Latter-day Saints0.8%
Muslim0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Louisville, Kentucky

Akashic
LouisvilleTrumpR+16.4
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Louisville, KYA map of the constituent counties of Louisville, KY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bullitt County, KY · R+51.0Jennings County, IN · R+58.8Jefferson County, IN · R+36.1Shelby County, KY · R+34.7Washington County, KY · R+50.3Breckinridge County, KY · R+58.2Spencer County, KY · R+56.7Henry County, KY · R+52.5Scott County, IN · R+51.5Washington County, IN · R+54.8Orange County, IN · R+52.1Crawford County, IN · R+48.6Adair County, KY · R+71.2Hardin County, KY · R+29.3Jackson County, IN · R+55.3Oldham County, KY · R+22.6Grayson County, KY · R+61.8Trimble County, KY · R+55.5Taylor County, KY · R+56.7Carroll County, KY · R+51.0Green County, KY · R+72.6Harrison County, IN · R+46.9Jefferson County, KY · D+16.5Larue County, KY · R+60.4Clark County, IN · R+20.3Nelson County, KY · R+41.7Marion County, KY · R+43.5Floyd County, IN · R+15.5Meade County, KY · R+52.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican57.3%485,350
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.0%346,650
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.7%14,502
D+60
R+60
29 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (29 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Louisville, KY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Adair County, KYRepublicanR+71.2
Breckinridge County, KYRepublicanR+58.2
Bullitt County, KYRepublicanR+51.0
Carroll County, KYRepublicanR+51.0
Clark County, INRepublicanR+20.3
Crawford County, INRepublicanR+48.6
Floyd County, INRepublicanR+15.5
Grayson County, KYRepublicanR+61.8
Green County, KYRepublicanR+72.6
Hardin County, KYRepublicanR+29.3
Harrison County, INRepublicanR+46.9
Henry County, KYRepublicanR+52.5
Jackson County, INRepublicanR+55.3
Jefferson County, INRepublicanR+36.1
Jefferson County, KYDemocraticD+16.5
Jennings County, INRepublicanR+58.8
Larue County, KYRepublicanR+60.4
Marion County, KYRepublicanR+43.5
Meade County, KYRepublicanR+52.0
Nelson County, KYRepublicanR+41.7
Oldham County, KYRepublicanR+22.6
Orange County, INRepublicanR+52.1
Scott County, INRepublicanR+51.5
Shelby County, KYRepublicanR+34.7
Spencer County, KYRepublicanR+56.7
Taylor County, KYRepublicanR+56.7
Trimble County, KYRepublicanR+55.5
Washington County, KYRepublicanR+50.3
Washington County, INRepublicanR+54.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
41.0%Harris346,650
57.3%Trump485,350
1.7%Kennedy14,502
−16.4%
846,502
R
43.2%Biden379,672
54.9%Trump482,166
1.8%Jorgensen16,038
−11.7%
877,876
R
39.9%Clinton315,464
55.0%Trump435,253
5.2%Johnson40,828
−15.1%
791,545
R
45.2%Obama336,035
53.0%Romney393,506
1.8%Johnson13,337
−7.7%
742,878
R
46.9%Obama358,208
51.9%McCain395,781
1.2%Nader9,230
−4.9%
763,219
R
42.2%Kerry304,496
57.0%Bush411,149
0.8%Nader5,526
−14.8%
721,171
R
43.7%Gore274,651
54.2%Bush340,944
2.1%Nader13,240
−10.5%
628,835
D
47.3%Clinton272,987
43.3%Dole250,170
9.4%Perot54,406
+4.0%
577,563
D
45.6%Clinton281,775
39.7%Bush245,500
14.7%Perot90,725
+5.9%
618,000
R
44.5%Dukakis238,756
55.1%Bush295,918
0.4%Duke2,391
−10.6%
537,065
R
39.6%Mondale224,294
59.9%Reagan339,289
0.5%Mason2,938
−20.3%
566,521
R
46.4%Carter244,935
49.4%Reagan260,745
4.1%Anderson21,636
−3.0%
527,316
D
50.5%Carter249,577
47.6%Ford235,116
1.9%Anderson9,447
+2.9%
494,140
R
37.4%McGovern167,608
60.8%Nixon272,694
1.8%Schmitz7,975
−23.4%
448,277
R
39.7%Humphrey173,082
43.6%Nixon190,406
16.7%Wallace72,839
−4.0%
436,327
D
64.2%Johnson282,222
35.4%Goldwater155,736
0.4%Hass1,823
+28.8%
439,781
R
48.6%Kennedy224,844
51.3%Nixon236,966
0.1%Byrd443
−2.6%
462,253
R
43.2%Stevenson178,523
56.3%Eisenhower232,538
0.5%Andrews1,937
−13.1%
412,998
R
46.9%Stevenson180,200
52.6%Eisenhower202,172
0.6%Hallinan2,173
−5.7%
384,545
D
52.9%Truman168,286
45.3%Dewey144,219
1.8%Thurmond5,621
+7.6%
318,126
D
54.8%Roosevelt177,021
44.7%Dewey144,324
0.5%Thomas1,700
+10.1%
323,045
D
57.3%Roosevelt201,119
42.3%Willkie148,479
0.3%Thomas1,179
+15.0%
350,777
D
59.2%Roosevelt193,343
39.1%Landon127,589
1.7%Lemke5,427
+20.1%
326,359
D
57.0%Roosevelt190,836
42.0%Hoover140,857
1.0%Thomas3,377
+14.9%
335,070
R
42.0%Smith142,921
57.8%Hoover196,613
0.3%Thomas901
−15.8%
340,435
R
48.1%Davis136,186
48.6%Coolidge137,545
3.2%La Follette9,179
−0.5%
282,910
R
49.4%Cox154,882
49.6%Harding155,411
1.0%Debs3,200
−0.2%
313,493
D
53.0%Wilson86,750
45.1%Hughes73,852
1.9%Benson3,041
+7.9%
163,643
D
50.0%Wilson75,001
15.9%Taft23,904
34.1%Roosevelt51,228
+34.0%
150,133
D
51.6%Bryan83,979
45.9%Taft74,705
2.4%Debs3,920
+5.7%
162,604
D
51.0%Parker75,727
45.7%Roosevelt67,901
3.2%Debs4,815
+5.3%
148,443
D
51.3%Bryan80,141
47.5%McKinley74,250
1.2%Woolley1,873
+3.8%
156,264
R
47.2%Bryan72,167
50.8%McKinley77,638
2.1%Palmer3,159
−3.6%
152,964
D
54.6%Cleveland67,950
38.9%Harrison48,422
6.4%Weaver8,019
+15.7%
124,391
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −16.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−16.4%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+15.7%
1896−3.6%
1900+3.8%
1904+5.3%
1908+5.7%
1912+34.0%
1916+7.9%
1920−0.2%
1924−0.5%
1928−15.8%
1932+14.9%
1936+20.1%
1940+15.0%
1944+10.1%
1948+7.6%
1952−5.7%
1956−13.1%
1960−2.6%
1964+28.8%
1968−4.0%
1972−23.4%
1976+2.9%
1980−3.0%
1984−20.3%
1988−10.6%
1992+5.9%
1996+4.0%
2000−10.5%
2004−14.8%
2008−4.9%
2012−7.7%
2016−15.1%
2020−11.7%
2024−16.4%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in LouisvilleTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 1,418,351 in 2024.354.6K709.2K1.1M1.4M1.4M20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Louisville
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)321,880
2018 (partial)297,910
2020 (partial)311,435
2022 (partial)317,530
20241,418,351
Source: State election authorities

Louisville's Jefferson County delivers Democratic margins that routinely offset Republican gains in surrounding rural counties, making the market's inner precincts a reliable bellwether for statewide competitive races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 23.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.4 points.

A population of 1,817,455, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,083 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Roanoke-Lynchburg and Champaign & Springfield-Decatur.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Roanoke-Lynchburg
Virginia
53.6twin score
% White% Latino% Asian≠ American ancestry
Champaign & Springfield-Decatur
Illinois
49.4twin score
% Latino% White% Catholic
Nashville
Tennessee
48.6twin score
population scaleEnglish ancestry% Latino≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisville, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/529/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Louisville

counties29
Adair CountyBreckinridge CountyBullitt CountyCarroll CountyClark CountyCrawford CountyFloyd CountyGrayson CountyGreen CountyHardin CountyHarrison CountyHenry CountyJackson CountyJefferson CountyJefferson CountyJennings CountyLarue CountyMarion CountyMeade CountyNelson CountyOldham CountyOrange CountyScott CountyShelby County+5 more

Frequently asked questions

How did Louisville, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Louisville, Kentucky voted Republican by 16.4 points (R+16.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 846,502 votes cast, 346,650 went Democratic and 485,350 went Republican.
When did Louisville, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisville, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Louisville, Kentucky?
Louisville, Kentucky has a population of 1,817,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville, Kentucky?
Median household income in Louisville, Kentucky is $72,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Louisville, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Louisville, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.