- Lead
- 4,331
- Total
- 5,721
- vs nation
- R+74.2
- Turnout
- 57.5%
Lewis County, KY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.5% of 10,007 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,163
- Total
- 5,883
- vs nation
- R+75.2
- Turnout
- 57.2%
- Lead
- 3,578
- Total
- 5,298
- vs nation
- R+69.6
- Turnout
- 51.2%
- Lead
- 1,984
- Total
- 4,769
- vs nation
- R+45.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,703
- Total
- 4,791
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,111
- Total
- 5,484
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,924
- Total
- 4,568
- vs nation
- R+42.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 950
- Total
- 4,370
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+75.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 12,9652024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 483 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $46,8382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 96.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fleming County, KY · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.5%5,758 participants ÷ 10,007 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.3%–39.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,423 | 10,601 | 51.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,476 | 10,469 | 33.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,913 | 10,334 | 57.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,921 | 10,062 | 39.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,758 | 10,007 | 57.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Lewis County, KY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
47.7%
2,047 votes · R+4.3
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 44.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
87.3%
4,997 votes · R+75.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 84.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
2,488votes
43.3% of the vote · R+12.6
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 2,047 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,997votes
87.3% of the vote · R+75.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,986 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
−9.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+28.8 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −9.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+75.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +74.2 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Republican than the rolls.
10,123 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+27 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −457 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,062 in average income, against $53,723 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+48.8 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Lewis County, KY itself (R+75.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mason County, KY46R+43.7
- Fleming County, KY20R+60.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mason County, KY38
- Fleming County, KY28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −9 |
| 2012 | −25 |
| 2013 | −98 |
| 2014 | +41 |
| 2015 | −147 |
| 2016 | −93 |
| 2017 | −101 |
| 2018 | −87 |
| 2019 | +10 |
| 2021 | −42 |
| 2022 | +22 |
| 2023 | +86 |
| 2024 | −41 |
| 2025 | +27 |
This Appalachian county along the Ohio River recorded an R+75.7 margin in 2024, placing it among the most Republican-skewed counties in the state. Its small, rural population has shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 75.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 75.7 points.
A population of 12,965, a 97% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,838 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fleming County and Wirt County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lewis County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.