HarrisDemocratic21.0%1,283TrumpRepublican77.2%4,715KennedyIndependent1.7%105
R+56.2- Lead
- 3,432
- Total
- 6,110
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 50.9%
Akashiccounty
Lawrence County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 50.9% of 12,100 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.1%1,419TrumpRepublican76.1%4,886JorgensenLibertarian1.3%82
R+54.0- Lead
- 3,467
- Total
- 6,422
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 50.7%
ClintonDemocratic21.2%1,290TrumpRepublican74.2%4,521JohnsonLibertarian3.2%194
R+53.0- Lead
- 3,231
- Total
- 6,094
- vs nation
- R+55.1
- Turnout
- 46.6%
ObamaDemocratic33.6%2,011RomneyRepublican64.4%3,857JOHNSONLibertarian1.5%88
R+30.8- Lead
- 1,846
- Total
- 5,989
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.1%3,016McCainRepublican52.1%3,403OtherAll other candidates1.8%117
R+5.9- Lead
- 387
- Total
- 6,536
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.4%2,518BushRepublican61.9%4,162OtherAll other candidates0.7%49
R+24.4- Lead
- 1,644
- Total
- 6,729
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.9%2,822BushRepublican54.6%3,594NaderGreen1.5%101
R+11.7- Lead
- 772
- Total
- 6,578
- vs nation
- R+12.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.9%2,871DoleRepublican40.2%2,568PerotReform14.3%916
D+4.7- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 6,392
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,0312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,3242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Randolph County, IN · twin score 94.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 50.9%6,159 participants ÷ 12,100 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.8 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -13.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.5%–42.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,094 | 13,089 | 46.6% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,437 | 12,852 | 34.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,436 | 12,687 | 50.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,131 | 12,242 | 41.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,159 | 12,100 | 50.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 6,103 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 18LAWRENCE 18 | 174 | 383 | 7 | 564 | 30.9% | 67.9% | R+37.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BRIDGEPORT 6BRIDGEPORT 6 | 97 | 455 | 11 | 563 | 17.2% | 80.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -CHRISTY 8CHRISTY 8 | 92 | 452 | 11 | 555 | 16.6% | 81.4% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 15LAWRENCE 15 | 134 | 398 | 7 | 539 | 24.9% | 73.8% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 16LAWRENCE 16 | 114 | 420 | 5 | 539 | 21.2% | 77.9% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 13LAWRENCE 13 | 86 | 356 | 3 | 445 | 19.3% | 80.0% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -DENISON 10DENISON 10 | 102 | 310 | 11 | 423 | 24.1% | 73.3% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -BOND 3BOND 3 | 95 | 234 | 10 | 339 | 28.0% | 69.0% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -BRIDGEPORT 4BRIDGEPORT 4 | 56 | 264 | 11 | 331 | 16.9% | 79.8% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -PETTY 25PETTY 25 | 37 | 281 | 4 | 322 | 11.5% | 87.3% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -DENISON 12DENISON 12 | 32 | 219 | 4 | 255 | 12.5% | 85.9% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 17LAWRENCE 17 | 79 | 167 | 8 | 254 | 31.1% | 65.7% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -RUSSELL 27RUSSELL 27 | 37 | 210 | 2 | 249 | 14.9% | 84.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -LUKIN 24LUKIN 24 | 32 | 189 | 1 | 222 | 14.4% | 85.1% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 20LAWRENCE 20 | 51 | 157 | 8 | 216 | 23.6% | 72.7% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE 22LAWRENCE 22 | 36 | 125 | 2 | 163 | 22.1% | 76.7% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -ALLISON 1ALLISON 1 | 29 | 95 | 0 | 124 | 23.4% | 76.6% | R+53.2 |
| ALLISON 1 Voting District17_1710100001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOND 2 Voting District17_1710100002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOND 3 Voting District17_1710100003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIDGEPORT 4 Voting District17_1710100004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIDGEPORT 5 Voting District17_1710100005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIDGEPORT 6 Voting District17_1710100006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIDGEPORT 7 Voting District17_1710100007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHRISTY 8 Voting District17_1710100008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHRISTY 9 Voting District17_1710100009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DENISON 10 Voting District17_1710100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DENISON 11 Voting District17_1710100011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DENISON 12 Voting District17_1710100012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 13 Voting District17_1710100013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 14 Voting District17_1710100014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 15 Voting District17_1710100015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 16 Voting District17_1710100016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 17 Voting District17_1710100017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 18 Voting District17_1710100018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 19 Voting District17_1710100019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 20 Voting District17_1710100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 21 Voting District17_1710100021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 22 Voting District17_1710100022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE 23 Voting District17_1710100023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUKIN 24 Voting District17_1710100024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PETTY 25 Voting District17_1710100025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PETTY 26 Voting District17_1710100026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUSSELL 27 Voting District17_1710100027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.5% |
| 1896 | −0.6% |
| 1900 | +1.5% |
| 1904 | −6.6% |
| 1908 | +1.2% |
| 1912 | +17.5% |
| 1916 | +5.7% |
| 1920 | −11.6% |
| 1924 | −5.6% |
| 1928 | −21.0% |
| 1932 | +18.3% |
| 1936 | +9.7% |
| 1940 | −3.7% |
| 1944 | −12.8% |
| 1948 | −0.9% |
| 1952 | −23.1% |
| 1956 | −23.9% |
| 1960 | −25.0% |
| 1964 | +10.3% |
| 1968 | −20.2% |
| 1972 | −30.9% |
| 1976 | −3.6% |
| 1980 | −18.1% |
| 1984 | −23.1% |
| 1988 | −7.5% |
| 1992 | +7.9% |
| 1996 | +4.7% |
| 2000 | −11.7% |
| 2004 | −24.4% |
| 2008 | −5.9% |
| 2012 | −30.8% |
| 2016 | −53.0% |
| 2020 | −54.0% |
| 2024 | −56.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,269 |
| 2018 | 8,909 |
| 2020 | 9,175 |
| 2022 | 8,837 |
| 2024 | 8,927 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+94 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,214 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,612 in average income, against $65,530 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.6 on average — 4.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, IL itself (R+56.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Knox County, IN55R+50.4
- Crawford County, IL32R+52.4
- Richland County, IL25R+53.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Knox County, IN45
- Richland County, IL25
- Crawford County, IL23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +22 |
| 2012 | −121 |
| 2013 | +15 |
| 2014 | −170 |
| 2015 | −79 |
| 2016 | −214 |
| 2017 | −116 |
| 2018 | −168 |
| 2019 | −86 |
| 2021 | −145 |
| 2022 | −1,539 |
| 2023 | +139 |
| 2024 | +154 |
| 2025 | +94 |
Lawrence County, tucked along the Wabash River in southeastern Illinois, recorded an R+56.2 margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state whose statewide results consistently trend the opposite direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.2 points.
A population of 15,031, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,324 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Randolph County and Sullivan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Randolph County
Indiana
94.8twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend
Sullivan County
Indiana
92.1twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2020 margin
Jay County
Indiana
92.1twin score
elasticity2020–2024 trajectorycollege share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lawrence County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Illinois voted Republican by 56.2 points (R+56.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,110 votes cast, 1,283 went Democratic and 4,715 went Republican.
When did Lawrence County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Illinois?
Lawrence County, Illinois has a population of 15,031 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Illinois?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Illinois is $55,324 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.