- Lead
- 6,889
- Total
- 16,364
- vs nation
- R+40.6
- Turnout
- 60.8%
Steuben County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.8% of 27,510 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,814
- Total
- 16,162
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- 60.9%
- Lead
- 6,386
- Total
- 14,705
- vs nation
- R+45.5
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Lead
- 3,694
- Total
- 13,695
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,390
- Total
- 14,146
- vs nation
- R+17.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,088
- Total
- 12,905
- vs nation
- R+29.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,850
- Total
- 11,277
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,389
- Total
- 11,130
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,7262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,9112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+1.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Posey County, IN · twin score 93.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.8%16,713 participants ÷ 27,510 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.1%–49.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,964 | 26,488 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,954 | 26,753 | 55.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,557 | 27,207 | 60.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,482 | 27,435 | 38.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,713 | 27,510 | 60.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
42 precincts · 16,409 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PLEASANT 7PLEASANT 7 | 352 | 839 | 21 | 1,212 | 29.0% | 69.2% | R+40.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -JAMESTOWN 2JAMESTOWN 2 | 366 | 750 | 24 | 1,140 | 32.1% | 65.8% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -SALEMSALEM | 193 | 849 | 16 | 1,058 | 18.2% | 80.2% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 2PLEASANT 2 | 337 | 635 | 17 | 989 | 34.1% | 64.2% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -JAMESTOWN 1JAMESTOWN 1 | 289 | 632 | 21 | 942 | 30.7% | 67.1% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 6PLEASANT 6 | 264 | 588 | 21 | 873 | 30.2% | 67.4% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -MILLGROVEMILLGROVE | 219 | 636 | 9 | 864 | 25.3% | 73.6% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 192 | 641 | 15 | 848 | 22.6% | 75.6% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 3PLEASANT 3 | 310 | 489 | 21 | 820 | 37.8% | 59.6% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO 1OTSEGO 1 | 232 | 560 | 17 | 809 | 28.7% | 69.2% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 1PLEASANT 1 | 269 | 494 | 31 | 794 | 33.9% | 62.2% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 5PLEASANT 5 | 219 | 506 | 13 | 738 | 29.7% | 68.6% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -STEUBEN 1STEUBEN 1 | 190 | 455 | 11 | 656 | 29.0% | 69.4% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO 2OTSEGO 2 | 142 | 488 | 9 | 639 | 22.2% | 76.4% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -STEUBEN 2STEUBEN 2 | 148 | 455 | 16 | 619 | 23.9% | 73.5% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -SCOTTSCOTT | 125 | 451 | 5 | 581 | 21.5% | 77.6% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 4PLEASANT 4 | 225 | 299 | 16 | 540 | 41.7% | 55.4% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -CLEAR LAKECLEAR LAKE | 122 | 391 | 6 | 519 | 23.5% | 75.3% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -FREMONT 3FREMONT 3 | 82 | 362 | 7 | 451 | 18.2% | 80.3% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -FREMONT 1FREMONT 1 | 118 | 294 | 8 | 420 | 28.1% | 70.0% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -FREMONT 2FREMONT 2 | 123 | 256 | 10 | 389 | 31.6% | 65.8% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -YORKYORK | 59 | 284 | 7 | 350 | 16.9% | 81.1% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -RICHLANDRICHLAND | 22 | 133 | 3 | 158 | 13.9% | 84.2% | R+70.3 |
| CLEAR LAKE18_1815100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FREMONT18_1815100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON18_1815100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JAMESTOWN 0118_1815100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JAMESTOWN 0218_1815100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLGROVE18_1815100060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSTEGO18_1815100070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0118_1815100080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0218_1815100090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0318_1815100100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0418_1815100110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0518_1815100120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0618_1815100130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0718_1815100140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RICHLAND18_1815100150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM18_1815100160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTT18_1815100170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEUBEN18_1815100180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YORK18_1815100190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −22.2% |
| 1896 | −22.2% |
| 1900 | −27.2% |
| 1904 | −37.3% |
| 1908 | −28.7% |
| 1912 | −0.6% |
| 1916 | −20.8% |
| 1920 | −48.0% |
| 1924 | −41.3% |
| 1928 | −43.5% |
| 1932 | +1.7% |
| 1936 | −7.9% |
| 1940 | −33.2% |
| 1944 | −43.9% |
| 1948 | −36.3% |
| 1952 | −47.1% |
| 1956 | −43.5% |
| 1960 | −35.6% |
| 1964 | −0.9% |
| 1968 | −32.7% |
| 1972 | −40.1% |
| 1976 | −20.5% |
| 1980 | −34.0% |
| 1984 | −44.6% |
| 1988 | −37.4% |
| 1992 | −10.8% |
| 1996 | −12.5% |
| 2000 | −25.3% |
| 2004 | −31.7% |
| 2008 | −9.8% |
| 2012 | −27.0% |
| 2016 | −43.4% |
| 2020 | −42.2% |
| 2024 | −42.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 28.1%4,293 | 71.9%10,987 | 15,280 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,349 |
| 2018 | 22,795 |
| 2020 | 24,385 |
| 2022 | 25,821 |
| 2024 | 26,853 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+80 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +498 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,563 in average income, against $80,998 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.2 on average — 5.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Steuben County, IN itself (R+42.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Allen County, IN174R+12.5
- DeKalb County, IN141R+47.1
- LaGrange County, IN55R+56.8
- Branch County, MI55R+42.4
- Noble County, IN34R+51.4
- Hillsdale County, MI24R+51.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Allen County, IN163
- DeKalb County, IN161
- LaGrange County, IN41
- Branch County, MI41
- Noble County, IN39
- Marion County, IN22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −111 |
| 2012 | +13 |
| 2013 | +131 |
| 2014 | +43 |
| 2015 | −76 |
| 2016 | −233 |
| 2017 | −10 |
| 2018 | +97 |
| 2019 | +106 |
| 2021 | +245 |
| 2022 | +104 |
| 2023 | +172 |
| 2024 | −63 |
| 2025 | +80 |
Nestled in Indiana's northeastern lake district, Steuben has delivered Republican presidential margins above 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, predominantly white electorate with deep conservative roots and little urban counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 1.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 42.1 points.
A population of 34,726, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,911 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Posey County and Tipton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Steuben County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18151/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.