HarrisDemocratic23.6%5,100TrumpRepublican75.5%16,346KennedyIndependent0.5%103
R+51.9- Lead
- 11,246
- Total
- 21,648
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Turnout
- 57.3%
Akashiccounty
Gibson County, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.3% of 38,008 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.8%5,771TrumpRepublican72.8%16,259JorgensenLibertarian0.7%160
R+47.0- Lead
- 10,488
- Total
- 22,335
- vs nation
- R+51.4
- Turnout
- 60.9%
ClintonDemocratic26.9%5,258TrumpRepublican70.5%13,786JohnsonLibertarian1.6%305
R+43.6- Lead
- 8,528
- Total
- 19,547
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 53.1%
ObamaDemocratic33.4%6,564RomneyRepublican65.5%12,883OtherAll other candidates1.1%220
R+32.1- Lead
- 6,319
- Total
- 19,667
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.8%7,406McCainRepublican63.6%13,516OtherAll other candidates1.6%331
R+28.7- Lead
- 6,110
- Total
- 21,253
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.3%8,511BushRepublican55.1%10,596OtherAll other candidates0.6%114
R+10.8- Lead
- 2,085
- Total
- 19,221
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.6%8,663BushRepublican48.4%8,286NaderGreen0.6%101
D+2.2- Lead
- 377
- Total
- 17,137
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.9%8,851DoleRepublican40.3%6,614PerotReform5.4%891
D+13.6- Lead
- 2,237
- Total
- 16,428
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 50,8692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,7552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cross County, AR · twin score 93.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.3%21,783 participants ÷ 38,008 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.3%–39.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,715 | 37,133 | 53.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,389 | 36,942 | 44.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,471 | 36,925 | 60.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,742 | 37,642 | 33.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 21,783 | 38,008 | 57.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 21,648 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1 Medina1 Medina | 464 | 2,528 | 20 | 3,012 | 15.4% | 83.9% | R+68.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -38 Dyer38 Dyer | 393 | 1,308 | 21 | 1,722 | 22.8% | 76.0% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -22 Agri Plex22 Agri Plex | 549 | 820 | 7 | 1,376 | 39.9% | 59.6% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -26 Union Central26 Union Central | 195 | 1,091 | 18 | 1,304 | 15.0% | 83.7% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -2 Sitka2 Sitka | 165 | 995 | 7 | 1,167 | 14.1% | 85.3% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -28 Cumberland Pres Church28 Cumberland Pres Church | 173 | 897 | 5 | 1,075 | 16.1% | 83.4% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -31 Milan Municipal31 Milan Municipal | 229 | 725 | 5 | 959 | 23.9% | 75.6% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -4 Gibson4 Gibson | 170 | 777 | 6 | 953 | 17.8% | 81.5% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -14 Brazil14 Brazil | 142 | 790 | 13 | 945 | 15.0% | 83.6% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -7 Bailey Park7 Bailey Park | 176 | 756 | 8 | 940 | 18.7% | 80.4% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -13 Fruitland13 Fruitland | 178 | 709 | 9 | 896 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -32 Bradford32 Bradford | 146 | 734 | 12 | 892 | 16.4% | 82.3% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -37 Good Luck37 Good Luck | 114 | 767 | 9 | 890 | 12.8% | 86.2% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -6 Church of Christ6 Church of Christ | 287 | 497 | 9 | 793 | 36.2% | 62.7% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -40 Rutherford40 Rutherford | 116 | 601 | 10 | 727 | 16.0% | 82.7% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -17 Yorkville17 Yorkville | 77 | 568 | 8 | 653 | 11.8% | 87.0% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -30 1st Assembly30 1st Assembly | 180 | 435 | 8 | 623 | 28.9% | 69.8% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -29 Polk Clark29 Polk Clark | 400 | 214 | 5 | 619 | 64.6% | 34.6% | D+30.0 |
| Precinct -9 Lane Chapel9 Lane Chapel | 427 | 147 | 9 | 583 | 73.2% | 25.2% | D+48.0 |
| Precinct -8 Stigall Center8 Stigall Center | 421 | 119 | 10 | 550 | 76.5% | 21.6% | D+54.9 |
| Precinct -27 Skullbone27 Skullbone | 40 | 486 | 2 | 528 | 7.6% | 92.0% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -18 Kenton18 Kenton | 58 | 382 | 1 | 441 | 13.2% | 86.6% | R+73.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +32.4% |
| 1896 | +35.2% |
| 1900 | +35.9% |
| 1904 | +34.9% |
| 1908 | +39.4% |
| 1912 | +39.5% |
| 1916 | +42.7% |
| 1920 | +29.8% |
| 1924 | +51.0% |
| 1928 | +35.9% |
| 1932 | +69.5% |
| 1936 | +66.1% |
| 1940 | +60.9% |
| 1944 | +49.3% |
| 1948 | +46.6% |
| 1952 | +27.8% |
| 1956 | +37.6% |
| 1960 | +5.5% |
| 1964 | +27.5% |
| 1968 | −0.9% |
| 1972 | −45.0% |
| 1976 | +29.9% |
| 1980 | +17.9% |
| 1984 | −6.4% |
| 1988 | −5.4% |
| 1992 | +13.1% |
| 1996 | +13.6% |
| 2000 | +2.2% |
| 2004 | −10.8% |
| 2008 | −28.7% |
| 2012 | −32.1% |
| 2016 | −43.6% |
| 2020 | −47.0% |
| 2024 | −51.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.7%4,079 | 79.3%15,658 | 19,737 |
| 2020 | R | 23.1%4,823 | 76.9%16,030 | 20,853 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 30,499 |
| 2018 | 29,608 |
| 2020 | 31,066 |
| 2022 | 31,284 |
| 2024 | 32,416 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+248 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,112 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,031 in average income, against $64,830 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.5 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Gibson County, TN itself (R+51.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, TN401R+18.2
- Carroll County, TN70R+61.6
- Crockett County, TN63R+58.7
- Dyer County, TN57R+61.8
- Shelby County, TN55D+25.4
- Weakley County, TN53R+58.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, TN286
- Carroll County, TN87
- Crockett County, TN60
- Weakley County, TN57
- Obion County, TN50
- Dyer County, TN47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +289 |
| 2012 | −222 |
| 2013 | −238 |
| 2014 | +91 |
| 2015 | −65 |
| 2016 | +23 |
| 2017 | +104 |
| 2018 | −2 |
| 2019 | +34 |
| 2021 | +433 |
| 2022 | +618 |
| 2023 | +424 |
| 2024 | +375 |
| 2025 | +248 |
Gibson County's flat cotton-country landscape anchors an electorate that has voted Republican for president by double-digit margins for decades, reaching R+52 in 2024—a gap that has widened steadily as rural realignment accelerated across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.9 points.
A population of 50,869, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,755 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cross County and Poinsett County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cross County
Arkansas
93.6twin score
elasticity2000 margin% Evangelical
Poinsett County
Arkansas
93.5twin score
% Evangelical2000–2008 trajectory% Catholic≠ elasticity
Crockett County
Tennessee
93.2twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gibson County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Gibson County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Gibson County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gibson County, Tennessee voted Republican by 51.9 points (R+51.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,648 votes cast, 5,100 went Democratic and 16,346 went Republican.
When did Gibson County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gibson County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Gibson County, Tennessee?
Gibson County, Tennessee has a population of 50,869 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gibson County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Gibson County, Tennessee is $62,755 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Gibson County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gibson County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.