American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.
Dayton, Ohio
Akashic
DaytonTrumpR+24.7
18922024
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican
61.8%
392,917
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
37.2%
236,098
Chase OliverLibertarian
1.0%
6,313
D+60R+60
11 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (11 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Dayton, OH — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County
Winner
Margin
Champaign County, OH
Republican
R+50.7
Clark County, OH
Republican
R+29.5
Darke County, OH
Republican
R+65.4
Greene County, OH
Republican
R+19.8
Logan County, OH
Republican
R+56.2
Mercer County, OH
Republican
R+66.7
Miami County, OH
Republican
R+45.1
Montgomery County, OH
Democratic
D+0.5
Preble County, OH
Republican
R+59.1
Shelby County, OH
Republican
R+64.8
Wayne County, IN
Republican
R+32.4
Akashic
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Total
R
37.2%Harris236,098
61.8%Trump392,917
1.0%Oliver6,313
−24.7%
635,328
R
38.1%Biden246,961
60.2%Trump390,529
1.7%Jorgensen10,823
−22.1%
648,313
R
35.6%Clinton221,392
58.1%Trump360,903
6.2%Stein38,741
−22.5%
621,036
R
42.4%Obama265,897
55.1%Romney345,431
2.5%Johnson15,591
−12.7%
626,919
R
44.5%Obama286,779
53.7%McCain346,089
1.8%Nader11,479
−9.2%
644,347
R
43.0%Kerry276,010
56.5%Bush362,361
0.5%Other3,078
−13.5%
641,449
R
43.2%Gore231,318
53.8%Bush287,731
3.0%Designated16,225
−10.5%
535,274
D
44.9%Clinton235,784
44.1%Dole231,497
10.9%Perot57,284
+0.8%
524,565
R
36.8%Clinton210,163
42.3%Bush241,401
20.9%Perot119,667
−5.5%
571,231
R
37.7%Dukakis188,943
61.6%Bush308,725
0.8%Fulani3,881
−23.9%
501,549
R
35.0%Mondale178,195
64.3%Reagan327,066
0.7%Serrette3,766
−29.2%
509,027
R
42.0%Carter203,710
50.8%Reagan246,404
7.3%Anderson35,395
−8.8%
485,509
R
47.0%Carter217,814
50.6%Ford234,490
2.3%McCarthy10,785
−3.6%
463,089
R
35.0%McGovern159,405
62.4%Nixon283,855
2.6%Schmitz11,808
−27.3%
455,068
R
42.3%Humphrey192,824
45.3%Nixon206,691
12.4%Wallace56,589
−3.0%
456,104
D
61.5%Johnson272,546
38.4%Goldwater170,243
0.0%Hass113
+23.1%
442,902
R
43.0%Kennedy197,044
57.0%Nixon261,550
0.0%Byrd95
−14.1%
458,689
R
37.9%Stevenson153,953
62.1%Eisenhower252,258
0.0%Andrews144
−24.2%
406,355
R
41.4%Stevenson163,897
58.5%Eisenhower231,916
0.1%Hallinan293
−17.2%
396,106
D
50.2%Truman159,927
49.1%Dewey156,402
0.7%Thurmond2,286
+1.1%
318,615
R
48.9%Roosevelt168,370
51.0%Dewey175,486
0.1%Thomas332
−2.1%
344,188
D
52.5%Roosevelt185,676
47.5%Willkie167,998
0.0%Thomas173
+5.0%
353,847
D
56.1%Roosevelt183,609
39.2%Landon128,430
4.7%Lemke15,358
+16.9%
327,397
D
50.2%Roosevelt146,326
46.8%Hoover136,334
3.0%Thomas8,646
+3.4%
291,306
R
33.0%Smith92,724
66.4%Hoover186,789
0.6%Thomas1,646
−33.5%
281,159
R
31.3%Davis72,328
60.5%Coolidge139,716
8.2%La Follette19,021
−29.2%
231,065
R
41.2%Cox105,754
55.9%Harding143,475
2.9%Debs7,383
−14.7%
256,612
D
50.0%Wilson70,687
45.6%Hughes64,400
4.4%Benson6,155
+4.5%
141,242
D
40.1%Wilson51,256
29.4%Taft37,633
30.5%Roosevelt39,075
+10.6%
127,964
R
46.2%Bryan64,168
49.9%Taft69,350
3.9%Debs5,488
−3.7%
139,006
R
36.7%Parker45,933
58.8%Roosevelt73,671
4.5%Debs5,636
−22.1%
125,240
R
44.9%Bryan58,018
53.0%McKinley68,436
2.1%Woolley2,690
−8.1%
129,144
R
47.0%Bryan59,103
51.9%McKinley65,387
1.1%Palmer1,384
−5.0%
125,874
R
45.8%Cleveland49,431
48.4%Harrison52,231
5.7%Weaver6,192
−2.6%
107,854
Akashic
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−2.6%
1896
−5.0%
1900
−8.1%
1904
−22.1%
1908
−3.7%
1912
+10.6%
1916
+4.5%
1920
−14.7%
1924
−29.2%
1928
−33.5%
1932
+3.4%
1936
+16.9%
1940
+5.0%
1944
−2.1%
1948
+1.1%
1952
−17.2%
1956
−24.2%
1960
−14.1%
1964
+23.1%
1968
−3.0%
1972
−27.3%
1976
−3.6%
1980
−8.8%
1984
−29.2%
1988
−23.9%
1992
−5.5%
1996
+0.8%
2000
−10.5%
2004
−13.5%
2008
−9.2%
2012
−12.7%
2016
−22.5%
2020
−22.1%
2024
−24.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Akashic
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Dayton
Year
Total registered
2016
872,684
2018
889,002
2020
883,943
2022
878,823
2024
893,613
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
The Dayton media market spans a swath of southwest Ohio where urban, suburban, and rural precincts often split sharply, making aggregate results here a reliable early signal for statewide margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.7 points.
A population of 1,285,300, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,148 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg and Charleston-Huntington.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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In 2024, Dayton, Ohio voted Republican by 24.7 points (R+24.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 635,328 votes cast, 236,098 went Democratic and 392,917 went Republican.
When did Dayton, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton, Ohio?
Dayton, Ohio has a population of 1,285,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton, Ohio is $70,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.