- Lead
- 1,471
- Total
- 2,455
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 47.8%
Brown County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 47.8% of 5,201 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,445
- Total
- 2,525
- vs nation
- R+61.7
- Turnout
- 47.4%
- Lead
- 1,320
- Total
- 2,379
- vs nation
- R+57.6
- Turnout
- 41.8%
- Lead
- 726
- Total
- 2,364
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 558
- Total
- 2,569
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 784
- Total
- 2,585
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 452
- Total
- 2,660
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 56
- Total
- 2,297
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,3222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,9172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pershing County, NV · twin score 78.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 47.8%2,487 participants ÷ 5,201 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- -18.9 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -40.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.0%–66.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,379 | 5,697 | 41.8% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,940 | 5,515 | 35.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,545 | 5,364 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,437 | 5,184 | 66.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,487 | 5,201 | 47.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 2,486 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MT STERLING 1MT STERLING 1 | 121 | 353 | 19 | 493 | 24.5% | 71.6% | R+47.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MT STERLING 2MT STERLING 2 | 50 | 188 | 8 | 246 | 20.3% | 76.4% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -MT STERLING 4MT STERLING 4 | 45 | 170 | 11 | 226 | 19.9% | 75.2% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -MT STERLING 5MT STERLING 5 | 47 | 152 | 5 | 204 | 23.0% | 74.5% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -VERSAILLES 2VERSAILLES 2 | 24 | 172 | 5 | 201 | 11.9% | 85.6% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -COOPERSTOWNCOOPERSTOWN | 26 | 164 | 5 | 195 | 13.3% | 84.1% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -ELKHORNELKHORN | 34 | 151 | 5 | 190 | 17.9% | 79.5% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -VERSAILLES 1VERSAILLES 1 | 29 | 126 | 7 | 162 | 17.9% | 77.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -LEELEE | 27 | 124 | 5 | 156 | 17.3% | 79.5% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -MT STERLING 3MT STERLING 3 | 19 | 97 | 4 | 120 | 15.8% | 80.8% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -PEA RIDGEPEA RIDGE | 13 | 94 | 5 | 112 | 11.6% | 83.9% | R+72.3 |
| Precinct -MISSOURIMISSOURI | 20 | 65 | 2 | 87 | 23.0% | 74.7% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -BUCKHORNBUCKHORN | 5 | 49 | 0 | 54 | 9.3% | 90.7% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -RIPLEYRIPLEY | 7 | 33 | 0 | 40 | 17.5% | 82.5% | R+65.0 |
| BUCKHORN Voting District17_1700900101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COOPERSTOWN Voting District17_1700900201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELKHORN Voting District17_1700900301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEE Voting District17_1700900401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MISSOURI Voting District17_1700900501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT STERLING 1 Voting District17_1700900601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT STERLING 2 Voting District17_1700900602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT STERLING 3 Voting District17_1700900603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT STERLING 4 Voting District17_1700900604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT STERLING 5 Voting District17_1700900605 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PEA RIDGE Voting District17_1700900701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIPLEY Voting District17_1700900801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERSAILLES 1 Voting District17_1700900901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERSAILLES 2 Voting District17_1700900902 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +24.2% |
| 1896 | +33.3% |
| 1900 | +32.6% |
| 1904 | +16.6% |
| 1908 | +25.0% |
| 1912 | +42.3% |
| 1916 | +27.9% |
| 1920 | +7.8% |
| 1924 | +13.0% |
| 1928 | −10.1% |
| 1932 | +41.9% |
| 1936 | +28.2% |
| 1940 | +8.1% |
| 1944 | +3.1% |
| 1948 | +7.2% |
| 1952 | −15.7% |
| 1956 | −7.4% |
| 1960 | −1.1% |
| 1964 | +21.2% |
| 1968 | −11.5% |
| 1972 | −19.1% |
| 1976 | +0.5% |
| 1980 | −26.4% |
| 1984 | −21.2% |
| 1988 | −4.0% |
| 1992 | +4.4% |
| 1996 | −2.4% |
| 2000 | −17.0% |
| 2004 | −30.3% |
| 2008 | −21.7% |
| 2012 | −30.7% |
| 2016 | −55.5% |
| 2020 | −57.2% |
| 2024 | −59.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,769 |
| 2018 | 3,509 |
| 2020 | 3,574 |
| 2022 | 3,437 |
| 2024 | 3,274 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−27 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −164 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,110 in average income, against $74,202 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Adams County, IL32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −27 |
| 2012 | −11 |
| 2013 | −32 |
| 2014 | −15 |
| 2015 | −94 |
| 2016 | −139 |
| 2017 | −25 |
| 2018 | −54 |
| 2019 | +10 |
| 2021 | +232 |
| 2022 | +13 |
| 2023 | +44 |
| 2024 | −39 |
| 2025 | −27 |
Brown County's rural, sparsely populated landscape has produced some of the widest presidential margins in the state, with fewer than 7,000 residents concentrated in small towns and farmland along the Illinois River bluffs.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 59.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.9 points.
A population of 6,322, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,917 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pershing County and Gilmer County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Brown County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.