- Lead
- 5,659
- Total
- 10,553
- vs nation
- R+52.2
- Turnout
- 58.0%
Randolph County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.0% of 18,471 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,799
- Total
- 11,070
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- 60.2%
- Lead
- 5,069
- Total
- 10,521
- vs nation
- R+50.3
- Turnout
- 57.5%
- Lead
- 2,449
- Total
- 10,202
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 949
- Total
- 10,808
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,360
- Total
- 11,092
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,114
- Total
- 10,132
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 621
- Total
- 10,420
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,3872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,7912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jennings County, IN · twin score 96.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.0%10,708 participants ÷ 18,471 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.3%–44.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,960 | 19,074 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,201 | 18,969 | 53.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,239 | 18,665 | 60.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,002 | 18,671 | 37.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,708 | 18,471 | 58.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 10,565 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FARMLANDFARMLAND | 213 | 677 | 15 | 905 | 23.5% | 74.8% | R+51.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -UNIONUNION | 131 | 711 | 11 | 853 | 15.4% | 83.4% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON | 144 | 683 | 13 | 840 | 17.1% | 81.3% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -PARKERPARKER | 185 | 536 | 16 | 737 | 25.1% | 72.7% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -WHITE RIVER 1WHITE RIVER 1 | 167 | 504 | 16 | 687 | 24.3% | 73.4% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -WINCHESTER 01_02WINCHESTER 01_02 | 164 | 491 | 19 | 674 | 24.3% | 72.8% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -WINCHESTER 04WINCHESTER 04 | 178 | 409 | 18 | 605 | 29.4% | 67.6% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -UNION CITY 02UNION CITY 02 | 176 | 409 | 13 | 598 | 29.4% | 68.4% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -WINCHESTER 03WINCHESTER 03 | 169 | 367 | 13 | 549 | 30.8% | 66.8% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -WHITE RIVER 2WHITE RIVER 2 | 99 | 398 | 15 | 512 | 19.3% | 77.7% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -RIDGEVILLERIDGEVILLE | 76 | 425 | 10 | 511 | 14.9% | 83.2% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -WARDWARD | 89 | 393 | 5 | 487 | 18.3% | 80.7% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -SPARTANBURGSPARTANBURG | 76 | 402 | 5 | 483 | 15.7% | 83.2% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -UNION CITY 01UNION CITY 01 | 150 | 323 | 8 | 481 | 31.2% | 67.2% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -GREENGREEN | 96 | 362 | 9 | 467 | 20.6% | 77.5% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -STONEY CREEKSTONEY CREEK | 102 | 337 | 10 | 449 | 22.7% | 75.1% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 59 | 230 | 6 | 295 | 20.0% | 78.0% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 2WAYNE 2 | 41 | 195 | 3 | 239 | 17.2% | 81.6% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 1WAYNE 1 | 34 | 156 | 3 | 193 | 17.6% | 80.8% | R+63.2 |
| FARMLAND18_1813500015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN18_1813500090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN18_1813500030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON18_1813500040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARKER18_1813500080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTANBURG18_1813500110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STONEY CREEK18_1813500120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION18_1813500135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION CITY 118_1813500130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION CITY 218_1813500140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARD18_1813500170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON18_1813500175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE18_1813500180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHITE RIVER 118_1813500200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHITE RIVER 218_1813500210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINCHESTER 1_218_1813500225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINCHESTER 318_1813500240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINCHESTER 418_1813500250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −30.7% |
| 1896 | −26.8% |
| 1900 | −34.5% |
| 1904 | −42.2% |
| 1908 | −27.9% |
| 1912 | +2.3% |
| 1916 | −18.4% |
| 1920 | −34.0% |
| 1924 | −31.4% |
| 1928 | −43.5% |
| 1932 | −2.2% |
| 1936 | −1.5% |
| 1940 | −16.0% |
| 1944 | −25.2% |
| 1948 | −20.1% |
| 1952 | −33.5% |
| 1956 | −31.1% |
| 1960 | −30.6% |
| 1964 | +1.9% |
| 1968 | −25.9% |
| 1972 | −43.7% |
| 1976 | −12.7% |
| 1980 | −30.2% |
| 1984 | −34.2% |
| 1988 | −26.3% |
| 1992 | −9.1% |
| 1996 | −6.0% |
| 2000 | −20.9% |
| 2004 | −30.3% |
| 2008 | −8.8% |
| 2012 | −24.0% |
| 2016 | −48.2% |
| 2020 | −52.4% |
| 2024 | −53.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.5%2,182 | 77.5%7,535 | 9,717 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 18,111 |
| 2018 | 16,487 |
| 2020 | 16,676 |
| 2022 | 16,554 |
| 2024 | 17,062 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+65 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,474 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,418 in average income, against $61,928 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Randolph County, IN itself (R+53.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Delaware County, IN126R+15.8
- Darke County, OH75R+65.4
- Jay County, IN47R+55.2
- Wayne County, IN47R+32.4
- Henry County, IN21R+47.7
- Marion County, IN20D+27.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Delaware County, IN153
- Wayne County, IN83
- Darke County, OH60
- Jay County, IN38
- Henry County, IN28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −154 |
| 2012 | −180 |
| 2013 | −249 |
| 2014 | −277 |
| 2015 | −228 |
| 2016 | −66 |
| 2017 | −160 |
| 2018 | −116 |
| 2019 | −165 |
| 2021 | +91 |
| 2022 | +38 |
| 2023 | −16 |
| 2024 | −57 |
| 2025 | +65 |
Randolph County, a rural agricultural community along Indiana's eastern border with Ohio, recorded an R+53.6 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in the state and consistent with a long shift away from competitive voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.6 points.
A population of 24,387, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,791 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jennings County and Jay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Randolph County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.