Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Dayton
presidential margin
2008R+9.22012R+12.72016R+22.52020R+22.12024R+24.7
full record · 18922024
R+24.7
2024
median income$70,148U.S. $80,734 · OH $71,389
median age39.9U.S. 39.1
poverty rate13.0%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)28.1%U.S. 35.6%
non-english5.2%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German23.5%
English12.5%
Irish11.9%
African American10.0%
African0.4%
Mexican1.7%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Salvadoran0.2%
Asian Indian0.5%
Chinese0.2%
Filipino0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline6.9%
Black Protestant3.7%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
Muslim0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Dayton, Ohio

Akashic
DaytonTrumpR+24.7
2024 presidential margin by county for Dayton, OHA map of the constituent counties of Dayton, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Greene County, OH · R+19.8Miami County, OH · R+45.1Logan County, OH · R+56.2Mercer County, OH · R+66.7Champaign County, OH · R+50.7Shelby County, OH · R+64.8Montgomery County, OH · D+0.5Darke County, OH · R+65.4Wayne County, IN · R+32.4Clark County, OH · R+29.5Preble County, OH · R+59.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican61.8%392,917
Kamala HarrisDemocratic37.2%236,098
Chase OliverLibertarian1.0%6,313
D+60
R+60
11 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (11 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Dayton, OH — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Champaign County, OHRepublicanR+50.7
Clark County, OHRepublicanR+29.5
Darke County, OHRepublicanR+65.4
Greene County, OHRepublicanR+19.8
Logan County, OHRepublicanR+56.2
Mercer County, OHRepublicanR+66.7
Miami County, OHRepublicanR+45.1
Montgomery County, OHDemocraticD+0.5
Preble County, OHRepublicanR+59.1
Shelby County, OHRepublicanR+64.8
Wayne County, INRepublicanR+32.4
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
37.2%Harris236,098
61.8%Trump392,917
1.0%Oliver6,313
−24.7%
635,328
R
38.1%Biden246,961
60.2%Trump390,529
1.7%Jorgensen10,823
−22.1%
648,313
R
35.6%Clinton221,392
58.1%Trump360,903
6.2%Stein38,741
−22.5%
621,036
R
42.4%Obama265,897
55.1%Romney345,431
2.5%Johnson15,591
−12.7%
626,919
R
44.5%Obama286,779
53.7%McCain346,089
1.8%Nader11,479
−9.2%
644,347
R
43.0%Kerry276,010
56.5%Bush362,361
0.5%Other3,078
−13.5%
641,449
R
43.2%Gore231,318
53.8%Bush287,731
3.0%Designated16,225
−10.5%
535,274
D
44.9%Clinton235,784
44.1%Dole231,497
10.9%Perot57,284
+0.8%
524,565
R
36.8%Clinton210,163
42.3%Bush241,401
20.9%Perot119,667
−5.5%
571,231
R
37.7%Dukakis188,943
61.6%Bush308,725
0.8%Fulani3,881
−23.9%
501,549
R
35.0%Mondale178,195
64.3%Reagan327,066
0.7%Serrette3,766
−29.2%
509,027
R
42.0%Carter203,710
50.8%Reagan246,404
7.3%Anderson35,395
−8.8%
485,509
R
47.0%Carter217,814
50.6%Ford234,490
2.3%McCarthy10,785
−3.6%
463,089
R
35.0%McGovern159,405
62.4%Nixon283,855
2.6%Schmitz11,808
−27.3%
455,068
R
42.3%Humphrey192,824
45.3%Nixon206,691
12.4%Wallace56,589
−3.0%
456,104
D
61.5%Johnson272,546
38.4%Goldwater170,243
0.0%Hass113
+23.1%
442,902
R
43.0%Kennedy197,044
57.0%Nixon261,550
0.0%Byrd95
−14.1%
458,689
R
37.9%Stevenson153,953
62.1%Eisenhower252,258
0.0%Andrews144
−24.2%
406,355
R
41.4%Stevenson163,897
58.5%Eisenhower231,916
0.1%Hallinan293
−17.2%
396,106
D
50.2%Truman159,927
49.1%Dewey156,402
0.7%Thurmond2,286
+1.1%
318,615
R
48.9%Roosevelt168,370
51.0%Dewey175,486
0.1%Thomas332
−2.1%
344,188
D
52.5%Roosevelt185,676
47.5%Willkie167,998
0.0%Thomas173
+5.0%
353,847
D
56.1%Roosevelt183,609
39.2%Landon128,430
4.7%Lemke15,358
+16.9%
327,397
D
50.2%Roosevelt146,326
46.8%Hoover136,334
3.0%Thomas8,646
+3.4%
291,306
R
33.0%Smith92,724
66.4%Hoover186,789
0.6%Thomas1,646
−33.5%
281,159
R
31.3%Davis72,328
60.5%Coolidge139,716
8.2%La Follette19,021
−29.2%
231,065
R
41.2%Cox105,754
55.9%Harding143,475
2.9%Debs7,383
−14.7%
256,612
D
50.0%Wilson70,687
45.6%Hughes64,400
4.4%Benson6,155
+4.5%
141,242
D
40.1%Wilson51,256
29.4%Taft37,633
30.5%Roosevelt39,075
+10.6%
127,964
R
46.2%Bryan64,168
49.9%Taft69,350
3.9%Debs5,488
−3.7%
139,006
R
36.7%Parker45,933
58.8%Roosevelt73,671
4.5%Debs5,636
−22.1%
125,240
R
44.9%Bryan58,018
53.0%McKinley68,436
2.1%Woolley2,690
−8.1%
129,144
R
47.0%Bryan59,103
51.9%McKinley65,387
1.1%Palmer1,384
−5.0%
125,874
R
45.8%Cleveland49,431
48.4%Harrison52,231
5.7%Weaver6,192
−2.6%
107,854
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −24.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−24.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−2.6%
1896−5.0%
1900−8.1%
1904−22.1%
1908−3.7%
1912+10.6%
1916+4.5%
1920−14.7%
1924−29.2%
1928−33.5%
1932+3.4%
1936+16.9%
1940+5.0%
1944−2.1%
1948+1.1%
1952−17.2%
1956−24.2%
1960−14.1%
1964+23.1%
1968−3.0%
1972−27.3%
1976−3.6%
1980−8.8%
1984−29.2%
1988−23.9%
1992−5.5%
1996+0.8%
2000−10.5%
2004−13.5%
2008−9.2%
2012−12.7%
2016−22.5%
2020−22.1%
2024−24.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in DaytonTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 893,613 in 2024.223.4K446.8K670.2K893.6K893.6K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Dayton
YearTotal registered
2016872,684
2018889,002
2020883,943
2022878,823
2024893,613
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The Dayton media market spans a swath of southwest Ohio where urban, suburban, and rural precincts often split sharply, making aggregate results here a reliable early signal for statewide margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.7 points.

A population of 1,285,300, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,148 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg and Charleston-Huntington.

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/542/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Dayton

Frequently asked questions

How did Dayton, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton, Ohio voted Republican by 24.7 points (R+24.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 635,328 votes cast, 236,098 went Democratic and 392,917 went Republican.
When did Dayton, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton, Ohio?
Dayton, Ohio has a population of 1,285,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton, Ohio is $70,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.