HarrisDemocratic22.8%2,006TrumpRepublican75.5%6,639KennedyIndependent1.3%111
R+52.7- Lead
- 4,633
- Total
- 8,795
- vs nation
- R+51.2
- Turnout
- 52.9%
Akashiccounty
Sullivan County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 52.9% of 16,818 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic23.9%2,153TrumpRepublican74.4%6,691JorgensenLibertarian1.7%150
R+50.5- Lead
- 4,538
- Total
- 8,994
- vs nation
- R+54.9
- Turnout
- 55.1%
ClintonDemocratic24.5%2,113TrumpRepublican71.3%6,138JohnsonLibertarian3.6%308
R+46.7- Lead
- 4,025
- Total
- 8,613
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- 53.1%
ObamaDemocratic38.5%3,191RomneyRepublican59.1%4,902JohnsonLibertarian2.4%196
R+20.6- Lead
- 1,711
- Total
- 8,290
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.8%4,284McCainRepublican49.5%4,343OtherAll other candidates1.8%155
R+0.7- Lead
- 59
- Total
- 8,782
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.8%3,341BushRepublican59.6%4,999OtherAll other candidates0.6%54
R+19.8- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 8,394
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.4%3,833BushRepublican52.3%4,319OtherAll other candidates1.3%110
R+5.9- Lead
- 486
- Total
- 8,262
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.2%4,076DoleRepublican37.1%3,207PerotReform13.6%1,178
D+10.1- Lead
- 869
- Total
- 8,642
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 20,7802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,2042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Blackford County, IN · twin score 96.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 52.9%8,898 participants ÷ 16,818 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.7%–46.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,837 | 16,638 | 53.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,165 | 16,585 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,137 | 16,593 | 55.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,609 | 16,584 | 39.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,898 | 16,818 | 52.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 8,795 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -HAMILTON 06HAMILTON 06 | 195 | 588 | 12 | 795 | 24.5% | 74.0% | R+49.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -HAMILTON 05HAMILTON 05 | 162 | 547 | 8 | 717 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -TURMANTURMAN | 117 | 568 | 11 | 696 | 16.8% | 81.6% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -CURRY 03CURRY 03 | 138 | 476 | 8 | 622 | 22.2% | 76.5% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 02HAMILTON 02 | 185 | 411 | 11 | 607 | 30.5% | 67.7% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -HADDON 02HADDON 02 | 133 | 435 | 8 | 576 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -CASS 02CASS 02 | 96 | 432 | 9 | 537 | 17.9% | 80.4% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 01JACKSON 01 | 92 | 391 | 14 | 497 | 18.5% | 78.7% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -CURRY 01CURRY 01 | 124 | 328 | 7 | 459 | 27.0% | 71.5% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 03HAMILTON 03 | 117 | 312 | 8 | 437 | 26.8% | 71.4% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -CURRY 02CURRY 02 | 92 | 307 | 3 | 402 | 22.9% | 76.4% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -FAIRBANKSFAIRBANKS | 74 | 312 | 12 | 398 | 18.6% | 78.4% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -CASS 01CASS 01 | 63 | 294 | 8 | 365 | 17.3% | 80.5% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 02JACKSON 02 | 69 | 254 | 9 | 332 | 20.8% | 76.5% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 01HAMILTON 01 | 89 | 230 | 5 | 324 | 27.5% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -HAMILTON 04HAMILTON 04 | 81 | 166 | 6 | 253 | 32.0% | 65.6% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -GILL 01GILL 01 | 53 | 187 | 6 | 246 | 21.5% | 76.0% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -HADDON 01HADDON 01 | 42 | 155 | 1 | 198 | 21.2% | 78.3% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSONJEFFERSON | 40 | 135 | 2 | 177 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -GILL 02GILL 02 | 44 | 111 | 2 | 157 | 28.0% | 70.7% | R+42.7 |
| CASS 118_1815300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASS 218_1815300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURRY 118_1815300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURRY 218_1815300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURRY 318_1815300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRBANKS18_1815300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILL 118_1815300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILL 218_1815300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HADDON 118_1815300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HADDON 218_1815300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 118_1815300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 218_1815300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 318_1815300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 418_1815300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 518_1815300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON 618_1815300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 118_1815300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 218_1815300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON18_1815300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TURMAN18_1815300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +25.2% |
| 1896 | +26.4% |
| 1900 | +25.5% |
| 1904 | +7.7% |
| 1908 | +20.8% |
| 1912 | +29.6% |
| 1916 | +16.7% |
| 1920 | +6.0% |
| 1924 | +0.6% |
| 1928 | −4.6% |
| 1932 | +33.4% |
| 1936 | +36.4% |
| 1940 | +14.4% |
| 1944 | +4.6% |
| 1948 | +15.9% |
| 1952 | +8.0% |
| 1956 | +1.8% |
| 1960 | −0.3% |
| 1964 | +30.9% |
| 1968 | +1.9% |
| 1972 | −19.0% |
| 1976 | +16.1% |
| 1980 | −1.4% |
| 1984 | −8.7% |
| 1988 | +0.9% |
| 1992 | +12.6% |
| 1996 | +10.1% |
| 2000 | −5.9% |
| 2004 | −19.8% |
| 2008 | −0.7% |
| 2012 | −20.6% |
| 2016 | −46.7% |
| 2020 | −50.5% |
| 2024 | −52.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 24.2%1,969 | 75.8%6,164 | 8,133 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,905 |
| 2018 | 13,714 |
| 2020 | 13,897 |
| 2022 | 14,311 |
| 2024 | 14,588 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+191 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −364 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,399 in average income, against $65,426 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.9 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Sullivan County, IN itself (R+52.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vigo County, IN123R+18.1
- Greene County, IN83R+53.7
- Knox County, IN32R+50.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vigo County, IN131
- Greene County, IN62
- Knox County, IN37
- Marion County, IN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −159 |
| 2012 | −29 |
| 2013 | −79 |
| 2014 | −149 |
| 2015 | −80 |
| 2016 | −127 |
| 2017 | +19 |
| 2018 | +2 |
| 2019 | −24 |
| 2021 | +10 |
| 2022 | −75 |
| 2023 | +106 |
| 2024 | +30 |
| 2025 | +191 |
Sullivan County's 2024 presidential margin of R+52.7 reflects a broader realignment of southwestern Indiana's historically Democratic coal-country precincts, where union-era voting patterns have steadily given way to Republican dominance over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.7 points.
A population of 20,780, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,204 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Blackford County and Henry County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Blackford County
Indiana
96.1twin score
12-yr trendcollege share2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Henry County
Indiana
95.1twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% Catholic
Jay County
Indiana
93.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sullivan County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Sullivan County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Sullivan County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sullivan County, Indiana voted Republican by 52.7 points (R+52.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,795 votes cast, 2,006 went Democratic and 6,639 went Republican.
When did Sullivan County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sullivan County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Sullivan County, Indiana?
Sullivan County, Indiana has a population of 20,780 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sullivan County, Indiana?
Median household income in Sullivan County, Indiana is $56,204 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Sullivan County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sullivan County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.