HarrisDemocratic23.9%4,916TrumpRepublican74.8%15,361KennedyIndependent0.7%142
R+50.9- Lead
- 10,445
- Total
- 20,537
- vs nation
- R+49.4
- Turnout
- 60.6%
Akashiccounty
Hopkins County, KY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.6% of 34,127 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.3%5,439TrumpRepublican73.2%15,757JorgensenLibertarian1.1%226
R+48.0- Lead
- 10,318
- Total
- 21,512
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 62.6%
ClintonDemocratic21.2%4,310TrumpRepublican75.1%15,277JohnsonLibertarian2.3%478
R+53.9- Lead
- 10,967
- Total
- 20,345
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Turnout
- 58.0%
ObamaDemocratic29.3%5,789RomneyRepublican69.2%13,681OtherAll other candidates1.5%297
R+39.9- Lead
- 7,892
- Total
- 19,767
- vs nation
- R+43.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.7%7,104McCainRepublican61.6%11,916OtherAll other candidates1.7%328
R+24.9- Lead
- 4,812
- Total
- 19,348
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.1%6,420BushRepublican65.4%12,314OtherAll other candidates0.6%109
R+31.3- Lead
- 5,894
- Total
- 18,843
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic40.8%6,734BushRepublican57.6%9,490NaderGreen1.0%160
R+16.7- Lead
- 2,756
- Total
- 16,489
- vs nation
- R+17.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.7%7,239DoleRepublican41.9%6,363PerotReform10.0%1,512
D+5.8- Lead
- 876
- Total
- 15,190
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,1192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,8152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ohio County, KY · twin score 87.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.6%20,685 participants ÷ 34,127 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.5%–46.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,551 | 35,411 | 58.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,757 | 34,867 | 48.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,591 | 34,493 | 62.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,004 | 34,485 | 43.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,685 | 34,127 | 60.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 20,537 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -D027D027 | 274 | 620 | 18 | 912 | 30.0% | 68.0% | R+37.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -D023D023 | 128 | 721 | 9 | 858 | 14.9% | 84.0% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -A003A003 | 146 | 697 | 11 | 854 | 17.1% | 81.6% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -C018C018 | 139 | 522 | 7 | 668 | 20.8% | 78.1% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -F043F043 | 208 | 439 | 12 | 659 | 31.6% | 66.6% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -D024D024 | 121 | 514 | 10 | 645 | 18.8% | 79.7% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -C016C016 | 141 | 445 | 10 | 596 | 23.7% | 74.7% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -E033E033 | 109 | 478 | 8 | 595 | 18.3% | 80.3% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -C021C021 | 162 | 404 | 6 | 572 | 28.3% | 70.6% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -D028D028 | 153 | 403 | 3 | 559 | 27.4% | 72.1% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -E034E034 | 221 | 324 | 8 | 553 | 40.0% | 58.6% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -A007A007 | 69 | 452 | 3 | 524 | 13.2% | 86.3% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -G047G047 | 189 | 288 | 9 | 486 | 38.9% | 59.3% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -C017C017 | 102 | 369 | 8 | 479 | 21.3% | 77.0% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -E031E031 | 86 | 374 | 5 | 465 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -F038F038 | 84 | 367 | 5 | 456 | 18.4% | 80.5% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -F040F040 | 54 | 392 | 3 | 449 | 12.0% | 87.3% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -C019C019 | 101 | 338 | 7 | 446 | 22.6% | 75.8% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -B011B011 | 97 | 339 | 5 | 441 | 22.0% | 76.9% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -B009B009 | 93 | 337 | 5 | 435 | 21.4% | 77.5% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -G049G049 | 100 | 305 | 8 | 413 | 24.2% | 73.8% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -B014B014 | 173 | 228 | 7 | 408 | 42.4% | 55.9% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -A002A002 | 55 | 331 | 7 | 393 | 14.0% | 84.2% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -F042F042 | 63 | 326 | 4 | 393 | 16.0% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -G048G048 | 131 | 250 | 7 | 388 | 33.8% | 64.4% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -B008B008 | 135 | 245 | 4 | 384 | 35.2% | 63.8% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -C020C020 | 106 | 267 | 5 | 378 | 28.0% | 70.6% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -A006A006 | 92 | 279 | 6 | 377 | 24.4% | 74.0% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -A001A001 | 71 | 302 | 2 | 375 | 18.9% | 80.5% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -G045G045 | 121 | 240 | 8 | 369 | 32.8% | 65.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -F039F039 | 73 | 276 | 6 | 355 | 20.6% | 77.7% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -B012B012 | 72 | 264 | 5 | 341 | 21.1% | 77.4% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -E030E030 | 54 | 284 | 3 | 341 | 15.8% | 83.3% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -E032E032 | 32 | 292 | 1 | 325 | 9.8% | 89.8% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -A005A005 | 28 | 273 | 0 | 301 | 9.3% | 90.7% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -E036E036 | 59 | 224 | 4 | 287 | 20.6% | 78.0% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -B010B010 | 34 | 244 | 2 | 280 | 12.1% | 87.1% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -G046G046 | 121 | 148 | 5 | 274 | 44.2% | 54.0% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -B015B015 | 94 | 176 | 2 | 272 | 34.6% | 64.7% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -D026D026 | 55 | 209 | 2 | 266 | 20.7% | 78.6% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -G044G044 | 80 | 183 | 2 | 265 | 30.2% | 69.1% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -G050G050 | 80 | 159 | 2 | 241 | 33.2% | 66.0% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -F041F041 | 25 | 187 | 3 | 215 | 11.6% | 87.0% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -B013B013 | 39 | 171 | 2 | 212 | 18.4% | 80.7% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -E035E035 | 65 | 129 | 2 | 196 | 33.2% | 65.8% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -F037F037 | 32 | 150 | 1 | 183 | 17.5% | 82.0% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -A004A004 | 19 | 151 | 0 | 170 | 11.2% | 88.8% | R+77.6 |
| Precinct -D025D025 | 77 | 81 | 4 | 162 | 47.5% | 50.0% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -D029D029 | 48 | 110 | 3 | 161 | 29.8% | 68.3% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -C022C022 | 105 | 54 | 1 | 160 | 65.6% | 33.8% | D+31.9 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +6.6% |
| 1896 | +16.2% |
| 1900 | +4.6% |
| 1904 | +4.8% |
| 1908 | +5.6% |
| 1912 | +27.5% |
| 1916 | +1.9% |
| 1920 | +7.4% |
| 1924 | +4.8% |
| 1928 | +2.4% |
| 1932 | +40.8% |
| 1936 | +38.8% |
| 1940 | +38.2% |
| 1944 | +31.8% |
| 1948 | +37.8% |
| 1952 | +25.0% |
| 1956 | +10.4% |
| 1960 | +7.2% |
| 1964 | +40.9% |
| 1968 | +5.1% |
| 1972 | −38.5% |
| 1976 | +20.3% |
| 1980 | +16.8% |
| 1984 | −16.2% |
| 1988 | −3.4% |
| 1992 | +16.3% |
| 1996 | +5.8% |
| 2000 | −16.7% |
| 2004 | −31.3% |
| 2008 | −24.9% |
| 2012 | −39.9% |
| 2016 | −53.9% |
| 2020 | −48.0% |
| 2024 | −50.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 10 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+0.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+50.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 51 points more Democratic.
34,235 registered voters · 2024
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+158 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,608 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,966 in average income, against $67,014 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.2 on average — 5.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Hopkins County, KY itself (R+50.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Webster County, KY110R+57.3
- Christian County, KY55R+33.6
- Muhlenberg County, KY44R+54.4
- Caldwell County, KY35R+58.2
- Henderson County, KY34R+29.2
- Vanderburgh County, IN22R+12.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Webster County, KY86
- Henderson County, KY46
- Christian County, KY44
- Muhlenberg County, KY43
- Vanderburgh County, IN38
- Caldwell County, KY35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −56 |
| 2012 | −202 |
| 2013 | −120 |
| 2014 | −240 |
| 2015 | −73 |
| 2016 | −393 |
| 2017 | −191 |
| 2018 | −255 |
| 2019 | −325 |
| 2021 | −95 |
| 2022 | −40 |
| 2023 | +81 |
| 2024 | +143 |
| 2025 | +158 |
Hopkins County sits in western Kentucky's former coal belt, and its presidential margins have widened steadily over the past two decades as the region's energy-sector identity increasingly aligns with Republican voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.9 points.
A population of 45,119, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,815 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ohio County and Wayne County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Ohio County
Kentucky
87.8twin score
2012–2016 trajectoryelasticity% Evangelical
Wayne County
Illinois
85.3twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity% Catholic≠ 2000 margin
Butler County
Kentucky
82.5twin score
2012–2016 trajectory% Catholicmedian income≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hopkins County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Hopkins County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hopkins County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hopkins County, Kentucky voted Republican by 50.9 points (R+50.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,537 votes cast, 4,916 went Democratic and 15,361 went Republican.
When did Hopkins County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hopkins County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hopkins County, Kentucky?
Hopkins County, Kentucky has a population of 45,119 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hopkins County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Hopkins County, Kentucky is $56,815 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Hopkins County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hopkins County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.