- Lead
- 3,973
- Total
- 6,873
- vs nation
- R+56.3
- Turnout
- 61.8%
Livingston County, MO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.8% of 11,202 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,857
- Total
- 6,758
- vs nation
- R+61.5
- Turnout
- 58.1%
- Lead
- 3,614
- Total
- 6,421
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 55.4%
- Lead
- 2,100
- Total
- 6,054
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,558
- Total
- 6,552
- vs nation
- R+31.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,751
- Total
- 6,346
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,284
- Total
- 6,276
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 6,130
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,3642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,6272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Harrison County, MO · twin score 93.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.8%6,928 participants ÷ 11,202 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.1%–48.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,520 | 11,764 | 55.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,254 | 11,744 | 44.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,806 | 11,714 | 58.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,743 | 11,210 | 42.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,928 | 11,202 | 61.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 6,873 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1ST WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY1ST WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 258 | 873 | 13 | 1,144 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -4TH WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY4TH WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 263 | 756 | 10 | 1,029 | 25.6% | 73.5% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -CHILLICOTHE TWP-RICH HILL TWPCHILLICOTHE TWP-RICH HILL TWP | 165 | 768 | 6 | 939 | 17.6% | 81.8% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -3RD WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY3RD WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 185 | 641 | 7 | 833 | 22.2% | 77.0% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -2ND WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY2ND WARD CHILLICOTHE-CITY | 126 | 403 | 5 | 534 | 23.6% | 75.5% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSON TWP-SAMPSEL TWPJACKSON TWP-SAMPSEL TWP | 101 | 417 | 3 | 521 | 19.4% | 80.0% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -BLUE MOUND TWP-MONROE TWPBLUE MOUND TWP-MONROE TWP | 65 | 393 | 4 | 462 | 14.1% | 85.1% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRVIEW TOWNSHIPFAIRVIEW TOWNSHIP | 82 | 355 | 3 | 440 | 18.6% | 80.7% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -GREEN TWP- MOORESVILLE TWPGREEN TWP- MOORESVILLE TWP | 77 | 318 | 1 | 396 | 19.4% | 80.3% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -CREAM RIDGE TOWNSHIPCREAM RIDGE TOWNSHIP | 50 | 271 | 3 | 324 | 15.4% | 83.6% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -WHEELING TWP-MEDICINE TWPWHEELING TWP-MEDICINE TWP | 50 | 200 | 1 | 251 | 19.9% | 79.7% | R+59.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +4.6% |
| 1896 | +16.8% |
| 1900 | +3.0% |
| 1904 | −2.4% |
| 1908 | −0.4% |
| 1912 | +29.7% |
| 1916 | +3.6% |
| 1920 | −16.1% |
| 1924 | −2.2% |
| 1928 | −28.1% |
| 1932 | +12.8% |
| 1936 | +5.5% |
| 1940 | −6.7% |
| 1944 | −9.4% |
| 1948 | +4.3% |
| 1952 | −19.6% |
| 1956 | −15.4% |
| 1960 | −14.1% |
| 1964 | +32.6% |
| 1968 | −4.6% |
| 1972 | −32.7% |
| 1976 | +11.8% |
| 1980 | −3.9% |
| 1984 | −20.5% |
| 1988 | −5.9% |
| 1992 | +2.0% |
| 1996 | +8.6% |
| 2000 | −20.5% |
| 2004 | −27.6% |
| 2008 | −23.8% |
| 2012 | −34.7% |
| 2016 | −56.3% |
| 2020 | −57.1% |
| 2024 | −57.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,514 |
| 2018 | 9,451 |
| 2020 | 9,484 |
| 2022 | 9,234 |
| 2024 | 9,327 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+35 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +599 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,688 in average income, against $67,549 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.9 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Livingston County, MO itself (R+57.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grundy County, MO33R+63.5
- Carroll County, MO30R+64.5
- Linn County, MO28R+57.2
- Jackson County, MO24D+19.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Linn County, MO32
- Grundy County, MO25
- Jackson County, MO25
- Clay County, MO21
- Carroll County, MO20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +18 |
| 2012 | −97 |
| 2013 | −128 |
| 2014 | +163 |
| 2015 | −38 |
| 2016 | +241 |
| 2017 | +60 |
| 2018 | +14 |
| 2019 | +55 |
| 2021 | +260 |
| 2022 | −227 |
| 2023 | +157 |
| 2024 | +86 |
| 2025 | +35 |
Livingston County, anchored by the small city of Chillicothe in north-central Missouri, has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades, posting a 57.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 that places it among the state's most one-sided counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 14,364, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,627 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Harrison County and Macon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Livingston County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.