Illinois 12th Congressional District, Illinois: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+34 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 868,1132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,4482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: ENYART, Bill (2013–2015), COSTELLO, Jerry Francis (2011–2013), COSTELLO, Jerry Francis (2009–2011), COSTELLO, Jerry Francis (2007–2009)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 135,541 | 280,564 | 423,223 | ||
| R | 144,061 | 288,392 | 442,135 | ||
| R | 131,463 | 269,658 | 424,160 | ||
| R | 167,402 | 232,690 | 409,468 | ||
| R | 207,580 | 216,428 | 431,398 | ||
| R | 182,526 | 237,615 | 422,992 | ||
| R | 178,283 | 200,441 | 389,138 | ||
| D | 182,519 | 144,870 | 370,696 | ||
| D | 206,074 | 138,836 | 421,713 | ||
| R | 188,566 | 191,973 | 382,447 | ||
| R | 171,395 | 236,366 | 409,556 | ||
| R | 164,140 | 222,827 | 405,510 | ||
| D | 216,019 | 189,533 | 410,673 | ||
| R | 160,386 | 238,783 | 400,858 | ||
| R | 163,258 | 190,518 | 398,050 | ||
| D | 248,020 | 156,779 | 404,799 | ||
| R | 203,025 | 225,489 | 429,117 | ||
| R | 183,448 | 226,955 | 410,907 | ||
| R | 192,119 | 229,645 | 422,582 | ||
| D | 186,021 | 177,037 | 366,160 | ||
| R | 180,511 | 205,751 | 388,691 | ||
| D | 235,650 | 235,522 | 474,180 | ||
| D | 242,107 | 189,729 | 441,161 | ||
| D | 232,615 | 141,798 | 382,070 | ||
| R | 156,248 | 182,941 | 341,841 | ||
| R | 115,980 | 146,932 | 309,526 | ||
| R | 102,655 | 165,569 | 289,450 | ||
| R | 155,091 | 162,354 | 327,886 | ||
| D | 78,001 | 54,700 | 175,772 | ||
| R | 82,150 | 88,801 | 179,401 | ||
| R | 63,583 | 85,045 | 160,183 | ||
| D | 82,017 | 81,847 | 167,365 | ||
| D | 81,844 | 79,257 | 163,089 | ||
| D | 66,937 | 63,026 | 141,584 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | O | 0.0% | 41.5% | 4,098,896 |
| 2020 | D | 54.9% | 38.9% | 5,968,901 |
| 2016 | D | 54.9% | 39.8% | 5,491,878 |
| 2014 | D | 53.5% | 42.7% | 3,603,519 |
| 2010 | R | 46.4% | 48.0% | 3,704,473 |
| 2008 | D | 67.8% | 28.5% | 5,329,884 |
| 2004 | D | 70.0% | 27.0% | 5,141,520 |
| 2002 | D | 60.3% | 38.0% | 3,486,851 |
| 1998 | R | 47.4% | 50.3% | 3,394,521 |
| 1996 | D | 56.1% | 40.7% | 4,250,722 |
| 1992 | D | 53.3% | 43.1% | 4,939,558 |
| 1990 | D | 65.1% | 34.9% | 3,251,005 |
| 1986 | D | 65.1% | 33.7% | 3,122,883 |
| 1984 | D | 50.1% | 48.2% | 4,787,335 |
| 1980 | D | 56.0% | 42.5% | 4,580,029 |
| 1978 | R | 45.5% | 53.3% | 3,184,764 |
Demographics
IL-12 covers a swath of southern and southwestern Illinois where post-industrial river towns and rural counties have moved steadily rightward since the early 2000s, producing a 2024 presidential margin of R+15.4.
The Democratic margin in Illinois 12th Congressional District peaked at twenty-four points in 1932. By 2000 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,448 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 12, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1712/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.