- Lead
- 8,156
- Total
- 14,110
- vs nation
- R+56.3
- Turnout
- 67.5%
Wells County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.5% of 21,027 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,927
- Total
- 14,050
- vs nation
- R+60.9
- Turnout
- 68.2%
- Lead
- 7,414
- Total
- 13,280
- vs nation
- R+57.9
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 5,820
- Total
- 12,952
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,101
- Total
- 13,073
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,056
- Total
- 12,354
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,436
- Total
- 11,281
- vs nation
- R+39.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,570
- Total
- 11,294
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,4202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morgan County, IN · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.5%14,202 participants ÷ 21,027 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.1%–59.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,502 | 20,825 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,077 | 20,856 | 72.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,238 | 20,879 | 68.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,213 | 21,060 | 43.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,202 | 21,027 | 67.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 14,110 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -UNIONUNION | 244 | 892 | 25 | 1,161 | 21.0% | 76.8% | R+55.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -OSSIAN WESTOSSIAN WEST | 196 | 655 | 22 | 873 | 22.5% | 75.0% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -ROCK CREEKROCK CREEK | 163 | 691 | 16 | 870 | 18.7% | 79.4% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON 6BLUFFTON 6 | 218 | 635 | 12 | 865 | 25.2% | 73.4% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -OSSIAN EASTOSSIAN EAST | 228 | 613 | 12 | 853 | 26.7% | 71.9% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON LANCASTER EASTBLUFFTON LANCASTER EAST | 181 | 635 | 17 | 833 | 21.7% | 76.2% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -LANCASTER WESTLANCASTER WEST | 123 | 604 | 10 | 737 | 16.7% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -LANCASTER EASTLANCASTER EAST | 100 | 607 | 16 | 723 | 13.8% | 84.0% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON EASTJEFFERSON EAST | 130 | 551 | 8 | 689 | 18.9% | 80.0% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON WESTJEFFERSON WEST | 123 | 486 | 15 | 624 | 19.7% | 77.9% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -HARRISON WESTHARRISON WEST | 105 | 489 | 8 | 602 | 17.4% | 81.2% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -LIBERTYLIBERTY | 84 | 447 | 16 | 547 | 15.4% | 81.7% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON 2BLUFFTON 2 | 124 | 380 | 7 | 511 | 24.3% | 74.4% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -CHESTERCHESTER | 67 | 437 | 7 | 511 | 13.1% | 85.5% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON LANCASTER WESTBLUFFTON LANCASTER WEST | 151 | 353 | 6 | 510 | 29.6% | 69.2% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -NOTTINGHAMNOTTINGHAM | 66 | 424 | 6 | 496 | 13.3% | 85.5% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -HARRISON EASTHARRISON EAST | 70 | 414 | 6 | 490 | 14.3% | 84.5% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON 5BLUFFTON 5 | 116 | 351 | 9 | 476 | 24.4% | 73.7% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON 4BLUFFTON 4 | 109 | 355 | 11 | 475 | 22.9% | 74.7% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 65 | 389 | 10 | 464 | 14.0% | 83.8% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON 3BLUFFTON 3 | 108 | 313 | 9 | 430 | 25.1% | 72.8% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -BLUFFTON LANCASTER 3BLUFFTON LANCASTER 3 | 79 | 285 | 6 | 370 | 21.4% | 77.0% | R+55.7 |
| BLUFFTON 0218_1817900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON 0318_1817900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON 0418_1817900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON 0518_1817900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON 0618_1817900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON LANCASTER EAST18_1817900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON LANCASTER III18_1817900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLUFFTON LANCASTER WEST18_1817900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER18_1817900090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON EAST18_1817900100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON WEST18_1817900110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON18_1817900120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON EAST18_1817900130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON WEST18_1817900140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LANCASTER EAST18_1817900150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LANCASTER WEST18_1817900160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY18_1817900170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOTTINGHAM18_1817900180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSSIAN EAST18_1817900190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSSIAN WEST18_1817900200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCK CREEK18_1817900210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION18_1817900220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +21.5% |
| 1896 | +25.1% |
| 1900 | +21.4% |
| 1904 | +8.9% |
| 1908 | +19.1% |
| 1912 | +38.3% |
| 1916 | +18.8% |
| 1920 | +2.4% |
| 1924 | +6.9% |
| 1928 | +1.2% |
| 1932 | +33.2% |
| 1936 | +26.2% |
| 1940 | +3.3% |
| 1944 | −2.5% |
| 1948 | +4.8% |
| 1952 | −14.7% |
| 1956 | −17.6% |
| 1960 | −18.6% |
| 1964 | +19.2% |
| 1968 | −15.2% |
| 1972 | −32.6% |
| 1976 | −13.5% |
| 1980 | −20.1% |
| 1984 | −39.4% |
| 1988 | −38.2% |
| 1992 | −20.9% |
| 1996 | −22.8% |
| 2000 | −39.3% |
| 2004 | −49.0% |
| 2008 | −31.4% |
| 2012 | −44.9% |
| 2016 | −55.8% |
| 2020 | −56.4% |
| 2024 | −57.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 19.3%2,511 | 80.7%10,517 | 13,028 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,344 |
| 2018 | 18,315 |
| 2020 | 18,816 |
| 2022 | 19,343 |
| 2024 | 19,604 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+14 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +483 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,396 in average income, against $77,880 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.2 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Wells County, IN itself (R+57.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Allen County, IN228R+12.5
- Adams County, IN89R+52.6
- Huntington County, IN67R+48.3
- Blackford County, IN34R+50.3
- Jay County, IN24R+55.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Allen County, IN226
- Adams County, IN69
- Huntington County, IN66
- Blackford County, IN29
- Grant County, IN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −33 |
| 2012 | −151 |
| 2013 | −59 |
| 2014 | +14 |
| 2015 | +8 |
| 2016 | −87 |
| 2017 | +37 |
| 2018 | +61 |
| 2019 | +109 |
| 2021 | +20 |
| 2022 | +175 |
| 2023 | +264 |
| 2024 | +111 |
| 2025 | +14 |
Wells County delivered a 57.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican tilt of rural northeast Indiana's agricultural communities, where third-party and Democratic vote shares have narrowed steadily over successive election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 28,420, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,957 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Daviess County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wells County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18179/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.