akashic
1876–2024
State House District 4·Missouri

Missouri 4th State House District peaked at D+37; 2024 delivered R+58.

One of Missouri's most reliably red legislative districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+58
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
43,580
2024 ACS

Missouri 4th State House District, Missouri: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+58%. Republican peak: R+58 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+58MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
43,5802024 5-year
Median household income
$58,5532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.0%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
8 counties · 0 D · 8 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−58.2%
4,13415,97720,335
R
−54.6%
4,55515,91220,815
R
−51.3%
4,49014,95220,386
R
−24.4%
7,32212,20820,055
R
−16.1%
8,74112,19521,405
R
−18.4%
8,88612,92821,978
R
−14.3%
8,92411,99121,397
D
+9.0%
9,4987,68720,142
D
+12.1%
9,9707,28822,119
D
+3.3%
10,96210,26921,288
R
−15.3%
9,66813,15322,821
R
−9.8%
10,51112,86824,002
D
+7.1%
12,06510,44722,684
R
−24.3%
8,93914,67723,616
R
−6.0%
10,31911,77024,296
D
+29.2%
16,1778,86225,039
R
−1.2%
14,15014,49128,640
D
+4.5%
15,11113,80228,913
D
+0.9%
15,56915,28130,940
D
+21.8%
17,37911,13828,575
D
+7.4%
16,04413,83729,948
D
+9.8%
19,49916,00335,656
D
+23.0%
21,62713,50435,386
D
+36.8%
21,2599,75431,304
R
−2.9%
15,92916,89032,922
D
+12.8%
19,09914,61434,991
D
+2.0%
17,61916,90835,062
D
+15.6%
12,3688,98021,750
D
+26.1%
11,8036,28721,101
D
+14.8%
12,1848,97721,661
D
+9.6%
11,2229,20321,064
D
+18.5%
13,3779,12123,060
D
+22.9%
14,7169,20524,101
D
+16.8%
11,2257,71020,937
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.0%
English
11.5%
American
10.2%
Irish
9.4%
French
1.4%
Scottish
1.3%
Italian
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.7%
2.9%
75–84
3.3%
5.5%
65–74
5.5%
6.8%
55–64
6.5%
5.2%
45–54
5.0%
5.2%
35–44
5.1%
5.4%
25–34
5.3%
6.3%
18–24
6.1%
8.8%
5–17
8.3%
3.2%
<5
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$58,553
State House District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 4$58,553
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.5%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.6%
Working age (18–64)13.5%
Seniors (65+)15.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.3%
Spanish0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.1%
Other Christian
12.2%
Mainline Protestant
9.2%
Methodist
6.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+62.4, this rural Missouri district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep partisan consolidation that has reshaped small-town and agricultural communities over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in Missouri 4th State House District peaked at thirty-seven points in 1932. By 2000 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $58,553 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 4, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 4, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 4, Missouri voted Republican by 58.2 points (R+58), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,335 votes cast, 4,134 went Democratic and 15,977 went Republican.
What is State House District 4, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 4, Missouri as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 4, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 4, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State House District 4, Missouri?
State House District 4, Missouri has a population of 43,580 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 4, Missouri?
Median household income in State House District 4, Missouri is $58,553 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of State House District 4, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 4, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.