Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
St. Joseph
presidential margin
2008R+7.72012R+18.12016R+35.12020R+34.72024R+37.8
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+37.8
2024
median income$65,622U.S. $80,734 · MO $70,702
median age39.9U.S. 39.1
poverty rate13.5%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)23.8%U.S. 35.6%
non-english5.1%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German23.2%
English12.1%
Irish11.5%
Mexican3.5%
Puerto Rican0.7%
Cuban0.6%
African American†4.2%
Ethiopian0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline7.3%
Latter-day Saints0.9%
Other Christian0.9%
Black Protestant0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

St. Joseph, Missouri

Akashic
St. JosephTrumpR+37.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for St. Joseph, MOA map of the constituent counties of St. Joseph, MO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Buchanan County, MO · R+28.0DeKalb County, MO · R+62.6Andrew County, MO · R+51.7Doniphan County, KS · R+63.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican68.2%36,797
Kamala HarrisDemocratic30.4%16,406
Chase OliverLibertarian1.4%778
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (4 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for St. Joseph, MO — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Andrew County, MORepublicanR+51.7
Buchanan County, MORepublicanR+28.0
DeKalb County, MORepublicanR+62.6
Doniphan County, KSRepublicanR+63.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
30.4%Harris16,406
68.2%Trump36,797
1.4%Oliver778
−37.8%
53,981
R
31.6%Biden17,412
66.3%Trump36,509
2.0%Jorgensen1,127
−34.7%
55,048
R
29.1%Clinton15,469
64.2%Trump34,131
6.7%Johnson3,579
−35.1%
53,179
R
39.7%Obama20,339
57.8%Romney29,587
2.5%Johnson1,274
−18.1%
51,200
R
45.1%Obama25,316
52.9%McCain29,650
2.0%Nader1,111
−7.7%
56,077
R
43.4%Kerry23,640
55.7%Bush30,379
0.9%Badnarik486
−12.4%
54,505
R
45.4%Gore22,576
51.1%Bush25,393
3.5%Nader1,754
−5.7%
49,723
D
45.5%Clinton21,384
41.4%Dole19,480
13.1%Perot6,155
+4.0%
47,019
D
41.6%Clinton22,052
31.7%Bush16,824
26.6%Perot14,122
+9.9%
52,998
D
52.1%Dukakis24,991
47.4%Bush22,768
0.5%Fulani229
+4.6%
47,988
R
41.1%Mondale20,252
58.8%Reagan28,993
0.1%Bergland40
−17.7%
49,285
R
45.0%Carter22,220
50.3%Reagan24,826
4.6%Anderson2,281
−5.3%
49,327
D
49.7%Carter23,920
49.5%Ford23,784
0.8%McCarthy381
+0.3%
48,085
R
32.2%McGovern15,110
67.5%Nixon31,652
0.2%Schmitz97
−35.3%
46,859
R
42.1%Humphrey20,275
49.9%Nixon24,013
8.0%Wallace3,830
−7.8%
48,118
D
64.0%Johnson31,578
35.9%Goldwater17,726
0.0%Hass16
+28.1%
49,320
R
44.6%Kennedy24,598
55.4%Nixon30,530
0.0%Byrd12
−10.8%
55,140
R
44.6%Stevenson23,846
55.4%Eisenhower29,588
0.0%Andrews12
−10.7%
53,446
R
42.7%Stevenson24,906
57.2%Eisenhower33,323
0.1%Hallinan76
−14.4%
58,305
D
58.0%Truman29,139
41.8%Dewey21,027
0.2%Thurmond101
+16.1%
50,267
D
50.8%Roosevelt25,567
49.1%Dewey24,735
0.1%Thomas33
+1.7%
50,335
D
52.3%Roosevelt32,032
47.6%Willkie29,144
0.1%Thomas76
+4.7%
61,252
D
58.6%Roosevelt37,956
41.0%Landon26,562
0.4%Lemke237
+17.6%
64,755
D
60.7%Roosevelt34,391
38.7%Hoover21,923
0.7%Thomas383
+22.0%
56,697
R
35.4%Smith17,622
64.4%Hoover32,042
0.2%Thomas96
−29.0%
49,760
R
40.3%Davis20,847
53.3%Coolidge27,563
6.4%La Follette3,299
−13.0%
51,709
R
43.7%Cox21,753
55.2%Harding27,474
1.0%Debs511
−11.5%
49,738
D
52.3%Wilson16,389
45.7%Hughes14,314
1.9%Benson607
+6.6%
31,310
D
48.8%Wilson13,288
31.1%Taft8,457
20.1%Roosevelt5,487
+17.7%
27,232
R
48.9%Bryan14,363
49.6%Taft14,573
1.5%Debs437
−0.7%
29,373
R
42.7%Parker11,747
55.0%Roosevelt15,138
2.4%Debs657
−12.3%
27,542
R
47.8%Bryan14,031
50.5%McKinley14,818
1.6%Woolley474
−2.7%
29,323
R
49.1%Bryan13,026
50.0%McKinley13,245
0.9%Palmer232
−0.8%
26,503
R
42.3%Cleveland9,826
46.7%Harrison10,856
10.9%Weaver2,541
−4.4%
23,223
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −37.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−37.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−4.4%
1896−0.8%
1900−2.7%
1904−12.3%
1908−0.7%
1912+17.7%
1916+6.6%
1920−11.5%
1924−13.0%
1928−29.0%
1932+22.0%
1936+17.6%
1940+4.7%
1944+1.7%
1948+16.1%
1952−14.4%
1956−10.7%
1960−10.8%
1964+28.1%
1968−7.8%
1972−35.3%
1976+0.3%
1980−5.3%
1984−17.7%
1988+4.6%
1992+9.9%
1996+4.0%
2000−5.7%
2004−12.4%
2008−7.7%
2012−18.1%
2016−35.1%
2020−34.7%
2024−37.8%
DemocraticRepublican

The St. Joseph market spans Buchanan, DeKalb, and Andrew counties in northwest Missouri plus Doniphan County, Kansas. It gave the Democratic ticket a win as recently as 1992 (D+9.9) before moving to R+35.1 in 2016 and R+37.7 in 2024. German is the largest reported ancestry (23.2%, 2024 ACS 5-year).

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.8 points.

A population of 120,012, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,622 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk and Ottumwa-Kirksville.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk
Missouri
90.4twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory
Ottumwa-Kirksville
Missouri
89.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ 12-yr trend
Zanesville
Ohio
89.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
St. Joseph, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/638/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within St. Joseph

counties4
Andrew CountyBuchanan CountyDeKalb CountyDoniphan County

Frequently asked questions

How did St. Joseph, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, St. Joseph, Missouri voted Republican by 37.8 points (R+37.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,981 votes cast, 16,406 went Democratic and 36,797 went Republican.
When did St. Joseph, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which St. Joseph, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in St. Joseph, Missouri?
St. Joseph, Missouri has a population of 120,012 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in St. Joseph, Missouri?
Median household income in St. Joseph, Missouri is $65,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of St. Joseph, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in St. Joseph, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.