Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri
Akashic| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 69.6% | 39,896 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 29.0% | 16,602 |
| Chase OliverLibertarian | 1.4% | 794 |
County-level results (10 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Adair County, MO | Republican | R+33.6 |
| Davis County, IA | Republican | R+54.4 |
| Jefferson County, IA | Republican | R+6.8 |
| Macon County, MO | Republican | R+61.5 |
| Putnam County, MO | Republican | R+70.3 |
| Schuyler County, MO | Republican | R+64.5 |
| Scotland County, MO | Republican | R+61.5 |
| Sullivan County, MO | Republican | R+66.1 |
| Van Buren County, IA | Republican | R+55.4 |
| Wapello County, IA | Republican | R+31.4 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 29.0%Harris16,602 | 69.6%Trump39,896 | 1.4%Oliver794 | 57,292 | ||
| R | 31.9%Biden19,000 | 66.3%Trump39,463 | 1.7%Jorgensen1,015 | 59,478 | ||
| R | 30.8%Clinton17,772 | 63.1%Trump36,391 | 6.0%Johnson3,472 | 57,635 | ||
| R | 44.6%Obama25,746 | 52.8%Romney30,482 | 2.6%Johnson1,479 | 57,707 | ||
| R | 48.0%Obama29,071 | 49.6%McCain30,065 | 2.4%Nader1,483 | 60,619 | ||
| R | 46.2%Kerry28,380 | 52.8%Bush32,466 | 1.0%Badnarik632 | 61,478 | ||
| R | 43.1%Gore24,700 | 52.0%Bush29,779 | 4.9%Nader2,837 | 57,316 | ||
| D | 46.7%Clinton25,948 | 38.7%Dole21,480 | 14.6%Perot8,088 | 55,516 | ||
| D | 43.6%Clinton26,438 | 33.9%Bush20,561 | 22.4%Perot13,583 | 60,582 | ||
| D | 51.4%Dukakis28,910 | 47.9%Bush26,919 | 0.7%Fulani389 | 56,218 | ||
| R | 45.6%Mondale28,252 | 54.0%Reagan33,472 | 0.4%Bergland258 | 61,982 | ||
| R | 42.4%Carter26,594 | 52.3%Reagan32,774 | 5.3%Anderson3,326 | 62,694 | ||
| D | 52.2%Carter32,115 | 46.5%Ford28,640 | 1.3%McCarthy784 | 61,539 | ||
| R | 38.0%McGovern23,333 | 60.7%Nixon37,319 | 1.3%Schmitz822 | 61,474 | ||
| R | 41.9%Humphrey26,296 | 50.7%Nixon31,841 | 7.4%Wallace4,632 | 62,769 | ||
| D | 63.3%Johnson41,066 | 36.5%Goldwater23,699 | 0.1%Hass91 | 64,856 | ||
| R | 43.6%Kennedy32,136 | 56.4%Nixon41,620 | 0.0%Byrd25 | 73,781 | ||
| R | 45.3%Stevenson33,463 | 54.7%Eisenhower40,384 | 0.1%Andrews39 | 73,886 | ||
| R | 41.2%Stevenson32,658 | 58.4%Eisenhower46,258 | 0.4%Hallinan316 | 79,232 | ||
| D | 52.4%Truman37,351 | 46.7%Dewey33,325 | 0.9%Thurmond620 | 71,296 | ||
| R | 47.7%Roosevelt35,143 | 51.9%Dewey38,239 | 0.4%Thomas324 | 73,706 | ||
| R | 48.5%Roosevelt41,889 | 51.1%Willkie44,054 | 0.4%Thomas343 | 86,286 | ||
| D | 52.3%Roosevelt43,096 | 46.6%Landon38,391 | 1.1%Lemke918 | 82,405 | ||
| D | 58.6%Roosevelt42,056 | 39.9%Hoover28,672 | 1.5%Thomas1,057 | 71,785 | ||
| R | 37.9%Smith28,664 | 61.5%Hoover46,515 | 0.5%Thomas413 | 75,592 | ||
| R | 33.2%Davis25,412 | 53.2%Coolidge40,680 | 13.5%La Follette10,351 | 76,443 | ||
| R | 35.7%Cox26,483 | 61.8%Harding45,821 | 2.5%Debs1,835 | 74,139 | ||
| R | 47.2%Wilson21,768 | 48.8%Hughes22,514 | 4.0%Benson1,828 | 46,110 | ||
| D | 42.4%Wilson18,657 | 33.7%Taft14,819 | 23.9%Roosevelt10,505 | 43,981 | ||
| R | 44.9%Bryan20,664 | 50.8%Taft23,387 | 4.3%Debs1,993 | 46,044 | ||
| R | 39.1%Parker17,600 | 55.6%Roosevelt25,006 | 5.3%Debs2,383 | 44,989 | ||
| R | 46.4%Bryan22,565 | 50.9%McKinley24,729 | 2.7%Woolley1,336 | 48,630 | ||
| D | 50.1%Bryan24,536 | 48.8%McKinley23,894 | 1.0%Palmer511 | 48,941 | ||
| R | 42.9%Cleveland18,376 | 46.9%Harrison20,092 | 10.2%Weaver4,349 | 42,817 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.0% |
| 1896 | +1.3% |
| 1900 | −4.4% |
| 1904 | −16.5% |
| 1908 | −5.9% |
| 1912 | +8.7% |
| 1916 | −1.6% |
| 1920 | −26.1% |
| 1924 | −20.0% |
| 1928 | −23.6% |
| 1932 | +18.6% |
| 1936 | +5.7% |
| 1940 | −2.5% |
| 1944 | −4.2% |
| 1948 | +5.6% |
| 1952 | −17.2% |
| 1956 | −9.4% |
| 1960 | −12.9% |
| 1964 | +26.8% |
| 1968 | −8.8% |
| 1972 | −22.8% |
| 1976 | +5.6% |
| 1980 | −9.9% |
| 1984 | −8.4% |
| 1988 | +3.5% |
| 1992 | +9.7% |
| 1996 | +8.0% |
| 2000 | −8.9% |
| 2004 | −6.6% |
| 2008 | −1.6% |
| 2012 | −8.2% |
| 2016 | −32.3% |
| 2020 | −34.4% |
| 2024 | −40.7% |
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 (partial) | 47,516 | 19,488 | 12,292 | 15,714 | 22 |
| 2010 (partial) | 47,503 | 18,246 | 13,676 | 15,535 | 46 |
| 2012 (partial) | 47,490 | 17,582 | 13,769 | 16,056 | 83 |
| 2014 (partial) | 45,230 | 16,639 | 13,066 | 15,392 | 133 |
This mid-Missouri and southeast-Iowa media market ties together small industrial cities like Ottumwa and Kirksville across a rural landscape where ag-economy pressures and population decline have steadily shifted the electorate toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.7 points.
A population of 127,152, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,772 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Zanesville and St. Joseph.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ottumwa-Kirksville, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/631/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.