cityNashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+12.2
2008D+22.8
2012D+20.5
2016D+27.2
2020D+33.4
2024D+28.6
net swing · 2004→2024D+16.3D+12.2 → D+28.6
vs. U.S. · 2024D+30.0D+28.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 56.1% of 492,207 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
174,806
95,872
5,648
276,326
492,207
56.1%
2020
192,392
93,813
9,263
295,468
480,497
61.5%
2016
143,127
78,682
14,893
236,702
457,401
51.7%
2012
138,264
90,375
4,551
233,190
430,416
54.2%
2008
153,219
95,631
3,317
252,167
420,742
59.9%
2004
128,383
100,197
1,676
230,256
411,068†
56.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance)TennesseeUnited States
English11.3%13.3%9.5%
German9.1%9.1%12.5%
Irish8.2%9.3%9.4%
American5.7%11.3%5.3%
Italian3.0%2.2%4.8%
Scottish2.3%2.2%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.6%1.7%—
French1.5%1.3%1.6%
African American†21.6%14.3%9.9%
African1.2%0.6%0.5%
Nigerian0.4%—0.2%
Ethiopian0.3%——
Somali0.3%——
Sudanese0.3%——
Jamaican0.3%—0.4%
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Mexican6.8%3.8%11.3%
Honduran1.9%0.5%0.3%
Guatemalan1.3%0.6%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.6%1.8%
Salvadoran0.7%0.2%0.7%
Cuban0.6%0.2%0.7%
Colombian0.3%—0.4%
Venezuelan0.2%0.2%—
Asian Indian0.7%0.5%1.4%
Chinese0.5%0.2%1.3%
Vietnamese0.4%0.2%0.6%
Burmese0.4%——
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.3%—0.4%
Laotian0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance)
Tennessee
United States
Median age
34.5
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.7%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.9%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance)
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$77,371
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.1%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
48.0%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance)
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.6%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
11.0%
5.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.4%
0.7%
2.0%
Arabic
2.0%
0.5%
0.4%
Other languages
1.9%
0.4%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance)
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
—
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
44.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+12.2%
2008
+22.8%
2012
+20.5%
2016
+27.2%
2020
+33.4%
2024
+28.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
63.3%Harris174,806
34.7%Trump95,872
2.0%
D+28.6
R+4.8
D+30.0
276,326
D
65.1%Biden192,392
31.8%Trump93,813
3.1%
D+33.4
D+6.1
D+28.9
295,468
D
60.5%Clinton143,127
33.2%Trump78,682
6.3%
D+27.2
D+6.7
D+25.1
236,702
D
59.3%Obama138,264
38.8%Romney90,375
2.0%
D+20.5
R+2.3
D+16.7
233,190
D
60.8%Obama153,219
37.9%McCain95,631
1.3%
D+22.8
D+10.6
D+15.6
252,167
D
55.8%Kerry128,383
43.5%Bush100,197
0.7%
D+12.2
—
D+14.7
230,256
Nashville's consolidated city-county government has voted Democratic in presidential races by double-digit margins, anchored by a large university and healthcare workforce population that has reshaped its electorate faster than most Southern metros.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.6 points.
A population of 690,130, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,371 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Charlotte and Raleigh.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4752006/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee voted Democratic by 28.6 points (D+28.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 276,326 votes cast, 174,806 went Democratic and 95,872 went Republican.
How many people live in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee?
Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee has a population of 690,130 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee is $77,371 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
