HarrisDemocratic24.8%2,634TrumpRepublican73.8%7,830KennedyIndependent1.3%138
R+49.0- Lead
- 5,196
- Total
- 10,605
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Turnout
- 58.5%
Akashiccounty
Saline County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.5% of 18,300 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.2%2,789TrumpRepublican73.1%8,103JorgensenLibertarian1.1%124
R+47.9- Lead
- 5,314
- Total
- 11,089
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 70.1%
ClintonDemocratic22.6%2,572TrumpRepublican72.7%8,276JohnsonLibertarian3.1%358
R+50.1- Lead
- 5,704
- Total
- 11,384
- vs nation
- R+52.2
- Turnout
- 59.5%
ObamaDemocratic34.5%3,701RomneyRepublican63.5%6,806JOHNSONLibertarian1.2%126
R+29.0- Lead
- 3,105
- Total
- 10,720
- vs nation
- R+32.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.5%5,083McCainRepublican53.4%6,099OtherAll other candidates2.2%246
R+8.9- Lead
- 1,016
- Total
- 11,428
- vs nation
- R+16.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.8%4,697BushRepublican59.7%7,057OtherAll other candidates0.5%60
R+20.0- Lead
- 2,360
- Total
- 11,814
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.6%5,427BushRepublican50.9%5,933NaderGreen1.6%181
R+4.3- Lead
- 506
- Total
- 11,650
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.8%6,156DoleRepublican31.7%3,693PerotReform15.0%1,752
D+21.1- Lead
- 2,463
- Total
- 11,665
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,1172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.1 in 1992MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- White County, IL · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.5%10,714 participants ÷ 18,300 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.1%–49.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,384 | 19,146 | 59.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,720 | 18,910 | 67.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,010 | 18,551 | 70.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,327 | 18,653 | 44.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,714 | 18,300 | 58.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
56 precincts · 10,714 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -INDEPENDENCEINDEPENDENCE | 78 | 563 | 11 | 652 | 12.0% | 86.3% | R+74.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 10HARRISBURG 10 | 164 | 437 | 9 | 610 | 26.9% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -RALEIGHRALEIGH | 135 | 444 | 11 | 590 | 22.9% | 75.3% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -BRUSHYBRUSHY | 104 | 449 | 7 | 560 | 18.6% | 80.2% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -GALATIAGALATIA | 100 | 427 | 14 | 541 | 18.5% | 78.9% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -CARRIER MILLS 2CARRIER MILLS 2 | 149 | 373 | 13 | 535 | 27.9% | 69.7% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 08HARRISBURG 08 | 142 | 352 | 20 | 514 | 27.6% | 68.5% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 06HARRISBURG 06 | 102 | 393 | 13 | 508 | 20.1% | 77.4% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -CARRIER MILLS 1CARRIER MILLS 1 | 136 | 350 | 9 | 495 | 27.5% | 70.7% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 04HARRISBURG 04 | 157 | 313 | 15 | 485 | 32.4% | 64.5% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -EAST ELDORADO 1EAST ELDORADO 1 | 117 | 310 | 8 | 435 | 26.9% | 71.3% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -EAST ELDORADO 5EAST ELDORADO 5 | 114 | 307 | 14 | 435 | 26.2% | 70.6% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -EAST ELDORADO 2EAST ELDORADO 2 | 88 | 303 | 13 | 404 | 21.8% | 75.0% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 07HARRISBURG 07 | 135 | 253 | 13 | 401 | 33.7% | 63.1% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 05HARRISBURG 05 | 110 | 274 | 13 | 397 | 27.7% | 69.0% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 02HARRISBURG 02 | 107 | 254 | 4 | 365 | 29.3% | 69.6% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -EAST ELDORADO 4EAST ELDORADO 4 | 99 | 254 | 6 | 359 | 27.6% | 70.8% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 09HARRISBURG 09 | 102 | 239 | 13 | 354 | 28.8% | 67.5% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 03HARRISBURG 03 | 127 | 206 | 8 | 341 | 37.2% | 60.4% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -EAST ELDORADO 6EAST ELDORADO 6 | 73 | 232 | 6 | 311 | 23.5% | 74.6% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -EAST ELDORADO 3EAST ELDORADO 3 | 61 | 199 | 10 | 270 | 22.6% | 73.7% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -HARRISBURG 01HARRISBURG 01 | 90 | 164 | 4 | 258 | 34.9% | 63.6% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -MOUNTAINMOUNTAIN | 49 | 178 | 5 | 232 | 21.1% | 76.7% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -STONEFORTSTONEFORT | 25 | 175 | 1 | 201 | 12.4% | 87.1% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -LONG BRANCHLONG BRANCH | 26 | 119 | 2 | 147 | 17.7% | 81.0% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -TATETATE | 18 | 122 | 2 | 142 | 12.7% | 85.9% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -COTTAGECOTTAGE | 22 | 106 | 6 | 134 | 16.4% | 79.1% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -RECTORRECTOR | 4 | 34 | 0 | 38 | 10.5% | 89.5% | R+78.9 |
| BRUSHY Voting District17_1716500101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARRIER MILLS 1 Voting District17_1716500201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARRIER MILLS 2 Voting District17_1716500202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COTTAGE 1 Voting District17_1716500301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO 1 Voting District17_1716500401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO 2 Voting District17_1716500402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO 3 Voting District17_1716500403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO 4 Voting District17_1716500404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO 5 Voting District17_1716500405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDORADO 6 Voting District17_1716500406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALATIA 1 Voting District17_1716500501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 1 Voting District17_1716500601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 10 Voting District17_1716500610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 2 Voting District17_1716500602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 3 Voting District17_1716500603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 4 Voting District17_1716500604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 5 Voting District17_1716500605 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 6 Voting District17_1716500606 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 7 Voting District17_1716500607 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 8 Voting District17_1716500608 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISBURG 9 Voting District17_1716500609 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDEPENDENCE 1 Voting District17_1716500701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LONG BRANCH 1 Voting District17_1716500801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUNTAIN 1 Voting District17_1716500901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RALEIGH 1 Voting District17_1716501001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RECTOR 1 Voting District17_1716501101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STONEFORT 1 Voting District17_1716501201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TATE 1 Voting District17_1716501301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.9% |
| 1896 | −6.3% |
| 1900 | −6.5% |
| 1904 | −20.3% |
| 1908 | −10.9% |
| 1912 | +16.6% |
| 1916 | −8.1% |
| 1920 | −25.4% |
| 1924 | −15.8% |
| 1928 | −8.5% |
| 1932 | +20.8% |
| 1936 | +6.1% |
| 1940 | +0.6% |
| 1944 | −10.5% |
| 1948 | +0.3% |
| 1952 | −8.4% |
| 1956 | −8.1% |
| 1960 | −12.8% |
| 1964 | +18.9% |
| 1968 | −6.7% |
| 1972 | −18.8% |
| 1976 | +11.1% |
| 1980 | −11.1% |
| 1984 | −8.6% |
| 1988 | +7.0% |
| 1992 | +27.1% |
| 1996 | +21.1% |
| 2000 | −4.3% |
| 2004 | −20.0% |
| 2008 | −8.9% |
| 2012 | −29.0% |
| 2016 | −50.1% |
| 2020 | −47.9% |
| 2024 | −49.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,753 |
| 2018 | 17,172 |
| 2020 | 16,752 |
| 2022 | 16,153 |
| 2024 | 15,945 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+102 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,213 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,425 in average income, against $65,099 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.1 on average — 1.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Saline County, IL itself (R+49.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Williamson County, IL74R+38.7
- Hardin County, IL26R+61.7
- Franklin County, IL25R+50.5
- Gallatin County, IL22R+53.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Williamson County, IL97
- Franklin County, IL23
- Gallatin County, IL23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +46 |
| 2012 | +15 |
| 2013 | −69 |
| 2014 | −252 |
| 2015 | −8 |
| 2016 | −229 |
| 2017 | −155 |
| 2018 | −110 |
| 2019 | −231 |
| 2021 | −182 |
| 2022 | −95 |
| 2023 | −35 |
| 2024 | −10 |
| 2025 | +102 |
Saline County, tucked in southern Illinois's former coal belt, has shifted toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, posting a 49-point margin in 2024 despite the state's Democratic lean overall.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.1 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 50.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.0 points.
A population of 23,213, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,117 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of White County and Clark County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
White County
Illinois
90.6twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2016 margin≠ Scottish ancestry
Clark County
Illinois
83.5twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2016–2020 trajectory≠ median income
Moultrie County
Illinois
80.7twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2016–2020 trajectory≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saline County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17165/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Saline County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Saline County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saline County, Illinois voted Republican by 49.0 points (R+49.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,605 votes cast, 2,634 went Democratic and 7,830 went Republican.
When did Saline County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saline County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Saline County, Illinois?
Saline County, Illinois has a population of 23,213 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saline County, Illinois?
Median household income in Saline County, Illinois is $53,117 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Saline County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Saline County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.