- Lead
- 4,196
- Total
- 7,067
- vs nation
- R+57.9
- Turnout
- 66.9%
White County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.9% of 10,619 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,274
- Total
- 7,431
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- 69.5%
- Lead
- 4,228
- Total
- 7,335
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Turnout
- 65.6%
- Lead
- 2,543
- Total
- 7,082
- vs nation
- R+39.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 672
- Total
- 7,453
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,109
- Total
- 8,301
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,563
- Total
- 7,637
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 675
- Total
- 7,352
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,6192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,8132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clark County, IL · twin score 93.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.9%7,099 participants ÷ 10,619 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.0%–53.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,335 | 11,173 | 65.6% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,027 | 10,851 | 55.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,471 | 10,749 | 69.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,795 | 10,811 | 53.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,099 | 10,619 | 66.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
47 precincts · 7,120 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -INDIAN CREEK 6-3INDIAN CREEK 6-3 | 114 | 610 | 19 | 743 | 15.3% | 82.1% | R+66.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CARMI 13-2CARMI 13-2 | 166 | 554 | 13 | 733 | 22.6% | 75.6% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -CARMI 20-4CARMI 20-4 | 112 | 441 | 11 | 564 | 19.9% | 78.2% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -PHILLIPS 26-2PHILLIPS 26-2 | 101 | 444 | 12 | 557 | 18.1% | 79.7% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -CARMI 19-4CARMI 19-4 | 142 | 381 | 10 | 533 | 26.6% | 71.5% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -GRAY 24-2GRAY 24-2 | 108 | 414 | 11 | 533 | 20.3% | 77.7% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -INDIAN CREEK 8-3INDIAN CREEK 8-3 | 83 | 386 | 14 | 483 | 17.2% | 79.9% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -ENFIELD 4-2ENFIELD 4-2 | 71 | 371 | 7 | 449 | 15.8% | 82.6% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -CARMI 16-1CARMI 16-1 | 83 | 340 | 9 | 432 | 19.2% | 78.7% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -CARMI 18-4CARMI 18-4 | 117 | 266 | 8 | 391 | 29.9% | 68.0% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -HERALDS PRAIRIE 22-3HERALDS PRAIRIE 22-3 | 56 | 318 | 6 | 380 | 14.7% | 83.7% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -CARMI 14-1CARMI 14-1 | 57 | 187 | 5 | 249 | 22.9% | 75.1% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -BURNT PRAIRIE 10-1BURNT PRAIRIE 10-1 | 33 | 177 | 3 | 213 | 15.5% | 83.1% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -CARMI 12-1CARMI 12-1 | 39 | 163 | 2 | 204 | 19.1% | 79.9% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -MILL SHOALS 2-2MILL SHOALS 2-2 | 28 | 153 | 6 | 187 | 15.0% | 81.8% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -MILL SHOALS 1-1MILL SHOALS 1-1 | 22 | 137 | 4 | 163 | 13.5% | 84.0% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -EMMA 30-3EMMA 30-3 | 29 | 114 | 3 | 146 | 19.9% | 78.1% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -HAWTHORNE 28-3HAWTHORNE 28-3 | 20 | 109 | 1 | 130 | 15.4% | 83.8% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -HAWTHORNE 28-2HAWTHORNE 28-2 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 26 | 30.8% | 69.2% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -CARMI 20-5CARMI 20-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| BURNT PRAIRIE 10 Voting District17_17193BP10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURNT PRAIRIE 9 Voting District17_17193BP09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 12 Voting District17_17193CA12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 13 Voting District17_17193CA13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 14 Voting District17_17193CA14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 15 Voting District17_17193CA15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 16 Voting District17_17193CA16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 17 Voting District17_17193CA17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 18 Voting District17_17193CA18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 19 Voting District17_17193CA19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARMI 20 Voting District17_17193CA20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMMA 29 Voting District17_17193EM29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMMA 30 Voting District17_17193EM30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ENFIELD 4 Voting District17_17193EN04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ENFIELD 5 Voting District17_17193EN05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREY 24 Voting District17_17193GR24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREY 25 Voting District17_17193GR25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAROLDS PRAIRIE 22 Voting District17_17193HP22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAROLDS PRAIRIE 23 Voting District17_17193HP23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAWTHORNE 28 Voting District17_17193HA28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN CREEK 6 Voting District17_17193IC06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN CREEK 7 Voting District17_17193IC07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN CREEK 8 Voting District17_17193IC08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL SHOALS 1 Voting District17_17193MS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL SHOALS 2 Voting District17_17193MS02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PHILLIPS 26 Voting District17_17193PH26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PHILLIPS 27 Voting District17_17193PH27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +13.5% |
| 1896 | +10.4% |
| 1900 | +8.7% |
| 1904 | +4.7% |
| 1908 | +8.9% |
| 1912 | +19.2% |
| 1916 | +9.8% |
| 1920 | −3.9% |
| 1924 | +7.1% |
| 1928 | −6.5% |
| 1932 | +27.8% |
| 1936 | +20.1% |
| 1940 | +3.9% |
| 1944 | −3.2% |
| 1948 | +2.8% |
| 1952 | −17.8% |
| 1956 | −12.4% |
| 1960 | −10.0% |
| 1964 | +19.7% |
| 1968 | −15.2% |
| 1972 | −24.4% |
| 1976 | +7.1% |
| 1980 | −20.0% |
| 1984 | −22.7% |
| 1988 | −2.5% |
| 1992 | +14.2% |
| 1996 | +9.2% |
| 2000 | −20.5% |
| 2004 | −25.4% |
| 2008 | −9.0% |
| 2012 | −35.9% |
| 2016 | −57.6% |
| 2020 | −57.5% |
| 2024 | −59.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,228 |
| 2018 | 10,733 |
| 2020 | 10,381 |
| 2022 | 10,137 |
| 2024 | 10,121 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−91 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −538 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,250 in average income, against $78,174 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+68.6 on average — 9.3 points more Republican-leaning than White County, IL itself (R+59.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wayne County, IL26R+70.9
- Edwards County, IL25R+71.1
- Hamilton County, IL22R+63.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vanderburgh County, IN34
- Hamilton County, IL21
- Wayne County, IL21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +31 |
| 2012 | −17 |
| 2013 | −27 |
| 2014 | −116 |
| 2015 | +3 |
| 2016 | −64 |
| 2017 | −100 |
| 2018 | −204 |
| 2019 | −16 |
| 2021 | +93 |
| 2022 | −18 |
| 2023 | −45 |
| 2024 | +33 |
| 2025 | −91 |
White County, in the rural southeastern corner of Illinois, delivered a nearly 60-point Republican margin in 2024—one of the state's widest—reflecting the broader shift of small, majority-white rural counties away from competitive two-party voting over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.4 points.
A population of 13,619, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,813 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clark County and Saline County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
White County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17193/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.