- Lead
- 2,433
- Total
- 5,011
- vs nation
- R+47.1
- Turnout
- 60.9%
Crawford County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.9% of 8,320 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,128
- Total
- 4,944
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Turnout
- 61.0%
- Lead
- 1,690
- Total
- 4,640
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- 59.3%
- Lead
- 380
- Total
- 4,590
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 107
- Total
- 4,744
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 677
- Total
- 4,574
- vs nation
- R+12.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 510
- Total
- 4,209
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 565
- Total
- 4,810
- vs nation
- D+3.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,4992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,6402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Schuyler County, IL · twin score 87.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.9%5,064 participants ÷ 8,320 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -11.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.1%–53.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,858 | 8,192 | 59.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,756 | 8,231 | 57.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,017 | 8,222 | 61.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,885 | 8,230 | 47.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,064 | 8,320 | 60.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 5,011 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WHISKEY RUN 2WHISKEY RUN 2 | 131 | 382 | 11 | 524 | 25.0% | 72.9% | R+47.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PATOKA 1PATOKA 1 | 100 | 401 | 12 | 513 | 19.5% | 78.2% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY 1LIBERTY 1 | 132 | 291 | 9 | 432 | 30.6% | 67.4% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -JENNINGS 1JENNINGS 1 | 90 | 321 | 16 | 427 | 21.1% | 75.2% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY 2LIBERTY 2 | 104 | 300 | 11 | 415 | 25.1% | 72.3% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -WHISKEY RUN 1WHISKEY RUN 1 | 110 | 281 | 9 | 400 | 27.5% | 70.3% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -JENNINGS 2JENNINGS 2 | 84 | 264 | 1 | 349 | 24.1% | 75.6% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -STERLING 3STERLING 3 | 58 | 243 | 4 | 305 | 19.0% | 79.7% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -PATOKA 2PATOKA 2 | 75 | 210 | 7 | 292 | 25.7% | 71.9% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -STERLING 2STERLING 2 | 74 | 210 | 7 | 291 | 25.4% | 72.2% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -UNION 1UNION 1 | 59 | 145 | 2 | 206 | 28.6% | 70.4% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -OHIO 1OHIO 1 | 61 | 121 | 2 | 184 | 33.2% | 65.8% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -JOHNSON 1JOHNSON 1 | 40 | 136 | 6 | 182 | 22.0% | 74.7% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -UNION 2UNION 2 | 20 | 133 | 3 | 156 | 12.8% | 85.3% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -STERLING 1STERLING 1 | 42 | 99 | 6 | 147 | 28.6% | 67.3% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -OHIO 2OHIO 2 | 39 | 71 | 0 | 110 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -BOONEBOONE | 16 | 59 | 2 | 77 | 20.8% | 76.6% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -JOHNSON 2JOHNSON 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| BOONE18_1802500010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JENNINGS 0118_1802500020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JENNINGS 0218_1802500030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSON18_1802500040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY 0118_1802500050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY 0218_1802500060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0118_1802500070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0218_1802500080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0118_1802500090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATOKA 0218_1802500100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STERLING 0118_1802500110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STERLING 0218_1802500120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STERLING 0318_1802500130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0118_1802500140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0218_1802500150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHISKEY RUN 0118_1802500160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHISKEY RUN 0218_1802500170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +8.4% |
| 1896 | +5.2% |
| 1900 | +6.1% |
| 1904 | +1.2% |
| 1908 | +4.3% |
| 1912 | +18.5% |
| 1916 | +10.5% |
| 1920 | −1.6% |
| 1924 | +10.5% |
| 1928 | −15.9% |
| 1932 | +19.8% |
| 1936 | +6.0% |
| 1940 | +3.3% |
| 1944 | −3.1% |
| 1948 | +3.8% |
| 1952 | −5.5% |
| 1956 | −5.0% |
| 1960 | −11.6% |
| 1964 | +15.7% |
| 1968 | −13.9% |
| 1972 | −18.5% |
| 1976 | +10.9% |
| 1980 | −8.7% |
| 1984 | −7.7% |
| 1988 | −10.8% |
| 1992 | +7.1% |
| 1996 | +11.7% |
| 2000 | −12.1% |
| 2004 | −14.8% |
| 2008 | −2.3% |
| 2012 | −8.3% |
| 2016 | −36.4% |
| 2020 | −43.0% |
| 2024 | −48.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.4%1,208 | 73.6%3,373 | 4,581 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,283 |
| 2018 | 7,675 |
| 2020 | 7,798 |
| 2022 | 7,573 |
| 2024 | 7,921 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−18 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +103 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,646 in average income, against $55,373 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.2 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Crawford County, IN itself (R+48.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harrison County, IN58R+46.9
- Clark County, IN32R+20.3
- Floyd County, IN24R+15.5
- Orange County, IN24R+52.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Harrison County, IN60
- Orange County, IN41
- Floyd County, IN24
- Dubois County, IN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | +27 |
| 2013 | −20 |
| 2014 | +33 |
| 2015 | −140 |
| 2016 | +31 |
| 2017 | −26 |
| 2018 | +45 |
| 2019 | −12 |
| 2021 | +15 |
| 2022 | +92 |
| 2023 | −14 |
| 2024 | +167 |
| 2025 | −18 |
Crawford County's R+48.5 margin in 2024 places it among Indiana's most one-sided presidential jurisdictions, reflecting the deep rural shift across the state's hilly southern tier, where small-town and agricultural communities have moved decisively in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 48.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.6 points.
A population of 10,499, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,640 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Schuyler County and Switzerland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Crawford County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.