HarrisDemocratic19.0%3,617TrumpRepublican79.2%15,124KennedyIndependent1.7%321
R+60.3- Lead
- 11,507
- Total
- 19,084
- vs nation
- R+58.8
- Turnout
- 74.2%
Akashiccounty
Effingham County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.2% of 25,948 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic19.5%3,716TrumpRepublican78.6%15,006JorgensenLibertarian1.2%232
R+59.2- Lead
- 11,290
- Total
- 19,083
- vs nation
- R+63.6
- Turnout
- 74.2%
ClintonDemocratic17.5%3,083TrumpRepublican77.4%13,635JohnsonLibertarian3.7%644
R+59.9- Lead
- 10,552
- Total
- 17,609
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- 67.9%
ObamaDemocratic23.2%3,861RomneyRepublican75.2%12,501JOHNSONLibertarian0.9%156
R+52.0- Lead
- 8,640
- Total
- 16,613
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic31.3%5,262McCainRepublican67.3%11,323OtherAll other candidates1.5%250
R+36.0- Lead
- 6,061
- Total
- 16,835
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic27.0%4,388BushRepublican72.3%11,774OtherAll other candidates0.7%116
R+45.4- Lead
- 7,386
- Total
- 16,278
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic29.2%4,225BushRepublican68.0%9,855NaderGreen1.5%213
R+38.9- Lead
- 5,630
- Total
- 14,485
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.0%4,825DoleRepublican54.2%7,696PerotReform10.9%1,555
R+20.2- Lead
- 2,871
- Total
- 14,204
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,5222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Auglaize County, OH · twin score 91.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.2%19,266 participants ÷ 25,948 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.1%–62.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,609 | 25,947 | 67.9% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,728 | 25,743 | 57.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,083 | 25,727 | 74.2% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,109 | 25,955 | 62.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,266 | 25,948 | 74.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
75 precincts · 18,807 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BISHOPBISHOP | 124 | 887 | 34 | 1,045 | 11.9% | 84.9% | R+73.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 114 | 647 | 10 | 771 | 14.8% | 83.9% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -ST FRANCISST FRANCIS | 96 | 654 | 13 | 763 | 12.6% | 85.7% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -TEUTOPOLIS 2TEUTOPOLIS 2 | 102 | 582 | 11 | 695 | 14.7% | 83.7% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -MASONMASON | 85 | 570 | 20 | 675 | 12.6% | 84.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -MOUND 2MOUND 2 | 101 | 538 | 19 | 658 | 15.3% | 81.8% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -WATSON 1WATSON 1 | 105 | 525 | 8 | 638 | 16.5% | 82.3% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -MOUND 1MOUND 1 | 112 | 503 | 20 | 635 | 17.6% | 79.2% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -WATSON 3WATSON 3 | 86 | 519 | 8 | 613 | 14.0% | 84.7% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 06DOUGLAS 06 | 160 | 416 | 30 | 606 | 26.4% | 68.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 1SUMMIT 1 | 113 | 470 | 22 | 605 | 18.7% | 77.7% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 4SUMMIT 4 | 134 | 441 | 28 | 603 | 22.2% | 73.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 3SUMMIT 3 | 139 | 433 | 12 | 584 | 23.8% | 74.1% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -TEUTOPOLIS 3TEUTOPOLIS 3 | 98 | 460 | 18 | 576 | 17.0% | 79.9% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 14DOUGLAS 14 | 142 | 417 | 13 | 572 | 24.8% | 72.9% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 01DOUGLAS 01 | 73 | 443 | 16 | 532 | 13.7% | 83.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -MOUND 3MOUND 3 | 94 | 412 | 23 | 529 | 17.8% | 77.9% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -WATSON 2WATSON 2 | 79 | 436 | 13 | 528 | 15.0% | 82.6% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -TEUTOPOLIS 1TEUTOPOLIS 1 | 98 | 402 | 20 | 520 | 18.8% | 77.3% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 03DOUGLAS 03 | 122 | 375 | 17 | 514 | 23.7% | 73.0% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 07DOUGLAS 07 | 147 | 350 | 16 | 513 | 28.7% | 68.2% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 04DOUGLAS 04 | 127 | 331 | 20 | 478 | 26.6% | 69.2% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 2SUMMIT 2 | 107 | 358 | 8 | 473 | 22.6% | 75.7% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 05DOUGLAS 05 | 127 | 322 | 18 | 467 | 27.2% | 69.0% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 13DOUGLAS 13 | 117 | 303 | 18 | 438 | 26.7% | 69.2% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 12DOUGLAS 12 | 110 | 293 | 10 | 413 | 26.6% | 70.9% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -LIBERTYLIBERTY | 58 | 316 | 7 | 381 | 15.2% | 82.9% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 11DOUGLAS 11 | 124 | 235 | 12 | 371 | 33.4% | 63.3% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 02DOUGLAS 02 | 79 | 269 | 11 | 359 | 22.0% | 74.9% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 08DOUGLAS 08 | 90 | 245 | 15 | 350 | 25.7% | 70.0% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -WESTWEST | 46 | 265 | 5 | 316 | 14.6% | 83.9% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -MOCCASINMOCCASIN | 38 | 268 | 5 | 311 | 12.2% | 86.2% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -LUCASLUCAS | 20 | 280 | 6 | 306 | 6.5% | 91.5% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -BANNERBANNER | 37 | 238 | 0 | 275 | 13.5% | 86.5% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 09DOUGLAS 09 | 75 | 162 | 6 | 243 | 30.9% | 66.7% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 5SUMMIT 5 | 36 | 184 | 6 | 226 | 15.9% | 81.4% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 10DOUGLAS 10 | 62 | 159 | 4 | 225 | 27.6% | 70.7% | R+43.1 |
| BANNER Voting District17_1704900801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BISHOP Voting District17_1704901401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 1 Voting District17_1704901101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 10 Voting District17_1704901110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 11 Voting District17_1704901111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 12 Voting District17_1704901112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 13 Voting District17_1704901113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 14 Voting District17_1704901114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 2 Voting District17_1704901102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 3 Voting District17_1704901103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 4 Voting District17_1704901104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 5 Voting District17_1704901105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 6 Voting District17_1704901106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 7 Voting District17_1704901107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 8 Voting District17_1704901108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 9 Voting District17_1704901109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON Voting District17_1704900601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY Voting District17_1704900401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUCAS Voting District17_1704901301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASON 1 Voting District17_1704900501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASON 2 Voting District17_1704900502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOCCASIN Voting District17_1704900301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND 1 Voting District17_1704900201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND 2 Voting District17_1704900202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND 3 Voting District17_1704900203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -UNION NUNION N | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST FRANCIS 1 Voting District17_1704901501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST FRANCIS 2 Voting District17_1704901502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUMMIT 1 Voting District17_1704900701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUMMIT 2 Voting District17_1704900702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEUTOPOLIS 1 Voting District17_1704901201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEUTOPOLIS 2 Voting District17_1704901202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEUTOPOLIS 3 Voting District17_1704901203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION Voting District17_1704901001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATSON 1 Voting District17_1704900901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATSON 2 Voting District17_1704900902 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATSON 3 Voting District17_1704900903 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST Voting District17_1704900101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +28.5% |
| 1896 | +21.5% |
| 1900 | +23.1% |
| 1904 | +10.1% |
| 1908 | +19.6% |
| 1912 | +36.5% |
| 1916 | +16.7% |
| 1920 | −16.4% |
| 1924 | +8.1% |
| 1928 | +4.3% |
| 1932 | +37.3% |
| 1936 | +16.4% |
| 1940 | +0.4% |
| 1944 | −8.4% |
| 1948 | +1.2% |
| 1952 | −15.8% |
| 1956 | −21.5% |
| 1960 | −6.1% |
| 1964 | +14.7% |
| 1968 | −18.4% |
| 1972 | −32.8% |
| 1976 | −9.3% |
| 1980 | −35.3% |
| 1984 | −42.8% |
| 1988 | −29.7% |
| 1992 | −7.4% |
| 1996 | −20.2% |
| 2000 | −38.9% |
| 2004 | −45.4% |
| 2008 | −36.0% |
| 2012 | −52.0% |
| 2016 | −59.9% |
| 2020 | −59.2% |
| 2024 | −60.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,454 |
| 2018 | 24,648 |
| 2020 | 24,997 |
| 2022 | 24,771 |
| 2024 | 25,493 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−55 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,595 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,845 in average income, against $96,879 for residents who stayed — 46% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+57.1 on average — 3.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Effingham County, IL itself (R+60.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fayette County, IL75R+64.7
- Shelby County, IL59R+60.2
- Coles County, IL53R+28.4
- Clay County, IL37R+67.3
- Cumberland County, IL36R+61.8
- Jasper County, IL28R+65.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fayette County, IL66
- Shelby County, IL59
- Coles County, IL52
- Jasper County, IL29
- Clay County, IL26
- Cumberland County, IL24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −53 |
| 2012 | −99 |
| 2013 | −135 |
| 2014 | −220 |
| 2015 | +5 |
| 2016 | −146 |
| 2017 | −201 |
| 2018 | −52 |
| 2019 | −273 |
| 2021 | −170 |
| 2022 | −212 |
| 2023 | +10 |
| 2024 | +6 |
| 2025 | −55 |
Effingham County, anchored by its small city of the same name at the crossroads of I-57 and I-70, delivered a 60-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest gaps in a state whose statewide results ran in the opposite direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.3 points.
A population of 34,522, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,404 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Auglaize County and Nemaha County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Auglaize County
Ohio
91.1twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Nemaha County
Kansas
88.7twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Shelby County
Ohio
88.7twin score
2004–2020 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Effingham County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Effingham County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Effingham County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Effingham County, Illinois voted Republican by 60.3 points (R+60.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,084 votes cast, 3,617 went Democratic and 15,124 went Republican.
When did Effingham County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Effingham County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Effingham County, Illinois?
Effingham County, Illinois has a population of 34,522 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Effingham County, Illinois?
Median household income in Effingham County, Illinois is $80,404 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Effingham County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Effingham County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.