Akashic

county

Cumberland County, PA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German28.3%21.6%12.5%

Irish13.0%14.8%9.4%

English10.0%8.3%9.5%

Italian6.7%10.6%4.8%

American4.6%4.4%5.3%

Polish3.1%5.4%2.2%

Scottish2.3%1.1%1.3%

French2.0%—1.6%

Asian Indian2.7%1.2%1.4%

Chinese0.5%0.9%1.3%

Filipino0.5%0.2%0.9%

Vietnamese0.4%0.3%0.6%

Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%

Pakistani0.2%——

Laotian0.2%——

Nepalese0.2%——

Puerto Rican2.1%3.7%1.8%

Mexican1.2%1.4%11.3%

Dominican0.4%1.4%0.7%

Spaniard0.2%——

African American†3.0%8.7%9.9%

African0.4%0.4%0.5%

Nigerian0.2%—0.2%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Cumberland County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	40.2	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	10.0%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.0%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Cumberland County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$87,494	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	7.5%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	40.0%	35.2%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Cumberland County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	10.4%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	2.6%	5.6%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%
Other Indo-European	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	1.3%	0.7%	1.1%

Religious landscape

Measure	Cumberland County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	13.1%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	10.5%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	58.3%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	13.5%	10.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 72.9% of 205,439 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic44.6%66,255TrumpRepublican54.1%80,267SteinIndependent0.6%953

R+9.4

Lead: 14,012
Total: 148,396
vs nation: R+8.0
Turnout: 72.9%

BidenDemocratic44.0%62,245TrumpRepublican54.5%77,212JorgensenLibertarian1.5%2,138

R+10.6

Lead: 14,967
Total: 141,595
vs nation: R+15.0
Turnout: 73.9%

ClintonDemocratic38.1%47,085TrumpRepublican55.9%69,076JohnsonLibertarian3.2%3,975

R+17.8

Lead: 21,991
Total: 123,486
vs nation: R+19.9
Turnout: 66.2%

ObamaDemocratic39.9%44,367RomneyRepublican58.3%64,809JohnsonLibertarian1.1%1,191

R+18.4

Lead: 20,442
Total: 111,191
vs nation: R+22.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic42.6%48,306McCainRepublican56.3%63,739OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,259

R+13.6

Lead: 15,433
Total: 113,304
vs nation: R+20.9
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic35.8%37,928BushRepublican63.8%67,648OtherAll other candidates0.5%506

R+28.0

Lead: 29,720
Total: 106,082
vs nation: R+25.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic35.2%31,053BushRepublican62.2%54,802NaderGreen2.0%1,749

R+26.9

Lead: 23,749
Total: 88,144
vs nation: R+27.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic36.4%28,749DoleRepublican55.6%43,943PerotReform7.2%5,669

R+19.2

Lead: 15,194
Total: 78,985
vs nation: R+27.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+9.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 268,3232024 5-year
Median household income: $87,4942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 80.7%2024 5-year
Black: 4.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+56.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Johnson County, KS · twin score 92.4

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 72.9%149,731 participants ÷ 205,439 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +15.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 57.0%–59.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	124,264	187,841	66.2%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	105,420	190,310	55.4%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	143,241	193,774	73.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	117,175	201,753	58.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	149,731	205,439	72.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

224 precincts · 144,564 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Cumberland County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 0275420410275	1,682	1,669	48	3,399	49.5%	49.1%	D+0.4
Precinct 0350420410350	1,605	1,720	59	3,384	47.4%	50.8%	R+3.4
Precinct 0269420410269	1,516	1,703	45	3,264	46.4%	52.2%	R+5.7
Precinct 0831420410831	1,394	1,420	23	2,837	49.1%	50.1%	R+0.9
Precinct 0160420410160	902	1,700	23	2,625	34.4%	64.8%	R+30.4
Precinct 0475420410475	779	1,695	27	2,501	31.1%	67.8%	R+36.6
Precinct 0490420410490	897	1,493	26	2,416	37.1%	61.8%	R+24.7
Precinct 0380420410380	1,216	1,129	22	2,367	51.4%	47.7%	D+3.7
Precinct 0708420410708	1,201	1,083	51	2,335	51.4%	46.4%	D+5.1
Precinct 0795420410795	634	1,541	23	2,198	28.8%	70.1%	R+41.3
Precinct 0748420410748	916	1,253	20	2,189	41.8%	57.2%	R+15.4
Precinct 0140420410140	1,134	926	28	2,088	54.3%	44.3%	D+10.0
Precinct 0281420410281	914	1,091	30	2,035	44.9%	53.6%	R+8.7
Precinct 0245420410245	955	935	44	1,934	49.4%	48.3%	D+1.0
Precinct 0090420410090	1,432	394	24	1,850	77.4%	21.3%	D+56.1
Precinct 0500420410500	682	1,144	23	1,849	36.9%	61.9%	R+25.0
Precinct 0183420410183	1,004	786	19	1,809	55.5%	43.4%	D+12.1
Precinct 0601420410601	791	990	21	1,802	43.9%	54.9%	R+11.0
Precinct 0880420410880	538	1,216	18	1,772	30.4%	68.6%	R+38.3
Precinct 0110420410110	1,012	574	28	1,614	62.7%	35.6%	D+27.1
Precinct 0702420410702	737	826	23	1,586	46.5%	52.1%	R+5.6
Precinct 0815420410815	774	785	19	1,578	49.0%	49.7%	R+0.7
Precinct 0640420410640	406	1,146	8	1,560	26.0%	73.5%	R+47.4
Precinct 0870420410870	461	1,068	9	1,538	30.0%	69.4%	R+39.5
Precinct 0030420410030	885	635	16	1,536	57.6%	41.3%	D+16.3
Precinct 0390420410390	807	711	18	1,536	52.5%	46.3%	D+6.3
Precinct 0239420410239	742	758	26	1,526	48.6%	49.7%	R+1.0
Precinct 0525420410525	728	756	19	1,503	48.4%	50.3%	R+1.9
Precinct 0360420410360	730	691	11	1,432	51.0%	48.3%	D+2.7
Precinct 0823420410823	584	807	18	1,409	41.4%	57.3%	R+15.8
Precinct 0835420410835	669	694	26	1,389	48.2%	50.0%	R+1.8
Precinct 0610420410610	598	756	20	1,374	43.5%	55.0%	R+11.5
Precinct 0206420410206	646	707	19	1,372	47.1%	51.5%	R+4.4
Precinct 0100420410100	766	580	22	1,368	56.0%	42.4%	D+13.6
Precinct 0485420410485	536	804	10	1,350	39.7%	59.6%	R+19.9
Precinct 0215420410215	661	649	31	1,341	49.3%	48.4%	D+0.9
Precinct 0728420410728	505	816	8	1,329	38.0%	61.4%	R+23.4
Precinct 0430420410430	667	626	22	1,315	50.7%	47.6%	D+3.1
Precinct 0650420410650	658	643	14	1,315	50.0%	48.9%	D+1.1
Precinct 0716420410716	387	903	14	1,304	29.7%	69.2%	R+39.6
Precinct 0263420410263	606	676	12	1,294	46.8%	52.2%	R+5.4
Precinct 0198420410198	542	710	13	1,265	42.8%	56.1%	R+13.3
Precinct 0175420410175	577	665	19	1,261	45.8%	52.7%	R+7.0
Precinct 0819420410819	548	694	15	1,257	43.6%	55.2%	R+11.6
Precinct 0704420410704	542	680	31	1,253	43.3%	54.3%	R+11.0
Precinct 0840420410840	257	976	12	1,245	20.6%	78.4%	R+57.8
Precinct 0731420410731	496	731	12	1,239	40.0%	59.0%	R+19.0
Precinct 0440420410440	550	673	14	1,237	44.5%	54.4%	R+9.9
Precinct 0811420410811	596	630	6	1,232	48.4%	51.1%	R+2.8
Precinct 0724420410724	571	654	5	1,230	46.4%	53.2%	R+6.7
Precinct 0227420410227	614	595	11	1,220	50.3%	48.8%	D+1.6
Precinct 0741420410741	489	712	13	1,214	40.3%	58.6%	R+18.4
Precinct 0320420410320	661	534	18	1,213	54.5%	44.0%	D+10.5
Precinct 0738420410738	515	686	11	1,212	42.5%	56.6%	R+14.1
Precinct 0202420410202	530	647	10	1,187	44.7%	54.5%	R+9.9
Precinct 0290420410290	271	893	8	1,172	23.1%	76.2%	R+53.1
Precinct 0721420410721	487	667	17	1,171	41.6%	57.0%	R+15.4
Precinct 0233420410233	583	561	24	1,168	49.9%	48.0%	D+1.9
Precinct 0020420410020	677	474	14	1,165	58.1%	40.7%	D+17.4
Precinct 0130420410130	665	468	29	1,162	57.2%	40.3%	D+17.0
Precinct 0179420410179	528	616	16	1,160	45.5%	53.1%	R+7.6
Precinct 0621420410621	490	637	17	1,144	42.8%	55.7%	R+12.8
Precinct 0550420410550	561	563	8	1,132	49.6%	49.7%	R+0.2
Precinct 0712420410712	365	744	17	1,126	32.4%	66.1%	R+33.7
Precinct 0191420410191	473	638	13	1,124	42.1%	56.8%	R+14.7
Precinct 0187420410187	477	627	16	1,120	42.6%	56.0%	R+13.4
Precinct 0698420410698	530	562	12	1,104	48.0%	50.9%	R+2.9
Precinct 0221420410221	533	545	21	1,099	48.5%	49.6%	R+1.1
Precinct 0540420410540	568	512	17	1,097	51.8%	46.7%	D+5.1
Precinct 0718420410718	423	642	7	1,072	39.5%	59.9%	R+20.4
Precinct 0706420410706	486	523	23	1,032	47.1%	50.7%	R+3.6
Precinct 0803420410803	449	557	6	1,012	44.4%	55.0%	R+10.7
Precinct 0370420410370	533	431	20	984	54.2%	43.8%	D+10.4
Precinct 0510420410510	346	608	17	971	35.6%	62.6%	R+27.0
Precinct 0400420410400	236	720	10	966	24.4%	74.5%	R+50.1
Precinct 0410420410410	189	765	5	959	19.7%	79.8%	R+60.1
Precinct 0050420410050	564	373	18	955	59.1%	39.1%	D+20.0
Precinct 0470420410470	451	485	15	951	47.4%	51.0%	R+3.6
Precinct 0827420410827	501	431	11	943	53.1%	45.7%	D+7.4
Precinct 0838420410838	491	440	12	943	52.1%	46.7%	D+5.4
Precinct 0780420410780	309	622	11	942	32.8%	66.0%	R+33.2
Precinct 0670420410670	445	477	13	935	47.6%	51.0%	R+3.4
Precinct 0450420410450	427	486	15	928	46.0%	52.4%	R+6.4
Precinct 0690420410690	432	480	11	923	46.8%	52.0%	R+5.2
Precinct 0010420410010	555	344	9	908	61.1%	37.9%	D+23.2
Precinct 0211420410211	297	598	12	907	32.7%	65.9%	R+33.2
Precinct 0251420410251	454	444	7	905	50.2%	49.1%	D+1.1
Precinct 0900420410900	560	328	12	900	62.2%	36.4%	D+25.8
Precinct 0714420410714	292	597	9	898	32.5%	66.5%	R+34.0
Precinct 0734420410734	356	526	14	896	39.7%	58.7%	R+19.0
Precinct 0340420410340	379	497	14	890	42.6%	55.8%	R+13.3
Precinct 0770420410770	220	662	5	887	24.8%	74.6%	R+49.8
Precinct 0660420410660	399	468	12	879	45.4%	53.2%	R+7.8
Precinct 0080420410080	525	333	11	869	60.4%	38.3%	D+22.1
Precinct 0170420410170	210	652	5	867	24.2%	75.2%	R+51.0
Precinct 0560420410560	430	379	10	819	52.5%	46.3%	D+6.2
Precinct 0257420410257	364	407	11	782	46.5%	52.0%	R+5.5
Precinct 0850420410850	124	593	2	719	17.2%	82.5%	R+65.2
Precinct 0760420410760	175	477	2	654	26.8%	72.9%	R+46.2
Precinct 0890420410890	315	329	6	650	48.5%	50.6%	R+2.2
Precinct 0040420410040	346	268	13	627	55.2%	42.7%	D+12.4
Precinct 0630420410630	123	451	3	577	21.3%	78.2%	R+56.8
Precinct 0460420410460	250	302	9	561	44.6%	53.8%	R+9.3
Precinct 0420420410420	304	235	11	550	55.3%	42.7%	D+12.5
Precinct 0807420410807	259	274	9	542	47.8%	50.6%	R+2.8
Precinct 0070420410070	298	224	7	529	56.3%	42.3%	D+14.0
Precinct 0194420410194	235	271	13	519	45.3%	52.2%	R+6.9
Precinct 0300420410300	282	207	15	504	56.0%	41.1%	D+14.9
Precinct 0060420410060	272	167	8	447	60.9%	37.4%	D+23.5
Precinct 0310420410310	249	192	5	446	55.8%	43.0%	D+12.8
Precinct 0330420410330	199	178	2	379	52.5%	47.0%	D+5.5
Precinct 0120420410120	245	108	5	358	68.4%	30.2%	D+38.3
Precinct 0580420410580	97	223	4	324	29.9%	68.8%	R+38.9
Precinct 0590420410590	99	179	6	284	34.9%	63.0%	R+28.2
Precinct 0744420410744	109	120	5	234	46.6%	51.3%	R+4.7
Precinct 0570420410570	52	114	0	166	31.3%	68.7%	R+37.3
Precinct 0150420410150	36	102	1	139	25.9%	73.4%	R+47.5
CAMP HILL PCT 0142_4204110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CAMP HILL PCT 0242_4204120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CAMP HILL PCT 0342_4204130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CAMP HILL PCT 0442_4204140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CAMP HILL PCT 0542_4204150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 01 PCT 0142_4204160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 01 PCT 0242_4204170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 0242_4204180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 03 PCT 0142_4204190	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 03 PCT 0242_42041100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 03 PCT 0342_42041110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 04 PCT 0142_42041120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 04 PCT 0242_42041130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CARLISLE WD 0542_42041140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
COOKE TWP Voting District42_42041150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DICKINSON TWP PCT NORTH42_42041160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DICKINSON TWP PCT SOUTH42_42041170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0142_42041195	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0242_42041210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0342_42041190	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0442_42041215	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0542_42041180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0642_42041184	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0742_42041185	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0842_42041186	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0942_42041187	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 1042_42041200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0142_42041216	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0242_42041221	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0342_42041227	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0442_42041233	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0542_42041239	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0642_42041245	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0742_42041251	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0842_42041257	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0942_42041263	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 1042_42041269	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 1142_42041275	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAMPDEN TWP PCT 1242_42041281	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HOPEWELL TWP Voting District42_42041290	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEMOYNE PCT 0142_42041300	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEMOYNE PCT 0242_42041310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEMOYNE PCT 0342_42041320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LEMOYNE PCT 0442_42041330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN ANNEX Voting District42_42041340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0142_42041196	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0242_42041350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0342_42041360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0442_42041370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0542_42041380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0642_42041390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER FRANKFORD TWP Voting District42_42041400	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER MIFFLIN TWP Voting District42_42041410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MECHANICSBURG WD 0142_42041420	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MECHANICSBURG WD 02 PCT 0142_42041430	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MECHANICSBURG WD 02 PCT 0242_42041440	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MECHANICSBURG WD 0342_42041450	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MECHANICSBURG WD 0442_42041460	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MECHANICSBURG WD 0542_42041470	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLESEX TWP PCT 142_42041475	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLESEX TWP PCT 242_42041485	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MONROE TWP VTD 0142_42041490	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MONROE TWP VTD 0242_42041500	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MT. HOLLY SPRINGS Voting District42_42041510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEW CUMBERLAND WD 01 PCT 0142_42041525	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEW CUMBERLAND WD 02 PCT 0142_42041540	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEW CUMBERLAND WD 02 PCT 0242_42041550	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEW CUMBERLAND WD 02 PCT 0342_42041560	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEWBURG Voting District42_42041570	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEWVILLE WD NORTH42_42041580	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NEWVILLE WD SOUTH42_42041590	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0142_42041600	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0242_42041610	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0342_42041620	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH NEWTON TWP Voting District42_42041630	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PENN TWP Voting District42_42041640	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SHIPPENSBURG TWP Voting District42_42041650	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SHIPPENSBURG WD EAST42_42041660	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SHIPPENSBURG WD MIDDLE42_42041670	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SHIREMANSTOWN Voting District42_42041690	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SILVER SPRING TWP PCT 01 ED NORTH42_42041700	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SILVER SPRING TWP PCT 01 ED SOUTH42_42041705	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SILVER SPRING TWP PCT 0242_42041710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0142_42041730	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0242_42041740	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0342_42041750	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT UPPER42_42041720	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH NEWTON TWP Voting District42_42041760	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTHAMPTON TWP PCT LOWER42_42041770	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTHAMPTON TWP VTD UPPER PCT 0142_42041780	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTHAMPTON TWP VTD UPPER PCT 0242_42041790	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0142_42041805	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0242_42041835	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0342_42041825	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0442_42041830	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0542_42041810	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0642_42041800	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0742_42041811	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0842_42041815	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0942_42041820	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 1042_42041826	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER FRANKFORD TWP Voting District42_42041840	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER MIFFLIN TWP Voting District42_42041850	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST PENNSBORO TWP PCT LOWER42_42041870	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST PENNSBORO TWP PCT UPPER42_42041880	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WORMLEYSBURG PCT 0142_42041890	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WORMLEYSBURG PCT 0242_42041900	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+9.0%
1896	−8.3%
1900	−1.4%
1904	−16.7%
1908	−7.0%
1912	+21.0%
1916	+9.2%
1920	−13.6%
1924	−13.3%
1928	−56.9%
1932	−3.9%
1936	+11.6%
1940	+1.5%
1944	−19.1%
1948	−22.2%
1952	−34.6%
1956	−36.6%
1960	−38.0%
1964	+5.8%
1968	−32.6%
1972	−47.7%
1976	−26.4%
1980	−31.8%
1984	−39.2%
1988	−31.3%
1992	−19.9%
1996	−19.2%
2000	−26.9%
2004	−28.0%
2008	−13.6%
2012	−18.4%
2016	−17.8%
2020	−10.6%
2024	−9.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	44.6%Harris66,255	54.1%Trump80,267	0.6%Stein953 +1	R+9.4	D+1.1	R+8.0	148,396
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican54.1%80,267 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.6%66,255 Jill SteinIndependent0.6%953 Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%921
2020	R	44.0%Biden62,245	54.5%Trump77,212	1.5%Jorgensen2,138	R+10.6	D+7.2	R+15.0	141,595
2016	R	38.1%Clinton47,085	55.9%Trump69,076	3.2%Johnson3,975	R+17.8	D+0.6	R+19.9	123,486
2012	R	39.9%Obama44,367	58.3%Romney64,809	1.1%Johnson1,191	R+18.4	R+4.8	R+22.2	111,191
2008	R	42.6%Obama48,306	56.3%McCain63,739	1.1%	R+13.6	D+14.4	R+20.9	113,304
2004	R	35.8%Kerry37,928	63.8%Bush67,648	0.5%	R+28.0	R+1.1	R+25.6	106,082
2000	R	35.2%Gore31,053	62.2%Bush54,802	2.0%Nader1,749	R+26.9	R+7.7	R+27.5	88,144
1996	R	36.4%Clinton28,749	55.6%Dole43,943	7.2%Perot5,669	R+19.2	D+0.6	R+27.8	78,985
1992	R	31.5%Clinton26,635	51.4%Bush43,447	17.0%Perot14,344	R+19.9	D+11.4	R+25.4	84,573
1988	R	34.0%Dukakis24,613	65.3%Bush47,292	0.7%	R+31.3	D+7.9	R+23.6	72,433
1984	R	30.1%Mondale21,374	69.3%Reagan49,282	0.7%	R+39.2	R+7.5	R+21.0	71,123
1980	R	29.4%Carter19,789	61.2%Reagan41,152	9.4%	R+31.8	R+5.4	R+22.0	67,260
1976	R	35.8%Carter23,008	62.2%Ford39,950	2.0%	R+26.4	D+21.3	R+28.4	64,270
1972	R	25.2%McGovern14,562	72.9%Nixon42,099	1.9%	R+47.7	R+15.0	R+24.5	57,775
1968	R	28.9%Humphrey15,467	61.5%Nixon32,908	9.5%	R+32.6	R+38.5	R+31.9	53,472
1964	D	52.7%Johnson26,633	46.9%Goldwater23,685	0.4%	D+5.8	D+43.8	R+16.7	50,525
1960	R	30.8%Kennedy15,968	68.8%Nixon35,636	0.4%	R+38.0	R+1.4	R+38.1	51,801
1956	R	31.5%Stevenson13,651	68.1%Eisenhower29,468	0.4%	R+36.6	R+2.0	R+21.2	43,272
1952	R	32.6%Stevenson12,762	67.2%Eisenhower26,302	0.2%	R+34.6	R+12.3	R+23.8	39,155
1948	R	38.5%Truman11,421	60.7%Dewey18,028	0.8%	R+22.2	R+3.2	R+26.7	29,695
1944	R	40.2%Roosevelt12,068	59.3%Dewey17,782	0.4%	R+19.1	R+20.5	R+26.6	29,984
1940	D	50.6%Roosevelt15,758	49.2%Willkie15,297	0.2%	D+1.5	R+10.1	R+8.5	31,123
1936	D	55.4%Roosevelt18,850	43.8%Landon14,912	0.8%	D+11.6	D+15.5	R+12.7	34,021
1932	R	46.9%Roosevelt12,086	50.9%Hoover13,098	2.2%	R+3.9	D+53.0	R+21.7	25,751
1928	R	21.1%Smith5,189	78.1%Hoover19,170	0.8%	R+56.9	R+43.6	R+39.5	24,551
1924	R	39.9%Davis7,643	53.2%Coolidge10,196	5.9%La Follette1,132	R+13.3	D+0.2	D+11.9	19,160
1920	R	41.2%Cox6,455	54.7%Harding8,579	4.1%	R+13.6	R+22.8	D+12.6	15,674
1916	D	52.2%Wilson6,432	43.0%Hughes5,296	4.9%	D+9.2	R+11.8	D+6.1	12,329
1912	D	42.9%Wilson5,023	21.9%Taft2,566	35.2%	D+21.0	D+28.0	D+1.4	11,712
1908	R	44.3%Bryan5,403	51.4%Taft6,261	4.3%	R+7.0	D+9.7	D+2.5	12,192
1904	R	40.0%Parker5,038	56.7%Roosevelt7,138	3.2%	R+16.7	R+15.3	D+3.0	12,580
1900	R	47.7%Bryan5,428	49.1%McKinley5,587	3.3%	R+1.4	D+6.9	D+6.2	11,389
1896	R	44.0%Bryan5,202	52.3%McKinley6,178	3.7%	R+8.3	R+17.3	R+2.2	11,812
1892	D	53.1%Cleveland5,446	44.1%Harrison4,520	2.9%	D+9.0	—	D+7.4	10,259
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	46.6%68,344	53.4%78,335	146,679
2020	R	44.6%52,844	55.4%65,734	118,578
2018	R	46.9%41,836	53.1%47,435	89,271

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	43.9%64,713	53.0%78,178	147,403
2022	R	46.0%53,278	51.5%59,663	115,927
2018Class I	R	45.7%Bob Casey Jr.47,738	52.2%Lou Barletta54,525	104,400
2016Class III	R	36.7%Katie McGinty44,796	58.7%Pat Toomey71,638	121,943
2012Class I	R	42.1%Bob Casey Jr.46,294	55.7%Tom Smith61,296	110,035
2010Class III	R	34.5%Joe Sestak27,829	65.5%Pat Toomey52,890	80,719
2006Class I	R	46.2%Bob Casey Jr.36,638	53.5%Rick Santorum42,410	79,324
2004Class III	R	26.2%Joseph Hoeffel27,268	65.3%Arlen Specter67,880	103,984
2000Class I	R	32.5%Rob Klink28,080	64.6%Rick Santorum55,799	86,435
1998Class III	R	25.2%Bill Lloyd13,276	71.3%Arlen Specter37,643	52,762
1994Class I	R	33.7%Harris Wofford21,872	61.2%Rick Santorum39,718	64,858
1992Class III	R	37.0%Lynn Yeakel30,245	59.2%Arlen Specter48,377	81,757
1988Class I	R	19.0%Joseph C. Vignola13,411	80.3%John Heinz56,731	70,684
1986Class III	R	32.1%Bob Edgar17,048	67.3%Arlen Specter35,749	53,111
1982Class I	R	26.7%Cyril H. Wecht14,463	72.2%John Heinz39,109	54,174
1980Class III	R	32.7%Peter Flaherty20,956	66.1%Arlen Specter42,335	64,072
1976Class I	R	34.6%William J. Green III21,811	64.4%John Heinz40,603	63,045
1974Class III	R	32.7%Peter Flaherty14,577	65.6%Richard Schweiker29,268	44,597
1970Class I	R	34.2%William G. Sesler14,957	61.2%Hugh Scott26,723	43,696
1968Class III	R	31.6%Joseph S. Clark16,429	65.0%Richard Schweiker33,803	51,965
1964Class I	R	38.9%Genevieve Blatt19,592	60.9%Hugh Scott30,637	50,339
1962Class III	R	37.7%Joseph S. Clark17,653	62.1%James E. Van Zandt29,046	46,775
1958Class I	R	42.8%George M. Leader17,206	57.0%Hugh Scott22,928	40,237
1956Class III	R	40.5%Joseph S. Clark17,256	59.3%James H. Duff25,264	42,629
1952Class I	R	35.3%Guy Kurtz Bard13,711	64.3%Edward Martin24,938	38,797
1950Class III	R	45.1%Francis Myers13,354	54.0%James H. Duff15,985	29,589
1946Class I	R	35.8%Joseph F. Guffey8,964	63.1%Edward Martin15,781	25,016
1944Class III	R	39.5%Francis Myers11,729	59.9%James J. Davis17,786	29,676
1940Class I	R	48.9%Joseph F. Guffey15,065	50.5%Jay Cooke15,566	30,822
1938Class III	R	44.5%George H. Earle14,267	54.8%James J. Davis17,586	32,062
1934Class I	D	52.0%Joseph F. Guffey15,640	46.7%David A. Reed14,043	30,060
1932Class III	R	46.2%Lawrence H. Rupp11,688	47.8%James J. Davis12,085	25,277
1928Class I	R	26.1%William N. McNair6,342	72.4%David A. Reed17,591	24,298
1926Class III	D	66.5%William B. Wilson9,327	29.8%William S. Vare4,175	14,017
1922Class I	D	54.6%Samuel E. Shull9,997	38.6%David A. Reed7,059	18,294
1920Class III	R	38.1%John A. Farrell5,745	50.0%Boies Penrose7,548	15,086
1916Class I	D	49.6%Ellis Orvis5,729	44.5%Philander Knox5,132	11,542
1914Class III	R	39.4%A. Mitchell Palmer4,446	40.5%Boies Penrose4,577	11,291

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1991Special · Class I	R	37.4%Harris Wofford21,101	62.6%Richard Thornburgh35,303	56,404
1930Special · Class III	R	29.4%Sedgwick Kistler7,083	69.0%James J. Davis16,602	24,070
1922Special · Class III	D	55.9%Fred B. Kerr10,162	39.2%George W. Pepper7,131	18,184

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	52.9%Joshua D Shapiro61,319	45.1%Douglas V Mastriano52,280	116,002
2018	D	50.5%Thomas W Wolf52,807	47.4%Scott R Wagner49,496	104,478
2014	R	41.8%Tom Wolf31,311	58.2%Tom Corbett43,625	74,936
2010	R	30.4%Dan Onorato24,531	69.6%Tom Corbett56,284	80,815
2006	R	41.3%Ed Rendell32,737	58.3%Lynn Swann46,189	79,251
2002	R	36.3%Ed Rendell24,237	61.4%Mike Fisher40,966	66,752
1998	R	16.2%Ivan Itkin8,610	70.9%Tom Ridge37,801	53,293
1994	R	29.1%Mark Singel19,003	50.4%Tom Ridge32,903	65,287
1990	D	66.1%Bob Casey32,487	33.9%Barbara Hafer16,692	49,179
1986	R	36.8%Bob Casey19,591	62.5%Bill Scranton III33,285	53,231
1982	R	39.9%Allen Ertel21,931	59.5%Dick Thornburgh32,743	55,021
1978	R	29.3%Pete Flaherty14,798	69.9%Dick Thornburgh35,311	50,534

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+14.6

Presidential vote · 2024R+9.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.2 points more Republican.

183,654 registered voters · 2026

Democratic33.5%Republican48.2%Unaffiliated14.7%Other3.5%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+2,124 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +24,910 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $66,331 in average income, against $98,875 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+8.5 on average — about the same lean as Cumberland County, PA (R+9.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Dauphin County, PA1,732D+5.9
York County, PA918R+25.3
Franklin County, PA518R+43.0
Perry County, PA297R+49.3
Lancaster County, PA224R+16.0
Adams County, PA144R+33.6

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Dauphin County, PA1,194
York County, PA865
Franklin County, PA489
Perry County, PA318
Lancaster County, PA238
Adams County, PA137

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Cumberland County, PA in Cumberland County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+344
2012	+1,354
2013	+1,102
2014	+1,202
2015	+1,615
2016	+602
2017	+947
2018	+1,418
2019	+1,634
2021	+5,603
2022	+2,679
2023	+1,682
2024	+2,604
2025	+2,124

Cumberland County sits across the Susquehanna from the state capital, and its growing professional and retiree population has trimmed a once-dominant Republican margin to single digits over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.4 points.

A population of 268,323, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,494 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Johnson County and Delaware County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Johnson County

Kansas

92.4twin score

% Asianpopulation scale2020–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend

Delaware County

Ohio

90.3twin score

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ median income

Hamilton County

Indiana

89.2twin score

population scale2020–2024 trajectory% Asian≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Cumberland County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Frequently asked questions

How did Cumberland County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Cumberland County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 9.4 points (R+9.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 148,396 votes cast, 66,255 went Democratic and 80,267 went Republican.

When did Cumberland County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Cumberland County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania?

Cumberland County, Pennsylvania has a population of 268,323 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania is $87,494 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Cumberland County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.

Measure

Cumberland County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median age

40.2

41.2

39.1

Age 18–24

10.0%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.0%

19.5%

17.2%

Measure

Cumberland County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median household income

$87,494

$77,971

$84,427

Poverty rate

7.5%

11.7%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

40.0%

35.2%

35.6%

Measure

Cumberland County

Pennsylvania

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

10.4%

12.4%

22.3%

Spanish

2.6%

5.6%

13.6%

German or other West Germanic

1.0%

0.9%

0.5%

Other Indo-European

2.6%

1.7%

2.0%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

1.3%

0.7%

1.1%

Measure

Cumberland County

Pennsylvania

United States

Catholic

13.1%

21.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

10.5%

9.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

58.3%

53.1%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

13.5%

10.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+9.4MIT Election Lab

Population

268,3232024 5-year

Median household income

$87,4942024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

80.7%2024 5-year

Black

4.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

5.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+21.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+56.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Johnson County, KS · twin score 92.4

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

124,264

187,841

66.2%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

105,420

190,310

55.4%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

143,241

193,774

73.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

117,175

201,753

58.1%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

149,731

205,439

72.9%

A/A

Cumberland County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 0275420410275

1,682

1,669

3,399

49.5%

49.1%

D+0.4

Precinct 0350420410350

1,605

1,720

3,384

47.4%

50.8%

R+3.4

Precinct 0269420410269

1,516

1,703

3,264

46.4%

52.2%

R+5.7

Precinct 0831420410831

1,394

1,420

2,837

49.1%

50.1%

R+0.9

Precinct 0160420410160

902

1,700

2,625

34.4%

64.8%

R+30.4

Precinct 0475420410475

779

1,695

2,501

31.1%

67.8%

R+36.6

Precinct 0490420410490

897

1,493

2,416

37.1%

61.8%

R+24.7

Precinct 0380420410380

1,216

1,129

2,367

51.4%

47.7%

D+3.7

Precinct 0708420410708

1,201

1,083

2,335

51.4%

46.4%

D+5.1

Precinct 0795420410795

634

1,541

2,198

28.8%

70.1%

R+41.3

Precinct 0748420410748

916

1,253

2,189

41.8%

57.2%

R+15.4

Precinct 0140420410140

1,134

926

2,088

54.3%

44.3%

D+10.0

Precinct 0281420410281

914

1,091

2,035

44.9%

53.6%

R+8.7

Precinct 0245420410245

955

935

1,934

49.4%

48.3%

D+1.0

Precinct 0090420410090

1,432

394

1,850

77.4%

21.3%

D+56.1

Precinct 0500420410500

682

1,144

1,849

36.9%

61.9%

R+25.0

Precinct 0183420410183

1,004

786

1,809

55.5%

43.4%

D+12.1

Precinct 0601420410601

791

990

1,802

43.9%

54.9%

R+11.0

Precinct 0880420410880

538

1,216

1,772

30.4%

68.6%

R+38.3

Precinct 0110420410110

1,012

574

1,614

62.7%

35.6%

D+27.1

Precinct 0702420410702

737

826

1,586

46.5%

52.1%

R+5.6

Precinct 0815420410815

774

785

1,578

49.0%

49.7%

R+0.7

Precinct 0640420410640

406

1,146

1,560

26.0%

73.5%

R+47.4

Precinct 0870420410870

461

1,068

1,538

30.0%

69.4%

R+39.5

Precinct 0030420410030

885

635

1,536

57.6%

41.3%

D+16.3

Precinct 0390420410390

807

711

1,536

52.5%

46.3%

D+6.3

Precinct 0239420410239

742

758

1,526

48.6%

49.7%

R+1.0

Precinct 0525420410525

728

756

1,503

48.4%

50.3%

R+1.9

Precinct 0360420410360

730

691

1,432

51.0%

48.3%

D+2.7

Precinct 0823420410823

584

807

1,409

41.4%

57.3%

R+15.8

Precinct 0835420410835

669

694

1,389

48.2%

50.0%

R+1.8

Precinct 0610420410610

598

756

1,374

43.5%

55.0%

R+11.5

Precinct 0206420410206

646

707

1,372

47.1%

51.5%

R+4.4

Precinct 0100420410100

766

580

1,368

56.0%

42.4%

D+13.6

Precinct 0485420410485

536

804

1,350

39.7%

59.6%

R+19.9

Precinct 0215420410215

661

649

1,341

49.3%

48.4%

D+0.9

Precinct 0728420410728

505

816

1,329

38.0%

61.4%

R+23.4

Precinct 0430420410430

667

626

1,315

50.7%

47.6%

D+3.1

Precinct 0650420410650

658

643

1,315

50.0%

48.9%

D+1.1

Precinct 0716420410716

387

903

1,304

29.7%

69.2%

R+39.6

Precinct 0263420410263

606

676

1,294

46.8%

52.2%

R+5.4

Precinct 0198420410198

542

710

1,265

42.8%

56.1%

R+13.3

Precinct 0175420410175

577

665

1,261

45.8%

52.7%

R+7.0

Precinct 0819420410819

548

694

1,257

43.6%

55.2%

R+11.6

Precinct 0704420410704

542

680

1,253

43.3%

54.3%

R+11.0

Precinct 0840420410840

257

976

1,245

20.6%

78.4%

R+57.8

Precinct 0731420410731

496

731

1,239

40.0%

59.0%

R+19.0

Precinct 0440420410440

550

673

1,237

44.5%

54.4%

R+9.9

Precinct 0811420410811

596

630

1,232

48.4%

51.1%

R+2.8

Precinct 0724420410724

571

654

1,230

46.4%

53.2%

R+6.7

Precinct 0227420410227

614

595

1,220

50.3%

48.8%

D+1.6

Precinct 0741420410741

489

712

1,214

40.3%

58.6%

R+18.4

Precinct 0320420410320

661

534

1,213

54.5%

44.0%

D+10.5

Precinct 0738420410738

515

686

1,212

42.5%

56.6%

R+14.1

Precinct 0202420410202

530

647

1,187

44.7%

54.5%

R+9.9

Precinct 0290420410290

271

893

1,172

23.1%

76.2%

R+53.1

Precinct 0721420410721

487

667

1,171

41.6%

57.0%

R+15.4

Precinct 0233420410233

583

561

1,168

49.9%

48.0%

D+1.9

Precinct 0020420410020

677

474

1,165

58.1%

40.7%

D+17.4

Precinct 0130420410130

665

468

1,162

57.2%

40.3%

D+17.0

Precinct 0179420410179

528

616

1,160

45.5%

53.1%

R+7.6

Precinct 0621420410621

490

637

1,144

42.8%

55.7%

R+12.8

Precinct 0550420410550

561

563

1,132

49.6%

49.7%

R+0.2

Precinct 0712420410712

365

744

1,126

32.4%

66.1%

R+33.7

Precinct 0191420410191

473

638

1,124

42.1%

56.8%

R+14.7

Precinct 0187420410187

477

627

1,120

42.6%

56.0%

R+13.4

Precinct 0698420410698

530

562

1,104

48.0%

50.9%

R+2.9

Precinct 0221420410221

533

545

1,099

48.5%

49.6%

R+1.1

Precinct 0540420410540

568

512

1,097

51.8%

46.7%

D+5.1

Precinct 0718420410718

423

642

1,072

39.5%

59.9%

R+20.4

Precinct 0706420410706

486

523

1,032

47.1%

50.7%

R+3.6

Precinct 0803420410803

449

557

1,012

44.4%

55.0%

R+10.7

Precinct 0370420410370

533

431

984

54.2%

43.8%

D+10.4

Precinct 0510420410510

346

608

971

35.6%

62.6%

R+27.0

Precinct 0400420410400

236

720

966

24.4%

74.5%

R+50.1

Precinct 0410420410410

189

765

959

19.7%

79.8%

R+60.1

Precinct 0050420410050

564

373

955

59.1%

39.1%

D+20.0

Precinct 0470420410470

451

485

951

47.4%

51.0%

R+3.6

Precinct 0827420410827

501

431

943

53.1%

45.7%

D+7.4

Precinct 0838420410838

491

440

943

52.1%

46.7%

D+5.4

Precinct 0780420410780

309

622

942

32.8%

66.0%

R+33.2

Precinct 0670420410670

445

477

935

47.6%

51.0%

R+3.4

Precinct 0450420410450

427

486

928

46.0%

52.4%

R+6.4

Precinct 0690420410690

432

480

923

46.8%

52.0%

R+5.2

Precinct 0010420410010

555

344

908

61.1%

37.9%

D+23.2

Precinct 0211420410211

297

598

907

32.7%

65.9%

R+33.2

Precinct 0251420410251

454

444

905

50.2%

49.1%

D+1.1

Precinct 0900420410900

560

328

900

62.2%

36.4%

D+25.8

Precinct 0714420410714

292

597

898

32.5%

66.5%

R+34.0

Precinct 0734420410734

356

526

896

39.7%

58.7%

R+19.0

Precinct 0340420410340

379

497

890

42.6%

55.8%

R+13.3

Precinct 0770420410770

220

662

887

24.8%

74.6%

R+49.8

Precinct 0660420410660

399

468

879

45.4%

53.2%

R+7.8

Precinct 0080420410080

525

333

869

60.4%

38.3%

D+22.1

Precinct 0170420410170

210

652

867

24.2%

75.2%

R+51.0

Precinct 0560420410560

430

379

819

52.5%

46.3%

D+6.2

Precinct 0257420410257

364

407

782

46.5%

52.0%

R+5.5

Precinct 0850420410850

124

593

719

17.2%

82.5%

R+65.2

Precinct 0760420410760

175

477

654

26.8%

72.9%

R+46.2

Precinct 0890420410890

315

329

650

48.5%

50.6%

R+2.2

Precinct 0040420410040

346

268

627

55.2%

42.7%

D+12.4

Precinct 0630420410630

123

451

577

21.3%

78.2%

R+56.8

Precinct 0460420410460

250

302

561

44.6%

53.8%

R+9.3

Precinct 0420420410420

304

235

550

55.3%

42.7%

D+12.5

Precinct 0807420410807

259

274

542

47.8%

50.6%

R+2.8

Precinct 0070420410070

298

224

529

56.3%

42.3%

D+14.0

Precinct 0194420410194

235

271

519

45.3%

52.2%

R+6.9

Precinct 0300420410300

282

207

504

56.0%

41.1%

D+14.9

Precinct 0060420410060

272

167

447

60.9%

37.4%

D+23.5

Precinct 0310420410310

249

192

446

55.8%

43.0%

D+12.8

Precinct 0330420410330

199

178

379

52.5%

47.0%

D+5.5

Precinct 0120420410120

245

108

358

68.4%

30.2%

D+38.3

Precinct 0580420410580

223

324

29.9%

68.8%

R+38.9

Precinct 0590420410590

179

284

34.9%

63.0%

R+28.2

Precinct 0744420410744

109

120

234

46.6%

51.3%

R+4.7

Precinct 0570420410570

114

166

31.3%

68.7%

R+37.3

Precinct 0150420410150

102

139

25.9%

73.4%

R+47.5

CAMP HILL PCT 0142_4204110

—

No votes

CAMP HILL PCT 0242_4204120

—

No votes

CAMP HILL PCT 0342_4204130

—

No votes

CAMP HILL PCT 0442_4204140

—

No votes

CAMP HILL PCT 0542_4204150

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 01 PCT 0142_4204160

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 01 PCT 0242_4204170

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 0242_4204180

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 03 PCT 0142_4204190

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 03 PCT 0242_42041100

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 03 PCT 0342_42041110

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 04 PCT 0142_42041120

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 04 PCT 0242_42041130

—

No votes

CARLISLE WD 0542_42041140

—

No votes

COOKE TWP Voting District42_42041150

—

No votes

DICKINSON TWP PCT NORTH42_42041160

—

No votes

DICKINSON TWP PCT SOUTH42_42041170

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0142_42041195

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0242_42041210

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0342_42041190

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0442_42041215

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0542_42041180

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0642_42041184

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0742_42041185

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0842_42041186

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 0942_42041187

—

No votes

EAST PENNSBORO TWP PCT 1042_42041200

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0142_42041216

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0242_42041221

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0342_42041227

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0442_42041233

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0542_42041239

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0642_42041245

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0742_42041251

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0842_42041257

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 0942_42041263

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 1042_42041269

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 1142_42041275

—

No votes

HAMPDEN TWP PCT 1242_42041281

—

No votes

HOPEWELL TWP Voting District42_42041290

—

No votes

LEMOYNE PCT 0142_42041300

—

No votes

LEMOYNE PCT 0242_42041310

—

No votes

LEMOYNE PCT 0342_42041320

—

No votes

LEMOYNE PCT 0442_42041330

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN ANNEX Voting District42_42041340

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0142_42041196

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0242_42041350

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0342_42041360

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0442_42041370

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0542_42041380

—

No votes

LOWER ALLEN TWP PCT 0642_42041390

—

No votes

LOWER FRANKFORD TWP Voting District42_42041400

—

No votes

LOWER MIFFLIN TWP Voting District42_42041410

—

No votes

MECHANICSBURG WD 0142_42041420

—

No votes

MECHANICSBURG WD 02 PCT 0142_42041430

—

No votes

MECHANICSBURG WD 02 PCT 0242_42041440

—

No votes

MECHANICSBURG WD 0342_42041450

—

No votes

MECHANICSBURG WD 0442_42041460

—

No votes

MECHANICSBURG WD 0542_42041470

—

No votes

MIDDLESEX TWP PCT 142_42041475

—

No votes

MIDDLESEX TWP PCT 242_42041485

—

No votes

MONROE TWP VTD 0142_42041490

—

No votes

MONROE TWP VTD 0242_42041500

—

No votes

MT. HOLLY SPRINGS Voting District42_42041510

—

No votes

NEW CUMBERLAND WD 01 PCT 0142_42041525

—

No votes

NEW CUMBERLAND WD 02 PCT 0142_42041540

—

No votes

NEW CUMBERLAND WD 02 PCT 0242_42041550

—

No votes

NEW CUMBERLAND WD 02 PCT 0342_42041560

—

No votes

NEWBURG Voting District42_42041570

—

No votes

NEWVILLE WD NORTH42_42041580

—

No votes

NEWVILLE WD SOUTH42_42041590

—

No votes

NORTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0142_42041600

—

No votes

NORTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0242_42041610

—

No votes

NORTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0342_42041620

—

No votes

NORTH NEWTON TWP Voting District42_42041630

—

No votes

PENN TWP Voting District42_42041640

—

No votes

SHIPPENSBURG TWP Voting District42_42041650

—

No votes

SHIPPENSBURG WD EAST42_42041660

—

No votes

SHIPPENSBURG WD MIDDLE42_42041670

—

No votes

SHIREMANSTOWN Voting District42_42041690

—

No votes

SILVER SPRING TWP PCT 01 ED NORTH42_42041700

—

No votes

SILVER SPRING TWP PCT 01 ED SOUTH42_42041705

—

No votes

SILVER SPRING TWP PCT 0242_42041710

—

No votes

SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0142_42041730

—

No votes

SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0242_42041740

—

No votes

SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT 0342_42041750

—

No votes

SOUTH MIDDLETON TWP PCT UPPER42_42041720

—

No votes

SOUTH NEWTON TWP Voting District42_42041760

—

No votes

SOUTHAMPTON TWP PCT LOWER42_42041770

—

No votes

SOUTHAMPTON TWP VTD UPPER PCT 0142_42041780

—

No votes

SOUTHAMPTON TWP VTD UPPER PCT 0242_42041790

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0142_42041805

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0242_42041835

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0342_42041825

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0442_42041830

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0542_42041810

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0642_42041800

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0742_42041811

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0842_42041815

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 0942_42041820

—

No votes

UPPER ALLEN TWP PCT 1042_42041826

—

No votes

UPPER FRANKFORD TWP Voting District42_42041840

—

No votes

UPPER MIFFLIN TWP Voting District42_42041850

—

No votes

WEST PENNSBORO TWP PCT LOWER42_42041870

—

No votes

WEST PENNSBORO TWP PCT UPPER42_42041880

—

No votes

WORMLEYSBURG PCT 0142_42041890

—

No votes

WORMLEYSBURG PCT 0242_42041900

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+9.0%
1896	−8.3%
1900	−1.4%
1904	−16.7%
1908	−7.0%
1912	+21.0%
1916	+9.2%
1920	−13.6%
1924	−13.3%
1928	−56.9%
1932	−3.9%
1936	+11.6%
1940	+1.5%
1944	−19.1%
1948	−22.2%
1952	−34.6%
1956	−36.6%
1960	−38.0%
1964	+5.8%
1968	−32.6%
1972	−47.7%
1976	−26.4%
1980	−31.8%
1984	−39.2%
1988	−31.3%
1992	−19.9%
1996	−19.2%
2000	−26.9%
2004	−28.0%
2008	−13.6%
2012	−18.4%
2016	−17.8%
2020	−10.6%
2024	−9.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

44.6%Harris66,255

54.1%Trump80,267

0.6%Stein953 +1

R+9.4

D+1.1

R+8.0

148,396

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican54.1%80,267
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.6%66,255
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%953
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%921

2020

44.0%Biden62,245

54.5%Trump77,212

1.5%Jorgensen2,138

R+10.6

D+7.2

R+15.0

141,595

2016

38.1%Clinton47,085

55.9%Trump69,076

3.2%Johnson3,975

R+17.8

D+0.6

R+19.9

123,486

2012

39.9%Obama44,367

58.3%Romney64,809

1.1%Johnson1,191

R+18.4

R+4.8

R+22.2

111,191

2008

42.6%Obama48,306

56.3%McCain63,739

1.1%

R+13.6

D+14.4

R+20.9

113,304

2004

35.8%Kerry37,928

63.8%Bush67,648

0.5%

R+28.0

R+1.1

R+25.6

106,082

2000

35.2%Gore31,053

62.2%Bush54,802

2.0%Nader1,749

R+26.9

R+7.7

R+27.5

88,144

1996

36.4%Clinton28,749

55.6%Dole43,943

7.2%Perot5,669

R+19.2

D+0.6

R+27.8

78,985

1992

31.5%Clinton26,635

51.4%Bush43,447

17.0%Perot14,344

R+19.9

D+11.4

R+25.4

84,573

1988

34.0%Dukakis24,613

65.3%Bush47,292

0.7%

R+31.3

D+7.9

R+23.6

72,433

1984

30.1%Mondale21,374

69.3%Reagan49,282

0.7%

R+39.2

R+7.5

R+21.0

71,123

1980

29.4%Carter19,789

61.2%Reagan41,152

9.4%

R+31.8

R+5.4

R+22.0

67,260

1976

35.8%Carter23,008

62.2%Ford39,950

2.0%

R+26.4

D+21.3

R+28.4

64,270

1972

25.2%McGovern14,562

72.9%Nixon42,099

1.9%

R+47.7

R+15.0

R+24.5

57,775

1968

28.9%Humphrey15,467

61.5%Nixon32,908

9.5%

R+32.6

R+38.5

R+31.9

53,472

1964

52.7%Johnson26,633

46.9%Goldwater23,685

0.4%

D+5.8

D+43.8

R+16.7

50,525

1960

30.8%Kennedy15,968

68.8%Nixon35,636

0.4%

R+38.0

R+1.4

R+38.1

51,801

1956

31.5%Stevenson13,651

68.1%Eisenhower29,468

0.4%

R+36.6

R+2.0

R+21.2

43,272

1952

32.6%Stevenson12,762

67.2%Eisenhower26,302

0.2%

R+34.6

R+12.3

R+23.8

39,155

1948

38.5%Truman11,421

60.7%Dewey18,028

0.8%

R+22.2

R+3.2

R+26.7

29,695

1944

40.2%Roosevelt12,068

59.3%Dewey17,782

0.4%

R+19.1

R+20.5

R+26.6

29,984

1940

50.6%Roosevelt15,758

49.2%Willkie15,297

0.2%

D+1.5

R+10.1

R+8.5

31,123

1936

55.4%Roosevelt18,850

43.8%Landon14,912

0.8%

D+11.6

D+15.5

R+12.7

34,021

1932

46.9%Roosevelt12,086

50.9%Hoover13,098

2.2%

R+3.9

D+53.0

R+21.7

25,751

1928

21.1%Smith5,189

78.1%Hoover19,170

0.8%

R+56.9

R+43.6

R+39.5

24,551

1924

39.9%Davis7,643

53.2%Coolidge10,196

5.9%La Follette1,132

R+13.3

D+0.2

D+11.9

19,160

1920

41.2%Cox6,455

54.7%Harding8,579

4.1%

R+13.6

R+22.8

D+12.6

15,674

1916

52.2%Wilson6,432

43.0%Hughes5,296

4.9%

D+9.2

R+11.8

D+6.1

12,329

1912

42.9%Wilson5,023

21.9%Taft2,566

35.2%

D+21.0

D+28.0

D+1.4

11,712

1908

44.3%Bryan5,403

51.4%Taft6,261

4.3%

R+7.0

D+9.7

D+2.5

12,192

1904

40.0%Parker5,038

56.7%Roosevelt7,138

3.2%

R+16.7

R+15.3

D+3.0

12,580

1900

47.7%Bryan5,428

49.1%McKinley5,587

3.3%

R+1.4

D+6.9

D+6.2

11,389

1896

44.0%Bryan5,202

52.3%McKinley6,178

3.7%

R+8.3

R+17.3

R+2.2

11,812

1892

53.1%Cleveland5,446

44.1%Harrison4,520

2.9%

D+9.0

—

D+7.4

10,259

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

46.6%68,344

53.4%78,335

146,679

2020

44.6%52,844

55.4%65,734

118,578

2018

46.9%41,836

53.1%47,435

89,271

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

43.9%64,713

53.0%78,178

147,403

2022

46.0%53,278

51.5%59,663

115,927

2018Class I

45.7%Bob Casey Jr.47,738

52.2%Lou Barletta54,525

104,400

2016Class III

36.7%Katie McGinty44,796

58.7%Pat Toomey71,638

121,943

2012Class I

42.1%Bob Casey Jr.46,294

55.7%Tom Smith61,296

110,035

2010Class III

34.5%Joe Sestak27,829

65.5%Pat Toomey52,890

80,719

2006Class I

46.2%Bob Casey Jr.36,638

53.5%Rick Santorum42,410

79,324

2004Class III

26.2%Joseph Hoeffel27,268

65.3%Arlen Specter67,880

103,984

2000Class I

32.5%Rob Klink28,080

64.6%Rick Santorum55,799

86,435

1998Class III

25.2%Bill Lloyd13,276

71.3%Arlen Specter37,643

52,762

1994Class I

33.7%Harris Wofford21,872

61.2%Rick Santorum39,718

64,858

1992Class III

37.0%Lynn Yeakel30,245

59.2%Arlen Specter48,377

81,757

1988Class I

19.0%Joseph C. Vignola13,411

80.3%John Heinz56,731

70,684

1986Class III

32.1%Bob Edgar17,048

67.3%Arlen Specter35,749

53,111

1982Class I

26.7%Cyril H. Wecht14,463

72.2%John Heinz39,109

54,174

1980Class III

32.7%Peter Flaherty20,956

66.1%Arlen Specter42,335

64,072

1976Class I

34.6%William J. Green III21,811

64.4%John Heinz40,603

63,045

1974Class III

32.7%Peter Flaherty14,577

65.6%Richard Schweiker29,268

44,597

1970Class I

34.2%William G. Sesler14,957

61.2%Hugh Scott26,723

43,696

1968Class III

31.6%Joseph S. Clark16,429

65.0%Richard Schweiker33,803

51,965

1964Class I

38.9%Genevieve Blatt19,592

60.9%Hugh Scott30,637

50,339

1962Class III

37.7%Joseph S. Clark17,653

62.1%James E. Van Zandt29,046

46,775

1958Class I

42.8%George M. Leader17,206

57.0%Hugh Scott22,928

40,237

1956Class III

40.5%Joseph S. Clark17,256

59.3%James H. Duff25,264

42,629

1952Class I

35.3%Guy Kurtz Bard13,711

64.3%Edward Martin24,938

38,797

1950Class III

45.1%Francis Myers13,354

54.0%James H. Duff15,985

29,589

1946Class I

35.8%Joseph F. Guffey8,964

63.1%Edward Martin15,781

25,016

1944Class III

39.5%Francis Myers11,729

59.9%James J. Davis17,786

29,676

1940Class I

48.9%Joseph F. Guffey15,065

50.5%Jay Cooke15,566

30,822

1938Class III

44.5%George H. Earle14,267

54.8%James J. Davis17,586

32,062

1934Class I

52.0%Joseph F. Guffey15,640

46.7%David A. Reed14,043

30,060

1932Class III

46.2%Lawrence H. Rupp11,688

47.8%James J. Davis12,085

25,277

1928Class I

26.1%William N. McNair6,342

72.4%David A. Reed17,591

24,298

1926Class III

66.5%William B. Wilson9,327

29.8%William S. Vare4,175

14,017

1922Class I

54.6%Samuel E. Shull9,997

38.6%David A. Reed7,059

18,294

1920Class III

38.1%John A. Farrell5,745

50.0%Boies Penrose7,548

15,086

1916Class I

49.6%Ellis Orvis5,729

44.5%Philander Knox5,132

11,542

1914Class III

39.4%A. Mitchell Palmer4,446

40.5%Boies Penrose4,577

11,291

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1991Special · Class I

37.4%Harris Wofford21,101

62.6%Richard Thornburgh35,303

56,404

1930Special · Class III

29.4%Sedgwick Kistler7,083

69.0%James J. Davis16,602

24,070

1922Special · Class III

55.9%Fred B. Kerr10,162

39.2%George W. Pepper7,131

18,184

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

52.9%Joshua D Shapiro61,319

45.1%Douglas V Mastriano52,280

116,002

2018

50.5%Thomas W Wolf52,807

47.4%Scott R Wagner49,496

104,478

2014

41.8%Tom Wolf31,311

58.2%Tom Corbett43,625

74,936

2010

30.4%Dan Onorato24,531

69.6%Tom Corbett56,284

80,815

2006

41.3%Ed Rendell32,737

58.3%Lynn Swann46,189

79,251

2002

36.3%Ed Rendell24,237

61.4%Mike Fisher40,966

66,752

1998

16.2%Ivan Itkin8,610

70.9%Tom Ridge37,801

53,293

1994

29.1%Mark Singel19,003

50.4%Tom Ridge32,903

65,287

1990

66.1%Bob Casey32,487

33.9%Barbara Hafer16,692

49,179

1986

36.8%Bob Casey19,591

62.5%Bill Scranton III33,285

53,231

1982

39.9%Allen Ertel21,931

59.5%Dick Thornburgh32,743

55,021

1978

29.3%Pete Flaherty14,798

69.9%Dick Thornburgh35,311

50,534

Frequently asked questions

How did Cumberland County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Cumberland County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 9.4 points (R+9.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 148,396 votes cast, 66,255 went Democratic and 80,267 went Republican.

When did Cumberland County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Cumberland County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania?

Cumberland County, Pennsylvania has a population of 268,323 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania is $87,494 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Cumberland County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.