HarrisDemocratic30.2%5,111TrumpRepublican68.1%11,539KennedyIndependent1.0%165
R+37.9- Lead
- 6,428
- Total
- 16,945
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Turnout
- 56.1%
Akashiccounty
Calloway County, KY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.1% of 30,465 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.2%5,797TrumpRepublican65.0%11,352JorgensenLibertarian1.3%227
R+31.8- Lead
- 5,555
- Total
- 17,457
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Turnout
- 56.3%
ClintonDemocratic29.6%4,749TrumpRepublican64.6%10,367JohnsonLibertarian3.1%492
R+35.0- Lead
- 5,618
- Total
- 16,049
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- 54.5%
ObamaDemocratic35.3%5,317RomneyRepublican62.6%9,440OtherAll other candidates2.1%315
R+27.4- Lead
- 4,123
- Total
- 15,072
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.0%6,165McCainRepublican58.4%8,991OtherAll other candidates1.6%248
R+18.3- Lead
- 2,826
- Total
- 15,404
- vs nation
- R+25.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.8%5,728BushRepublican61.4%9,293OtherAll other candidates0.8%124
R+23.5- Lead
- 3,565
- Total
- 15,145
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.2%5,635BushRepublican56.4%7,705NaderGreen1.7%236
R+15.1- Lead
- 2,070
- Total
- 13,673
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.7%5,281DoleRepublican43.1%4,989PerotReform10.6%1,223
D+2.5- Lead
- 292
- Total
- 11,566
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,2242024 5-year
- Population density
- 99 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 385 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,7062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- McCracken County, KY · twin score 71.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.1%17,094 participants ÷ 30,465 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.3%–41.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,281 | 29,889 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,883 | 30,492 | 42.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,564 | 31,186 | 56.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,896 | 30,090 | 39.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,094 | 30,465 | 56.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Calloway County, KY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.2%
6,335 votes · D+76.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 86.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.1%
11,539 votes · R+37.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 65.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
8,141votes
70.7% of the vote · D+43.2
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 7,290 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,539votes
68.1% of the vote · R+37.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,352 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+83.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +74.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+37.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +36.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+0.03
Presidential vote · 2024R+37.9
Calloway County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 38-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
30,668 registered voters · 2024
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+519 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,579 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,101 in average income, against $69,450 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.2 on average — 13 points more Republican-leaning than Calloway County, KY itself (R+37.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marshall County, KY117R+56.7
- Graves County, KY115R+61.6
- Henry County, TN61R+55.3
- McCracken County, KY60R+34.9
- Christian County, KY22R+33.6
- Montgomery County, TN22R+18.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marshall County, KY119
- Graves County, KY92
- McCracken County, KY83
- Henry County, TN48
- Davidson County, TN23
- Christian County, KY21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +218 |
| 2012 | +246 |
| 2013 | +182 |
| 2014 | −140 |
| 2015 | +31 |
| 2016 | −83 |
| 2017 | −48 |
| 2018 | +154 |
| 2019 | +71 |
| 2021 | +444 |
| 2022 | +342 |
| 2023 | +334 |
| 2024 | +309 |
| 2025 | +519 |
Home to Murray State University, Calloway County pairs a small college-town core with a predominantly rural surrounding population, a mix that once produced competitive margins but has shifted decisively rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 37.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.9 points.
A population of 38,224, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,706 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McCracken County and Washington County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
McCracken County
Kentucky
71.2twin score
% EvangelicalEnglish ancestry% Latino≠ median age
Washington County
Tennessee
69.1twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic% White
Hopkins County
Kentucky
69.1twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated% Catholic≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Calloway County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Calloway County
Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Calloway County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Calloway County, Kentucky voted Republican by 37.9 points (R+37.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,945 votes cast, 5,111 went Democratic and 11,539 went Republican.
When did Calloway County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Calloway County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Calloway County, Kentucky?
Calloway County, Kentucky has a population of 38,224 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Calloway County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Calloway County, Kentucky is $52,706 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Calloway County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Calloway County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.