Akashic

county

Scotland County, MO

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German25.6%21.3%12.5%

American12.7%6.8%5.3%

English10.8%11.9%9.5%

Irish4.4%11.8%9.4%

Norwegian2.2%——

Polish2.1%1.3%2.2%

Scottish1.8%1.8%1.3%

Italian0.9%3.2%4.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Scotland County	Missouri	United States
Median age	36.5	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.4%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.4%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Scotland County	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$68,913	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	7.3%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.2%	32.4%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Scotland County	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	12.8%	6.7%	22.3%
German or other West Germanic	10.7%	0.5%	0.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	2.0%	0.5%	1.1%

Religious landscape

Measure	Scotland County	Missouri	United States
Catholic	1.6%	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	47.8%	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	38.2%	51.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	12.4%	5.7%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 58.8% of 3,285 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic18.7%358TrumpRepublican80.1%1,537OliverLibertarian0.6%12

R+61.5

Lead: 1,179
Total: 1,918
vs nation: R+60.0
Turnout: 58.8%

BidenDemocratic19.5%388TrumpRepublican78.5%1,560JorgensenLibertarian1.3%25

R+59.0

Lead: 1,172
Total: 1,986
vs nation: R+63.5
Turnout: 57.2%

ClintonDemocratic18.4%365TrumpRepublican77.0%1,525JohnsonLibertarian2.5%50

R+58.6

Lead: 1,160
Total: 1,981
vs nation: R+60.6
Turnout: 57.1%

ObamaDemocratic33.2%643RomneyRepublican64.4%1,246GrayLibertarian2.1%40

R+31.1

Lead: 603
Total: 1,936
vs nation: R+35.0
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic37.8%793McCainRepublican59.5%1,249OtherAll other candidates2.7%56

R+21.7

Lead: 456
Total: 2,098
vs nation: R+29.0
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic37.7%828BushRepublican61.5%1,352OtherAll other candidates0.8%17

R+23.9

Lead: 524
Total: 2,197
vs nation: R+21.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic36.3%790BushRepublican61.3%1,335NaderGreen1.7%37

R+25.0

Lead: 545
Total: 2,179
vs nation: R+25.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic47.0%990DoleRepublican36.7%773PerotReform15.5%326

D+10.3

Lead: 217
Total: 2,106
vs nation: D+1.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.5MIT Election Lab
Population: 4,6862024 5-year
Median household income: $68,9132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 96.0%2024 5-year
Black: 0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 0.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Daviess County, MO · twin score 91.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 58.8%1,930 participants ÷ 3,285 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +12.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -6.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 46.4%–47.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	2,002	3,506	57.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	1,637	3,509	46.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	1,995	3,487	57.2%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	1,491	3,320	44.9%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	1,930	3,285	58.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

1 precincts · 1,918 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Scotland County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -COMBINEDCOMBINED	358	1,537	23	1,918	18.7%	80.1%	R+61.5

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+15.2%
1896	+26.5%
1900	+15.4%
1904	+5.9%
1908	+10.0%
1912	+23.3%
1916	+12.0%
1920	−8.1%
1924	+6.1%
1928	−3.4%
1932	+31.6%
1936	+17.4%
1940	+2.2%
1944	+2.4%
1948	+18.3%
1952	−0.7%
1956	+8.2%
1960	−0.4%
1964	+28.6%
1968	−6.9%
1972	−20.4%
1976	+5.9%
1980	−13.7%
1984	−16.0%
1988	−5.5%
1992	+10.9%
1996	+10.3%
2000	−25.0%
2004	−23.9%
2008	−21.7%
2012	−31.1%
2016	−58.6%
2020	−59.0%
2024	−61.5%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	18.7%Harris358	80.1%Trump1,537	0.6%Oliver12 +1	R+61.5	R+2.5	R+60.0	1,918
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican80.1%1,537 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.7%358 Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%12 Jill SteinIndependent0.6%11
2020	R	19.5%Biden388	78.5%Trump1,560	1.3%Jorgensen25	R+59.0	R+0.5	R+63.5	1,986
2016	R	18.4%Clinton365	77.0%Trump1,525	2.5%Johnson50	R+58.6	R+27.4	R+60.6	1,981
2012	R	33.2%Obama643	64.4%Romney1,246	2.1%Gray40	R+31.1	R+9.4	R+35.0	1,936
2008	R	37.8%Obama793	59.5%McCain1,249	2.7%	R+21.7	D+2.1	R+29.0	2,098
2004	R	37.7%Kerry828	61.5%Bush1,352	0.8%	R+23.9	D+1.2	R+21.4	2,197
2000	R	36.3%Gore790	61.3%Bush1,335	1.7%Nader37	R+25.0	R+35.3	R+25.5	2,179
1996	D	47.0%Clinton990	36.7%Dole773	15.5%Perot326	D+10.3	R+0.6	D+1.8	2,106
1992	D	42.9%Clinton1,070	32.0%Bush798	24.7%Perot617	D+10.9	D+16.4	D+5.3	2,494
1988	R	47.1%Dukakis1,117	52.6%Bush1,248	0.3%	R+5.5	D+10.5	D+2.2	2,372
1984	R	42.0%Mondale1,075	58.0%Reagan1,485	0.0%	R+16.0	R+2.4	D+2.2	2,560
1980	R	41.8%Carter1,200	55.5%Reagan1,592	2.7%	R+13.7	R+19.6	R+3.9	2,869
1976	D	52.7%Carter1,449	46.7%Ford1,286	0.6%	D+5.9	D+26.3	D+3.9	2,752
1972	R	39.8%McGovern1,269	60.2%Nixon1,918	0.0%	R+20.4	R+13.5	D+2.8	3,187
1968	R	43.2%Humphrey1,340	50.1%Nixon1,554	6.8%	R+6.9	R+35.5	R+6.2	3,104
1964	D	64.3%Johnson2,187	35.7%Goldwater1,215	0.0%	D+28.6	D+29.0	D+6.0	3,402
1960	R	49.8%Kennedy1,884	50.2%Nixon1,899	0.0%	R+0.4	R+8.6	R+0.6	3,783
1956	D	54.1%Stevenson2,044	45.9%Eisenhower1,735	0.0%	D+8.2	D+8.9	D+23.6	3,779
1952	R	49.5%Stevenson2,093	50.2%Eisenhower2,123	0.2%	R+0.7	R+19.0	D+10.0	4,226
1948	D	59.0%Truman2,451	40.8%Dewey1,693	0.2%	D+18.3	D+15.9	D+13.8	4,153
1944	D	51.1%Roosevelt2,158	48.7%Dewey2,058	0.1%	D+2.4	D+0.2	R+5.1	4,222
1940	D	50.9%Roosevelt2,435	48.7%Willkie2,329	0.5%	D+2.2	R+15.1	R+7.7	4,787
1936	D	58.0%Roosevelt2,768	40.7%Landon1,940	1.3%	D+17.4	R+14.2	R+6.9	4,772
1932	D	65.1%Roosevelt2,738	33.5%Hoover1,410	1.4%	D+31.6	D+35.0	D+13.8	4,205
1928	R	48.1%Smith2,194	51.5%Hoover2,350	0.5%	R+3.4	R+9.6	D+14.0	4,566
1924	D	51.0%Davis2,595	44.8%Coolidge2,282	4.1%La Follette210	D+6.1	D+14.3	D+31.3	5,092
1920	R	45.0%Cox2,124	53.1%Harding2,509	1.9%	R+8.1	R+20.2	D+18.0	4,724
1916	D	54.9%Wilson1,592	42.9%Hughes1,243	2.2%	D+12.0	R+11.2	D+8.9	2,900
1912	D	53.3%Wilson1,525	30.1%Taft860	16.6%	D+23.3	D+13.2	D+3.7	2,859
1908	D	54.0%Bryan1,564	43.9%Taft1,273	2.1%	D+10.0	D+4.1	D+19.6	2,897
1904	D	51.5%Parker1,530	45.5%Roosevelt1,354	3.0%	D+5.9	R+9.5	D+25.6	2,973
1900	D	56.3%Bryan1,760	40.8%McKinley1,277	2.9%	D+15.4	R+11.0	D+23.0	3,127
1896	D	63.0%Bryan2,077	36.5%McKinley1,203	0.6%	D+26.5	D+11.3	D+32.6	3,299
1892	D	48.5%Cleveland1,369	33.3%Harrison940	18.2%	D+15.2	—	D+13.5	2,824
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	14.1%258	85.9%1,572	1,830
2018	R	18.1%284	81.9%1,285	1,569

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	18.6%347	78.8%1,473	1,870
2022	R	22.4%305	74.3%1,010	1,360
2018Class I	R	24.7%Claire McCaskill399	72.0%Josh Hawley1,163	1,616
2016Class III	R	29.4%Jason Kander570	66.1%Roy Blunt1,283	1,940
2012Class I	D	49.1%Claire McCaskill941	47.0%Todd Akin900	1,915
2010Class III	R	36.3%Robin Carnahan593	60.6%Roy Blunt991	1,634
2006Class I	R	41.7%Claire McCaskill732	55.3%Jim Talent971	1,756
2004Class III	R	23.5%Nancy Farmer510	75.5%Kit Bond1,635	2,166
2000Class I	R	46.6%Mel Carnahan1,004	52.4%John Ashcroft1,128	2,153
1998Class III	R	42.1%Jeremiah Nixon758	56.4%Kit Bond1,015	1,799
1994Class I	R	34.9%Alan Wheat666	63.1%John Ashcroft1,205	1,909
1992Class III	R	46.3%Geri Rothman-Serot1,070	50.8%Kit Bond1,173	2,309
1988Class I	R	30.0%Jay Nixon705	69.9%John C. Danforth1,645	2,353
1986Class III	R	48.4%Harriett Woods1,078	51.6%Kit Bond1,148	2,226
1982Class I	R	47.1%Harriett Woods1,156	52.9%John C. Danforth1,299	2,455
1980Class III	D	56.1%Thomas Eagleton1,577	43.7%Gene McNary1,229	2,810
1976Class I	R	40.1%Warren E. Hearnes1,092	59.9%John C. Danforth1,630	2,722
1974Class III	D	61.6%Thomas Eagleton1,300	38.0%Thomas B. Curtis803	2,111
1970Class I	D	52.5%Stuart Symington1,319	47.4%John C. Danforth1,189	2,510
1968Class III	R	49.3%Thomas Eagleton1,493	50.7%Thomas B. Curtis1,534	3,027
1964Class I	D	62.9%Stuart Symington2,103	37.1%Jean P. Bradshaw1,242	3,345
1962Class III	D	58.5%Edward Long1,901	41.5%Crosby Kemper1,350	3,251
1958Class I	D	73.8%Stuart Symington1,315	26.2%Hazel Palmer467	1,782
1956Class III	D	57.7%Thomas Hennings Jr.2,138	42.3%Herbert Douglas1,569	3,707
1952Class I	D	53.2%Stuart Symington2,225	46.7%James P. Kem1,956	4,186
1950Class III	D	55.8%Thomas Hennings Jr.1,921	44.2%Forrest C. Donnell1,521	3,443
1946Class I	D	52.6%Frank Briggs1,627	47.4%James P. Kem1,466	3,096
1944Class III	D	50.4%Roy McKittrick2,115	49.5%Forrest C. Donnell2,080	4,198
1940Class I	D	50.9%Harry S. Truman2,418	48.8%Manvel H. Davis2,316	4,747
1938Class III	D	59.5%J. Bennett Clark2,309	40.3%Henry S. Caulfield1,562	3,879
1934Class I	D	58.2%Harry S. Truman2,435	41.3%Roscoe Patterson1,730	4,184
1932Class III	D	64.9%J. Bennett Clark2,734	33.7%Henry W. Kiel1,417	4,210
1928Class I	D	51.8%Charles M. Hay2,412	48.0%Roscoe Patterson2,235	4,660
1926Class III	D	54.3%Harry B. Hawes2,422	44.8%George H. Williams1,995	4,457
1922Class I	D	50.7%James A. Reed2,335	48.8%R.R. Brewster2,249	4,604
1920Class III	R	45.4%Breckinridge Long2,139	53.2%Selden Spencer2,502	4,707
1916Class I	D	54.8%James A. Reed1,578	43.4%Walter S. Dickey1,249	2,880
1914Class III	D	55.0%William Stone1,355	39.2%Thomas Akins966	2,462

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2002Special · Class I	R	47.3%Jean Carnahan877	51.9%Jim Talent962	1,854
1960Special · Class III	D	54.7%Edward V. Long2,036	45.3%Lon Hocker1,686	3,722
1918Special · Class III	D	51.0%Joseph Folk1,178	48.4%Selden Spencer1,119	2,311

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	15.2%Crystal Quade283	83.4%Mike Kehoe1,553	1,863
2020	R	17.5%Nicole Galloway342	81.0%Mike Parson1,584	1,955
2016	R	31.3%Chris Koster610	65.3%Eric Greitens1,273	1,949
2012	R	48.1%Jay Nixon921	48.6%Dave Spence930	1,913
2008	R	40.9%Jay Nixon857	57.1%Kenny Hulshof1,197	2,095
2004	R	28.6%Claire McCaskill615	70.2%Matt Blunt1,507	2,148
2000	R	45.2%Bob Holden962	53.0%Jim Talent1,129	2,130
1996	D	72.5%Mel Carnahan1,470	24.6%Margaret B. Kelly499	2,027
1992	D	55.8%Mel Carnahan1,307	44.2%William L. Webster1,037	2,344
1988	R	32.6%Betty Hearnes772	67.2%John Ashcroft1,591	2,367
1984	R	46.9%Ken Rothman1,173	53.1%John Ashcroft1,328	2,501
1980	R	47.9%Joseph Teasdale1,369	52.0%Kit Bond1,486	2,856
1976	R	43.2%Joseph Teasdale1,187	56.8%Kit Bond1,559	2,746

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Scotland County, MO
Year	Total registered
2016	3,089
2018	2,802
2020	2,779
2022	2,690
2024	2,696

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+75 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −207 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $51,311 in average income, against $61,145 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Scotland County, MO in Scotland County, MO: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−13
2012	+2
2013	+17
2014	−86
2015	−12
2016	+55
2017	+5
2018	−48
2019	−69
2021	−36
2022	−54
2023	+5
2024	−48
2025	+75

Scotland County's 2024 presidential margin of R+61.5 reflects a broader consolidation of rural northeast Missouri toward one party, a shift that has accelerated steadily over the past two decades as small agricultural communities have realigned.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.5 points.

A population of 4,686, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,913 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Daviess County and Livingston County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Daviess County

Missouri

91.9twin score

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry

Livingston County

Missouri

89.8twin score

2016–2024 trajectory% White≠ Irish ancestry

Macon County

Missouri

86.1twin score

12-yr trend% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Scotland County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29199/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Scotland County, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Scotland County, Missouri voted Republican by 61.5 points (R+61.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,918 votes cast, 358 went Democratic and 1,537 went Republican.

When did Scotland County, Missouri last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Scotland County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Scotland County, Missouri?

Scotland County, Missouri has a population of 4,686 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Scotland County, Missouri?

Median household income in Scotland County, Missouri is $68,913 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Scotland County, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scotland County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.

Measure

Scotland County

Missouri

United States

Median age

36.5

39.2

39.1

Age 18–24

7.4%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.4%

17.9%

17.2%

Measure

Scotland County

Missouri

United States

Median household income

$68,913

$70,702

$84,427

Poverty rate

7.3%

12.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.2%

32.4%

35.6%

Measure

Scotland County

Missouri

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

12.8%

6.7%

22.3%

German or other West Germanic

10.7%

0.5%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

2.0%

0.5%

1.1%

Measure

Scotland County

Missouri

United States

Catholic

1.6%

12.5%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

47.8%

24.1%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

38.2%

51.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

12.4%

5.7%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+61.5MIT Election Lab

Population

4,6862024 5-year

Median household income

$68,9132024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

96.0%2024 5-year

Black

0.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

0.2%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+31.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+61.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Daviess County, MO · twin score 91.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

2,002

3,506

57.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

1,637

3,509

46.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

1,995

3,487

57.2%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

1,491

3,320

44.9%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

1,930

3,285

58.8%

A/A

Scotland County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -COMBINEDCOMBINED

358

1,537

1,918

18.7%

80.1%

R+61.5

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+15.2%
1896	+26.5%
1900	+15.4%
1904	+5.9%
1908	+10.0%
1912	+23.3%
1916	+12.0%
1920	−8.1%
1924	+6.1%
1928	−3.4%
1932	+31.6%
1936	+17.4%
1940	+2.2%
1944	+2.4%
1948	+18.3%
1952	−0.7%
1956	+8.2%
1960	−0.4%
1964	+28.6%
1968	−6.9%
1972	−20.4%
1976	+5.9%
1980	−13.7%
1984	−16.0%
1988	−5.5%
1992	+10.9%
1996	+10.3%
2000	−25.0%
2004	−23.9%
2008	−21.7%
2012	−31.1%
2016	−58.6%
2020	−59.0%
2024	−61.5%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

18.7%Harris358

80.1%Trump1,537

0.6%Oliver12 +1

R+61.5

R+2.5

R+60.0

1,918

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican80.1%1,537
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.7%358
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%12
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%11

2020

19.5%Biden388

78.5%Trump1,560

1.3%Jorgensen25

R+59.0

R+0.5

R+63.5

1,986

2016

18.4%Clinton365

77.0%Trump1,525

2.5%Johnson50

R+58.6

R+27.4

R+60.6

1,981

2012

33.2%Obama643

64.4%Romney1,246

2.1%Gray40

R+31.1

R+9.4

R+35.0

1,936

2008

37.8%Obama793

59.5%McCain1,249

2.7%

R+21.7

D+2.1

R+29.0

2,098

2004

37.7%Kerry828

61.5%Bush1,352

0.8%

R+23.9

D+1.2

R+21.4

2,197

2000

36.3%Gore790

61.3%Bush1,335

1.7%Nader37

R+25.0

R+35.3

R+25.5

2,179

1996

47.0%Clinton990

36.7%Dole773

15.5%Perot326

D+10.3

R+0.6

D+1.8

2,106

1992

42.9%Clinton1,070

32.0%Bush798

24.7%Perot617

D+10.9

D+16.4

D+5.3

2,494

1988

47.1%Dukakis1,117

52.6%Bush1,248

0.3%

R+5.5

D+10.5

D+2.2

2,372

1984

42.0%Mondale1,075

58.0%Reagan1,485

0.0%

R+16.0

R+2.4

D+2.2

2,560

1980

41.8%Carter1,200

55.5%Reagan1,592

2.7%

R+13.7

R+19.6

R+3.9

2,869

1976

52.7%Carter1,449

46.7%Ford1,286

0.6%

D+5.9

D+26.3

D+3.9

2,752

1972

39.8%McGovern1,269

60.2%Nixon1,918

0.0%

R+20.4

R+13.5

D+2.8

3,187

1968

43.2%Humphrey1,340

50.1%Nixon1,554

6.8%

R+6.9

R+35.5

R+6.2

3,104

1964

64.3%Johnson2,187

35.7%Goldwater1,215

0.0%

D+28.6

D+29.0

D+6.0

3,402

1960

49.8%Kennedy1,884

50.2%Nixon1,899

0.0%

R+0.4

R+8.6

R+0.6

3,783

1956

54.1%Stevenson2,044

45.9%Eisenhower1,735

0.0%

D+8.2

D+8.9

D+23.6

3,779

1952

49.5%Stevenson2,093

50.2%Eisenhower2,123

0.2%

R+0.7

R+19.0

D+10.0

4,226

1948

59.0%Truman2,451

40.8%Dewey1,693

0.2%

D+18.3

D+15.9

D+13.8

4,153

1944

51.1%Roosevelt2,158

48.7%Dewey2,058

0.1%

D+2.4

D+0.2

R+5.1

4,222

1940

50.9%Roosevelt2,435

48.7%Willkie2,329

0.5%

D+2.2

R+15.1

R+7.7

4,787

1936

58.0%Roosevelt2,768

40.7%Landon1,940

1.3%

D+17.4

R+14.2

R+6.9

4,772

1932

65.1%Roosevelt2,738

33.5%Hoover1,410

1.4%

D+31.6

D+35.0

D+13.8

4,205

1928

48.1%Smith2,194

51.5%Hoover2,350

0.5%

R+3.4

R+9.6

D+14.0

4,566

1924

51.0%Davis2,595

44.8%Coolidge2,282

4.1%La Follette210

D+6.1

D+14.3

D+31.3

5,092

1920

45.0%Cox2,124

53.1%Harding2,509

1.9%

R+8.1

R+20.2

D+18.0

4,724

1916

54.9%Wilson1,592

42.9%Hughes1,243

2.2%

D+12.0

R+11.2

D+8.9

2,900

1912

53.3%Wilson1,525

30.1%Taft860

16.6%

D+23.3

D+13.2

D+3.7

2,859

1908

54.0%Bryan1,564

43.9%Taft1,273

2.1%

D+10.0

D+4.1

D+19.6

2,897

1904

51.5%Parker1,530

45.5%Roosevelt1,354

3.0%

D+5.9

R+9.5

D+25.6

2,973

1900

56.3%Bryan1,760

40.8%McKinley1,277

2.9%

D+15.4

R+11.0

D+23.0

3,127

1896

63.0%Bryan2,077

36.5%McKinley1,203

0.6%

D+26.5

D+11.3

D+32.6

3,299

1892

48.5%Cleveland1,369

33.3%Harrison940

18.2%

D+15.2

—

D+13.5

2,824

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

14.1%258

85.9%1,572

1,830

2018

18.1%284

81.9%1,285

1,569

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

18.6%347

78.8%1,473

1,870

2022

22.4%305

74.3%1,010

1,360

2018Class I

24.7%Claire McCaskill399

72.0%Josh Hawley1,163

1,616

2016Class III

29.4%Jason Kander570

66.1%Roy Blunt1,283

1,940

2012Class I

49.1%Claire McCaskill941

47.0%Todd Akin900

1,915

2010Class III

36.3%Robin Carnahan593

60.6%Roy Blunt991

1,634

2006Class I

41.7%Claire McCaskill732

55.3%Jim Talent971

1,756

2004Class III

23.5%Nancy Farmer510

75.5%Kit Bond1,635

2,166

2000Class I

46.6%Mel Carnahan1,004

52.4%John Ashcroft1,128

2,153

1998Class III

42.1%Jeremiah Nixon758

56.4%Kit Bond1,015

1,799

1994Class I

34.9%Alan Wheat666

63.1%John Ashcroft1,205

1,909

1992Class III

46.3%Geri Rothman-Serot1,070

50.8%Kit Bond1,173

2,309

1988Class I

30.0%Jay Nixon705

69.9%John C. Danforth1,645

2,353

1986Class III

48.4%Harriett Woods1,078

51.6%Kit Bond1,148

2,226

1982Class I

47.1%Harriett Woods1,156

52.9%John C. Danforth1,299

2,455

1980Class III

56.1%Thomas Eagleton1,577

43.7%Gene McNary1,229

2,810

1976Class I

40.1%Warren E. Hearnes1,092

59.9%John C. Danforth1,630

2,722

1974Class III

61.6%Thomas Eagleton1,300

38.0%Thomas B. Curtis803

2,111

1970Class I

52.5%Stuart Symington1,319

47.4%John C. Danforth1,189

2,510

1968Class III

49.3%Thomas Eagleton1,493

50.7%Thomas B. Curtis1,534

3,027

1964Class I

62.9%Stuart Symington2,103

37.1%Jean P. Bradshaw1,242

3,345

1962Class III

58.5%Edward Long1,901

41.5%Crosby Kemper1,350

3,251

1958Class I

73.8%Stuart Symington1,315

26.2%Hazel Palmer467

1,782

1956Class III

57.7%Thomas Hennings Jr.2,138

42.3%Herbert Douglas1,569

3,707

1952Class I

53.2%Stuart Symington2,225

46.7%James P. Kem1,956

4,186

1950Class III

55.8%Thomas Hennings Jr.1,921

44.2%Forrest C. Donnell1,521

3,443

1946Class I

52.6%Frank Briggs1,627

47.4%James P. Kem1,466

3,096

1944Class III

50.4%Roy McKittrick2,115

49.5%Forrest C. Donnell2,080

4,198

1940Class I

50.9%Harry S. Truman2,418

48.8%Manvel H. Davis2,316

4,747

1938Class III

59.5%J. Bennett Clark2,309

40.3%Henry S. Caulfield1,562

3,879

1934Class I

58.2%Harry S. Truman2,435

41.3%Roscoe Patterson1,730

4,184

1932Class III

64.9%J. Bennett Clark2,734

33.7%Henry W. Kiel1,417

4,210

1928Class I

51.8%Charles M. Hay2,412

48.0%Roscoe Patterson2,235

4,660

1926Class III

54.3%Harry B. Hawes2,422

44.8%George H. Williams1,995

4,457

1922Class I

50.7%James A. Reed2,335

48.8%R.R. Brewster2,249

4,604

1920Class III

45.4%Breckinridge Long2,139

53.2%Selden Spencer2,502

4,707

1916Class I

54.8%James A. Reed1,578

43.4%Walter S. Dickey1,249

2,880

1914Class III

55.0%William Stone1,355

39.2%Thomas Akins966

2,462

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2002Special · Class I

47.3%Jean Carnahan877

51.9%Jim Talent962

1,854

1960Special · Class III

54.7%Edward V. Long2,036

45.3%Lon Hocker1,686

3,722

1918Special · Class III

51.0%Joseph Folk1,178

48.4%Selden Spencer1,119

2,311

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

15.2%Crystal Quade283

83.4%Mike Kehoe1,553

1,863

2020

17.5%Nicole Galloway342

81.0%Mike Parson1,584

1,955

2016

31.3%Chris Koster610

65.3%Eric Greitens1,273

1,949

2012

48.1%Jay Nixon921

48.6%Dave Spence930

1,913

2008

40.9%Jay Nixon857

57.1%Kenny Hulshof1,197

2,095

2004

28.6%Claire McCaskill615

70.2%Matt Blunt1,507

2,148

2000

45.2%Bob Holden962

53.0%Jim Talent1,129

2,130

1996

72.5%Mel Carnahan1,470

24.6%Margaret B. Kelly499

2,027

1992

55.8%Mel Carnahan1,307

44.2%William L. Webster1,037

2,344

1988

32.6%Betty Hearnes772

67.2%John Ashcroft1,591

2,367

1984

46.9%Ken Rothman1,173

53.1%John Ashcroft1,328

2,501

1980

47.9%Joseph Teasdale1,369

52.0%Kit Bond1,486

2,856

1976

43.2%Joseph Teasdale1,187

56.8%Kit Bond1,559

2,746

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Scotland County, MO
Year	Total registered
2016	3,089
2018	2,802
2020	2,779
2022	2,690
2024	2,696

How did Scotland County, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Scotland County, Missouri voted Republican by 61.5 points (R+61.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,918 votes cast, 358 went Democratic and 1,537 went Republican.

When did Scotland County, Missouri last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Scotland County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Scotland County, Missouri?

Scotland County, Missouri has a population of 4,686 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Scotland County, Missouri?

Median household income in Scotland County, Missouri is $68,913 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Scotland County, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scotland County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.