Ohio 4th Congressional District, Ohio: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+38%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 788,1272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,5722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: OXLEY, Michael Garver (2005–2007), OXLEY, Michael Garver (2003–2005), OXLEY, Michael Garver (2001–2003), OXLEY, Michael Garver (1999–2001)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 122,252 | 275,769 | 403,378 | ||
| R | 121,183 | 268,311 | 395,831 | ||
| R | 100,718 | 236,797 | 362,541 | ||
| R | 129,594 | 218,770 | 358,173 | ||
| R | 138,450 | 215,414 | 361,540 | ||
| R | 120,689 | 225,853 | 348,219 | ||
| R | 98,564 | 179,095 | 287,256 | ||
| R | 99,982 | 135,363 | 269,192 | ||
| R | 84,915 | 133,462 | 285,151 | ||
| R | 81,390 | 166,546 | 249,945 | ||
| R | 68,845 | 184,297 | 254,957 | ||
| R | 77,500 | 149,674 | 242,481 | ||
| R | 94,840 | 128,771 | 229,528 | ||
| R | 62,226 | 157,520 | 226,124 | ||
| R | 69,250 | 122,567 | 217,560 | ||
| D | 119,041 | 100,527 | 219,568 | ||
| R | 84,186 | 151,538 | 235,723 | ||
| R | 65,058 | 149,293 | 214,352 | ||
| R | 73,738 | 145,600 | 219,338 | ||
| R | 75,602 | 99,350 | 175,704 | ||
| R | 74,259 | 118,171 | 192,430 | ||
| R | 90,576 | 117,683 | 208,259 | ||
| D | 105,580 | 87,470 | 200,564 | ||
| D | 97,284 | 84,259 | 184,509 | ||
| R | 51,773 | 114,380 | 167,273 | ||
| R | 50,140 | 84,964 | 149,340 | ||
| R | 68,189 | 92,402 | 162,338 | ||
| D | 49,390 | 41,362 | 93,173 | ||
| D | 39,684 | 23,843 | 85,792 | ||
| D | 46,773 | 44,901 | 94,098 | ||
| R | 35,484 | 46,614 | 85,488 | ||
| D | 45,193 | 43,826 | 90,624 | ||
| D | 45,970 | 42,429 | 89,428 | ||
| D | 36,908 | 34,254 | 75,942 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 46.5% | 50.1% | 5,704,620 |
| 2022 | R | 46.9% | 53.0% | 4,133,342 |
| 2018 | D | 53.4% | 46.6% | 4,410,898 |
| 2016 | R | 37.2% | 58.0% | 5,374,164 |
| 2012 | D | 50.7% | 44.7% | 5,449,018 |
| 2010 | R | 39.4% | 56.8% | 3,815,098 |
| 2006 | D | 56.2% | 43.8% | 4,019,236 |
| 2004 | R | 36.1% | 63.8% | 5,425,823 |
| 2000 | R | 35.9% | 59.9% | 4,448,801 |
| 1998 | R | 43.5% | 56.5% | 3,404,351 |
| 1994 | R | 39.2% | 53.4% | 3,436,884 |
| 1992 | D | 51.0% | 42.3% | 4,793,953 |
| 1988 | D | 57.0% | 43.0% | 4,352,905 |
| 1986 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,121,189 |
| 1982 | D | 56.7% | 41.1% | 3,395,463 |
| 1980 | D | 68.8% | 28.2% | 4,027,303 |
| 1976 | D | 49.5% | 46.5% | 3,920,613 |
Demographics
Ohio's 4th covers a swath of north-central and west-central farm country where Republican presidential nominees have carried the district by margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural electorate with few competitive precincts.
The Republican margin in Ohio 4th Congressional District reached its widest at forty-five points in 1984. The margin in 2024 was thirty-eight points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $83,572, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 788,127 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
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Congressional District 4, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3904/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.