Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois
AkashicPaducah-Cape Girardeau-HarrisburgTrumpR+50.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 74.5% | 323,896 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 24.3% | 105,685 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent | 1.2% | 5,055 |
D+60R+60
43 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (43 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander County, IL | Republican | R+19.2 |
| Ballard County, KY | Republican | R+64.4 |
| Bollinger County, MO | Republican | R+74.8 |
| Butler County, MO | Republican | R+63.8 |
| Caldwell County, KY | Republican | R+58.2 |
| Calloway County, KY | Republican | R+37.9 |
| Cape Girardeau County, MO | Republican | R+46.5 |
| Carlisle County, KY | Republican | R+68.0 |
| Carter County, MO | Republican | R+74.2 |
| Crittenden County, KY | Republican | R+68.4 |
| Dunklin County, MO | Republican | R+61.8 |
| Franklin County, IL | Republican | R+50.5 |
| Fulton County, KY | Republican | R+39.9 |
| Gallatin County, IL | Republican | R+53.8 |
| Graves County, KY | Republican | R+61.6 |
| Hamilton County, IL | Republican | R+63.3 |
| Hardin County, IL | Republican | R+61.7 |
| Hickman County, KY | Republican | R+61.0 |
| Jackson County, IL | Democratic | D+3.5 |
| Jefferson County, IL | Republican | R+47.7 |
| Johnson County, IL | Republican | R+58.3 |
| Lake County, TN | Republican | R+54.9 |
| Livingston County, KY | Republican | R+63.1 |
| Lyon County, KY | Republican | R+53.4 |
| Madison County, MO | Republican | R+64.9 |
| Marshall County, KY | Republican | R+56.7 |
| Massac County, IL | Republican | R+48.8 |
| McCracken County, KY | Republican | R+34.9 |
| Mississippi County, MO | Republican | R+53.7 |
| New Madrid County, MO | Republican | R+53.5 |
| Obion County, TN | Republican | R+64.9 |
| Perry County, IL | Republican | R+51.9 |
| Perry County, MO | Republican | R+63.4 |
| Pope County, IL | Republican | R+60.1 |
| Pulaski County, IL | Republican | R+34.2 |
| Ripley County, MO | Republican | R+73.0 |
| Saline County, IL | Republican | R+49.0 |
| Scott County, MO | Republican | R+58.9 |
| Stoddard County, MO | Republican | R+73.9 |
| Union County, IL | Republican | R+43.2 |
| Wayne County, MO | Republican | R+72.6 |
| Weakley County, TN | Republican | R+58.4 |
| Williamson County, IL | Republican | R+38.7 |
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 24.3%Harris105,685 | 74.5%Trump323,896 | 1.2%Kennedy5,055 | 434,636 | ||
| R | 25.5%Biden113,855 | 72.9%Trump325,692 | 1.6%Jorgensen7,041 | 446,588 | ||
| R | 24.4%Clinton105,073 | 71.3%Trump307,083 | 4.3%Johnson18,420 | 430,576 | ||
| R | 33.7%Obama140,175 | 64.3%Romney267,572 | 2.0%Johnson8,523 | 416,270 | ||
| R | 39.2%Obama170,914 | 59.1%McCain258,089 | 1.7%Nader7,410 | 436,413 | ||
| R | 39.2%Kerry170,364 | 60.1%Bush260,882 | 0.7%Badnarik2,881 | 434,127 | ||
| R | 43.6%Gore172,625 | 54.0%Bush214,094 | 2.4%Nader9,524 | 396,243 | ||
| D | 49.4%Clinton185,319 | 39.5%Dole148,178 | 11.1%Perot41,634 | 375,131 | ||
| D | 49.8%Clinton205,659 | 35.1%Bush144,901 | 15.2%Perot62,748 | 413,308 | ||
| R | 48.2%Dukakis177,837 | 51.3%Bush189,240 | 0.5%Paul1,672 | 368,749 | ||
| R | 43.7%Mondale169,789 | 55.9%Reagan217,138 | 0.4%Bergland1,475 | 388,402 | ||
| R | 46.2%Carter180,958 | 50.5%Reagan197,730 | 3.3%Anderson12,723 | 391,411 | ||
| D | 59.7%Carter221,096 | 39.1%Ford144,779 | 1.2%McCarthy4,616 | 370,491 | ||
| R | 37.1%McGovern126,334 | 62.0%Nixon210,929 | 0.9%Schmitz3,088 | 340,351 | ||
| R | 39.2%Humphrey138,278 | 41.3%Nixon145,586 | 19.5%Wallace68,655 | 352,519 | ||
| D | 65.0%Johnson229,561 | 34.9%Goldwater123,155 | 0.1%Hass280 | 352,996 | ||
| R | 48.2%Kennedy182,073 | 51.6%Nixon195,003 | 0.1%Byrd494 | 377,570 | ||
| D | 52.8%Stevenson194,995 | 47.1%Eisenhower174,011 | 0.2%Andrews609 | 369,615 | ||
| D | 52.2%Stevenson194,388 | 47.7%Eisenhower177,665 | 0.2%Hallinan625 | 372,678 | ||
| D | 60.0%Truman189,597 | 38.8%Dewey122,452 | 1.2%Thurmond3,923 | 315,972 | ||
| D | 53.3%Roosevelt179,246 | 46.3%Dewey155,565 | 0.4%Thomas1,494 | 336,305 | ||
| D | 55.8%Roosevelt230,102 | 43.8%Willkie180,549 | 0.4%Thomas1,791 | 412,442 | ||
| D | 59.8%Roosevelt228,470 | 39.4%Landon150,467 | 0.9%Lemke3,414 | 382,351 | ||
| D | 65.5%Roosevelt221,926 | 33.1%Hoover112,012 | 1.4%Thomas4,782 | 338,720 | ||
| R | 48.1%Smith142,092 | 51.4%Hoover151,865 | 0.6%Thomas1,672 | 295,629 | ||
| D | 47.0%Davis136,071 | 43.3%Coolidge125,205 | 9.7%La Follette27,951 | 289,227 | ||
| R | 46.2%Cox137,434 | 49.3%Harding146,752 | 4.5%Debs13,436 | 297,622 | ||
| D | 50.8%Wilson125,268 | 46.1%Hughes113,768 | 3.1%Benson7,633 | 246,669 | ||
| D | 48.7%Wilson79,507 | 31.6%Taft51,686 | 19.7%Roosevelt32,225 | 163,418 | ||
| D | 51.0%Bryan85,520 | 45.0%Taft75,461 | 4.0%Debs6,736 | 167,717 | ||
| D | 47.5%Parker70,627 | 46.9%Roosevelt69,749 | 5.5%Debs8,190 | 148,566 | ||
| D | 54.0%Bryan84,195 | 44.0%McKinley68,641 | 2.0%Woolley3,047 | 155,883 | ||
| D | 57.1%Bryan87,328 | 41.6%McKinley63,635 | 1.3%Palmer2,010 | 152,973 | ||
| D | 51.2%Cleveland63,890 | 38.9%Harrison48,616 | 9.9%Weaver12,373 | 124,879 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +12.2% |
| 1896 | +15.5% |
| 1900 | +10.0% |
| 1904 | +0.6% |
| 1908 | +6.0% |
| 1912 | +17.0% |
| 1916 | +4.7% |
| 1920 | −3.1% |
| 1924 | +3.8% |
| 1928 | −3.3% |
| 1932 | +32.4% |
| 1936 | +20.4% |
| 1940 | +12.0% |
| 1944 | +7.0% |
| 1948 | +21.3% |
| 1952 | +4.5% |
| 1956 | +5.7% |
| 1960 | −3.4% |
| 1964 | +30.1% |
| 1968 | −2.1% |
| 1972 | −24.9% |
| 1976 | +20.6% |
| 1980 | −4.3% |
| 1984 | −12.2% |
| 1988 | −3.1% |
| 1992 | +14.7% |
| 1996 | +9.9% |
| 2000 | −10.5% |
| 2004 | −20.9% |
| 2008 | −20.0% |
| 2012 | −30.6% |
| 2016 | −46.9% |
| 2020 | −47.4% |
| 2024 | −50.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 511,409 |
| 2018 (partial) | 499,168 |
| 2020 (partial) | 522,787 |
| 2022 (partial) | 481,532 |
| 2024 | 691,117 |
Source: State election authorities
Spanning corners of Kentucky, Missouri, Illinois, and Tennessee, this mid-Mississippi media market forces campaigns to buy across multiple state lines to reach a relatively small, predominantly rural audience that has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.2 points.
A population of 934,160, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,801 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tri-Cities, TN-VA and Springfield, MO.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
91.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ median age
Springfield, MO
91.0twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
Joplin-Pittsburg
Kansas
89.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/632/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
counties43
Alexander CountyBallard CountyBollinger CountyButler CountyCaldwell CountyCalloway CountyCape Girardeau CountyCarlisle CountyCarter CountyCrittenden CountyDunklin CountyFranklin CountyFulton CountyGallatin CountyGraves CountyHamilton CountyHardin CountyHickman CountyJackson CountyJefferson CountyJohnson CountyLake CountyLivingston CountyLyon County+19 more
Frequently asked questions
How did Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois voted Republican by 50.2 points (R+50.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434,636 votes cast, 105,685 went Democratic and 323,896 went Republican.
When did Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois has a population of 934,160 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Median household income in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois is $57,801 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.