- Lead
- 2,337
- Total
- 3,289
- vs nation
- R+69.6
- Turnout
- 70.2%
Edwards County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.2% of 4,712 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,345
- Total
- 3,368
- vs nation
- R+74.1
- Turnout
- 68.1%
- Lead
- 2,344
- Total
- 3,324
- vs nation
- R+72.6
- Turnout
- 80.0%
- Lead
- 1,651
- Total
- 3,228
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 997
- Total
- 3,350
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,482
- Total
- 3,364
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,234
- Total
- 3,260
- vs nation
- R+38.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 524
- Total
- 3,103
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+71.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,0752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,5192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wayne County, IL · twin score 94.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.2%3,310 participants ÷ 4,712 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.2 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -13.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.3%–62.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,065 | 5,082 | 80.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,906 | 4,985 | 58.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,368 | 4,948 | 68.1% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,840 | 4,741 | 59.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,310 | 4,712 | 70.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 1,088 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FRENCH CREEKFRENCH CREEK | 45 | 369 | 10 | 424 | 10.6% | 87.0% | R+76.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BONE GAPBONE GAP | 21 | 226 | 2 | 249 | 8.4% | 90.8% | R+82.3 |
| Precinct -BROWNSBROWNS | 25 | 158 | 2 | 185 | 13.5% | 85.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -DIXONDIXON | 18 | 132 | 2 | 152 | 11.8% | 86.8% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -ELLERYELLERY | 13 | 65 | 0 | 78 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| ALBION 1 Voting District17_1704700101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALBION 2 Voting District17_1704700102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALBION 3 Voting District17_1704700103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BONE GAP Voting District17_1704700401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROWNS Voting District17_1704700501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DIXON Voting District17_1704700701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLERY Voting District17_1704700801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRENCH CREEK Voting District17_1704700601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -ALBION IALBION I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -ALBION IIALBION II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -ALBION IIIALBION III | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -SALEM ISALEM I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -SALEM IISALEM II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -SHELBY ISHELBY I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -SHELBY IISHELBY II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM 1 Voting District17_1704700201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM 2 Voting District17_1704700202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHELBY 1 Voting District17_1704700301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHELBY 2 Voting District17_1704700302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −31.2% |
| 1896 | −29.3% |
| 1900 | −30.7% |
| 1904 | −42.4% |
| 1908 | −34.6% |
| 1912 | −6.9% |
| 1916 | −33.9% |
| 1920 | −59.6% |
| 1924 | −43.1% |
| 1928 | −49.9% |
| 1932 | −5.9% |
| 1936 | −11.8% |
| 1940 | −30.7% |
| 1944 | −42.8% |
| 1948 | −34.1% |
| 1952 | −50.1% |
| 1956 | −46.8% |
| 1960 | −38.9% |
| 1964 | −6.4% |
| 1968 | −37.2% |
| 1972 | −48.1% |
| 1976 | −18.0% |
| 1980 | −40.4% |
| 1984 | −44.8% |
| 1988 | −28.8% |
| 1992 | −8.5% |
| 1996 | −16.9% |
| 2000 | −37.9% |
| 2004 | −44.1% |
| 2008 | −29.8% |
| 2012 | −51.1% |
| 2016 | −70.5% |
| 2020 | −69.6% |
| 2024 | −71.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 4,401 |
| 2018 | 4,429 |
| 2020 | 4,433 |
| 2022 | 4,243 |
| 2024 | 4,375 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−66 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −576 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,313 in average income, against $69,842 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+53.4 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Edwards County, IL itself (R+71.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richland County, IL25R+53.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wabash County, IL29
- White County, IL25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | +48 |
| 2013 | −28 |
| 2014 | −69 |
| 2015 | −111 |
| 2016 | +12 |
| 2017 | −71 |
| 2018 | −86 |
| 2019 | −7 |
| 2021 | −89 |
| 2022 | +17 |
| 2023 | −34 |
| 2024 | −15 |
| 2025 | −66 |
With under 7,000 residents scattered across its rural townships, Edwards County has delivered lopsided Republican presidential margins for decades, sitting among the most one-sided counties in a state whose statewide results typically trend the opposite direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 71.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.1 points.
A population of 6,075, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,519 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Harrison County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Edwards County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.