akashic
1876–2024
Marshall County, Tennessee
Marshall County·Tennessee

Marshall County changed its political identity.

A mid-state county where Republicans routinely run up supermajority margins

18762024·38 elections
Marshall County, Tennessee · Ichabod · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+56
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
36,049
2024 ACS
Most similar
Dickson County
TN · similarity 1.00
9 precincts · 16,001 votes cast
Trump · R+56
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−56.5%
3,39012,42616,001
2020R
−50.0%
3,60511,04314,878
2016R
−46.5%
2,8528,18411,455
2012R
−28.9%
3,7256,83210,741
2008R
−21.6%
4,3206,75511,289
2004R
−10.4%
4,7225,82510,615
2000D
+10.7%
5,1074,1059,359
1996D
+21.1%
4,4472,7817,913
1992D
+24.4%
4,4912,5168,098
1988R
−3.1%
2,7952,9755,791
1984R
−7.5%
2,9353,4166,393
1980D
+29.9%
4,2772,2826,666
1976D
+44.8%
4,4571,6746,209
1972R
−24.4%
1,5262,5934,378
1968D
+5.3%
1,5271,2026,108
1964D
+49.7%
3,9891,3405,329
1960D
+35.4%
3,6251,7175,387
1956D
+44.8%
4,1001,5275,745
1952D
+43.1%
3,8371,5255,362
1948D
+59.2%
3,0595174,295
1944D
+76.8%
3,8125004,315
1940D
+77.9%
3,1323893,523
1936D
+77.8%
2,4313002,739
1932D
+76.3%
2,1672832,470
1928D
+0.0%
7357351,470
1924D
+64.6%
1,6963492,085
1920D
+41.4%
1,8287532,596
1916D
+55.8%
1,6524612,134
1912D
+58.0%
1,5513762,025
1908D
+53.5%
1,5444402,065
1904D
+52.4%
2,1526202,921
1900D
+45.1%
2,1847633,153
1896D
+52.9%
2,8358493,755
1892D
+44.2%
2,1856853,395
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
3.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
23.1%
Other Christian
13.1%
Methodist
5.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Marshall County's 2024 presidential result—R+56.6—reflects a broader shift in rural Middle Tennessee toward lopsided Republican alignment, a pattern that has deepened each cycle since 2008.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Marshall County peaked at seventy-eight points in 1940; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of ten points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Marshall County's median household income of $71,049 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dickson County and Cannon County.