HarrisDemocratic23.0%1,816TrumpRepublican75.3%5,955KennedyIndependent1.7%135
R+52.3- Lead
- 4,139
- Total
- 7,912
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- 60.6%
Akashiccounty
Edgar County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.6% of 13,197 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic23.0%1,887TrumpRepublican75.4%6,193JorgensenLibertarian0.9%75
R+52.4- Lead
- 4,306
- Total
- 8,212
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Turnout
- 59.8%
ClintonDemocratic22.7%1,793TrumpRepublican71.5%5,645JohnsonLibertarian4.2%328
R+48.8- Lead
- 3,852
- Total
- 7,899
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- 57.0%
ObamaDemocratic32.7%2,565RomneyRepublican65.5%5,132JOHNSONLibertarian1.0%76
R+32.8- Lead
- 2,567
- Total
- 7,835
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.3%3,743McCainRepublican53.3%4,398OtherAll other candidates1.4%114
R+7.9- Lead
- 655
- Total
- 8,255
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.7%3,093BushRepublican62.4%5,258OtherAll other candidates0.9%78
R+25.7- Lead
- 2,165
- Total
- 8,429
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.1%3,216BushRepublican58.7%4,833NaderGreen1.4%113
R+19.6- Lead
- 1,617
- Total
- 8,232
- vs nation
- R+20.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.8%3,552DoleRepublican45.1%3,746PerotReform11.3%935
R+2.3- Lead
- 194
- Total
- 8,302
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,5352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,9412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Crawford County, IL · twin score 90.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.6%7,991 participants ÷ 13,197 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -13.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.8%–52.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,930 | 13,911 | 57.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,087 | 13,796 | 44.1% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,268 | 13,816 | 59.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,928 | 13,505 | 51.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,991 | 13,197 | 60.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
60 precincts · 7,991 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PARIS 14PARIS 14 | 145 | 347 | 11 | 503 | 28.8% | 69.0% | R+40.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ELBRIDGEELBRIDGE | 98 | 332 | 16 | 446 | 22.0% | 74.4% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -PARIS 02PARIS 02 | 124 | 288 | 23 | 435 | 28.5% | 66.2% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -KANSASKANSAS | 79 | 339 | 11 | 429 | 18.4% | 79.0% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -PARIS 10PARIS 10 | 110 | 248 | 7 | 365 | 30.1% | 67.9% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -SYMMES 1SYMMES 1 | 76 | 276 | 10 | 362 | 21.0% | 76.2% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -ROSS 2ROSS 2 | 59 | 278 | 5 | 342 | 17.3% | 81.3% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -PARIS 07PARIS 07 | 96 | 227 | 9 | 332 | 28.9% | 68.4% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -PARIS 15PARIS 15 | 89 | 226 | 4 | 319 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -ROSS 1ROSS 1 | 58 | 245 | 11 | 314 | 18.5% | 78.0% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -PARIS 03PARIS 03 | 91 | 195 | 11 | 297 | 30.6% | 65.7% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -EMBARRASSEMBARRASS | 38 | 245 | 5 | 288 | 13.2% | 85.1% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -PARIS 01PARIS 01 | 75 | 188 | 4 | 267 | 28.1% | 70.4% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -PARIS 05PARIS 05 | 72 | 181 | 12 | 265 | 27.2% | 68.3% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -EDGAREDGAR | 51 | 206 | 6 | 263 | 19.4% | 78.3% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -GRANDVIEWGRANDVIEW | 45 | 212 | 6 | 263 | 17.1% | 80.6% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -STRATTONSTRATTON | 39 | 201 | 9 | 249 | 15.7% | 80.7% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -SYMMES 2SYMMES 2 | 30 | 208 | 7 | 245 | 12.2% | 84.9% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -PARIS 11PARIS 11 | 61 | 153 | 8 | 222 | 27.5% | 68.9% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -YOUNG AMERICA 1YOUNG AMERICA 1 | 50 | 157 | 11 | 218 | 22.9% | 72.0% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -PARIS 12PARIS 12 | 50 | 163 | 3 | 216 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -PARIS 09PARIS 09 | 46 | 143 | 4 | 193 | 23.8% | 74.1% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -PARIS 06PARIS 06 | 48 | 128 | 5 | 181 | 26.5% | 70.7% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -PARIS 04PARIS 04 | 35 | 121 | 4 | 160 | 21.9% | 75.6% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -BUCKBUCK | 31 | 116 | 3 | 150 | 20.7% | 77.3% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -PARIS 08PARIS 08 | 24 | 111 | 5 | 140 | 17.1% | 79.3% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -HUNTERHUNTER | 20 | 108 | 0 | 128 | 15.6% | 84.4% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -BROUILLETTS CREEKBROUILLETTS CREEK | 24 | 97 | 1 | 122 | 19.7% | 79.5% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIEPRAIRIE | 30 | 90 | 2 | 122 | 24.6% | 73.8% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -SHILOHSHILOH | 10 | 62 | 6 | 78 | 12.8% | 79.5% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -YOUNG AMERICA 2YOUNG AMERICA 2 | 12 | 64 | 1 | 77 | 15.6% | 83.1% | R+67.5 |
| BROUILLETTS CREEK Voting District17_17045BC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUCK Voting District17_17045BK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EDGAR Voting District17_17045ED01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELBRIDGE Voting District17_17045EL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMBARRASS 1 Voting District17_17045EM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANDVIEW Voting District17_17045GR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUNTER Voting District17_17045HU01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KANSAS 1 Voting District17_17045KS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 09 Voting District17_17045PA09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 1 Voting District17_17045PA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 10 Voting District17_17045PA10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 11 Voting District17_17045PA11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 12 Voting District17_17045PA12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 14 Voting District17_17045PA14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 2 Voting District17_17045PA02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 3 Voting District17_17045PA03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 4 Voting District17_17045PA04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 5 Voting District17_17045PA05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 6 Voting District17_17045PA06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 7 Voting District17_17045PA07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PARIS 8 Voting District17_17045PA08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIE Voting District17_17045PR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROSS 1 Voting District17_17045RS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROSS 2 Voting District17_17045RS02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHILOH Voting District17_17045SH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STRATTON Voting District17_17045ST01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SYMMES Voting District17_17045SY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YOUNG AMERICA 1 Voting District17_17045YA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YOUNG AMERICA 2 Voting District17_17045YA02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −0.5% |
| 1896 | −1.2% |
| 1900 | +0.2% |
| 1904 | −4.2% |
| 1908 | −4.4% |
| 1912 | +14.2% |
| 1916 | +4.6% |
| 1920 | −8.3% |
| 1924 | −8.9% |
| 1928 | −16.9% |
| 1932 | +13.0% |
| 1936 | +6.0% |
| 1940 | −8.6% |
| 1944 | −15.8% |
| 1948 | −10.1% |
| 1952 | −29.2% |
| 1956 | −29.1% |
| 1960 | −18.8% |
| 1964 | +1.2% |
| 1968 | −24.4% |
| 1972 | −29.7% |
| 1976 | −7.1% |
| 1980 | −30.9% |
| 1984 | −35.4% |
| 1988 | −17.5% |
| 1992 | +2.3% |
| 1996 | −2.3% |
| 2000 | −19.6% |
| 2004 | −25.7% |
| 2008 | −7.9% |
| 2012 | −32.8% |
| 2016 | −48.8% |
| 2020 | −52.4% |
| 2024 | −52.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,986 |
| 2018 | 13,043 |
| 2020 | 12,355 |
| 2022 | 12,215 |
| 2024 | 12,387 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+68 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −816 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,975 in average income, against $69,215 for residents who stayed — 44% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.9 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Edgar County, IL itself (R+52.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vigo County, IN44R+18.1
- Clark County, IL33R+51.2
- Coles County, IL33R+28.4
- Vermilion County, IL24R+35.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vigo County, IN41
- Clark County, IL35
- Coles County, IL33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −74 |
| 2012 | −201 |
| 2013 | −155 |
| 2014 | −68 |
| 2015 | −139 |
| 2016 | −16 |
| 2017 | −81 |
| 2018 | −4 |
| 2019 | −147 |
| 2021 | −104 |
| 2022 | −47 |
| 2023 | +95 |
| 2024 | +57 |
| 2025 | +68 |
Edgar County, anchored by the small city of Paris, sits in the east-central Illinois flatlands and has shifted steadily toward Republican margins exceeding 50 points, reflecting broader rural realignment across the state's agricultural interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 52.3 points.
A population of 16,535, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,941 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crawford County and Fountain County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Crawford County
Illinois
90.0twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ Irish ancestry
Fountain County
Indiana
89.8twin score
elasticity2016–2020 trajectory% White
Greene County
Indiana
89.0twin score
elasticity2020–2024 trajectory% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Edgar County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Edgar County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Edgar County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Edgar County, Illinois voted Republican by 52.3 points (R+52.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,912 votes cast, 1,816 went Democratic and 5,955 went Republican.
When did Edgar County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Edgar County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Edgar County, Illinois?
Edgar County, Illinois has a population of 16,535 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Edgar County, Illinois?
Median household income in Edgar County, Illinois is $59,941 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Edgar County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Edgar County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.