akashic
1876–2024
Jasper County, Iowa
Jasper County·Iowa

Jasper County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

A former swing bellwether that has shifted hard toward Republican margins

18762024·38 elections
Jasper County, Iowa · en:User:Cburnett · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+28
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
37,954
2024 ACS
Most similar
Webster County
IA · similarity 0.99
18 precincts · 20,198 votes cast
Trump · R+28
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−27.5%
7,14112,70120,198
2020R
−21.5%
7,73712,08420,184
2016R
−17.9%
7,10910,56019,226
2012D
+7.1%
10,2578,87719,515
2008D
+7.5%
10,2508,79419,421
2004D
+4.8%
10,4309,46220,062
2000R
−0.2%
8,6998,72917,835
1996D
+14.2%
8,7766,41416,585
1992D
+7.0%
8,1206,86618,012
1988D
+14.2%
8,9406,70315,733
1984R
−3.3%
8,0238,57616,699
1980R
−6.1%
7,2588,28616,966
1976D
+6.3%
8,7837,72816,786
1972R
−12.9%
7,0079,13316,513
1968R
−8.8%
6,5567,90115,255
1964D
+31.5%
10,2165,32115,561
1960R
−12.6%
7,2429,33216,585
1956R
−13.5%
7,0989,31016,428
1952R
−17.3%
6,7569,61016,465
1948D
+7.6%
6,6845,71012,786
1944D
+4.2%
6,9786,41313,479
1940D
+5.8%
8,1297,24015,421
1936D
+17.0%
8,3155,87514,395
1932D
+11.1%
6,7815,39912,401
1928R
−40.3%
3,8579,14413,108
1924R
−46.3%
1,2146,56511,557
1920R
−36.5%
3,3907,41711,029
1916D
+2.9%
3,2823,0926,568
1912D
+11.4%
2,4871,7666,345
1908R
−9.8%
2,8893,5436,681
1904R
−31.8%
1,9423,9626,350
1900R
−10.2%
3,1633,8947,193
1896D
+4.3%
3,0192,7685,863
1892R
−9.8%
2,5563,1676,217
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
12.9%
Other Christian
7.5%
Methodist
5.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Baptist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jasper County, once a nationally watched presidential bellwether, has moved decisively rightward over the past decade. Its mix of rural farmland and the small manufacturing city of Newton now produces Republican margins exceeding 27 points.

The Republican margin in Jasper County reached its widest at forty-six points in 1924. The margin in 2024 was twenty-eight points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Jasper County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $71,311, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 37,954 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Webster County and Tama County.