Akashic

county

Hardeman County, TN

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Irish9.5%9.3%9.4%

American9.2%11.3%5.3%

English8.8%13.3%9.5%

German4.7%9.1%12.5%

Italian1.3%2.2%4.8%

Scottish1.0%2.2%1.3%

French0.6%1.3%1.6%

Scotch-Irish0.6%1.7%—

African American†35.7%14.3%9.9%

African2.2%0.6%0.5%

Mexican1.3%3.8%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%

Peruvian0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Hardeman County	Tennessee	United States
Median age	40.1	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.4%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.7%	17.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Hardeman County	Tennessee	United States
Median household income	$46,069	$69,595	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.0%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	12.2%	31.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Hardeman County	Tennessee	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.7%	8.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.7%	5.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Hardeman County	Tennessee	United States
Catholic	0.5%	4.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	44.3%	36.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	41.2%	44.5%	51.5%
Black Protestant	10.9%	5.5%	2.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 46.4% of 20,350 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic37.5%3,527TrumpRepublican61.6%5,793KennedyIndependent0.5%51

R+24.1

Lead: 2,266
Total: 9,399
vs nation: R+22.6
Turnout: 46.4%

BidenDemocratic41.5%4,180TrumpRepublican57.2%5,760JorgensenLibertarian0.4%40

R+15.7

Lead: 1,580
Total: 10,063
vs nation: R+20.2
Turnout: 50.0%

ClintonDemocratic45.1%4,185TrumpRepublican53.0%4,919JohnsonLibertarian0.9%84

R+7.9

Lead: 734
Total: 9,273
vs nation: R+10.0
Turnout: 45.5%

ObamaDemocratic52.5%5,482RomneyRepublican46.6%4,865OtherAll other candidates0.9%92

D+5.9

Lead: 617
Total: 10,439
vs nation: D+2.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic52.7%5,919McCainRepublican46.5%5,225OtherAll other candidates0.8%93

D+6.2

Lead: 694
Total: 11,237
vs nation: R+1.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic54.3%5,685BushRepublican44.9%4,704OtherAll other candidates0.7%77

D+9.4

Lead: 981
Total: 10,466
vs nation: D+11.8
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic56.3%4,953BushRepublican42.4%3,729NaderGreen0.4%38

D+13.9

Lead: 1,224
Total: 8,803
vs nation: D+13.4
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic59.0%4,859DoleRepublican36.0%2,961PerotReform4.2%346

D+23.1

Lead: 1,898
Total: 8,231
vs nation: D+14.5
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+24.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 25,4332024 5-year
Median household income: $46,0692024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 53.1%2024 5-year
Black: 38.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+84.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+36.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Chesterfield County, SC · twin score 95.3

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 46.4%9,434 participants ÷ 20,350 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +22.2 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off versus state: -4.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 24.2%–31.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	9,405	20,670	45.5%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	7,677	20,395	37.6%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	10,142	20,294	50.0%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	5,699	20,515	27.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	9,434	20,350	46.4%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

12 precincts · 9,399 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Hardeman County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -West BolivarWest Bolivar	789	850	16	1,655	47.7%	51.4%	R+3.7
Precinct -MiddletonMiddleton	193	1,378	11	1,582	12.2%	87.1%	R+74.9
Precinct -WhitevilleWhiteville	661	387	12	1,060	62.4%	36.5%	D+25.8
Precinct -BolivarBolivar	641	379	9	1,029	62.3%	36.8%	D+25.5
Precinct -Hickory ValleyHickory Valley	155	526	3	684	22.7%	76.9%	R+54.2
Precinct -Grand JunctionGrand Junction	432	184	5	621	69.6%	29.6%	D+39.9
Precinct -TooneToone	146	442	6	594	24.6%	74.4%	R+49.8
Precinct -HebronHebron	179	408	4	591	30.3%	69.0%	R+38.7
Precinct -SilertonSilerton	48	399	2	449	10.7%	88.9%	R+78.2
Precinct -HornsbyHornsby	34	380	5	419	8.1%	90.7%	R+82.6
Precinct -SaulsburySaulsbury	98	292	2	392	25.0%	74.5%	R+49.5
Precinct -Dixie HillsDixie Hills	151	168	4	323	46.7%	52.0%	R+5.3

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+35.6%
1896	+21.8%
1900	+19.2%
1904	+30.8%
1908	+46.8%
1912	+52.4%
1916	+55.9%
1920	+42.1%
1924	+70.2%
1928	+49.1%
1932	+78.2%
1936	+84.4%
1940	+77.6%
1944	+62.7%
1948	+39.2%
1952	+37.0%
1956	+27.9%
1960	+3.1%
1964	+4.4%
1968	+9.3%
1972	−36.7%
1976	+26.8%
1980	+17.0%
1984	+1.1%
1988	−0.3%
1992	+19.8%
1996	+23.1%
2000	+13.9%
2004	+9.4%
2008	+6.2%
2012	+5.9%
2016	−7.9%
2020	−15.7%
2024	−24.1%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	37.5%Harris3,527	61.6%Trump5,793	0.5%Kennedy51 +4	R+24.1	R+8.4	R+22.6	9,399
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican61.6%5,793 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic37.5%3,527 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.5%51 Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%10 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%10 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%6 Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%2
2020	R	41.5%Biden4,180	57.2%Trump5,760	0.4%Jorgensen40	R+15.7	R+7.8	R+20.2	10,063
2016	R	45.1%Clinton4,185	53.0%Trump4,919	0.9%Johnson84	R+7.9	R+13.8	R+10.0	9,273
2012	D	52.5%Obama5,482	46.6%Romney4,865	0.9%	D+5.9	R+0.3	D+2.1	10,439
2008	D	52.7%Obama5,919	46.5%McCain5,225	0.8%	D+6.2	R+3.2	R+1.1	11,237
2004	D	54.3%Kerry5,685	44.9%Bush4,704	0.7%	D+9.4	R+4.5	D+11.8	10,466
2000	D	56.3%Gore4,953	42.4%Bush3,729	0.4%Nader38	D+13.9	R+9.2	D+13.4	8,803
1996	D	59.0%Clinton4,859	36.0%Dole2,961	4.2%Perot346	D+23.1	D+3.2	D+14.5	8,231
1992	D	56.0%Clinton4,832	36.2%Bush3,122	6.9%Perot594	D+19.8	D+20.1	D+14.3	8,627
1988	R	49.4%Dukakis3,526	49.7%Bush3,547	0.9%	R+0.3	R+1.4	D+7.4	7,138
1984	D	49.8%Mondale3,797	48.7%Reagan3,712	1.5%	D+1.1	R+15.8	D+19.3	7,626
1980	D	57.6%Carter4,153	40.7%Reagan2,931	1.7%	D+17.0	R+9.8	D+26.7	7,205
1976	D	62.7%Carter3,934	35.9%Ford2,254	1.3%	D+26.8	D+63.5	D+24.7	6,270
1972	R	29.3%McGovern1,550	66.0%Nixon3,494	4.7%	R+36.7	R+46.0	R+13.6	5,294
1968	O	29.4%Humphrey1,709	20.2%Nixon1,171	50.4%	Wallace +20.9	D+4.9	D+10.0	5,804
1964	D	52.2%Johnson2,675	47.8%Goldwater2,450	0.0%	D+4.4	D+1.3	R+18.2	5,125
1960	D	47.5%Kennedy1,711	44.4%Nixon1,601	8.1%	D+3.1	R+24.9	D+2.9	3,604
1956	D	52.3%Stevenson1,754	24.4%Eisenhower818	23.3%	D+27.9	R+9.1	D+43.3	3,353
1952	D	68.2%Stevenson2,747	31.2%Eisenhower1,256	0.6%	D+37.0	R+2.1	D+47.8	4,029
1948	D	48.8%Truman1,609	9.6%Dewey317	41.6%	D+39.2	R+23.6	D+34.7	3,300
1944	D	81.2%Roosevelt1,949	18.5%Dewey444	0.3%	D+62.7	R+14.9	D+55.2	2,400
1940	D	88.7%Roosevelt2,549	11.1%Willkie319	0.2%	D+77.6	R+6.8	D+67.6	2,875
1936	D	92.1%Roosevelt1,869	7.7%Landon157	0.1%	D+84.4	D+6.2	D+60.1	2,029
1932	D	88.7%Roosevelt2,377	10.5%Hoover281	0.8%	D+78.2	D+29.2	D+60.4	2,680
1928	D	74.1%Smith1,453	25.0%Hoover491	0.9%	D+49.1	R+21.2	D+66.5	1,961
1924	D	83.6%Davis1,586	13.4%Coolidge254	2.9%La Follette55	D+70.2	D+28.1	D+95.4	1,897
1920	D	70.7%Cox2,212	28.6%Harding895	0.7%	D+42.1	R+13.8	D+68.3	3,130
1916	D	77.8%Wilson1,724	21.9%Hughes485	0.3%	D+55.9	D+3.5	D+52.8	2,216
1912	D	69.1%Wilson1,323	16.7%Taft320	14.2%	D+52.4	D+5.6	D+32.8	1,915
1908	D	72.3%Bryan1,568	25.5%Taft553	2.2%	D+46.8	D+16.0	D+56.4	2,168
1904	D	63.9%Parker1,903	33.1%Roosevelt986	3.0%	D+30.8	D+11.6	D+50.5	2,977
1900	D	59.4%Bryan1,974	40.2%McKinley1,336	0.4%	D+19.2	R+2.6	D+26.8	3,322
1896	D	60.2%Bryan2,234	38.5%McKinley1,427	1.3%	D+21.8	R+13.8	D+27.8	3,708
1892	D	59.9%Cleveland1,940	24.4%Harrison789	15.7%	D+35.6	—	D+33.9	3,237
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	36.0%3,141	64.0%5,584	8,725
2020	R	39.0%3,386	61.0%5,302	8,688

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	35.1%3,204	62.8%5,731	9,121
2020Class II	R	37.7%Marquita Bradshaw3,452	58.7%Bill Hagerty5,377	9,163
2018Class I	R	47.2%Phil Bredesen3,560	51.3%Marshall Blackburn3,869	7,535
2014Class II	R	41.4%Gordon Ball1,993	54.5%Lamar Alexander2,623	4,813
2012Class I	R	41.5%Mark E. Clayton3,712	53.5%Bob Corker4,785	8,945
2008Class II	R	45.1%Bob Tuke4,476	51.8%Lamar Alexander5,144	9,927
2006Class I	D	56.5%Harold Ford Jr.4,484	42.5%Bob Corker3,367	7,931
2002Class II	D	51.0%Bob Clement3,266	46.9%Lamar Alexander3,002	6,400
2000Class I	R	38.8%Jeff Clark2,760	57.3%Bill Frist4,076	7,108
1996Class II	D	53.1%Houston Gordon3,889	45.9%Fred Thompson3,357	7,318
1994Class I	R	44.4%Jim Sasser2,837	54.3%Bill Frist3,471	6,389
1990Class II	D	77.0%Al Gore Jr.3,873	20.6%William Hawkins1,034	5,027
1988Class I	D	74.6%Jim Sasser4,828	25.1%Bill Andersen1,624	6,472
1984Class II	D	63.5%Al Gore Jr.4,494	26.2%Victor Ashe1,854	7,073
1982Class I	D	60.8%Jim Sasser3,810	39.2%Robin L. Beard2,452	6,262
1978Class II	D	48.8%Jane Eskind2,542	47.3%Howard Baker Jr.2,465	5,208
1976Class I	D	59.5%Jim Sasser3,605	40.0%William E. Brock III2,419	6,055
1972Class II	D	57.0%Ray Blanton3,214	42.1%Howard Baker Jr.2,378	5,643
1970Class I	R	37.1%Al Gore Sr.1,773	60.0%William E. Brock III2,864	4,774
1966Class II	D	52.1%Frank G. Clement2,047	47.9%Howard Baker Jr.1,884	3,931
1964Class I	R	49.4%Al Gore Sr.2,045	50.6%Dan Kuykendall2,094	4,139
1960Class II	D	68.9%Estes Kefauver1,689	31.1%A. Bradley Frazier764	2,453
1958Class I	D	87.8%Al Gore Sr.1,801	6.6%Hobart F. Atkins135	2,052
1954Class II	D	99.3%Estes Kefauver1,192	0.7%Tom Wall8	1,200
1952Class I	D	90.3%Al Gore Sr.2,893	5.0%Hobart F. Atkins161	3,202
1948Class II	D	88.0%Estes Kefauver2,817	11.0%B. Carroll Reece352	3,200
1946Class I	D	86.2%Kenneth McKellar815	5.7%W.B. Ladd54	946
1942Class II	D	86.5%A. Tom Stewart1,079	4.5%F. Todd Meachem56	1,248
1940Class I	D	91.7%Kenneth McKellar2,341	8.3%Howard Baker Sr.211	2,552
1936Class II	D	96.6%Nathan Bachman1,712	2.3%Dwayne Maddox40	1,773
1934Class I	D	60.4%Kenneth McKellar1,926	39.0%Ben W. Hooper1,243	3,189
1930Class II	D	97.1%Cordell Hull1,248	2.1%Paul E. Divine27	1,285
1928Class I	D	86.0%Kenneth McKellar1,547	14.0%J.A. Fowler252	1,799
1924Class II	D	88.9%Lawrence D. Tyson1,508	10.8%H.B. Lindsay184	1,696
1922Class I	D	88.9%Kenneth McKellar1,555	11.1%Newell Sanders195	1,750
1918Class II	D	83.6%John K. Shields1,171	16.4%H. Clay Evans229	1,400
1916Class I	D	75.2%Kenneth McKellar1,678	24.5%Ben W. Hooper547	2,230

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1994Special · Class II	R	43.0%Jim Cooper2,634	57.0%Fred Thompson3,486	6,120
1964Special · Class II	D	50.1%Ross Bass2,149	48.6%Howard Baker Jr.2,087	4,292
1938Special · Class II	D	90.3%A. Tom Stewart1,747	9.7%Harley G. Fowler187	1,934
1934Special · Class II	D	69.9%Nathan Bachman1,861	0.0%None0	2,662

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	R	44.4%Karl Dean3,336	54.0%Bill Lee4,060	7,512
2014	R	37.0%Charles Brown1,809	59.1%Bill Haslam2,891	4,888
2010	R	47.3%Mike McWherter3,044	50.5%Bill Haslam3,250	6,442
2006	D	75.6%Phil Bredesen5,895	22.3%Jim Bryson1,740	7,798
2002	D	56.5%Phil Bredesen3,891	41.0%Van Hilleary2,822	6,885
1998	R	36.6%John Jay Hooker1,201	60.5%Don Sundquist1,986	3,281
1994	R	42.1%Phil Bredesen2,718	57.2%Don Sundquist3,697	6,458
1990	D	68.9%Ned McWherter3,573	29.3%Dwight Henry1,517	5,186
1986	D	64.3%Ned McWherter3,708	35.7%Winfield Dunn2,055	5,763
1982	D	56.7%Randy Tyree3,440	43.3%Lamar Alexander2,628	6,068
1978	D	52.7%Jake Butcher2,868	46.8%Lamar Alexander2,545	5,438

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Hardeman County, TN
Year	Total registered
2016	14,781
2018	14,231
2020	14,909
2022	14,759
2024	15,305

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−171 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $57,354 in average income, against $47,767 for residents who stayed — 20% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+13.9 on average — 10 points more Democratic-leaning than Hardeman County, TN itself (R+24.1).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Shelby County, TN113D+25.4
Madison County, TN70R+18.2
Fayette County, TN67R+42.4
McNairy County, TN22R+68.4
Chester County, TN20R+64.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Madison County, TN84
Shelby County, TN65
Fayette County, TN52
McNairy County, TN21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Hardeman County, TN in Hardeman County, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−309
2012	−238
2013	−255
2014	−336
2015	−171
2016	−202
2017	−4
2018	−144
2019	−155
2021	−65
2022	+341
2023	+155
2024	+53
2025	−171

Hardeman County sits in Tennessee's cotton-belt west, with a population split roughly evenly between Black and white residents — an unusual demographic profile that has historically kept margins tighter here than in neighboring rural counties, though the gap has grown sharply in recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 36.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.1 points.

A population of 25,433, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,069 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chesterfield County and Richmond County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Chesterfield County

South Carolina

95.3twin score

% Black12-yr trendcollege share

Richmond County

North Carolina

95.2twin score

2000–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Irish ancestry

Lauderdale County

Tennessee

94.4twin score

2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend% Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Hardeman County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Hardeman County

Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2018 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Hardeman County, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Hardeman County, Tennessee voted Republican by 24.1 points (R+24.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,399 votes cast, 3,527 went Democratic and 5,793 went Republican.

When did Hardeman County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Hardeman County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Hardeman County, Tennessee?

Hardeman County, Tennessee has a population of 25,433 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Hardeman County, Tennessee?

Median household income in Hardeman County, Tennessee is $46,069 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Hardeman County, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hardeman County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.

Measure

Hardeman County

Tennessee

United States

Median age

40.1

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

8.4%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

18.7%

17.1%

17.2%

Measure

Hardeman County

Tennessee

United States

Median household income

$46,069

$69,595

$84,427

Poverty rate

19.0%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

12.2%

31.3%

35.6%

Measure

Hardeman County

Tennessee

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

2.7%

8.7%

22.3%

Spanish

1.7%

5.3%

13.6%

Measure

Hardeman County

Tennessee

United States

Catholic

0.5%

4.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

44.3%

36.6%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

41.2%

44.5%

51.5%

Black Protestant

10.9%

5.5%

2.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+24.1MIT Election Lab

Population

25,4332024 5-year

Median household income

$46,0692024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

53.1%2024 5-year

Black

38.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.2%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+84.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+36.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Chesterfield County, SC · twin score 95.3

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

9,405

20,670

45.5%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

7,677

20,395

37.6%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

10,142

20,294

50.0%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

5,699

20,515

27.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

9,434

20,350

46.4%

A/A

Hardeman County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -West BolivarWest Bolivar

789

850

1,655

47.7%

51.4%

R+3.7

Precinct -MiddletonMiddleton

193

1,378

1,582

12.2%

87.1%

R+74.9

Precinct -WhitevilleWhiteville

661

387

1,060

62.4%

36.5%

D+25.8

Precinct -BolivarBolivar

641

379

1,029

62.3%

36.8%

D+25.5

Precinct -Hickory ValleyHickory Valley

155

526

684

22.7%

76.9%

R+54.2

Precinct -Grand JunctionGrand Junction

432

184

621

69.6%

29.6%

D+39.9

Precinct -TooneToone

146

442

594

24.6%

74.4%

R+49.8

Precinct -HebronHebron

179

408

591

30.3%

69.0%

R+38.7

Precinct -SilertonSilerton

399

449

10.7%

88.9%

R+78.2

Precinct -HornsbyHornsby

380

419

8.1%

90.7%

R+82.6

Precinct -SaulsburySaulsbury

292

392

25.0%

74.5%

R+49.5

Precinct -Dixie HillsDixie Hills

151

168

323

46.7%

52.0%

R+5.3

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+35.6%
1896	+21.8%
1900	+19.2%
1904	+30.8%
1908	+46.8%
1912	+52.4%
1916	+55.9%
1920	+42.1%
1924	+70.2%
1928	+49.1%
1932	+78.2%
1936	+84.4%
1940	+77.6%
1944	+62.7%
1948	+39.2%
1952	+37.0%
1956	+27.9%
1960	+3.1%
1964	+4.4%
1968	+9.3%
1972	−36.7%
1976	+26.8%
1980	+17.0%
1984	+1.1%
1988	−0.3%
1992	+19.8%
1996	+23.1%
2000	+13.9%
2004	+9.4%
2008	+6.2%
2012	+5.9%
2016	−7.9%
2020	−15.7%
2024	−24.1%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

37.5%Harris3,527

61.6%Trump5,793

0.5%Kennedy51 +4

R+24.1

R+8.4

R+22.6

9,399

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican61.6%5,793
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic37.5%3,527
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.5%51
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%10
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%10
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%6
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%2

2020

41.5%Biden4,180

57.2%Trump5,760

0.4%Jorgensen40

R+15.7

R+7.8

R+20.2

10,063

2016

45.1%Clinton4,185

53.0%Trump4,919

0.9%Johnson84

R+7.9

R+13.8

R+10.0

9,273

2012

52.5%Obama5,482

46.6%Romney4,865

0.9%

D+5.9

R+0.3

D+2.1

10,439

2008

52.7%Obama5,919

46.5%McCain5,225

0.8%

D+6.2

R+3.2

R+1.1

11,237

2004

54.3%Kerry5,685

44.9%Bush4,704

0.7%

D+9.4

R+4.5

D+11.8

10,466

2000

56.3%Gore4,953

42.4%Bush3,729

0.4%Nader38

D+13.9

R+9.2

D+13.4

8,803

1996

59.0%Clinton4,859

36.0%Dole2,961

4.2%Perot346

D+23.1

D+3.2

D+14.5

8,231

1992

56.0%Clinton4,832

36.2%Bush3,122

6.9%Perot594

D+19.8

D+20.1

D+14.3

8,627

1988

49.4%Dukakis3,526

49.7%Bush3,547

0.9%

R+0.3

R+1.4

D+7.4

7,138

1984

49.8%Mondale3,797

48.7%Reagan3,712

1.5%

D+1.1

R+15.8

D+19.3

7,626

1980

57.6%Carter4,153

40.7%Reagan2,931

1.7%

D+17.0

R+9.8

D+26.7

7,205

1976

62.7%Carter3,934

35.9%Ford2,254

1.3%

D+26.8

D+63.5

D+24.7

6,270

1972

29.3%McGovern1,550

66.0%Nixon3,494

4.7%

R+36.7

R+46.0

R+13.6

5,294

1968

29.4%Humphrey1,709

20.2%Nixon1,171

50.4%

Wallace +20.9

D+4.9

D+10.0

5,804

1964

52.2%Johnson2,675

47.8%Goldwater2,450

0.0%

D+4.4

D+1.3

R+18.2

5,125

1960

47.5%Kennedy1,711

44.4%Nixon1,601

8.1%

D+3.1

R+24.9

D+2.9

3,604

1956

52.3%Stevenson1,754

24.4%Eisenhower818

23.3%

D+27.9

R+9.1

D+43.3

3,353

1952

68.2%Stevenson2,747

31.2%Eisenhower1,256

0.6%

D+37.0

R+2.1

D+47.8

4,029

1948

48.8%Truman1,609

9.6%Dewey317

41.6%

D+39.2

R+23.6

D+34.7

3,300

1944

81.2%Roosevelt1,949

18.5%Dewey444

0.3%

D+62.7

R+14.9

D+55.2

2,400

1940

88.7%Roosevelt2,549

11.1%Willkie319

0.2%

D+77.6

R+6.8

D+67.6

2,875

1936

92.1%Roosevelt1,869

7.7%Landon157

0.1%

D+84.4

D+6.2

D+60.1

2,029

1932

88.7%Roosevelt2,377

10.5%Hoover281

0.8%

D+78.2

D+29.2

D+60.4

2,680

1928

74.1%Smith1,453

25.0%Hoover491

0.9%

D+49.1

R+21.2

D+66.5

1,961

1924

83.6%Davis1,586

13.4%Coolidge254

2.9%La Follette55

D+70.2

D+28.1

D+95.4

1,897

1920

70.7%Cox2,212

28.6%Harding895

0.7%

D+42.1

R+13.8

D+68.3

3,130

1916

77.8%Wilson1,724

21.9%Hughes485

0.3%

D+55.9

D+3.5

D+52.8

2,216

1912

69.1%Wilson1,323

16.7%Taft320

14.2%

D+52.4

D+5.6

D+32.8

1,915

1908

72.3%Bryan1,568

25.5%Taft553

2.2%

D+46.8

D+16.0

D+56.4

2,168

1904

63.9%Parker1,903

33.1%Roosevelt986

3.0%

D+30.8

D+11.6

D+50.5

2,977

1900

59.4%Bryan1,974

40.2%McKinley1,336

0.4%

D+19.2

R+2.6

D+26.8

3,322

1896

60.2%Bryan2,234

38.5%McKinley1,427

1.3%

D+21.8

R+13.8

D+27.8

3,708

1892

59.9%Cleveland1,940

24.4%Harrison789

15.7%

D+35.6

—

D+33.9

3,237

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

36.0%3,141

64.0%5,584

8,725

2020

39.0%3,386

61.0%5,302

8,688

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

35.1%3,204

62.8%5,731

9,121

2020Class II

37.7%Marquita Bradshaw3,452

58.7%Bill Hagerty5,377

9,163

2018Class I

47.2%Phil Bredesen3,560

51.3%Marshall Blackburn3,869

7,535

2014Class II

41.4%Gordon Ball1,993

54.5%Lamar Alexander2,623

4,813

2012Class I

41.5%Mark E. Clayton3,712

53.5%Bob Corker4,785

8,945

2008Class II

45.1%Bob Tuke4,476

51.8%Lamar Alexander5,144

9,927

2006Class I

56.5%Harold Ford Jr.4,484

42.5%Bob Corker3,367

7,931

2002Class II

51.0%Bob Clement3,266

46.9%Lamar Alexander3,002

6,400

2000Class I

38.8%Jeff Clark2,760

57.3%Bill Frist4,076

7,108

1996Class II

53.1%Houston Gordon3,889

45.9%Fred Thompson3,357

7,318

1994Class I

44.4%Jim Sasser2,837

54.3%Bill Frist3,471

6,389

1990Class II

77.0%Al Gore Jr.3,873

20.6%William Hawkins1,034

5,027

1988Class I

74.6%Jim Sasser4,828

25.1%Bill Andersen1,624

6,472

1984Class II

63.5%Al Gore Jr.4,494

26.2%Victor Ashe1,854

7,073

1982Class I

60.8%Jim Sasser3,810

39.2%Robin L. Beard2,452

6,262

1978Class II

48.8%Jane Eskind2,542

47.3%Howard Baker Jr.2,465

5,208

1976Class I

59.5%Jim Sasser3,605

40.0%William E. Brock III2,419

6,055

1972Class II

57.0%Ray Blanton3,214

42.1%Howard Baker Jr.2,378

5,643

1970Class I

37.1%Al Gore Sr.1,773

60.0%William E. Brock III2,864

4,774

1966Class II

52.1%Frank G. Clement2,047

47.9%Howard Baker Jr.1,884

3,931

1964Class I

49.4%Al Gore Sr.2,045

50.6%Dan Kuykendall2,094

4,139

1960Class II

68.9%Estes Kefauver1,689

31.1%A. Bradley Frazier764

2,453

1958Class I

87.8%Al Gore Sr.1,801

6.6%Hobart F. Atkins135

2,052

1954Class II

99.3%Estes Kefauver1,192

0.7%Tom Wall8

1,200

1952Class I

90.3%Al Gore Sr.2,893

5.0%Hobart F. Atkins161

3,202

1948Class II

88.0%Estes Kefauver2,817

11.0%B. Carroll Reece352

3,200

1946Class I

86.2%Kenneth McKellar815

5.7%W.B. Ladd54

946

1942Class II

86.5%A. Tom Stewart1,079

4.5%F. Todd Meachem56

1,248

1940Class I

91.7%Kenneth McKellar2,341

8.3%Howard Baker Sr.211

2,552

1936Class II

96.6%Nathan Bachman1,712

2.3%Dwayne Maddox40

1,773

1934Class I

60.4%Kenneth McKellar1,926

39.0%Ben W. Hooper1,243

3,189

1930Class II

97.1%Cordell Hull1,248

2.1%Paul E. Divine27

1,285

1928Class I

86.0%Kenneth McKellar1,547

14.0%J.A. Fowler252

1,799

1924Class II

88.9%Lawrence D. Tyson1,508

10.8%H.B. Lindsay184

1,696

1922Class I

88.9%Kenneth McKellar1,555

11.1%Newell Sanders195

1,750

1918Class II

83.6%John K. Shields1,171

16.4%H. Clay Evans229

1,400

1916Class I

75.2%Kenneth McKellar1,678

24.5%Ben W. Hooper547

2,230

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1994Special · Class II

43.0%Jim Cooper2,634

57.0%Fred Thompson3,486

6,120

1964Special · Class II

50.1%Ross Bass2,149

48.6%Howard Baker Jr.2,087

4,292

1938Special · Class II

90.3%A. Tom Stewart1,747

9.7%Harley G. Fowler187

1,934

1934Special · Class II

69.9%Nathan Bachman1,861

0.0%None0

2,662

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018

44.4%Karl Dean3,336

54.0%Bill Lee4,060

7,512

2014

37.0%Charles Brown1,809

59.1%Bill Haslam2,891

4,888

2010

47.3%Mike McWherter3,044

50.5%Bill Haslam3,250

6,442

2006

75.6%Phil Bredesen5,895

22.3%Jim Bryson1,740

7,798

2002

56.5%Phil Bredesen3,891

41.0%Van Hilleary2,822

6,885

1998

36.6%John Jay Hooker1,201

60.5%Don Sundquist1,986

3,281

1994

42.1%Phil Bredesen2,718

57.2%Don Sundquist3,697

6,458

1990

68.9%Ned McWherter3,573

29.3%Dwight Henry1,517

5,186

1986

64.3%Ned McWherter3,708

35.7%Winfield Dunn2,055

5,763

1982

56.7%Randy Tyree3,440

43.3%Lamar Alexander2,628

6,068

1978

52.7%Jake Butcher2,868

46.8%Lamar Alexander2,545

5,438

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Hardeman County, TN
Year	Total registered
2016	14,781
2018	14,231
2020	14,909
2022	14,759
2024	15,305

How did Hardeman County, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Hardeman County, Tennessee voted Republican by 24.1 points (R+24.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,399 votes cast, 3,527 went Democratic and 5,793 went Republican.

When did Hardeman County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Hardeman County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Hardeman County, Tennessee?

Hardeman County, Tennessee has a population of 25,433 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Hardeman County, Tennessee?

Median household income in Hardeman County, Tennessee is $46,069 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Hardeman County, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hardeman County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.