Akashic

county

Carroll County, TN

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American33.6%11.3%5.3%

English12.7%13.3%9.5%

Irish8.3%9.3%9.4%

German5.8%9.1%12.5%

Scottish2.0%2.2%1.3%

Italian1.6%2.2%4.8%

French1.3%1.3%1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.0%1.7%—

African American†7.5%14.3%9.9%

African0.6%0.6%0.5%

Nigerian0.2%—0.2%

Mexican2.2%3.8%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%

Colombian0.2%—0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Carroll County	Tennessee	United States
Median age	41.3	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	9.4%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.1%	17.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Carroll County	Tennessee	United States
Median household income	$51,787	$69,595	$84,427
Poverty rate	17.0%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	18.1%	31.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Carroll County	Tennessee	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.0%	8.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.4%	5.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Carroll County	Tennessee	United States
Catholic	0.3%	4.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	45.4%	36.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	43.8%	44.5%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	6.4%	6.5%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 53.9% of 22,156 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic18.8%2,233TrumpRepublican80.3%9,547KennedyIndependent0.6%76

R+61.6

Lead: 7,314
Total: 11,882
vs nation: R+60.1
Turnout: 53.9%

BidenDemocratic21.5%2,559TrumpRepublican77.3%9,205JorgensenLibertarian0.8%90

R+55.8

Lead: 6,646
Total: 11,905
vs nation: R+60.3
Turnout: 55.7%

ClintonDemocratic22.4%2,327TrumpRepublican74.7%7,756JohnsonLibertarian1.7%181

R+52.3

Lead: 5,429
Total: 10,384
vs nation: R+54.4
Turnout: 47.8%

ObamaDemocratic32.0%3,475RomneyRepublican66.6%7,225OtherAll other candidates1.4%151

R+34.6

Lead: 3,750
Total: 10,851
vs nation: R+38.4
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic34.2%3,980McCainRepublican64.0%7,455OtherAll other candidates1.8%211

R+29.8

Lead: 3,475
Total: 11,646
vs nation: R+37.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic43.1%5,070BushRepublican56.2%6,605OtherAll other candidates0.7%82

R+13.1

Lead: 1,535
Total: 11,757
vs nation: R+10.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic48.4%5,239BushRepublican50.5%5,465NaderGreen0.6%65

R+2.1

Lead: 226
Total: 10,827
vs nation: R+2.6
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic49.9%4,912DoleRepublican42.7%4,206PerotReform7.1%697

D+7.2

Lead: 706
Total: 9,849
vs nation: R+1.4
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 28,6412024 5-year
Median household income: $51,7872024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 83.7%2024 5-year
Black: 8.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+15.9 in 1976MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Weakley County, TN · twin score 95.2

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 53.9%11,944 participants ÷ 22,156 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +22.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 31.3%–39.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	10,555	22,089	47.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	8,903	21,906	40.6%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	12,104	21,741	55.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	7,280	22,046	33.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	11,944	22,156	53.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

15 precincts · 11,882 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Carroll County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -5-1 Civic Center5-1 Civic Center	370	1,388	16	1,774	20.9%	78.2%	R+57.4
Precinct -7-1 Police Station - Hunt.7-1 Police Station - Hunt.	203	1,005	15	1,223	16.6%	82.2%	R+65.6
Precinct -9-1 Church of Christ9-1 Church of Christ	220	892	5	1,117	19.7%	79.9%	R+60.2
Precinct -3-1 Bruceton3-1 Bruceton	176	843	9	1,028	17.1%	82.0%	R+64.9
Precinct -6-1 Clarksburg6-1 Clarksburg	86	758	7	851	10.1%	89.1%	R+79.0
Precinct -8-1 Senior Citizens Center8-1 Senior Citizens Center	225	585	4	814	27.6%	71.9%	R+44.2
Precinct -2-2 Trezevant2-2 Trezevant	153	633	7	793	19.3%	79.8%	R+60.5
Precinct -1-3 Atwood1-3 Atwood	200	556	4	760	26.3%	73.2%	R+46.8
Precinct -1-2 Cedar Grove1-2 Cedar Grove	134	559	7	700	19.1%	79.9%	R+60.7
Precinct -4-1 Recylcing Center4-1 Recylcing Center	86	574	3	663	13.0%	86.6%	R+73.6
Precinct -4-2 Hollow Rock4-2 Hollow Rock	106	429	5	540	19.6%	79.4%	R+59.8
Precinct -6-2 Concord/Westport6-2 Concord/Westport	71	352	7	430	16.5%	81.9%	R+65.3
Precinct -2-1 McLemoresville2-1 McLemoresville	82	328	0	410	20.0%	80.0%	R+60.0
Precinct -9-2 City Hall MK9-2 City Hall MK	77	306	10	393	19.6%	77.9%	R+58.3
Precinct -1-1 Lavinia1-1 Lavinia	44	339	3	386	11.4%	87.8%	R+76.4

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−9.7%
1896	−5.8%
1900	−12.6%
1904	−18.4%
1908	−11.7%
1912	+7.2%
1916	−5.1%
1920	−12.6%
1924	−5.6%
1928	−26.1%
1932	+1.9%
1936	+13.3%
1940	+0.9%
1944	−18.1%
1948	+2.7%
1952	−13.6%
1956	−13.2%
1960	−20.4%
1964	+4.1%
1968	−20.3%
1972	−41.8%
1976	+15.9%
1980	−3.6%
1984	−13.6%
1988	−15.1%
1992	+7.6%
1996	+7.2%
2000	−2.1%
2004	−13.1%
2008	−29.8%
2012	−34.6%
2016	−52.3%
2020	−55.8%
2024	−61.6%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	18.8%Harris2,233	80.3%Trump9,547	0.6%Kennedy76 +4	R+61.6	R+5.7	R+60.1	11,882
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican80.3%9,547 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.8%2,233 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.6%76 Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%11 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%7 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%7 Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%1
2020	R	21.5%Biden2,559	77.3%Trump9,205	0.8%Jorgensen90	R+55.8	R+3.5	R+60.3	11,905
2016	R	22.4%Clinton2,327	74.7%Trump7,756	1.7%Johnson181	R+52.3	R+17.7	R+54.4	10,384
2012	R	32.0%Obama3,475	66.6%Romney7,225	1.4%	R+34.6	R+4.7	R+38.4	10,851
2008	R	34.2%Obama3,980	64.0%McCain7,455	1.8%	R+29.8	R+16.8	R+37.1	11,646
2004	R	43.1%Kerry5,070	56.2%Bush6,605	0.7%	R+13.1	R+11.0	R+10.6	11,757
2000	R	48.4%Gore5,239	50.5%Bush5,465	0.6%Nader65	R+2.1	R+9.3	R+2.6	10,827
1996	D	49.9%Clinton4,912	42.7%Dole4,206	7.1%Perot697	D+7.2	R+0.5	R+1.4	9,849
1992	D	48.7%Clinton5,741	41.0%Bush4,842	9.7%Perot1,139	D+7.6	D+22.7	D+2.1	11,799
1988	R	42.2%Dukakis4,151	57.3%Bush5,635	0.4%	R+15.1	R+1.5	R+7.4	9,830
1984	R	42.8%Mondale4,568	56.4%Reagan6,017	0.7%	R+13.6	R+10.0	D+4.6	10,662
1980	R	47.4%Carter5,277	51.0%Reagan5,681	1.7%	R+3.6	R+19.6	D+6.1	11,143
1976	D	57.4%Carter5,581	41.5%Ford4,031	1.1%	D+15.9	D+57.8	D+13.9	9,721
1972	R	27.4%McGovern2,290	69.3%Nixon5,784	3.3%	R+41.8	R+21.5	R+18.7	8,349
1968	R	21.5%Humphrey1,932	41.8%Nixon3,757	36.7%	R+20.3	R+24.4	R+19.6	8,987
1964	D	52.1%Johnson4,056	47.9%Goldwater3,734	0.0%	D+4.1	D+24.6	R+18.4	7,790
1960	R	38.9%Kennedy2,961	59.4%Nixon4,517	1.7%	R+20.4	R+7.2	R+20.6	7,609
1956	R	42.6%Stevenson3,232	55.8%Eisenhower4,235	1.6%	R+13.2	D+0.4	D+2.2	7,590
1952	R	42.9%Stevenson2,841	56.5%Eisenhower3,741	0.7%	R+13.6	R+16.3	R+2.8	6,626
1948	D	45.7%Truman2,818	42.9%Dewey2,651	11.4%	D+2.7	D+20.8	R+1.8	6,173
1944	R	40.8%Roosevelt2,077	58.9%Dewey2,996	0.3%	R+18.1	R+18.9	R+25.6	5,088
1940	D	50.2%Roosevelt2,830	49.3%Willkie2,782	0.5%	D+0.9	R+12.4	R+9.1	5,642
1936	D	56.2%Roosevelt2,989	42.9%Landon2,282	1.0%	D+13.3	D+11.4	R+11.0	5,323
1932	D	50.5%Roosevelt2,603	48.6%Hoover2,505	0.9%	D+1.9	D+28.0	R+15.9	5,156
1928	R	36.7%Smith1,743	62.8%Hoover2,981	0.5%	R+26.1	R+20.5	R+8.6	4,747
1924	R	46.0%Davis1,962	51.6%Coolidge2,199	2.2%La Follette94	R+5.6	D+7.0	D+19.6	4,261
1920	R	43.7%Cox3,215	56.3%Harding4,141	0.0%	R+12.6	R+7.5	D+13.6	7,356
1916	R	47.0%Wilson2,001	52.1%Hughes2,217	1.0%	R+5.1	R+12.3	R+8.2	4,259
1912	D	40.8%Wilson1,653	33.6%Taft1,362	25.6%	D+7.2	D+18.9	R+12.4	4,051
1908	R	43.1%Bryan1,802	54.8%Taft2,290	2.1%	R+11.7	D+6.8	R+2.1	4,181
1904	R	38.1%Parker1,633	56.5%Roosevelt2,424	5.4%	R+18.4	R+5.8	D+1.2	4,289
1900	R	41.6%Bryan1,931	54.3%McKinley2,516	4.1%	R+12.6	R+6.9	R+5.1	4,637
1896	R	46.4%Bryan2,293	52.2%McKinley2,577	1.4%	R+5.8	D+3.9	D+0.3	4,937
1892	R	38.1%Cleveland1,636	47.8%Harrison2,051	14.1%	R+9.7	—	R+11.3	4,293
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	16.6%1,873	83.4%9,427	11,300
2020	R	19.8%2,196	80.2%8,888	11,084

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	17.3%2,017	81.0%9,446	11,655
2020Class II	R	20.0%Marquita Bradshaw2,286	77.8%Bill Hagerty8,899	11,441
2018Class I	R	29.7%Phil Bredesen2,606	68.8%Marshall Blackburn6,044	8,779
2014Class II	R	27.0%Gordon Ball1,677	66.0%Lamar Alexander4,091	6,201
2012Class I	R	27.6%Mark E. Clayton2,796	68.2%Bob Corker6,910	10,130
2008Class II	R	28.8%Bob Tuke3,075	67.8%Lamar Alexander7,254	10,695
2006Class I	R	46.5%Harold Ford Jr.4,256	51.8%Bob Corker4,742	9,147
2002Class II	R	48.9%Bob Clement4,518	49.1%Lamar Alexander4,540	9,238
2000Class I	R	33.7%Jeff Clark3,391	64.7%Bill Frist6,513	10,070
1996Class II	R	39.1%Houston Gordon3,705	59.2%Fred Thompson5,610	9,482
1994Class I	R	42.7%Jim Sasser3,775	56.5%Bill Frist4,997	8,845
1990Class II	D	75.3%Al Gore Jr.3,306	22.7%William Hawkins998	4,389
1988Class I	D	69.1%Jim Sasser6,188	30.8%Bill Andersen2,759	8,954
1984Class II	D	63.5%Al Gore Jr.6,520	34.1%Victor Ashe3,504	10,274
1982Class I	D	60.4%Jim Sasser5,494	39.6%Robin L. Beard3,601	9,095
1978Class II	R	40.7%Jane Eskind3,645	56.5%Howard Baker Jr.5,057	8,956
1976Class I	D	54.0%Jim Sasser5,125	45.8%William E. Brock III4,344	9,494
1972Class II	R	49.1%Ray Blanton4,153	50.3%Howard Baker Jr.4,255	8,451
1970Class I	R	44.1%Al Gore Sr.3,412	53.0%William E. Brock III4,104	7,739
1966Class II	R	43.9%Frank G. Clement2,799	56.1%Howard Baker Jr.3,583	6,382
1964Class I	R	47.9%Al Gore Sr.3,146	52.1%Dan Kuykendall3,423	6,569
1960Class II	D	66.2%Estes Kefauver3,658	33.8%A. Bradley Frazier1,868	5,526
1958Class I	D	75.9%Al Gore Sr.2,235	19.8%Hobart F. Atkins584	2,943
1954Class II	D	68.7%Estes Kefauver2,140	31.3%Tom Wall977	3,117
1952Class I	D	82.4%Al Gore Sr.3,958	12.4%Hobart F. Atkins597	4,802
1948Class II	D	61.5%Estes Kefauver3,050	37.6%B. Carroll Reece1,865	4,962
1946Class I	D	56.5%Kenneth McKellar1,452	43.5%W.B. Ladd1,118	2,570
1942Class II	D	51.4%A. Tom Stewart645	29.1%F. Todd Meachem365	1,256
1940Class I	D	58.9%Kenneth McKellar2,131	41.1%Howard Baker Sr.1,485	3,616
1936Class II	R	45.5%Nathan Bachman1,623	53.3%Dwayne Maddox1,902	3,567
1934Class I	R	38.6%Kenneth McKellar1,515	60.0%Ben W. Hooper2,352	3,921
1930Class II	D	59.2%Cordell Hull1,677	36.9%Paul E. Divine1,047	2,835
1928Class I	D	50.5%Kenneth McKellar1,791	49.5%J.A. Fowler1,758	3,549
1924Class II	R	49.9%Lawrence D. Tyson1,633	50.1%H.B. Lindsay1,637	3,270
1922Class I	D	57.1%Kenneth McKellar2,321	42.9%Newell Sanders1,746	4,067
1918Class II	R	42.4%John K. Shields1,305	57.6%H. Clay Evans1,776	3,081
1916Class I	R	45.7%Kenneth McKellar1,932	53.6%Ben W. Hooper2,267	4,232

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1994Special · Class II	R	41.1%Jim Cooper3,474	58.9%Fred Thompson4,988	8,462
1964Special · Class II	D	50.5%Ross Bass3,571	48.4%Howard Baker Jr.3,429	7,078
1938Special · Class II	D	54.6%A. Tom Stewart1,538	36.0%Harley G. Fowler1,014	2,817
1934Special · Class II	D	63.6%Nathan Bachman1,517	0.0%None0	2,385

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	R	25.6%Karl Dean2,247	73.4%Bill Lee6,451	8,788
2014	R	23.1%Charles Brown1,430	69.5%Bill Haslam4,313	6,202
2010	R	41.8%Mike McWherter3,484	56.7%Bill Haslam4,724	8,328
2006	D	70.3%Phil Bredesen6,379	27.5%Jim Bryson2,493	9,077
2002	D	54.4%Phil Bredesen4,957	43.7%Van Hilleary3,982	9,119
1998	R	29.3%John Jay Hooker1,627	68.9%Don Sundquist3,823	5,550
1994	R	48.2%Phil Bredesen4,330	51.1%Don Sundquist4,583	8,975
1990	D	68.1%Ned McWherter2,965	30.0%Dwight Henry1,304	4,351
1986	D	64.1%Ned McWherter6,014	35.9%Winfield Dunn3,372	9,386
1982	R	46.5%Randy Tyree4,209	53.5%Lamar Alexander4,848	9,057
1978	R	44.5%Jake Butcher4,182	55.1%Lamar Alexander5,182	9,401

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Carroll County, TN
Year	Total registered
2016	18,056
2018	17,623
2020	17,232
2022	17,381
2024	17,779

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+47 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +1,512 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $45,678 in average income, against $62,055 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+45.2 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, TN itself (R+61.6).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Gibson County, TN87R+51.9
Henry County, TN75R+55.3
Madison County, TN71R+18.2
Weakley County, TN62R+58.4
Benton County, TN58R+62.9
Henderson County, TN28R+67.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Henry County, TN75
Gibson County, TN70
Weakley County, TN66
Madison County, TN51
Benton County, TN38
Henderson County, TN33

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Carroll County, TN in Carroll County, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+173
2012	+194
2013	+18
2014	−129
2015	−244
2016	+45
2017	+13
2018	+283
2019	−112
2021	+62
2022	+325
2023	+606
2024	+231
2025	+47

Carroll County's R+61.6 margin in 2024 reflects a broader shift in rural west Tennessee toward lopsided Republican presidential tallies, a trend that has deepened steadily over the past two decades as the region's small-town and agricultural electorate realigned.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.9 points in 1976 and a Republican high of 61.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.6 points.

A population of 28,641, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,787 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Weakley County and Henry County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Weakley County

Tennessee

95.2twin score

elasticityAmerican ancestry2024 margin

Henry County

Tennessee

95.1twin score

American ancestry% Evangelical12-yr trend

Obion County

Tennessee

92.2twin score

elasticity2000–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Cities & towns in Carroll County

Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2018 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Carroll County, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carroll County, Tennessee voted Republican by 61.6 points (R+61.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,882 votes cast, 2,233 went Democratic and 9,547 went Republican.

When did Carroll County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Carroll County, Tennessee?

Carroll County, Tennessee has a population of 28,641 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Tennessee?

Median household income in Carroll County, Tennessee is $51,787 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Carroll County, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.

Measure

Carroll County

Tennessee

United States

Median age

41.3

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

9.4%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

20.1%

17.1%

17.2%

Measure

Carroll County

Tennessee

United States

Median household income

$51,787

$69,595

$84,427

Poverty rate

17.0%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

18.1%

31.3%

35.6%

Measure

Carroll County

Tennessee

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

2.0%

8.7%

22.3%

Spanish

1.4%

5.3%

13.6%

Measure

Carroll County

Tennessee

United States

Catholic

0.3%

4.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

45.4%

36.6%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

43.8%

44.5%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

6.4%

6.5%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+61.6MIT Election Lab

Population

28,6412024 5-year

Median household income

$51,7872024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

83.7%2024 5-year

Black

8.3%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+15.9 in 1976MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+61.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Weakley County, TN · twin score 95.2

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

10,555

22,089

47.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

8,903

21,906

40.6%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

12,104

21,741

55.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

7,280

22,046

33.0%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

11,944

22,156

53.9%

A/A

Carroll County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -5-1 Civic Center5-1 Civic Center

370

1,388

1,774

20.9%

78.2%

R+57.4

Precinct -7-1 Police Station - Hunt.7-1 Police Station - Hunt.

203

1,005

1,223

16.6%

82.2%

R+65.6

Precinct -9-1 Church of Christ9-1 Church of Christ

220

892

1,117

19.7%

79.9%

R+60.2

Precinct -3-1 Bruceton3-1 Bruceton

176

843

1,028

17.1%

82.0%

R+64.9

Precinct -6-1 Clarksburg6-1 Clarksburg

758

851

10.1%

89.1%

R+79.0

Precinct -8-1 Senior Citizens Center8-1 Senior Citizens Center

225

585

814

27.6%

71.9%

R+44.2

Precinct -2-2 Trezevant2-2 Trezevant

153

633

793

19.3%

79.8%

R+60.5

Precinct -1-3 Atwood1-3 Atwood

200

556

760

26.3%

73.2%

R+46.8

Precinct -1-2 Cedar Grove1-2 Cedar Grove

134

559

700

19.1%

79.9%

R+60.7

Precinct -4-1 Recylcing Center4-1 Recylcing Center

574

663

13.0%

86.6%

R+73.6

Precinct -4-2 Hollow Rock4-2 Hollow Rock

106

429

540

19.6%

79.4%

R+59.8

Precinct -6-2 Concord/Westport6-2 Concord/Westport

352

430

16.5%

81.9%

R+65.3

Precinct -2-1 McLemoresville2-1 McLemoresville

328

410

20.0%

80.0%

R+60.0

Precinct -9-2 City Hall MK9-2 City Hall MK

306

393

19.6%

77.9%

R+58.3

Precinct -1-1 Lavinia1-1 Lavinia

339

386

11.4%

87.8%

R+76.4

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−9.7%
1896	−5.8%
1900	−12.6%
1904	−18.4%
1908	−11.7%
1912	+7.2%
1916	−5.1%
1920	−12.6%
1924	−5.6%
1928	−26.1%
1932	+1.9%
1936	+13.3%
1940	+0.9%
1944	−18.1%
1948	+2.7%
1952	−13.6%
1956	−13.2%
1960	−20.4%
1964	+4.1%
1968	−20.3%
1972	−41.8%
1976	+15.9%
1980	−3.6%
1984	−13.6%
1988	−15.1%
1992	+7.6%
1996	+7.2%
2000	−2.1%
2004	−13.1%
2008	−29.8%
2012	−34.6%
2016	−52.3%
2020	−55.8%
2024	−61.6%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

18.8%Harris2,233

80.3%Trump9,547

0.6%Kennedy76 +4

R+61.6

R+5.7

R+60.1

11,882

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican80.3%9,547
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.8%2,233
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.6%76
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%11
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%7
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%7
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%1

2020

21.5%Biden2,559

77.3%Trump9,205

0.8%Jorgensen90

R+55.8

R+3.5

R+60.3

11,905

2016

22.4%Clinton2,327

74.7%Trump7,756

1.7%Johnson181

R+52.3

R+17.7

R+54.4

10,384

2012

32.0%Obama3,475

66.6%Romney7,225

1.4%

R+34.6

R+4.7

R+38.4

10,851

2008

34.2%Obama3,980

64.0%McCain7,455

1.8%

R+29.8

R+16.8

R+37.1

11,646

2004

43.1%Kerry5,070

56.2%Bush6,605

0.7%

R+13.1

R+11.0

R+10.6

11,757

2000

48.4%Gore5,239

50.5%Bush5,465

0.6%Nader65

R+2.1

R+9.3

R+2.6

10,827

1996

49.9%Clinton4,912

42.7%Dole4,206

7.1%Perot697

D+7.2

R+0.5

R+1.4

9,849

1992

48.7%Clinton5,741

41.0%Bush4,842

9.7%Perot1,139

D+7.6

D+22.7

D+2.1

11,799

1988

42.2%Dukakis4,151

57.3%Bush5,635

0.4%

R+15.1

R+1.5

R+7.4

9,830

1984

42.8%Mondale4,568

56.4%Reagan6,017

0.7%

R+13.6

R+10.0

D+4.6

10,662

1980

47.4%Carter5,277

51.0%Reagan5,681

1.7%

R+3.6

R+19.6

D+6.1

11,143

1976

57.4%Carter5,581

41.5%Ford4,031

1.1%

D+15.9

D+57.8

D+13.9

9,721

1972

27.4%McGovern2,290

69.3%Nixon5,784

3.3%

R+41.8

R+21.5

R+18.7

8,349

1968

21.5%Humphrey1,932

41.8%Nixon3,757

36.7%

R+20.3

R+24.4

R+19.6

8,987

1964

52.1%Johnson4,056

47.9%Goldwater3,734

0.0%

D+4.1

D+24.6

R+18.4

7,790

1960

38.9%Kennedy2,961

59.4%Nixon4,517

1.7%

R+20.4

R+7.2

R+20.6

7,609

1956

42.6%Stevenson3,232

55.8%Eisenhower4,235

1.6%

R+13.2

D+0.4

D+2.2

7,590

1952

42.9%Stevenson2,841

56.5%Eisenhower3,741

0.7%

R+13.6

R+16.3

R+2.8

6,626

1948

45.7%Truman2,818

42.9%Dewey2,651

11.4%

D+2.7

D+20.8

R+1.8

6,173

1944

40.8%Roosevelt2,077

58.9%Dewey2,996

0.3%

R+18.1

R+18.9

R+25.6

5,088

1940

50.2%Roosevelt2,830

49.3%Willkie2,782

0.5%

D+0.9

R+12.4

R+9.1

5,642

1936

56.2%Roosevelt2,989

42.9%Landon2,282

1.0%

D+13.3

D+11.4

R+11.0

5,323

1932

50.5%Roosevelt2,603

48.6%Hoover2,505

0.9%

D+1.9

D+28.0

R+15.9

5,156

1928

36.7%Smith1,743

62.8%Hoover2,981

0.5%

R+26.1

R+20.5

R+8.6

4,747

1924

46.0%Davis1,962

51.6%Coolidge2,199

2.2%La Follette94

R+5.6

D+7.0

D+19.6

4,261

1920

43.7%Cox3,215

56.3%Harding4,141

0.0%

R+12.6

R+7.5

D+13.6

7,356

1916

47.0%Wilson2,001

52.1%Hughes2,217

1.0%

R+5.1

R+12.3

R+8.2

4,259

1912

40.8%Wilson1,653

33.6%Taft1,362

25.6%

D+7.2

D+18.9

R+12.4

4,051

1908

43.1%Bryan1,802

54.8%Taft2,290

2.1%

R+11.7

D+6.8

R+2.1

4,181

1904

38.1%Parker1,633

56.5%Roosevelt2,424

5.4%

R+18.4

R+5.8

D+1.2

4,289

1900

41.6%Bryan1,931

54.3%McKinley2,516

4.1%

R+12.6

R+6.9

R+5.1

4,637

1896

46.4%Bryan2,293

52.2%McKinley2,577

1.4%

R+5.8

D+3.9

D+0.3

4,937

1892

38.1%Cleveland1,636

47.8%Harrison2,051

14.1%

R+9.7

—

R+11.3

4,293

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

16.6%1,873

83.4%9,427

11,300

2020

19.8%2,196

80.2%8,888

11,084

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

17.3%2,017

81.0%9,446

11,655

2020Class II

20.0%Marquita Bradshaw2,286

77.8%Bill Hagerty8,899

11,441

2018Class I

29.7%Phil Bredesen2,606

68.8%Marshall Blackburn6,044

8,779

2014Class II

27.0%Gordon Ball1,677

66.0%Lamar Alexander4,091

6,201

2012Class I

27.6%Mark E. Clayton2,796

68.2%Bob Corker6,910

10,130

2008Class II

28.8%Bob Tuke3,075

67.8%Lamar Alexander7,254

10,695

2006Class I

46.5%Harold Ford Jr.4,256

51.8%Bob Corker4,742

9,147

2002Class II

48.9%Bob Clement4,518

49.1%Lamar Alexander4,540

9,238

2000Class I

33.7%Jeff Clark3,391

64.7%Bill Frist6,513

10,070

1996Class II

39.1%Houston Gordon3,705

59.2%Fred Thompson5,610

9,482

1994Class I

42.7%Jim Sasser3,775

56.5%Bill Frist4,997

8,845

1990Class II

75.3%Al Gore Jr.3,306

22.7%William Hawkins998

4,389

1988Class I

69.1%Jim Sasser6,188

30.8%Bill Andersen2,759

8,954

1984Class II

63.5%Al Gore Jr.6,520

34.1%Victor Ashe3,504

10,274

1982Class I

60.4%Jim Sasser5,494

39.6%Robin L. Beard3,601

9,095

1978Class II

40.7%Jane Eskind3,645

56.5%Howard Baker Jr.5,057

8,956

1976Class I

54.0%Jim Sasser5,125

45.8%William E. Brock III4,344

9,494

1972Class II

49.1%Ray Blanton4,153

50.3%Howard Baker Jr.4,255

8,451

1970Class I

44.1%Al Gore Sr.3,412

53.0%William E. Brock III4,104

7,739

1966Class II

43.9%Frank G. Clement2,799

56.1%Howard Baker Jr.3,583

6,382

1964Class I

47.9%Al Gore Sr.3,146

52.1%Dan Kuykendall3,423

6,569

1960Class II

66.2%Estes Kefauver3,658

33.8%A. Bradley Frazier1,868

5,526

1958Class I

75.9%Al Gore Sr.2,235

19.8%Hobart F. Atkins584

2,943

1954Class II

68.7%Estes Kefauver2,140

31.3%Tom Wall977

3,117

1952Class I

82.4%Al Gore Sr.3,958

12.4%Hobart F. Atkins597

4,802

1948Class II

61.5%Estes Kefauver3,050

37.6%B. Carroll Reece1,865

4,962

1946Class I

56.5%Kenneth McKellar1,452

43.5%W.B. Ladd1,118

2,570

1942Class II

51.4%A. Tom Stewart645

29.1%F. Todd Meachem365

1,256

1940Class I

58.9%Kenneth McKellar2,131

41.1%Howard Baker Sr.1,485

3,616

1936Class II

45.5%Nathan Bachman1,623

53.3%Dwayne Maddox1,902

3,567

1934Class I

38.6%Kenneth McKellar1,515

60.0%Ben W. Hooper2,352

3,921

1930Class II

59.2%Cordell Hull1,677

36.9%Paul E. Divine1,047

2,835

1928Class I

50.5%Kenneth McKellar1,791

49.5%J.A. Fowler1,758

3,549

1924Class II

49.9%Lawrence D. Tyson1,633

50.1%H.B. Lindsay1,637

3,270

1922Class I

57.1%Kenneth McKellar2,321

42.9%Newell Sanders1,746

4,067

1918Class II

42.4%John K. Shields1,305

57.6%H. Clay Evans1,776

3,081

1916Class I

45.7%Kenneth McKellar1,932

53.6%Ben W. Hooper2,267

4,232

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1994Special · Class II

41.1%Jim Cooper3,474

58.9%Fred Thompson4,988

8,462

1964Special · Class II

50.5%Ross Bass3,571

48.4%Howard Baker Jr.3,429

7,078

1938Special · Class II

54.6%A. Tom Stewart1,538

36.0%Harley G. Fowler1,014

2,817

1934Special · Class II

63.6%Nathan Bachman1,517

0.0%None0

2,385

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018

25.6%Karl Dean2,247

73.4%Bill Lee6,451

8,788

2014

23.1%Charles Brown1,430

69.5%Bill Haslam4,313

6,202

2010

41.8%Mike McWherter3,484

56.7%Bill Haslam4,724

8,328

2006

70.3%Phil Bredesen6,379

27.5%Jim Bryson2,493

9,077

2002

54.4%Phil Bredesen4,957

43.7%Van Hilleary3,982

9,119

1998

29.3%John Jay Hooker1,627

68.9%Don Sundquist3,823

5,550

1994

48.2%Phil Bredesen4,330

51.1%Don Sundquist4,583

8,975

1990

68.1%Ned McWherter2,965

30.0%Dwight Henry1,304

4,351

1986

64.1%Ned McWherter6,014

35.9%Winfield Dunn3,372

9,386

1982

46.5%Randy Tyree4,209

53.5%Lamar Alexander4,848

9,057

1978

44.5%Jake Butcher4,182

55.1%Lamar Alexander5,182

9,401

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Carroll County, TN
Year	Total registered
2016	18,056
2018	17,623
2020	17,232
2022	17,381
2024	17,779

How did Carroll County, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carroll County, Tennessee voted Republican by 61.6 points (R+61.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,882 votes cast, 2,233 went Democratic and 9,547 went Republican.

When did Carroll County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Carroll County, Tennessee?

Carroll County, Tennessee has a population of 28,641 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Tennessee?

Median household income in Carroll County, Tennessee is $51,787 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Carroll County, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.