HarrisDemocratic17.2%4,350TrumpRepublican82.0%20,740OliverNonpartisan0.4%104
R+64.8- Lead
- 16,390
- Total
- 25,288
- vs nation
- R+63.3
- Turnout
- 70.9%
Akashiccounty
Shelby County, OH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.9% of 35,943 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.7%4,465TrumpRepublican80.9%20,422JorgensenLibertarian1.1%290
R+63.2- Lead
- 15,957
- Total
- 25,258
- vs nation
- R+67.6
- Turnout
- 70.3%
ClintonDemocratic17.6%4,243TrumpRepublican77.1%18,590JohnsonLibertarian2.5%594
R+59.5- Lead
- 14,347
- Total
- 24,116
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Turnout
- 67.4%
ObamaDemocratic26.3%6,343RomneyRepublican71.0%17,142JohnsonLibertarian0.7%178
R+44.8- Lead
- 10,799
- Total
- 24,129
- vs nation
- R+48.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic30.8%7,316McCainRepublican67.1%15,924OtherAll other candidates2.0%478
R+36.3- Lead
- 8,608
- Total
- 23,718
- vs nation
- R+43.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.6%6,535BushRepublican70.9%16,204OtherAll other candidates0.5%116
R+42.3- Lead
- 9,669
- Total
- 22,855
- vs nation
- R+39.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.5%6,593BushRepublican63.4%12,476NaderGreen2.0%392
R+29.9- Lead
- 5,883
- Total
- 19,670
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.6%6,729DoleRepublican47.8%8,773PerotReform14.6%2,686
R+11.1- Lead
- 2,044
- Total
- 18,362
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,9292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,9782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Auglaize County, OH · twin score 92.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.9%25,495 participants ÷ 35,943 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.4%–53.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 24,116 | 35,755 | 67.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,994 | 35,964 | 52.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 25,449 | 36,210 | 70.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,292 | 36,061 | 50.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,495 | 35,943 | 70.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
71 precincts · 25,288 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -McLeanMcLean | 139 | 956 | 7 | 1,102 | 12.6% | 86.8% | R+74.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Sidney 1st Ward CSidney 1st Ward C | 243 | 829 | 7 | 1,079 | 22.5% | 76.8% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -FranklinFranklin | 148 | 870 | 10 | 1,028 | 14.4% | 84.6% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Washington (Including Lockington)Washington (Including Lockington) | 151 | 850 | 5 | 1,006 | 15.0% | 84.5% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -Fort Loramie VillageFort Loramie Village | 116 | 853 | 8 | 977 | 11.9% | 87.3% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Turtle CreekTurtle Creek | 132 | 764 | 8 | 904 | 14.6% | 84.5% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -DinsmoreDinsmore | 85 | 788 | 3 | 876 | 9.7% | 90.0% | R+80.3 |
| Precinct -Loramie West (Including Russia)Loramie West (Including Russia) | 62 | 801 | 7 | 870 | 7.1% | 92.1% | R+84.9 |
| Precinct -Anna VillageAnna Village | 142 | 685 | 10 | 837 | 17.0% | 81.8% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -Sidney 1st Ward BSidney 1st Ward B | 196 | 628 | 10 | 834 | 23.5% | 75.3% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -Van Buren South (Including Kettlersville)Van Buren South (Including Kettlersville) | 105 | 715 | 8 | 828 | 12.7% | 86.4% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -Sidney 2nd Ward DSidney 2nd Ward D | 170 | 578 | 1 | 749 | 22.7% | 77.2% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -Jackson Center VillageJackson Center Village | 115 | 621 | 6 | 742 | 15.5% | 83.7% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -Sidney 3rd Ward ASidney 3rd Ward A | 195 | 540 | 6 | 741 | 26.3% | 72.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -Sidney 4th Ward DSidney 4th Ward D | 190 | 532 | 11 | 733 | 25.9% | 72.6% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -OrangeOrange | 107 | 601 | 5 | 713 | 15.0% | 84.3% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -Botkins VillageBotkins Village | 89 | 603 | 5 | 697 | 12.8% | 86.5% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -Cynthian WestCynthian West | 70 | 590 | 4 | 664 | 10.5% | 88.9% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -Loramie EastLoramie East | 82 | 554 | 2 | 638 | 12.9% | 86.8% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -Salem East (Including Port Jefferson)Salem East (Including Port Jefferson) | 81 | 545 | 3 | 629 | 12.9% | 86.6% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -Sidney 1st Ward ASidney 1st Ward A | 142 | 473 | 9 | 624 | 22.8% | 75.8% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -Sidney 3rd Ward BSidney 3rd Ward B | 153 | 461 | 6 | 620 | 24.7% | 74.4% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -Salem WestSalem West | 126 | 489 | 1 | 616 | 20.5% | 79.4% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -Sidney 2nd Ward BSidney 2nd Ward B | 145 | 450 | 7 | 602 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -Sidney 4th Ward CSidney 4th Ward C | 145 | 442 | 4 | 591 | 24.5% | 74.8% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -JacksonJackson | 65 | 516 | 1 | 582 | 11.2% | 88.7% | R+77.5 |
| Precinct -Van Buren NorthVan Buren North | 57 | 517 | 2 | 576 | 9.9% | 89.8% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -Sidney 2nd Ward ASidney 2nd Ward A | 138 | 392 | 5 | 535 | 25.8% | 73.3% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -Cynthian EastCynthian East | 46 | 478 | 3 | 527 | 8.7% | 90.7% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct -GreenGreen | 54 | 464 | 4 | 522 | 10.3% | 88.9% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -Sidney 4th Ward ASidney 4th Ward A | 148 | 345 | 4 | 497 | 29.8% | 69.4% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -ClintonClinton | 104 | 382 | 7 | 493 | 21.1% | 77.5% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -PerryPerry | 61 | 417 | 2 | 480 | 12.7% | 86.9% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -Sidney 3rd Ward CSidney 3rd Ward C | 110 | 352 | 8 | 470 | 23.4% | 74.9% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -Sidney 4th Ward BSidney 4th Ward B | 120 | 345 | 5 | 470 | 25.5% | 73.4% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -Sidney 2nd Ward CSidney 2nd Ward C | 118 | 314 | 4 | 436 | 27.1% | 72.0% | R+45.0 |
| ANNA VILLAGE Voting District39_39149149ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOTKINS VILLAGE Voting District39_39149149ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTON Voting District39_39149149AAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CYNTHIAN EAST Voting District39_39149149ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CYNTHIAN WEST Voting District39_39149149ABD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DINSMORE Voting District39_39149149ABF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FORT LORAMIE Voting District39_39149149ABX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN Voting District39_39149149ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN Voting District39_39149149ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON CENTER Voting District39_39149149ABQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON Voting District39_39149149ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LORAMIE EAST Voting District39_39149149ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LORAMIE WEST Voting District39_39149149ABU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MCLEAN Voting District39_39149149ABV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE Voting District39_39149149ABZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY Voting District39_39149149ACB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM EAST Voting District39_39149149ACD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM WEST Voting District39_39149149ACF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 1-A Voting District39_39149149AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 1-B Voting District39_39149149AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 1-C Voting District39_39149149AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 2-A Voting District39_39149149AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 2-B Voting District39_39149149AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 2-C Voting District39_39149149AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 2-D Voting District39_39149149AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 3-A Voting District39_39149149AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 3-B Voting District39_39149149AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 4-A Voting District39_39149149AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 4-B Voting District39_39149149AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 4-C Voting District39_39149149AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SIDNEY 4-D Voting District39_39149149AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TURTLE CREEK Voting District39_39149149ACG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VAN BUREN NORTH Voting District39_39149149ACJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VAN BUREN SOUTH Voting District39_39149149ACL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON Voting District39_39149149ACN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +21.3% |
| 1896 | +22.4% |
| 1900 | +21.1% |
| 1904 | +9.0% |
| 1908 | +18.7% |
| 1912 | +28.7% |
| 1916 | +23.0% |
| 1920 | +1.7% |
| 1924 | +4.9% |
| 1928 | −4.6% |
| 1932 | +31.5% |
| 1936 | +19.7% |
| 1940 | −7.7% |
| 1944 | −11.5% |
| 1948 | +12.4% |
| 1952 | −25.4% |
| 1956 | −35.3% |
| 1960 | −12.2% |
| 1964 | +31.7% |
| 1968 | −5.1% |
| 1972 | −29.7% |
| 1976 | −10.7% |
| 1980 | −15.5% |
| 1984 | −51.1% |
| 1988 | −40.9% |
| 1992 | −18.0% |
| 1996 | −11.1% |
| 2000 | −29.9% |
| 2004 | −42.3% |
| 2008 | −36.3% |
| 2012 | −44.8% |
| 2016 | −59.5% |
| 2020 | −63.2% |
| 2024 | −64.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 33,984 |
| 2018 | 32,997 |
| 2020 | 32,843 |
| 2022 | 32,703 |
| 2024 | 32,947 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−35 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,478 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,636 in average income, against $75,595 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+43.5 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Shelby County, OH itself (R+64.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Miami County, OH241R+45.1
- Auglaize County, OH132R+64.6
- Logan County, OH84R+56.2
- Montgomery County, OH67D+0.5
- Darke County, OH47R+65.4
- Franklin County, OH36D+28.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Miami County, OH284
- Auglaize County, OH130
- Montgomery County, OH66
- Franklin County, OH62
- Logan County, OH60
- Allen County, OH39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −327 |
| 2012 | −393 |
| 2013 | −262 |
| 2014 | −412 |
| 2015 | −265 |
| 2016 | −479 |
| 2017 | −204 |
| 2018 | −285 |
| 2019 | −239 |
| 2021 | −132 |
| 2022 | −421 |
| 2023 | −33 |
| 2024 | +9 |
| 2025 | −35 |
Shelby County, anchored by the small city of Sidney, delivered an R+64.8 margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in the state — reflecting the deep rural and small-town conservative consolidation that has reshaped Ohio's political map over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.8 points.
A population of 47,929, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,978 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Auglaize County and Perry County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Auglaize County
Ohio
92.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Perry County
Missouri
91.8twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Osage County
Missouri
91.5twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Shelby County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Shelby County
Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Shelby County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Shelby County, Ohio voted Republican by 64.8 points (R+64.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 25,288 votes cast, 4,350 went Democratic and 20,740 went Republican.
When did Shelby County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Shelby County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Shelby County, Ohio?
Shelby County, Ohio has a population of 47,929 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Shelby County, Ohio?
Median household income in Shelby County, Ohio is $73,978 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Shelby County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Shelby County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.