HarrisDemocratic22.9%2,048TrumpRepublican75.3%6,727KennedyIndependent1.7%152
R+52.4- Lead
- 4,679
- Total
- 8,935
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- 61.4%
Akashiccounty
Crawford County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.4% of 14,710 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic23.3%2,202TrumpRepublican74.6%7,043JorgensenLibertarian1.3%119
R+51.3- Lead
- 4,841
- Total
- 9,441
- vs nation
- R+55.7
- Turnout
- 63.0%
ClintonDemocratic22.8%1,992TrumpRepublican71.8%6,277JohnsonLibertarian3.7%324
R+49.0- Lead
- 4,285
- Total
- 8,739
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Turnout
- 56.5%
ObamaDemocratic33.1%2,858RomneyRepublican64.7%5,585JOHNSONLibertarian1.3%112
R+31.6- Lead
- 2,727
- Total
- 8,633
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic42.5%3,883McCainRepublican55.5%5,070OtherAll other candidates1.9%176
R+13.0- Lead
- 1,187
- Total
- 9,129
- vs nation
- R+20.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.2%3,194BushRepublican65.2%6,083OtherAll other candidates0.6%55
R+31.0- Lead
- 2,889
- Total
- 9,332
- vs nation
- R+28.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.2%3,333BushRepublican58.5%4,974NaderGreen1.4%118
R+19.3- Lead
- 1,641
- Total
- 8,500
- vs nation
- R+19.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.7%3,627DoleRepublican45.6%3,965PerotReform12.2%1,057
R+3.9- Lead
- 338
- Total
- 8,693
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,5112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,6742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clay County, IN · twin score 97.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.4%9,027 participants ÷ 14,710 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.2%–48.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,739 | 15,454 | 56.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,054 | 15,135 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,498 | 15,087 | 63.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,111 | 14,888 | 47.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,027 | 14,710 | 61.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
48 precincts · 9,023 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ROBINSON 3ROBINSON 3 | 212 | 537 | 26 | 775 | 27.4% | 69.3% | R+41.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ROBINSON 1ROBINSON 1 | 180 | 526 | 17 | 723 | 24.9% | 72.8% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 6ROBINSON 6 | 155 | 482 | 27 | 664 | 23.3% | 72.6% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -OBLONG 2OBLONG 2 | 122 | 472 | 19 | 613 | 19.9% | 77.0% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -LAMOTTE 1LAMOTTE 1 | 140 | 442 | 20 | 602 | 23.3% | 73.4% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -OBLONG 1OBLONG 1 | 85 | 395 | 12 | 492 | 17.3% | 80.3% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 8ROBINSON 8 | 105 | 333 | 11 | 449 | 23.4% | 74.2% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -HUTSONVILLE 1HUTSONVILLE 1 | 111 | 317 | 16 | 444 | 25.0% | 71.4% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -HONEY 2HONEY 2 | 59 | 351 | 10 | 420 | 14.0% | 83.6% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 9ROBINSON 9 | 106 | 257 | 9 | 372 | 28.5% | 69.1% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -HONEY 1HONEY 1 | 74 | 283 | 7 | 364 | 20.3% | 77.7% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -MONTGOMERYMONTGOMERY | 73 | 288 | 2 | 363 | 20.1% | 79.3% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -LAMOTTE 2LAMOTTE 2 | 88 | 261 | 11 | 360 | 24.4% | 72.5% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 2ROBINSON 2 | 97 | 237 | 4 | 338 | 28.7% | 70.1% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -MARTINMARTIN | 25 | 273 | 12 | 310 | 8.1% | 88.1% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 4ROBINSON 4 | 94 | 182 | 10 | 286 | 32.9% | 63.6% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -OBLONG 3OBLONG 3 | 45 | 221 | 7 | 273 | 16.5% | 81.0% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 5ROBINSON 5 | 79 | 176 | 8 | 263 | 30.0% | 66.9% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -ROBINSON 7ROBINSON 7 | 96 | 159 | 8 | 263 | 36.5% | 60.5% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -LICKINGLICKING | 21 | 151 | 0 | 172 | 12.2% | 87.8% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIE 1PRAIRIE 1 | 22 | 131 | 6 | 159 | 13.8% | 82.4% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIE 2PRAIRIE 2 | 35 | 117 | 4 | 156 | 22.4% | 75.0% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -HUTSONVILLE 2HUTSONVILLE 2 | 16 | 92 | 0 | 108 | 14.8% | 85.2% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -SOUTHWESTSOUTHWEST | 8 | 44 | 2 | 54 | 14.8% | 81.5% | R+66.7 |
| HONEY CREEK 1 Voting District17_17033HCR1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONEY CREEK 2 Voting District17_17033HCR2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUTSONVILLE 1 Voting District17_17033HUT1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUTSONVILLE 2 Voting District17_17033HUT2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMOTTE 1 Voting District17_17033LAM1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMOTTE 2 Voting District17_17033LAM2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LICKING 1 Voting District17_17033LIC1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARTIN 1 Voting District17_17033MAR1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTGOMERY 1 Voting District17_17033MON1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OBLONG 1 Voting District17_17033OBL1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OBLONG 2 Voting District17_17033OBL2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OBLONG 3 Voting District17_17033OBL3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIE 1 Voting District17_17033PRA1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIE 2 Voting District17_17033PRA2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 1 Voting District17_17033ROB1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 2 Voting District17_17033ROB2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 3 Voting District17_17033ROB3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 4 Voting District17_17033ROB4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 5 Voting District17_17033ROB5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 6 Voting District17_17033ROB6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 7 Voting District17_17033ROB7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 8 Voting District17_17033ROB8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROBINSON 9 Voting District17_17033ROB9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTHWEST Voting District17_17033SWT1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +2.2% |
| 1896 | +3.7% |
| 1900 | −0.0% |
| 1904 | −10.1% |
| 1908 | −3.2% |
| 1912 | +25.1% |
| 1916 | +4.4% |
| 1920 | −11.6% |
| 1924 | −6.4% |
| 1928 | −26.2% |
| 1932 | +14.2% |
| 1936 | +2.8% |
| 1940 | −10.4% |
| 1944 | −14.8% |
| 1948 | −10.3% |
| 1952 | −26.3% |
| 1956 | −26.6% |
| 1960 | −23.2% |
| 1964 | +7.6% |
| 1968 | −24.6% |
| 1972 | −30.7% |
| 1976 | −4.8% |
| 1980 | −26.0% |
| 1984 | −33.2% |
| 1988 | −16.3% |
| 1992 | +3.7% |
| 1996 | −3.9% |
| 2000 | −19.3% |
| 2004 | −31.0% |
| 2008 | −13.0% |
| 2012 | −31.6% |
| 2016 | −49.0% |
| 2020 | −51.3% |
| 2024 | −52.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,337 |
| 2018 | 14,104 |
| 2020 | 13,496 |
| 2022 | 12,805 |
| 2024 | 13,019 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+64 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −721 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,564 in average income, against $77,305 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+48.4 on average — 3.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Crawford County, IL itself (R+52.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clark County, IL28R+51.2
- Lawrence County, IL23R+56.2
- Jasper County, IL21R+65.2
- Vigo County, IN20R+18.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lawrence County, IL32
- Jasper County, IL25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −16 |
| 2012 | −210 |
| 2013 | −124 |
| 2014 | −126 |
| 2015 | +13 |
| 2016 | −101 |
| 2017 | −148 |
| 2018 | −121 |
| 2019 | −140 |
| 2021 | −283 |
| 2022 | +237 |
| 2023 | +22 |
| 2024 | +212 |
| 2025 | +64 |
Crawford county, in southeastern Illinois, has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, posting a 52-point margin in 2024 despite a shrinking population base that now sits just above 20,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.4 points.
A population of 18,511, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,674 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Parke County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Clay County
Indiana
97.0twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
Parke County
Indiana
95.7twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
Fountain County
Indiana
95.5twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Crawford County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Crawford County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Crawford County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Crawford County, Illinois voted Republican by 52.4 points (R+52.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,935 votes cast, 2,048 went Democratic and 6,727 went Republican.
When did Crawford County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Crawford County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Crawford County, Illinois?
Crawford County, Illinois has a population of 18,511 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Crawford County, Illinois?
Median household income in Crawford County, Illinois is $71,674 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Crawford County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Crawford County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.