- Lead
- 24,226
- Total
- 45,584
- vs nation
- R+51.7
Virginia 44th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 23,271
- Total
- 45,018
- vs nation
- R+56.1
- Lead
- 21,174
- Total
- 40,645
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Lead
- 15,946
- Total
- 40,725
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Lead
- 10,575
- Total
- 39,277
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 9,582
- Total
- 36,620
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Lead
- 4,839
- Total
- 33,521
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 1,199
- Total
- 30,873
- vs nation
- R+12.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 87,6982024 5-year
- Population density
- 101 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 870 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,5342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 55, KY · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 44th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
36.1%
13,217 votes · R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 35.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.3%
34,769 votes · R+53.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
14,052votes
35.8% of the vote · R+26.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 13,217 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
34,769votes
76.3% of the vote · R+53.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 33,836 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−23.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+26.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −34.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +54.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+53, this district ranks among the most skewed in Virginia's lower chamber, suggesting a rural or exurban constituency with little recent evidence of competitive pressure.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 53.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.1 points.
A population of 87,698, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,534 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 55 and State House District 87.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 44th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.