Kentucky 3rd Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | +13.8% |
| 2012 | +13.7% |
| 2016 | +15.4% |
| 2020 | +22.4% |
| 2024 | +18.9% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | D | 61.9%203,100 | 38.0%124,713 | 327,864 |
| 2022 | 3 | D | 62.0%160,920 | 38.0%98,637 | 259,587 |
| 2020 | 3 | D | 62.7%230,672 | 37.3%137,425 | 368,097 |
| 2018 | 3 | D | 62.1%173,002 | 36.6%101,930 | 278,720 |
| 2016 | 3 | D | 63.5%212,401 | 36.5%122,093 | 334,494 |
| 2014 | 3 | D | 63.5%157,056 | 35.6%87,981 | 247,355 |
| 2012 | 3 | D | 64.0%206,385 | 34.5%111,452 | 322,656 |
| 2010 | 3 | D | 54.7%139,940 | 44.0%112,627 | 255,930 |
| 2008 | 3 | D | 59.4%203,843 | 40.6%139,527 | 343,370 |
| 2006 | 3 | D | 50.6%122,489 | 48.2%116,568 | 241,965 |
| 2004 | 3 | R | 37.8%124,040 | 60.3%197,736 | 328,154 |
| 2002 | 3 | R | 48.4%110,846 | 51.6%118,228 | 229,074 |
| 2000 | 3 | R | 44.2%118,875 | 52.9%142,106 | 268,785 |
| 1998 | 3 | R | 47.5%92,865 | 51.5%100,690 | 195,436 |
| 1996 | 3 | R | 49.7%125,326 | 50.3%126,625 | 251,951 |
| 1994 | 3 | D | 44.4%67,663 | 44.1%67,238 | 152,523 |
| 1992 | 3 | D | 52.7%148,066 | 47.3%132,689 | 280,770 |
| 1990 | 3 | D | 60.6%84,750 | 39.4%55,188 | 139,938 |
| 1988 | 3 | D | 69.7%131,981 | 30.3%57,387 | 189,368 |
| 1986 | 3 | D | 73.0%81,943 | 26.1%29,348 | 112,233 |
| 1984 | 3 | D | 67.7%145,680 | 31.7%68,185 | 215,138 |
| 1982 | 3 | D | 65.1%92,849 | 32.2%45,900 | 142,597 |
| 1980 | 3 | D | 63.7%85,873 | 34.6%46,681 | 134,724 |
| 1978 | 3 | D | 65.7%37,346 | 31.3%17,785 | 56,871 |
| 1976 | 3 | D | 57.2%80,496 | 41.2%58,019 | 140,744 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 38.2%564,311 | 61.8%913,326 | 1,477,830 |
| 2020 | R | 38.2%816,257 | 57.8%1,233,315 | 2,135,057 |
| 2016 | R | 42.7%813,246 | 57.3%1,090,177 | 1,903,423 |
| 2014 | R | 40.7%584,698 | 56.2%806,787 | 1,435,789 |
| 2010 | R | 44.3%600,052 | 55.7%755,706 | 1,355,758 |
| 2008 | R | 47.0%847,005 | 53.0%953,816 | 1,800,821 |
| 2004 | R | 49.3%850,855 | 50.7%873,507 | 1,724,362 |
| 2002 | R | 35.3%399,634 | 64.7%731,679 | 1,131,313 |
| 1998 | R | 49.2%563,051 | 49.7%569,817 | 1,145,414 |
| 1996 | R | 42.8%560,012 | 55.5%724,794 | 1,307,029 |
| 1992 | D | 62.9%836,888 | 35.8%476,604 | 1,330,858 |
| 1990 | R | 47.8%437,976 | 52.2%478,034 | 916,010 |
| 1986 | D | 74.4%503,775 | 25.6%173,330 | 677,105 |
| 1984 | R | 49.5%639,721 | 49.9%644,990 | 1,292,407 |
| 1980 | D | 65.1%720,891 | 34.9%386,029 | 1,106,920 |
| 1978 | D | 61.0%290,730 | 36.9%175,766 | 476,740 |
Kentucky's 3rd is the state's most reliably Democratic congressional seat, centered on Louisville and Jefferson County, where dense urban precincts and a substantial Black voting population have produced double-digit Democratic presidential margins in every cycle since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.9 points.
A population of 750,973, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,047 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 7.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kentucky 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.