Akashic

county

Hardin County, IL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German23.7%16.1%12.5%

English19.4%6.9%9.5%

Irish12.5%10.6%9.4%

American6.3%3.3%5.3%

Scotch-Irish3.2%——

Scottish2.3%—1.3%

Dutch2.0%——

Polish1.1%6.0%2.2%

African American†1.2%12.1%9.9%

African0.2%0.5%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Hardin County	Illinois	United States
Median age	53.6	39.1	39.1
Age 18–24	4.8%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	29.8%	16.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Hardin County	Illinois	United States
Median household income	$54,271	$83,390	$84,427
Poverty rate	11.0%	11.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	13.3%	37.9%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Hardin County	Illinois	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	0.3%	24.1%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Hardin County	Illinois	United States
Catholic	6.9%	24.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	30.8%	11.7%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	61.5%	49.2%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 63.6% of 3,072 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic18.5%357TrumpRepublican80.3%1,546KennedyIndependent1.1%22

R+61.7

Lead: 1,189
Total: 1,926
vs nation: R+60.3
Turnout: 63.6%

BidenDemocratic20.8%449TrumpRepublican78.2%1,691JorgensenLibertarian0.6%14

R+57.4

Lead: 1,242
Total: 2,162
vs nation: R+61.9
Turnout: 76.9%

ClintonDemocratic19.6%420TrumpRepublican77.0%1,653JohnsonLibertarian2.1%46

R+57.4

Lead: 1,233
Total: 2,148
vs nation: R+59.5
Turnout: 62.7%

ObamaDemocratic31.8%742RomneyRepublican65.9%1,535JOHNSONLibertarian1.3%31

R+34.0

Lead: 793
Total: 2,330
vs nation: R+37.9
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic39.6%892McCainRepublican59.0%1,330OtherAll other candidates1.5%33

R+19.4

Lead: 438
Total: 2,255
vs nation: R+26.7
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic37.9%923BushRepublican61.6%1,501OtherAll other candidates0.5%13

R+23.7

Lead: 578
Total: 2,437
vs nation: R+21.3
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.9%1,184BushRepublican51.8%1,366NaderGreen1.6%41

R+6.9

Lead: 182
Total: 2,637
vs nation: R+7.4
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic50.6%1,323DoleRepublican30.2%790PerotReform18.5%485

D+20.4

Lead: 533
Total: 2,617
vs nation: D+11.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 3,6052024 5-year
Median household income: $54,2712024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 95.7%2024 5-year
Black: 1.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 0.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21.4 in 1992MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Benton County, MO · twin score 90.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 63.6%1,954 participants ÷ 3,072 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +22.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 41.5%–48.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	2,148	3,427	62.7%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	1,788	3,302	54.1%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	2,560	3,329	76.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	1,727	3,149	54.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	1,954	3,072	63.6%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

12 precincts · 1,501 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Hardin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -MONROEMONROE	62	288	10	360	17.2%	80.0%	R+62.8
Precinct -CAVE IN ROCKCAVE IN ROCK	54	280	5	339	15.9%	82.6%	R+66.7
Precinct -MCFARLANMCFARLAN	53	265	7	325	16.3%	81.5%	R+65.2
Precinct -STONE CHURCHSTONE CHURCH	59	224	5	288	20.5%	77.8%	R+57.3
Precinct -ROCKROCK	42	139	8	189	22.2%	73.5%	R+51.3
CAVE-IN-ROCK 7 Voting District17_1706900701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MCFARLAN 6 Voting District17_1706900601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MONROE 2 Voting District17_1706900201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -WEST ROSICLAREWEST ROSICLARE	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCK 1 Voting District17_1706900101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STONE CHURCH 5 Voting District17_1706900501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
W ROSICLARE 3 Voting District17_1706900301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+2.6%
1896	+7.1%
1900	+5.3%
1904	−7.4%
1908	−8.6%
1912	−3.0%
1916	−5.6%
1920	−24.2%
1924	−0.7%
1928	−30.2%
1932	+1.6%
1936	−0.6%
1940	−8.3%
1944	−19.4%
1948	−11.5%
1952	−11.8%
1956	−14.1%
1960	−14.0%
1964	+10.6%
1968	−10.2%
1972	−25.3%
1976	+6.9%
1980	−13.1%
1984	−16.7%
1988	−6.9%
1992	+21.4%
1996	+20.4%
2000	−6.9%
2004	−23.7%
2008	−19.4%
2012	−34.0%
2016	−57.4%
2020	−57.4%
2024	−61.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	18.5%Harris357	80.3%Trump1,546	1.1%Kennedy22	R+61.7	R+4.3	R+60.3	1,926
2020	R	20.8%Biden449	78.2%Trump1,691	0.6%Jorgensen14	R+57.4	±0.0	R+61.9	2,162
2016	R	19.6%Clinton420	77.0%Trump1,653	2.1%Johnson46	R+57.4	R+23.4	R+59.5	2,148
2012	R	31.8%Obama742	65.9%Romney1,535	1.3%JOHNSON31	R+34.0	R+14.6	R+37.9	2,330
2008	R	39.6%Obama892	59.0%McCain1,330	1.5%	R+19.4	D+4.3	R+26.7	2,255
2004	R	37.9%Kerry923	61.6%Bush1,501	0.5%	R+23.7	R+16.8	R+21.3	2,437
2000	R	44.9%Gore1,184	51.8%Bush1,366	1.6%Nader41	R+6.9	R+27.3	R+7.4	2,637
1996	D	50.6%Clinton1,323	30.2%Dole790	18.5%Perot485	D+20.4	R+1.1	D+11.8	2,617
1992	D	52.5%Clinton1,665	31.0%Bush985	16.2%Perot515	D+21.4	D+28.4	D+15.9	3,173
1988	R	46.3%Dukakis1,308	53.3%Bush1,504	0.4%	R+6.9	D+9.8	D+0.8	2,824
1984	R	41.6%Mondale1,205	58.3%Reagan1,689	0.2%	R+16.7	R+3.6	D+1.5	2,899
1980	R	42.2%Carter1,314	55.3%Reagan1,721	2.5%	R+13.1	R+20.0	R+3.3	3,114
1976	D	53.1%Carter1,602	46.2%Ford1,393	0.7%	D+6.9	D+32.2	D+4.9	3,017
1972	R	37.2%McGovern1,140	62.5%Nixon1,915	0.2%	R+25.3	R+15.1	R+2.2	3,062
1968	R	41.6%Humphrey1,199	51.8%Nixon1,492	6.7%	R+10.2	R+20.8	R+9.5	2,883
1964	D	55.3%Johnson1,639	44.7%Goldwater1,324	0.0%	D+10.6	D+24.7	R+12.0	2,963
1960	R	42.9%Kennedy1,465	57.0%Nixon1,944	0.1%	R+14.0	D+0.1	R+14.2	3,413
1956	R	42.8%Stevenson1,444	56.9%Eisenhower1,919	0.2%	R+14.1	R+2.2	D+1.3	3,371
1952	R	44.0%Stevenson1,563	55.8%Eisenhower1,984	0.2%	R+11.8	R+0.3	R+1.1	3,553
1948	R	44.0%Truman1,358	55.5%Dewey1,713	0.5%	R+11.5	D+7.9	R+16.0	3,087
1944	R	39.8%Roosevelt1,370	59.2%Dewey2,037	0.9%	R+19.4	R+11.1	R+26.9	3,438
1940	R	45.6%Roosevelt1,974	53.8%Willkie2,333	0.6%	R+8.3	R+7.7	R+18.2	4,333
1936	R	49.5%Roosevelt1,984	50.1%Landon2,008	0.5%	R+0.6	R+2.2	R+24.9	4,011
1932	D	50.0%Roosevelt1,610	48.4%Hoover1,559	1.7%	D+1.6	D+31.8	R+16.2	3,223
1928	R	34.2%Smith933	64.3%Hoover1,758	1.5%	R+30.2	R+29.5	R+12.7	2,732
1924	R	48.3%Davis1,358	49.1%Coolidge1,378	2.5%La Follette70	R+0.7	D+23.5	D+24.5	2,809
1920	R	37.3%Cox943	61.5%Harding1,555	1.1%	R+24.2	R+18.6	D+2.0	2,527
1916	R	46.0%Wilson1,264	51.7%Hughes1,419	2.3%	R+5.6	R+2.7	R+8.8	2,746
1912	R	40.6%Wilson644	43.6%Taft691	15.8%	R+3.0	D+5.6	R+22.5	1,585
1908	R	43.9%Bryan680	52.5%Taft813	3.6%	R+8.6	R+1.2	D+1.0	1,548
1904	R	41.7%Parker642	49.1%Roosevelt756	9.2%	R+7.4	R+12.7	D+12.3	1,540
1900	D	51.6%Bryan839	46.3%McKinley753	2.1%	D+5.3	R+1.8	D+12.8	1,626
1896	D	53.3%Bryan900	46.2%McKinley780	0.6%	D+7.1	D+4.5	D+13.2	1,690
1892	D	45.7%Cleveland700	43.1%Harrison660	11.2%	D+2.6	—	D+1.0	1,531
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	18.4%342	81.6%1,520	1,862
2020	R	23.1%473	76.9%1,571	2,044
2018	R	35.8%63	64.2%113	176

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	24.4%402	73.9%1,220	1,650
2020Class II	R	28.5%Dick Durbin591	69.0%Mark Curran1,431	2,073
2016Class III	R	41.8%Tammy Duckworth865	55.0%Mark Kirk1,137	2,069
2014Class II	R	40.2%Dick Durbin581	56.0%Jim Oberweis811	1,447
2010Class III	R	36.3%Alex Giannoulias719	57.2%Mark Kirk1,133	1,981
2008Class II	D	56.8%Dick Durbin1,212	37.8%Steve Sauerberg807	2,135
2004Class III	D	53.8%Barack Obama1,253	42.5%Alan Keyes991	2,330
2002Class II	D	58.1%Dick Durbin1,269	40.4%Jim Durkin883	2,184
1998Class III	R	45.6%Carol Moseley-Braun1,120	51.9%Peter Fitzgerald1,274	2,456
1996Class II	D	55.0%Dick Durbin1,368	39.9%Al Salvi993	2,489
1992Class III	D	55.1%Carol Moseley-Braun1,616	42.0%Richard Williamson1,232	2,933
1990Class II	D	75.8%Paul Simon2,003	24.2%Lynn Martin641	2,644
1986Class III	D	62.0%Alan J. Dixon1,562	36.3%Judy Koehler915	2,518
1984Class II	D	56.7%Paul Simon1,668	42.4%Charles H. Percy1,248	2,941
1980Class III	D	55.1%Alan J. Dixon1,628	44.5%David C. O'Neal1,313	2,952
1978Class II	D	52.9%Alex Seith1,366	46.8%Charles H. Percy1,208	2,582
1974Class III	D	54.3%Adlai Stevenson III1,499	45.4%George M. Burditt1,255	2,762
1972Class II	R	41.0%Roman Pucinski1,222	58.8%Charles H. Percy1,752	2,978
1968Class III	R	44.6%William G. Clark1,231	55.2%Everett Dirksen1,525	2,762
1966Class II	R	46.5%Paul H. Douglas1,290	53.5%Charles H. Percy1,487	2,777
1962Class III	R	47.1%Sidney R. Yates1,443	52.9%Everett Dirksen1,619	3,062
1960Class II	R	48.0%Paul H. Douglas1,614	51.9%Samuel W. Witwer1,746	3,362
1956Class III	R	44.8%Richard Stengel1,470	54.9%Everett Dirksen1,802	3,280
1954Class II	R	49.2%Paul H. Douglas1,530	50.8%Joseph T. Meek1,578	3,108
1950Class III	D	49.9%Scott W. Lucas1,650	49.5%Everett Dirksen1,635	3,304
1948Class II	R	45.1%Paul H. Douglas1,366	54.5%C. Wayland Brooks1,650	3,028
1944Class III	R	40.9%Scott W. Lucas1,397	58.4%Richard J. Lyons1,993	3,413
1942Class II	R	39.3%Raymond McKeough1,221	59.9%C. Wayland Brooks1,859	3,105
1938Class III	D	51.3%Scott W. Lucas2,038	48.2%Richard J. Lyons1,917	3,975
1936Class II	R	49.5%James H. Lewis1,948	50.1%Otis F. Glenn1,972	3,936
1932Class III	D	49.7%William H. Dieterich1,594	49.0%Otis F. Glenn1,573	3,209
1930Class II	D	52.6%James H. Lewis1,401	45.8%Ruth H. McCormick1,222	2,666
1926Class III	R	43.3%George E. Brennan950	55.3%Frank L. Smith1,214	2,194
1924Class II	R	48.9%Albert A. Sprague1,366	50.3%Charles S. Deneen1,406	2,793
1920Class III	R	37.4%Peter A. Waller945	61.4%William B. McKinley1,550	2,524
1918Class II	R	43.5%James H. Lewis570	55.1%Medill McCormick722	1,310
1914Class III	R	39.0%Roger C. Sullivan635	53.7%Lawrence Y. Sherman875	1,629

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1970Special · Class III	R	45.9%Adlai Stevenson III1,146	53.9%Ralph T. Smith1,346	2,496
1940Special · Class II	R	45.7%James M. Slattery1,937	53.7%C. Wayland Brooks2,274	4,235
1928Special · Class III	R	35.2%Anton J. Cermak892	64.0%Otis F. Glenn1,623	2,534

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	16.9%Jb Pritzker284	79.6%Darren Bailey1,339	1,683
2018	R	34.4%Jb Pritzker558	51.5%Bruce Rauner835	1,622
2014	R	29.2%Pat Quinn419	64.3%Bruce Rauner922	1,434
2010	R	32.3%Pat Quinn680	61.9%Bill Brady1,303	2,104
2006	D	59.3%Rod Blagojevich1,280	33.7%Judy Baar Topinka727	2,157
2002	D	53.6%Rod Blagojevich1,249	44.6%Jim Ryan1,039	2,330
1998	D	72.0%Glenn Poshard1,940	27.5%George Ryan740	2,695
1994	R	26.5%Dawn Clark Netsch680	71.7%Jim Edgar1,839	2,564
1990	D	59.5%Neil Hartigan1,592	39.9%Jim Edgar1,066	2,675
1986	R	6.8%''No nominee''178	48.9%Jim Thompson1,276	2,612
1982	R	49.1%Adlai Stevenson III1,315	50.1%Jim Thompson1,343	2,680
1978	R	48.5%Michael Bakalis1,295	51.4%Jim Thompson1,372	2,671
1976	R	41.0%Michael Howlett1,222	58.7%Jim Thompson1,748	2,977

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Hardin County, IL
Year	Total registered
2016	3,148
2018	3,419
2020	3,079
2022	3,066
2024	3,022

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+2 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −105 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $32,696 in average income, against $62,078 for residents who stayed — 47% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Saline County, IL26

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Hardin County, IL in Hardin County, IL: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−7
2012	−1
2013	−70
2014	+7
2015	−39
2016	−45
2017	−27
2018	+7
2019	−38
2021	+54
2022	−6
2023	+55
2024	+3
2025	+2

Hardin County sits at the southeastern tip of Illinois along the Ohio River, where a sparse, rural population has produced some of the state's widest Republican presidential margins over the past decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.4 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 61.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.7 points.

A population of 3,605, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,271 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Benton County and Hickory County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Benton County

Missouri

90.0twin score

median age2016–2024 trajectory≠ population scale

Hickory County

Missouri

87.7twin score

median age2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ French ancestry

Morgan County

Missouri

84.5twin score

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Hardin County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Hardin County, Illinois vote in 2024?

In 2024, Hardin County, Illinois voted Republican by 61.7 points (R+61.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,926 votes cast, 357 went Democratic and 1,546 went Republican.

When did Hardin County, Illinois last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Hardin County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Hardin County, Illinois?

Hardin County, Illinois has a population of 3,605 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Hardin County, Illinois?

Median household income in Hardin County, Illinois is $54,271 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.

What is the political history of Hardin County, Illinois?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hardin County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.

Measure

Hardin County

Illinois

United States

Median age

53.6

39.1

Age 18–24

4.8%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

29.8%

16.9%

17.2%

Measure

Hardin County

Illinois

United States

Median household income

$54,271

$83,390

$84,427

Poverty rate

11.0%

11.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

13.3%

37.9%

35.6%

Measure

Hardin County

Illinois

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

0.3%

24.1%

22.3%

Measure

Hardin County

Illinois

United States

Catholic

6.9%

24.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

30.8%

11.7%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

61.5%

49.2%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+61.7MIT Election Lab

Population

3,6052024 5-year

Median household income

$54,2712024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

95.7%2024 5-year

Black

1.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

0.9%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+21.4 in 1992MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+61.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Benton County, MO · twin score 90.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

2,148

3,427

62.7%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

1,788

3,302

54.1%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

2,560

3,329

76.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

1,727

3,149

54.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

1,954

3,072

63.6%

A/A

Hardin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -MONROEMONROE

288

360

17.2%

80.0%

R+62.8

Precinct -CAVE IN ROCKCAVE IN ROCK

280

339

15.9%

82.6%

R+66.7

Precinct -MCFARLANMCFARLAN

265

325

16.3%

81.5%

R+65.2

Precinct -STONE CHURCHSTONE CHURCH

224

288

20.5%

77.8%

R+57.3

Precinct -ROCKROCK

139

189

22.2%

73.5%

R+51.3

CAVE-IN-ROCK 7 Voting District17_1706900701

—

No votes

MCFARLAN 6 Voting District17_1706900601

—

No votes

MONROE 2 Voting District17_1706900201

—

No votes

Precinct -WEST ROSICLAREWEST ROSICLARE

—

No votes

ROCK 1 Voting District17_1706900101

—

No votes

STONE CHURCH 5 Voting District17_1706900501

—

No votes

W ROSICLARE 3 Voting District17_1706900301

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+2.6%
1896	+7.1%
1900	+5.3%
1904	−7.4%
1908	−8.6%
1912	−3.0%
1916	−5.6%
1920	−24.2%
1924	−0.7%
1928	−30.2%
1932	+1.6%
1936	−0.6%
1940	−8.3%
1944	−19.4%
1948	−11.5%
1952	−11.8%
1956	−14.1%
1960	−14.0%
1964	+10.6%
1968	−10.2%
1972	−25.3%
1976	+6.9%
1980	−13.1%
1984	−16.7%
1988	−6.9%
1992	+21.4%
1996	+20.4%
2000	−6.9%
2004	−23.7%
2008	−19.4%
2012	−34.0%
2016	−57.4%
2020	−57.4%
2024	−61.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

18.5%Harris357

80.3%Trump1,546

1.1%Kennedy22

R+61.7

R+4.3

R+60.3

1,926

2020

20.8%Biden449

78.2%Trump1,691

0.6%Jorgensen14

R+57.4

±0.0

R+61.9

2,162

2016

19.6%Clinton420

77.0%Trump1,653

2.1%Johnson46

R+57.4

R+23.4

R+59.5

2,148

2012

31.8%Obama742

65.9%Romney1,535

1.3%JOHNSON31

R+34.0

R+14.6

R+37.9

2,330

2008

39.6%Obama892

59.0%McCain1,330

1.5%

R+19.4

D+4.3

R+26.7

2,255

2004

37.9%Kerry923

61.6%Bush1,501

0.5%

R+23.7

R+16.8

R+21.3

2,437

2000

44.9%Gore1,184

51.8%Bush1,366

1.6%Nader41

R+6.9

R+27.3

R+7.4

2,637

1996

50.6%Clinton1,323

30.2%Dole790

18.5%Perot485

D+20.4

R+1.1

D+11.8

2,617

1992

52.5%Clinton1,665

31.0%Bush985

16.2%Perot515

D+21.4

D+28.4

D+15.9

3,173

1988

46.3%Dukakis1,308

53.3%Bush1,504

0.4%

R+6.9

D+9.8

D+0.8

2,824

1984

41.6%Mondale1,205

58.3%Reagan1,689

0.2%

R+16.7

R+3.6

D+1.5

2,899

1980

42.2%Carter1,314

55.3%Reagan1,721

2.5%

R+13.1

R+20.0

R+3.3

3,114

1976

53.1%Carter1,602

46.2%Ford1,393

0.7%

D+6.9

D+32.2

D+4.9

3,017

1972

37.2%McGovern1,140

62.5%Nixon1,915

0.2%

R+25.3

R+15.1

R+2.2

3,062

1968

41.6%Humphrey1,199

51.8%Nixon1,492

6.7%

R+10.2

R+20.8

R+9.5

2,883

1964

55.3%Johnson1,639

44.7%Goldwater1,324

0.0%

D+10.6

D+24.7

R+12.0

2,963

1960

42.9%Kennedy1,465

57.0%Nixon1,944

0.1%

R+14.0

D+0.1

R+14.2

3,413

1956

42.8%Stevenson1,444

56.9%Eisenhower1,919

0.2%

R+14.1

R+2.2

D+1.3

3,371

1952

44.0%Stevenson1,563

55.8%Eisenhower1,984

0.2%

R+11.8

R+0.3

R+1.1

3,553

1948

44.0%Truman1,358

55.5%Dewey1,713

0.5%

R+11.5

D+7.9

R+16.0

3,087

1944

39.8%Roosevelt1,370

59.2%Dewey2,037

0.9%

R+19.4

R+11.1

R+26.9

3,438

1940

45.6%Roosevelt1,974

53.8%Willkie2,333

0.6%

R+8.3

R+7.7

R+18.2

4,333

1936

49.5%Roosevelt1,984

50.1%Landon2,008

0.5%

R+0.6

R+2.2

R+24.9

4,011

1932

50.0%Roosevelt1,610

48.4%Hoover1,559

1.7%

D+1.6

D+31.8

R+16.2

3,223

1928

34.2%Smith933

64.3%Hoover1,758

1.5%

R+30.2

R+29.5

R+12.7

2,732

1924

48.3%Davis1,358

49.1%Coolidge1,378

2.5%La Follette70

R+0.7

D+23.5

D+24.5

2,809

1920

37.3%Cox943

61.5%Harding1,555

1.1%

R+24.2

R+18.6

D+2.0

2,527

1916

46.0%Wilson1,264

51.7%Hughes1,419

2.3%

R+5.6

R+2.7

R+8.8

2,746

1912

40.6%Wilson644

43.6%Taft691

15.8%

R+3.0

D+5.6

R+22.5

1,585

1908

43.9%Bryan680

52.5%Taft813

3.6%

R+8.6

R+1.2

D+1.0

1,548

1904

41.7%Parker642

49.1%Roosevelt756

9.2%

R+7.4

R+12.7

D+12.3

1,540

1900

51.6%Bryan839

46.3%McKinley753

2.1%

D+5.3

R+1.8

D+12.8

1,626

1896

53.3%Bryan900

46.2%McKinley780

0.6%

D+7.1

D+4.5

D+13.2

1,690

1892

45.7%Cleveland700

43.1%Harrison660

11.2%

D+2.6

—

D+1.0

1,531

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

18.4%342

81.6%1,520

1,862

2020

23.1%473

76.9%1,571

2,044

2018

35.8%63

64.2%113

176

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

24.4%402

73.9%1,220

1,650

2020Class II

28.5%Dick Durbin591

69.0%Mark Curran1,431

2,073

2016Class III

41.8%Tammy Duckworth865

55.0%Mark Kirk1,137

2,069

2014Class II

40.2%Dick Durbin581

56.0%Jim Oberweis811

1,447

2010Class III

36.3%Alex Giannoulias719

57.2%Mark Kirk1,133

1,981

2008Class II

56.8%Dick Durbin1,212

37.8%Steve Sauerberg807

2,135

2004Class III

53.8%Barack Obama1,253

42.5%Alan Keyes991

2,330

2002Class II

58.1%Dick Durbin1,269

40.4%Jim Durkin883

2,184

1998Class III

45.6%Carol Moseley-Braun1,120

51.9%Peter Fitzgerald1,274

2,456

1996Class II

55.0%Dick Durbin1,368

39.9%Al Salvi993

2,489

1992Class III

55.1%Carol Moseley-Braun1,616

42.0%Richard Williamson1,232

2,933

1990Class II

75.8%Paul Simon2,003

24.2%Lynn Martin641

2,644

1986Class III

62.0%Alan J. Dixon1,562

36.3%Judy Koehler915

2,518

1984Class II

56.7%Paul Simon1,668

42.4%Charles H. Percy1,248

2,941

1980Class III

55.1%Alan J. Dixon1,628

44.5%David C. O'Neal1,313

2,952

1978Class II

52.9%Alex Seith1,366

46.8%Charles H. Percy1,208

2,582

1974Class III

54.3%Adlai Stevenson III1,499

45.4%George M. Burditt1,255

2,762

1972Class II

41.0%Roman Pucinski1,222

58.8%Charles H. Percy1,752

2,978

1968Class III

44.6%William G. Clark1,231

55.2%Everett Dirksen1,525

2,762

1966Class II

46.5%Paul H. Douglas1,290

53.5%Charles H. Percy1,487

2,777

1962Class III

47.1%Sidney R. Yates1,443

52.9%Everett Dirksen1,619

3,062

1960Class II

48.0%Paul H. Douglas1,614

51.9%Samuel W. Witwer1,746

3,362

1956Class III

44.8%Richard Stengel1,470

54.9%Everett Dirksen1,802

3,280

1954Class II

49.2%Paul H. Douglas1,530

50.8%Joseph T. Meek1,578

3,108

1950Class III

49.9%Scott W. Lucas1,650

49.5%Everett Dirksen1,635

3,304

1948Class II

45.1%Paul H. Douglas1,366

54.5%C. Wayland Brooks1,650

3,028

1944Class III

40.9%Scott W. Lucas1,397

58.4%Richard J. Lyons1,993

3,413

1942Class II

39.3%Raymond McKeough1,221

59.9%C. Wayland Brooks1,859

3,105

1938Class III

51.3%Scott W. Lucas2,038

48.2%Richard J. Lyons1,917

3,975

1936Class II

49.5%James H. Lewis1,948

50.1%Otis F. Glenn1,972

3,936

1932Class III

49.7%William H. Dieterich1,594

49.0%Otis F. Glenn1,573

3,209

1930Class II

52.6%James H. Lewis1,401

45.8%Ruth H. McCormick1,222

2,666

1926Class III

43.3%George E. Brennan950

55.3%Frank L. Smith1,214

2,194

1924Class II

48.9%Albert A. Sprague1,366

50.3%Charles S. Deneen1,406

2,793

1920Class III

37.4%Peter A. Waller945

61.4%William B. McKinley1,550

2,524

1918Class II

43.5%James H. Lewis570

55.1%Medill McCormick722

1,310

1914Class III

39.0%Roger C. Sullivan635

53.7%Lawrence Y. Sherman875

1,629

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1970Special · Class III

45.9%Adlai Stevenson III1,146

53.9%Ralph T. Smith1,346

2,496

1940Special · Class II

45.7%James M. Slattery1,937

53.7%C. Wayland Brooks2,274

4,235

1928Special · Class III

35.2%Anton J. Cermak892

64.0%Otis F. Glenn1,623

2,534

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

16.9%Jb Pritzker284

79.6%Darren Bailey1,339

1,683

2018

34.4%Jb Pritzker558

51.5%Bruce Rauner835

1,622

2014

29.2%Pat Quinn419

64.3%Bruce Rauner922

1,434

2010

32.3%Pat Quinn680

61.9%Bill Brady1,303

2,104

2006

59.3%Rod Blagojevich1,280

33.7%Judy Baar Topinka727

2,157

2002

53.6%Rod Blagojevich1,249

44.6%Jim Ryan1,039

2,330

1998

72.0%Glenn Poshard1,940

27.5%George Ryan740

2,695

1994

26.5%Dawn Clark Netsch680

71.7%Jim Edgar1,839

2,564

1990

59.5%Neil Hartigan1,592

39.9%Jim Edgar1,066

2,675

1986

6.8%''No nominee''178

48.9%Jim Thompson1,276

2,612

1982

49.1%Adlai Stevenson III1,315

50.1%Jim Thompson1,343

2,680

1978

48.5%Michael Bakalis1,295

51.4%Jim Thompson1,372

2,671

1976

41.0%Michael Howlett1,222

58.7%Jim Thompson1,748

2,977

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Hardin County, IL
Year	Total registered
2016	3,148
2018	3,419
2020	3,079
2022	3,066
2024	3,022

How did Hardin County, Illinois vote in 2024?

In 2024, Hardin County, Illinois voted Republican by 61.7 points (R+61.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,926 votes cast, 357 went Democratic and 1,546 went Republican.

When did Hardin County, Illinois last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Hardin County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Hardin County, Illinois?

Hardin County, Illinois has a population of 3,605 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Hardin County, Illinois?

Median household income in Hardin County, Illinois is $54,271 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.

What is the political history of Hardin County, Illinois?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hardin County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.