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state house district

Missouri 4th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German21.6%21.3%12.5%

English11.8%11.9%9.5%

American10.5%6.8%5.3%

Irish9.7%11.8%9.4%

French1.4%2.2%1.6%

Scottish1.1%1.8%1.3%

Italian0.7%3.2%4.8%

Dutch0.7%——

Mexican0.6%3.2%11.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Median age	40.1	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	12.4%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.8%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$57,922	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	11.5%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	19.2%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	79.6%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	20.4%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$125,800	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$598	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	30.9%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	26.6%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	23.0 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	6.5%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	77.5%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.2%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	10.3%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.0%	6.7%	22.3%
German or other West Germanic	2.7%	0.5%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 4	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	0.7%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.1%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.5%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.5%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.436	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic18.3%3,261TrumpRepublican80.7%14,384OtherAll other candidates0.9%169

R+62.4

Lead: 11,123
Total: 17,814
vs nation: R+61.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic19.4%3,523TrumpRepublican79.1%14,390OtherAll other candidates1.5%268

R+59.8

Lead: 10,867
Total: 18,181
vs nation: R+64.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic19.9%3,536TrumpRepublican75.9%13,495OtherAll other candidates4.3%758

R+56.0

Lead: 9,959
Total: 17,789
vs nation: R+58.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic35.1%6,141RomneyRepublican62.2%10,893OtherAll other candidates2.7%471

R+27.1

Lead: 4,752
Total: 17,505
vs nation: R+31.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic38.9%7,174McCainRepublican58.8%10,838OtherAll other candidates2.3%425

R+19.9

Lead: 3,664
Total: 18,437
vs nation: R+27.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic39.3%7,510BushRepublican60.0%11,451OtherAll other candidates0.7%136

R+20.6

Lead: 3,941
Total: 19,097
vs nation: R+18.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic41.2%7,707BushRepublican56.7%10,619OtherAll other candidates2.1%391

R+15.6

Lead: 2,912
Total: 18,717
vs nation: R+16.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic46.9%8,182DoleRepublican38.3%6,682OtherAll other candidates14.8%2,574

D+8.6

Lead: 1,500
Total: 17,438
vs nation: D+0.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+62.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 37,2872024 5-year
Population density: 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 3,016 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $57,9222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 94.7%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+36.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+62.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 5, MO · twin score 97.9

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

67.8%

19,485 votes · D+36.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 64.5%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

80.7%

14,384 votes · R+62.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

19,721votes

60.7% of the vote · D+22.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 19,485 votes

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

15,848votes

48.5% of the vote · D+1.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 15,698 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+38.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+12.9 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +29.3 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+64.2pts R vs U.S.

Place R+59.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +61.0 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RGreg SharpeState House · 4

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	15.7%2,641	84.3%14,156	16,797
2018	R	21.1%2,970	78.9%11,102	14,072

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+62.4, this rural Missouri district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep partisan consolidation that has reshaped small-town and agricultural communities over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.4 points.

A population of 37,287, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,922 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 43.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 5

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

State House District 43

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 53

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Missouri 4th State House District

counties it covers8

Adair County Clark County Knox County Lewis County Monroe County Schuyler County Scotland County Shelby County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 4th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 4th State House District voted Republican by 62.4 points (R+62.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,814 votes cast, 3,261 went Democratic and 14,384 went Republican.

When did Missouri 4th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 4th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Missouri 4th State House District?

Missouri 4th State House District has a population of 37,287 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 4th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 4th State House District is $57,922 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 4th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 4th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.