HarrisDemocratic14.0%1,155TrumpRepublican84.8%7,019KennedyIndependent1.1%93
R+70.9- Lead
- 5,864
- Total
- 8,275
- vs nation
- R+69.4
- Turnout
- 68.6%
Akashiccounty
Wayne County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.6% of 12,122 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic14.0%1,187TrumpRepublican84.4%7,176JorgensenLibertarian1.1%90
R+70.5- Lead
- 5,989
- Total
- 8,499
- vs nation
- R+74.9
- Turnout
- 68.0%
ClintonDemocratic12.6%1,048TrumpRepublican83.9%6,967JohnsonLibertarian2.3%191
R+71.3- Lead
- 5,919
- Total
- 8,301
- vs nation
- R+73.4
- Turnout
- 65.2%
ObamaDemocratic19.7%1,514RomneyRepublican77.8%5,988JOHNSONLibertarian1.9%143
R+58.1- Lead
- 4,474
- Total
- 7,697
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic31.6%2,547McCainRepublican66.8%5,390OtherAll other candidates1.7%134
R+35.2- Lead
- 2,843
- Total
- 8,071
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic25.8%2,139BushRepublican73.6%6,102OtherAll other candidates0.6%46
R+47.8- Lead
- 3,963
- Total
- 8,287
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic28.7%2,209BushRepublican69.5%5,347NaderGreen1.0%77
R+40.8- Lead
- 3,138
- Total
- 7,693
- vs nation
- R+41.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.5%3,054DoleRepublican49.5%4,029PerotReform12.3%999
R+12.0- Lead
- 975
- Total
- 8,140
- vs nation
- R+20.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+70.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,9732024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,5212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Edwards County, IL · twin score 94.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.6%8,316 participants ÷ 12,122 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.2%–57.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,301 | 12,734 | 65.2% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,079 | 12,682 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,538 | 12,552 | 68.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,942 | 12,303 | 56.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,316 | 12,122 | 68.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
54 precincts · 8,081 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ORELOREL | 91 | 638 | 13 | 742 | 12.3% | 86.0% | R+73.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -JASPER 1JASPER 1 | 69 | 542 | 9 | 620 | 11.1% | 87.4% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -BIG MOUND 1BIG MOUND 1 | 98 | 457 | 14 | 569 | 17.2% | 80.3% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -LAMARD 1LAMARD 1 | 79 | 418 | 12 | 509 | 15.5% | 82.1% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -BEDFORDBEDFORD | 54 | 442 | 5 | 501 | 10.8% | 88.2% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -GROVERGROVER | 76 | 397 | 11 | 484 | 15.7% | 82.0% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD 2FAIRFIELD 2 | 72 | 302 | 11 | 385 | 18.7% | 78.4% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -BARNHILLBARNHILL | 52 | 326 | 6 | 384 | 13.5% | 84.9% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -JASPER 2JASPER 2 | 74 | 277 | 3 | 354 | 20.9% | 78.2% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -INDIAN PRAIRIEINDIAN PRAIRIE | 37 | 314 | 2 | 353 | 10.5% | 89.0% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -MERRIAMMERRIAM | 41 | 268 | 11 | 320 | 12.8% | 83.8% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -RIDERRIDER | 67 | 236 | 8 | 311 | 21.5% | 75.9% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -FOUR MILEFOUR MILE | 39 | 266 | 2 | 307 | 12.7% | 86.6% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -BIG MOUND 2BIG MOUND 2 | 49 | 213 | 12 | 274 | 17.9% | 77.7% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD 1FAIRFIELD 1 | 45 | 195 | 3 | 243 | 18.5% | 80.2% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -ORCHARDORCHARD | 22 | 207 | 0 | 229 | 9.6% | 90.4% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -HICKORY HILLHICKORY HILL | 23 | 184 | 3 | 210 | 11.0% | 87.6% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -MT. ERIEMT. ERIE | 14 | 189 | 3 | 206 | 6.8% | 91.7% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -BERRYBERRY | 14 | 180 | 1 | 195 | 7.2% | 92.3% | R+85.1 |
| Precinct -KEITHKEITH | 23 | 158 | 2 | 183 | 12.6% | 86.3% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -ARRINGTONARRINGTON | 16 | 152 | 5 | 173 | 9.2% | 87.9% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -LAMARD 2LAMARD 2 | 34 | 131 | 1 | 166 | 20.5% | 78.9% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -ELM RIVERELM RIVER | 21 | 132 | 1 | 154 | 13.6% | 85.7% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -MASSILONMASSILON | 15 | 60 | 1 | 76 | 19.7% | 78.9% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -GARDEN HILLGARDEN HILL | 7 | 60 | 4 | 71 | 9.9% | 84.5% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -ZIFZIF | 6 | 55 | 1 | 62 | 9.7% | 88.7% | R+79.0 |
| ARRINGTON TWP Voting District17_1719100101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BARNHILL TWP Voting District17_1719100201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEDFORD TWP Voting District17_1719100301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BERRY TWP Voting District17_1719100401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BIG MOUND 1 Voting District17_1719100501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BIG MOUND 2 Voting District17_1719100502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELM RIVER TWP Voting District17_1719100601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOUR MILE TWP Voting District17_1719100701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GARDEN HILL TWP Voting District17_1719100801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GOLDEN GATE Voting District17_1719101501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GROVER TWP Voting District17_1719100901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GROVER TWP/FAIRFIELD 1 Voting District17_1719100903 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GROVER TWP/FAIRFIELD 2 Voting District17_1719100904 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GROVER TWP/MERRIAM PCT17_1719100905 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GROVER TWP/RIDER PCT17_1719100902 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HICKORY HILL TWP Voting District17_1719101001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN PRAIRIE TWP Voting District17_1719101101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JASPER TWP 1 Voting District17_1719101201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JASPER TWP 2 Voting District17_1719101202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEITH TWP Voting District17_1719101301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMARD TWP 1 Voting District17_1719101401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMARD TWP 2 Voting District17_1719101402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASSILON TWP Voting District17_1719101601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT ERIE Voting District17_1719101701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORCHARD TWP Voting District17_1719101801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREL TWP Voting District17_1719101901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -GOLDEN GATEGOLDEN GATE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ZIF TWP Voting District17_1719102001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +0.4% |
| 1896 | +3.2% |
| 1900 | −0.9% |
| 1904 | −11.3% |
| 1908 | −2.6% |
| 1912 | +14.1% |
| 1916 | −4.3% |
| 1920 | −21.8% |
| 1924 | −7.4% |
| 1928 | −24.9% |
| 1932 | +14.4% |
| 1936 | +2.0% |
| 1940 | −8.1% |
| 1944 | −17.0% |
| 1948 | −10.0% |
| 1952 | −24.8% |
| 1956 | −22.9% |
| 1960 | −25.4% |
| 1964 | +4.6% |
| 1968 | −27.3% |
| 1972 | −39.6% |
| 1976 | −9.5% |
| 1980 | −28.8% |
| 1984 | −41.1% |
| 1988 | −27.1% |
| 1992 | −5.4% |
| 1996 | −12.0% |
| 2000 | −40.8% |
| 2004 | −47.8% |
| 2008 | −35.2% |
| 2012 | −58.1% |
| 2016 | −71.3% |
| 2020 | −70.5% |
| 2024 | −70.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,532 |
| 2018 | 12,500 |
| 2020 | 12,420 |
| 2022 | 10,674 |
| 2024 | 11,285 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−4 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −667 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,937 in average income, against $67,452 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.2 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Wayne County, IL itself (R+70.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clay County, IL46R+67.3
- Jefferson County, IL33R+47.7
- White County, IL21R+59.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clay County, IL29
- Jefferson County, IL27
- White County, IL26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | −3 |
| 2013 | +6 |
| 2014 | −48 |
| 2015 | −53 |
| 2016 | −23 |
| 2017 | −119 |
| 2018 | −98 |
| 2019 | −90 |
| 2021 | −103 |
| 2022 | −55 |
| 2023 | −26 |
| 2024 | +26 |
| 2025 | −4 |
Wayne County in southeastern Illinois delivered a 70-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the rural, small-town character common to the Little Egypt region, where agricultural economies and sparse population density correlate with some of the state's most lopsided partisan results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 71.3 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 70.9 points.
A population of 15,973, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,521 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Edwards County and Wells County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Edwards County
Illinois
94.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ English ancestry
Wells County
Indiana
91.4twin score
elasticity2000–2012 trajectory
Wright County
Missouri
91.3twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wayne County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17191/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wayne County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Wayne County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wayne County, Illinois voted Republican by 70.9 points (R+70.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,275 votes cast, 1,155 went Democratic and 7,019 went Republican.
When did Wayne County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wayne County, Illinois?
Wayne County, Illinois has a population of 15,973 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wayne County, Illinois?
Median household income in Wayne County, Illinois is $55,521 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Wayne County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.