akashic
1876–2024
Jefferson County, Iowa
Jefferson County·Iowa

Jefferson County votes the way the country votes.

A small-county bellwether that has drifted steadily rightward since 2008

18762024·38 elections
Jefferson County, Iowa · en:User:Cburnett · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
15,705
2024 ACS
Most similar
Mahnomen County
MN · similarity 0.92
12 precincts · 8,346 votes cast
Trump · R+7
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−6.8%
3,7884,3538,346
2020R
−1.4%
4,3194,4438,959
2016R
−0.5%
3,7103,7488,285
2012D
+16.0%
4,7983,4368,530
2008D
+20.2%
5,0703,3248,631
2004D
+10.2%
4,4903,6488,281
2000R
−5.1%
2,8633,2487,548
1996D
+0.8%
2,5972,5417,397
1992D
+0.3%
2,5622,5418,341
1988R
−0.3%
3,5943,6147,296
1984R
−22.9%
2,9614,7277,725
1980R
−20.9%
2,5774,0997,299
1976R
−5.1%
3,3773,7467,244
1972R
−31.7%
2,3624,6287,139
1968R
−24.8%
2,4114,1306,939
1964D
+20.0%
4,1352,7556,916
1960R
−28.0%
2,7804,9427,722
1956R
−25.6%
2,8454,8077,659
1952R
−38.8%
2,4705,6308,149
1948R
−12.3%
3,0333,9067,088
1944R
−19.2%
2,9264,3357,344
1940R
−17.9%
3,4024,8918,336
1936R
−4.4%
3,6904,0377,941
1932D
+15.5%
4,0562,9557,110
1928R
−38.7%
2,1594,9197,124
1924R
−42.7%
1,2494,0626,593
1920R
−50.9%
1,4504,5586,108
1916R
−10.9%
1,7342,1673,968
1912R
−1.8%
1,3111,3783,662
1908R
−21.4%
1,4392,2713,896
1904R
−30.9%
1,1722,3303,744
1900R
−20.6%
1,6122,4824,226
1896R
−16.3%
1,7722,4784,329
1892R
−15.3%
1,5452,1403,889
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
2.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
8.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.4%
Methodist
4.9%
Other Christian
4.4%
Non-Christian
3.9%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jefferson County, home to Fairfield and the Maharishi University of Management, blends a small but visible meditation-community enclave with a broader rural population that has shifted Republican by double digits over the past two presidential cycles.

The Democratic margin in Jefferson County has rarely exceeded twenty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Jefferson County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 84% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $61,620 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mahnomen County and Winneshiek County.