Akashic

county

Dauphin County, PA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German21.8%21.6%12.5%

Irish10.7%14.8%9.4%

English6.6%8.3%9.5%

Italian6.5%10.6%4.8%

American5.6%4.4%5.3%

Polish2.7%5.4%2.2%

Scottish1.3%1.1%1.3%

French1.2%—1.6%

African American†14.2%8.7%9.9%

Nigerian0.5%—0.2%

African0.4%0.4%0.5%

Haitian0.3%0.2%0.3%

Jamaican0.2%0.3%0.4%

West Indian0.2%——

Puerto Rican5.8%3.7%1.8%

Mexican2.1%1.4%11.3%

Dominican1.7%1.4%0.7%

Panamanian0.3%——

Cuban0.2%0.2%0.7%

Honduran0.2%—0.3%

Chilean0.2%——

Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%

Asian Indian1.6%1.2%1.4%

Nepalese1.6%——

Vietnamese0.8%0.3%0.6%

Chinese0.5%0.9%1.3%

Bhutanese0.5%——

Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%

Korean0.2%0.2%0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Dauphin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	39.4	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	8.1%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.1%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Dauphin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$76,242	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.9%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	34.4%	35.2%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Dauphin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	14.8%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	6.8%	5.6%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	3.4%	1.7%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Dauphin County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	14.6%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	9.5%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	55.5%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	11.6%	10.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 70.6% of 213,093 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic52.4%78,327TrumpRepublican46.5%69,474SteinIndependent0.6%893

D+5.9

Lead: 8,853
Total: 149,526
vs nation: D+7.4
Turnout: 70.6%

BidenDemocratic53.6%78,983TrumpRepublican45.1%66,408JorgensenLibertarian1.3%1,977

D+8.5

Lead: 12,575
Total: 147,368
vs nation: D+4.1
Turnout: 72.7%

ClintonDemocratic49.1%64,706TrumpRepublican46.2%60,863JohnsonLibertarian2.7%3,498

D+2.9

Lead: 3,843
Total: 131,783
vs nation: D+0.8
Turnout: 66.1%

ObamaDemocratic52.3%64,965RomneyRepublican46.2%57,450JohnsonLibertarian0.9%1,128

D+6.0

Lead: 7,515
Total: 124,301
vs nation: D+2.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic54.0%69,975McCainRepublican45.0%58,238OtherAll other candidates1.0%1,316

D+9.1

Lead: 11,737
Total: 129,529
vs nation: D+1.8
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic45.6%55,299BushRepublican53.9%65,296OtherAll other candidates0.5%613

R+8.2

Lead: 9,997
Total: 121,208
vs nation: R+5.8
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.1%44,390BushRepublican53.3%53,631NaderGreen2.0%2,059

R+9.2

Lead: 9,241
Total: 100,658
vs nation: R+9.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic44.0%40,936DoleRepublican47.8%44,417PerotReform7.5%6,967

R+3.7

Lead: 3,481
Total: 92,971
vs nation: R+12.3
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+5.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 289,5932024 5-year
Median household income: $76,2422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 60.6%2024 5-year
Black: 16.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 11.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+9.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+68.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Baltimore County, MD · twin score 93.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 70.6%150,393 participants ÷ 213,093 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +18.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: +1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 52.1%–55.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	133,740	202,403	66.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	109,797	204,200	53.8%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	149,229	205,351	72.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	114,989	211,997	54.2%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	150,393	213,093	70.6%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

317 precincts · 149,526 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Dauphin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 1205420431205	1,326	719	22	2,067	64.2%	34.8%	D+29.4
Precinct 1215420431215	1,354	647	23	2,024	66.9%	32.0%	D+34.9
Precinct 1050420431050	903	1,089	29	2,021	44.7%	53.9%	R+9.2
Precinct 0761420430761	1,006	972	17	1,995	50.4%	48.7%	D+1.7
Precinct 0150420430150	649	1,236	20	1,905	34.1%	64.9%	R+30.8
Precinct 1145420431145	1,190	691	24	1,905	62.5%	36.3%	D+26.2
Precinct 0751420430751	1,045	779	12	1,836	56.9%	42.4%	D+14.5
Precinct 1135420431135	1,158	642	9	1,809	64.0%	35.5%	D+28.5
Precinct 0147420430147	1,071	688	44	1,803	59.4%	38.2%	D+21.2
Precinct 1195420431195	1,270	500	22	1,792	70.9%	27.9%	D+43.0
Precinct 0711420430711	985	758	26	1,769	55.7%	42.8%	D+12.8
Precinct 0870420430870	877	865	24	1,766	49.7%	49.0%	D+0.7
Precinct 1155420431155	1,223	408	19	1,650	74.1%	24.7%	D+49.4
Precinct 0720420430720	722	906	17	1,645	43.9%	55.1%	R+11.2
Precinct 1060420431060	748	882	12	1,642	45.6%	53.7%	R+8.2
Precinct 0160420430160	457	1,168	16	1,641	27.8%	71.2%	R+43.3
Precinct 1280420431280	946	639	23	1,608	58.8%	39.7%	D+19.1
Precinct 0765420430765	618	953	16	1,587	38.9%	60.1%	R+21.1
Precinct 1262420431262	944	626	14	1,584	59.6%	39.5%	D+20.1
Precinct 1272420431272	953	586	16	1,555	61.3%	37.7%	D+23.6
Precinct 0520420430520	634	899	17	1,550	40.9%	58.0%	R+17.1
Precinct 1292420431292	706	828	12	1,546	45.7%	53.6%	R+7.9
Precinct 0785420430785	785	734	11	1,530	51.3%	48.0%	D+3.3
Precinct 1175420431175	948	549	27	1,524	62.2%	36.0%	D+26.2
Precinct 1185420431185	910	551	20	1,481	61.4%	37.2%	D+24.2
Precinct 1165420431165	984	466	24	1,474	66.8%	31.6%	D+35.1
Precinct 1240420431240	953	483	18	1,454	65.5%	33.2%	D+32.3
Precinct 0600420430600	571	836	18	1,425	40.1%	58.7%	R+18.6
Precinct 0763420430763	731	686	8	1,425	51.3%	48.1%	D+3.2
Precinct 0590420430590	563	813	17	1,393	40.4%	58.4%	R+17.9
Precinct 0845420430845	430	878	14	1,322	32.5%	66.4%	R+33.9
Precinct 0039420430039	759	500	29	1,288	58.9%	38.8%	D+20.1
Precinct 1311420431311	332	892	21	1,245	26.7%	71.6%	R+45.0
Precinct 0932420430932	366	857	19	1,242	29.5%	69.0%	R+39.5
Precinct 0670420430670	690	526	16	1,232	56.0%	42.7%	D+13.3
Precinct 1372420431372	538	672	9	1,219	44.1%	55.1%	R+11.0
Precinct 0630420430630	584	620	14	1,218	47.9%	50.9%	R+3.0
Precinct 0502420430502	644	538	18	1,200	53.7%	44.8%	D+8.8
Precinct 1320420431320	304	871	9	1,184	25.7%	73.6%	R+47.9
Precinct 0530420430530	289	869	14	1,172	24.7%	74.1%	R+49.5
Precinct 1302420431302	685	476	10	1,171	58.5%	40.6%	D+17.8
Precinct 0768420430768	596	552	21	1,169	51.0%	47.2%	D+3.8
Precinct 1304420431304	645	506	14	1,165	55.4%	43.4%	D+11.9
Precinct 0767420430767	661	490	13	1,164	56.8%	42.1%	D+14.7
Precinct 1220420431220	570	577	9	1,156	49.3%	49.9%	R+0.6
Precinct 0690420430690	499	612	16	1,127	44.3%	54.3%	R+10.0
Precinct 0560420430560	317	789	13	1,119	28.3%	70.5%	R+42.2
Precinct 0021420430021	323	783	8	1,114	29.0%	70.3%	R+41.3
Precinct 0087420430087	511	588	14	1,113	45.9%	52.8%	R+6.9
Precinct 1340420431340	305	796	8	1,109	27.5%	71.8%	R+44.3
Precinct 0766420430766	655	430	11	1,096	59.8%	39.2%	D+20.5
Precinct 0762420430762	478	609	8	1,095	43.7%	55.6%	R+12.0
Precinct 0510420430510	507	577	10	1,094	46.3%	52.7%	R+6.4
Precinct 0731420430731	630	447	17	1,094	57.6%	40.9%	D+16.7
Precinct 0551420430551	324	742	12	1,078	30.1%	68.8%	R+38.8
Precinct 0580420430580	635	424	15	1,074	59.1%	39.5%	D+19.6
Precinct 0764420430764	472	590	12	1,074	43.9%	54.9%	R+11.0
Precinct 1362420431362	457	598	7	1,062	43.0%	56.3%	R+13.3
Precinct 0775420430775	429	621	10	1,060	40.5%	58.6%	R+18.1
Precinct 0610420430610	560	488	10	1,058	52.9%	46.1%	D+6.8
Precinct 0620420430620	665	375	17	1,057	62.9%	35.5%	D+27.4
Precinct 0840420430840	396	646	14	1,056	37.5%	61.2%	R+23.7
Precinct 1250420431250	609	429	17	1,055	57.7%	40.7%	D+17.1
Precinct 0835420430835	353	687	14	1,054	33.5%	65.2%	R+31.7
Precinct 1376420431376	459	571	8	1,038	44.2%	55.0%	R+10.8
Precinct 1368420431368	453	571	10	1,034	43.8%	55.2%	R+11.4
Precinct 0191420430191	286	739	7	1,032	27.7%	71.6%	R+43.9
Precinct 0194420430194	224	790	9	1,023	21.9%	77.2%	R+55.3
Precinct 0144420430144	586	416	17	1,019	57.5%	40.8%	D+16.7
Precinct 0760420430760	434	570	13	1,017	42.7%	56.0%	R+13.4
Precinct 0280420430280	853	144	19	1,016	84.0%	14.2%	D+69.8
Precinct 0430420430430	831	169	13	1,013	82.0%	16.7%	D+65.4
Precinct 1352420431352	396	601	11	1,008	39.3%	59.6%	R+20.3
Precinct 0380420430380	832	159	7	998	83.4%	15.9%	D+67.4
Precinct 0119420430119	515	451	15	981	52.5%	46.0%	D+6.5
Precinct 0640420430640	585	370	15	970	60.3%	38.1%	D+22.2
Precinct 0470420430470	717	225	14	956	75.0%	23.5%	D+51.5
Precinct 1040420431040	371	574	8	953	38.9%	60.2%	R+21.3
Precinct 0420420430420	797	137	15	949	84.0%	14.4%	D+69.5
Precinct 0940420430940	600	322	10	932	64.4%	34.5%	D+29.8
Precinct 1313420431313	195	714	5	914	21.3%	78.1%	R+56.8
Precinct 0127420430127	497	391	25	913	54.4%	42.8%	D+11.6
Precinct 1230420431230	531	358	13	902	58.9%	39.7%	D+19.2
Precinct 0681420430681	488	399	13	900	54.2%	44.3%	D+9.9
Precinct 0350420430350	768	120	10	898	85.5%	13.4%	D+72.2
Precinct 0795420430795	349	524	9	882	39.6%	59.4%	R+19.8
Precinct 0135420430135	411	445	18	874	47.0%	50.9%	R+3.9
Precinct 1330420431330	188	677	2	867	21.7%	78.1%	R+56.4
Precinct 0047420430047	476	378	9	863	55.2%	43.8%	D+11.4
Precinct 1082420431082	617	237	9	863	71.5%	27.5%	D+44.0
Precinct 0112420430112	412	436	13	861	47.9%	50.6%	R+2.8
Precinct 1374420431374	402	427	10	839	47.9%	50.9%	R+3.0
Precinct 0023420430023	341	484	11	836	40.8%	57.9%	R+17.1
Precinct 0055420430055	458	367	5	830	55.2%	44.2%	D+11.0
Precinct 0063420430063	404	410	12	826	48.9%	49.6%	R+0.7
Precinct 0890420430890	389	407	8	804	48.4%	50.6%	R+2.2
Precinct 0410420430410	720	75	7	802	89.8%	9.4%	D+80.4
Precinct 0740420430740	513	264	9	786	65.3%	33.6%	D+31.7
Precinct 0079420430079	321	437	9	767	41.9%	57.0%	R+15.1
Precinct 0310420430310	642	119	5	766	83.8%	15.5%	D+68.3
Precinct 0660420430660	521	228	9	758	68.7%	30.1%	D+38.7
Precinct 0460420430460	594	155	7	756	78.6%	20.5%	D+58.1
Precinct 0103420430103	419	316	15	750	55.9%	42.1%	D+13.7
Precinct 0860420430860	361	363	17	741	48.7%	49.0%	R+0.3
Precinct 0220420430220	558	158	8	724	77.1%	21.8%	D+55.2
Precinct 0900420430900	290	424	7	721	40.2%	58.8%	R+18.6
Precinct 0270420430270	532	172	8	712	74.7%	24.2%	D+50.6
Precinct 0700420430700	437	256	7	700	62.4%	36.6%	D+25.9
Precinct 0570420430570	399	287	9	695	57.4%	41.3%	D+16.1
Precinct 0095420430095	372	317	5	694	53.6%	45.7%	D+7.9
Precinct 0170420430170	178	501	6	685	26.0%	73.1%	R+47.2
Precinct 0651420430651	297	376	7	680	43.7%	55.3%	R+11.6
Precinct 0320420430320	576	90	6	672	85.7%	13.4%	D+72.3
Precinct 0450420430450	494	159	12	665	74.3%	23.9%	D+50.4
Precinct 1092420431092	461	177	5	643	71.7%	27.5%	D+44.2
Precinct 0390420430390	540	99	2	641	84.2%	15.4%	D+68.8
Precinct 0565420430565	184	444	5	633	29.1%	70.1%	R+41.1
Precinct 0230420430230	490	105	4	599	81.8%	17.5%	D+64.3
Precinct 0370420430370	469	113	6	588	79.8%	19.2%	D+60.5
Precinct 0290420430290	507	66	7	580	87.4%	11.4%	D+76.0
Precinct 0440420430440	436	137	3	576	75.7%	23.8%	D+51.9
Precinct 0071420430071	314	213	10	537	58.5%	39.7%	D+18.8
Precinct 0800420430800	112	419	5	536	20.9%	78.2%	R+57.3
Precinct 1400420431400	99	431	4	534	18.5%	80.7%	R+62.2
Precinct 0360420430360	407	121	3	531	76.6%	22.8%	D+53.9
Precinct 0340420430340	403	100	2	505	79.8%	19.8%	D+60.0
Precinct 0820420430820	143	359	3	505	28.3%	71.1%	R+42.8
Precinct 0260420430260	391	91	4	486	80.5%	18.7%	D+61.7
Precinct 0250420430250	349	93	3	445	78.4%	20.9%	D+57.5
Precinct 0030420430030	184	247	11	442	41.6%	55.9%	R+14.3
Precinct 1020420431020	153	273	1	427	35.8%	63.9%	R+28.1
Precinct 0850420430850	217	205	4	426	50.9%	48.1%	D+2.8
Precinct 1070420431070	225	187	3	415	54.2%	45.1%	D+9.2
Precinct 1120420431120	313	94	8	415	75.4%	22.7%	D+52.8
Precinct 0810420430810	99	304	6	409	24.2%	74.3%	R+50.1
Precinct 0240420430240	289	105	12	406	71.2%	25.9%	D+45.3
Precinct 0300420430300	320	74	3	397	80.6%	18.6%	D+62.0
Precinct 0980420430980	247	144	6	397	62.2%	36.3%	D+25.9
Precinct 0480420430480	319	69	0	388	82.2%	17.8%	D+64.4
Precinct 0960420430960	266	89	2	357	74.5%	24.9%	D+49.6
Precinct 0330420430330	261	77	4	342	76.3%	22.5%	D+53.8
Precinct 0200420430200	124	211	6	341	36.4%	61.9%	R+25.5
Precinct 0180420430180	85	251	2	338	25.1%	74.3%	R+49.1
Precinct 0400420430400	249	74	4	327	76.1%	22.6%	D+53.5
Precinct 0970420430970	216	103	6	325	66.5%	31.7%	D+34.8
Precinct 1410420431410	74	232	4	310	23.9%	74.8%	R+51.0
Precinct 0950420430950	211	87	4	302	69.9%	28.8%	D+41.1
Precinct 0910420430910	34	266	0	300	11.3%	88.7%	R+77.3
Precinct 1380420431380	56	228	3	287	19.5%	79.4%	R+59.9
Precinct 1420420431420	67	201	3	271	24.7%	74.2%	R+49.4
Precinct 0540420430540	58	187	1	246	23.6%	76.0%	R+52.4
Precinct 1390420431390	41	198	1	240	17.1%	82.5%	R+65.4
Precinct 0210420430210	180	41	4	225	80.0%	18.2%	D+61.8
Precinct 0010420430010	35	142	0	177	19.8%	80.2%	R+60.5
Precinct 0990420430990	53	122	0	175	30.3%	69.7%	R+39.4
Precinct 1010420431010	54	116	3	173	31.2%	67.1%	R+35.8
Precinct 1000420431000	32	121	1	154	20.8%	78.6%	R+57.8
Precinct 1030420431030	23	124	1	148	15.5%	83.8%	R+68.2
BERRYSBURG Voting District42_4204310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CONEWAGO TWP PCT 0142_4204320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CONEWAGO TWP PCT 0242_4204321	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DAUPHIN Voting District42_4204330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0142_4204339	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0242_4204347	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0342_4204355	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0442_4204363	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0542_4204371	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0642_4204379	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0742_4204387	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0842_4204395	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 0942_42043103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 1042_42043111	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 1142_42043119	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 1242_42043127	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 1342_42043135	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 1442_42043143	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP PCT 1542_42043144	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST HANOVER TWP PCT 0142_42043150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
EAST HANOVER TWP PCT 0242_42043160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ELIZABETHVILLE Voting District42_42043170	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
GRATZ Voting District42_42043180	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HALIFAX TWP PCT 0142_42043PR151	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HALIFAX TWP PCT 0242_42043192	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HALIFAX Voting District42_42043200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 01 DIST 0142_42043210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 01 DIST 0242_42043220	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 01 DIST 0342_42043230	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 02 DIST 0142_42043240	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 02 DIST 0242_42043250	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 0342_42043260	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 0442_42043270	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 0542_42043280	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 0642_42043290	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 07 DIST 0142_42043300	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 07 DIST 0242_42043310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 0842_42043320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0142_42043330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0242_42043340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0342_42043350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0442_42043360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0542_42043370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0142_42043380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0242_42043390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0342_42043400	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0442_42043410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 1142_42043420	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 12 DIST 0142_42043430	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 13 DIST 0142_42043440	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 13 DIST 0242_42043450	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 13 DIST 0342_42043460	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 1442_42043470	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HARRISBURG WD 1542_42043480	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HIGHSPIRE DIST 0142_42043490	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HIGHSPIRE DIST 0242_42043500	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HUMMELSTOWN DIST 0142_42043510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HUMMELSTOWN DIST 0242_42043520	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
JACKSON TWP Voting District42_42043530	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
JEFFERSON TWP Voting District42_42043540	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LONDONDERRY TWO DIST 0342_42043561	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LONDONDERRY TWP DIST 0142_42043550	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LONDONDERRY TWP DIST 0242_42043560	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0142_42043570	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0242_42043580	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0342_42043590	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0442_42043600	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0542_42043610	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0642_42043620	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0742_42043630	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0842_42043640	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0942_42043650	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1042_42043660	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1142_42043670	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1242_42043680	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1342_42043690	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1442_42043700	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1542_42043710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1642_42043720	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1742_42043730	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1842_42043740	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1942_42043750	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2042_42043760	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2142_42043PR152	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2242_42043PR156	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2342_42043PR157	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2442_42043PR200	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2542_42043PR154	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2642_42043PR201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2742_42043PR202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0142_42043765	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0242_42043775	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0342_42043785	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0442_42043795	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LYKENS TWP Voting District42_42043800	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LYKENS WD 0142_42043810	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LYKENS WD 0242_42043820	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLE PAXTON TWP DIST 0142_42043835	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLE PAXTON TWP DIST 0242_42043840	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLE PAXTON TWP DIST 0342_42043845	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLETOWN WD 01 DIST 0142_42043850	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLETOWN WD 01 DIST 0242_42043860	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLETOWN WD 02 DIST 0142_42043870	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLETOWN WD 02 DIST 0242_42043880	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLETOWN WD 03 DIST 0142_42043890	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIDDLETOWN WD 03 DIST 0242_42043900	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MIFFLIN TWP Voting District42_42043910	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLERSBURG DIST 0142_42043920	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MILLERSBURG DIST 0242_42043930	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PAXTANG Voting District42_42043940	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PENBROOK DIST 0142_42043950	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PENBROOK DIST 0242_42043960	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PENBROOK DIST 0342_42043970	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PENBROOK DIST 0442_42043980	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PILLOW Voting District42_42043990	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
REED TWP Voting District42_420431000	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROYALTON DIST 0142_420431010	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROYALTON DIST 0242_420431020	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
RUSH TWP Voting District42_420431030	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH HANOVER TWP DIST 0142_420431040	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH HANOVER TWP DIST 0242_420431050	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH HANOVER TWP DIST 0342_420431060	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STEELTON WD 0142_420431070	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STEELTON WD 02 DIST 0142_420431080	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STEELTON WD 02 DIST 0242_420431090	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STEELTON WD 03 DIST 0142_420431100	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STEELTON WD 03 DIST 0242_420431110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
STEELTON WD 0442_420431120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0142_420431135	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0242_420431145	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0342_420431155	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0442_420431165	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0542_420431175	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0642_420431185	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0842_420431205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0942_420431215	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD O742_420431195	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0142_420431220	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0242_420431230	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0342_420431240	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0442_420431250	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0542_420431260	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0642_420431270	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0742_420431280	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0842_420431290	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SWATARA TWP DIST 0942_420431300	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER PAXTON TWP DIST 0142_42043PR160	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
UPPER PAXTON TWP DIST 0242_42043PR159	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_420431320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WAYNE TWP Voting District42_420431330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0142_420431340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0242_420431350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0342_420431360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0442_420431370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WICONISCO TWP DIST 0142_420431380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WICONISCO TWP DIST 0242_420431390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WILLIAMS TWP DIST 0142_420431400	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WILLIAMSTOWN DIST 0142_420431410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WILLIAMSTOWN DIST 0242_420431420	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−18.2%
1896	−37.0%
1900	−31.9%
1904	−50.4%
1908	−32.8%
1912	+5.6%
1916	−9.2%
1920	−35.3%
1924	−46.0%
1928	−68.2%
1932	−23.1%
1936	+4.4%
1940	−5.0%
1944	−18.5%
1948	−25.4%
1952	−30.6%
1956	−35.3%
1960	−28.9%
1964	+3.8%
1968	−28.0%
1972	−40.5%
1976	−15.0%
1980	−21.4%
1984	−23.4%
1988	−16.3%
1992	−8.6%
1996	−3.7%
2000	−9.2%
2004	−8.2%
2008	+9.1%
2012	+6.0%
2016	+2.9%
2020	+8.5%
2024	+5.9%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	52.4%Harris78,327	46.5%Trump69,474	0.6%Stein893 +1	D+5.9	R+2.6	D+7.4	149,526
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic52.4%78,327 Donald J TrumpRepublican46.5%69,474 Jill SteinIndependent0.6%893 Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%832
2020	D	53.6%Biden78,983	45.1%Trump66,408	1.3%Jorgensen1,977	D+8.5	D+5.6	D+4.1	147,368
2016	D	49.1%Clinton64,706	46.2%Trump60,863	2.7%Johnson3,498	D+2.9	R+3.1	D+0.8	131,783
2012	D	52.3%Obama64,965	46.2%Romney57,450	0.9%Johnson1,128	D+6.0	R+3.0	D+2.2	124,301
2008	D	54.0%Obama69,975	45.0%McCain58,238	1.0%	D+9.1	D+17.3	D+1.8	129,529
2004	R	45.6%Kerry55,299	53.9%Bush65,296	0.5%	R+8.2	D+0.9	R+5.8	121,208
2000	R	44.1%Gore44,390	53.3%Bush53,631	2.0%Nader2,059	R+9.2	R+5.4	R+9.7	100,658
1996	R	44.0%Clinton40,936	47.8%Dole44,417	7.5%Perot6,967	R+3.7	D+4.8	R+12.3	92,971
1992	R	37.4%Clinton36,990	46.0%Bush45,479	16.2%Perot16,063	R+8.6	D+7.8	R+14.1	98,910
1988	R	41.4%Dukakis35,079	57.8%Bush48,917	0.8%	R+16.3	D+7.1	R+8.6	84,677
1984	R	37.9%Mondale33,576	61.3%Reagan54,330	0.8%	R+23.4	R+2.0	R+5.2	88,658
1980	R	34.8%Carter27,252	56.2%Reagan44,039	9.1%	R+21.4	R+6.4	R+11.7	78,387
1976	R	41.3%Carter34,342	56.3%Ford46,819	2.4%	R+15.0	D+25.5	R+17.1	83,122
1972	R	28.9%McGovern22,587	69.4%Nixon54,307	1.8%	R+40.5	R+12.5	R+17.4	78,270
1968	R	31.2%Humphrey25,480	59.2%Nixon48,394	9.7%	R+28.0	R+31.8	R+27.3	81,788
1964	D	51.6%Johnson46,119	47.8%Goldwater42,718	0.7%	D+3.8	D+32.7	R+18.8	89,431
1960	R	35.3%Kennedy33,962	64.2%Nixon61,726	0.4%	R+28.9	D+6.4	R+29.0	96,115
1956	R	32.1%Stevenson29,226	67.5%Eisenhower61,342	0.4%	R+35.3	R+4.8	R+19.9	90,943
1952	R	34.6%Stevenson30,985	65.1%Eisenhower58,385	0.3%	R+30.6	R+5.2	R+19.8	89,656
1948	R	36.8%Truman27,729	62.2%Dewey46,861	1.1%	R+25.4	R+6.8	R+29.9	75,386
1944	R	40.5%Roosevelt30,684	59.0%Dewey44,725	0.4%	R+18.5	R+13.5	R+26.0	75,742
1940	R	47.3%Roosevelt38,305	52.4%Willkie42,394	0.3%	R+5.0	R+9.4	R+15.0	80,981
1936	D	51.8%Roosevelt43,256	47.4%Landon39,598	0.8%	D+4.4	D+27.4	R+19.9	83,498
1932	R	37.3%Roosevelt22,412	60.3%Hoover36,278	2.4%	R+23.1	D+45.2	R+40.8	60,152
1928	R	15.6%Smith9,115	83.8%Hoover49,108	0.7%	R+68.2	R+22.2	R+50.8	58,617
1924	R	22.0%Davis9,004	68.0%Coolidge27,838	9.2%La Follette3,756	R+46.0	R+10.7	R+20.9	40,916
1920	R	30.0%Cox11,990	65.4%Harding26,094	4.6%	R+35.3	R+26.1	R+9.1	39,923
1916	R	42.9%Wilson11,483	52.2%Hughes13,954	4.9%	R+9.2	R+14.9	R+12.4	26,752
1912	O	28.9%Wilson7,470	23.3%Taft6,012	47.8%	Roosevelt +18.9	D+38.4	R+13.9	25,819
1908	R	30.6%Bryan7,546	63.4%Taft15,637	6.0%	R+32.8	D+17.6	R+23.2	24,671
1904	R	22.2%Parker5,040	72.6%Roosevelt16,508	5.2%	R+50.4	R+18.6	R+30.8	22,734
1900	R	32.3%Bryan7,390	64.2%McKinley14,673	3.4%	R+31.9	D+5.1	R+24.3	22,846
1896	R	29.8%Bryan6,584	66.8%McKinley14,752	3.3%	R+37.0	R+18.8	R+30.9	22,069
1892	R	39.3%Cleveland7,520	57.5%Harrison11,010	3.3%	R+18.2	—	R+19.9	19,157
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	54.5%80,272	45.5%66,986	147,258
2020	D	52.2%75,460	47.8%69,065	144,525
2018	D	54.1%58,605	45.9%49,767	108,372

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	51.7%77,022	44.9%66,949	148,956
2022	D	53.8%61,599	43.8%50,141	114,446
2018Class I	D	54.8%Bob Casey Jr.59,533	43.4%Lou Barletta47,152	108,708
2016Class III	R	48.6%Katie McGinty62,551	49.5%Pat Toomey63,740	128,674
2012Class I	D	54.1%Bob Casey Jr.65,235	44.5%Tom Smith53,649	120,610
2010Class III	R	44.3%Joe Sestak38,913	55.7%Pat Toomey49,021	87,934
2006Class I	D	53.3%Bob Casey Jr.46,622	46.7%Rick Santorum40,832	87,463
2004Class III	R	34.5%Joseph Hoeffel40,562	58.4%Arlen Specter68,693	117,693
2000Class I	R	40.9%Rob Klink40,047	56.1%Rick Santorum54,986	98,009
1998Class III	R	28.3%Bill Lloyd17,209	68.0%Arlen Specter41,397	60,879
1994Class I	R	40.8%Harris Wofford31,226	55.1%Rick Santorum42,187	76,596
1992Class III	R	38.3%Lynn Yeakel37,178	56.1%Arlen Specter54,399	97,010
1988Class I	R	24.4%Joseph C. Vignola20,040	74.8%John Heinz61,564	82,288
1986Class III	R	34.3%Bob Edgar23,015	65.1%Arlen Specter43,717	67,111
1982Class I	R	32.1%Cyril H. Wecht21,877	66.2%John Heinz45,075	68,109
1980Class III	R	35.5%Peter Flaherty26,237	63.3%Arlen Specter46,777	73,924
1976Class I	R	38.4%William J. Green III31,028	60.5%John Heinz48,916	80,881
1974Class III	R	32.4%Peter Flaherty20,011	66.1%Richard Schweiker40,858	61,836
1970Class I	R	33.5%William G. Sesler21,850	62.0%Hugh Scott40,366	65,135
1968Class III	R	32.1%Joseph S. Clark25,509	64.5%Richard Schweiker51,217	79,353
1964Class I	R	40.1%Genevieve Blatt35,576	59.4%Hugh Scott52,723	88,733
1962Class III	R	37.2%Joseph S. Clark32,189	62.6%James E. Van Zandt54,122	86,509
1958Class I	R	42.0%George M. Leader33,948	57.5%Hugh Scott46,491	80,796
1956Class III	R	40.3%Joseph S. Clark36,216	59.3%James H. Duff53,280	89,821
1952Class I	R	37.3%Guy Kurtz Bard32,906	62.2%Edward Martin54,836	88,135
1950Class III	R	37.5%Francis Myers26,997	61.6%James H. Duff44,274	71,925
1946Class I	R	31.7%Joseph F. Guffey20,547	67.1%Edward Martin43,489	64,777
1944Class III	R	38.9%Francis Myers29,023	60.5%James J. Davis45,156	74,628
1940Class I	R	44.7%Joseph F. Guffey35,345	54.6%Jay Cooke43,218	79,094
1938Class III	R	42.5%George H. Earle35,767	56.9%James J. Davis47,873	84,174
1934Class I	R	39.9%Joseph F. Guffey26,622	58.0%David A. Reed38,675	66,689
1932Class III	R	36.1%Lawrence H. Rupp21,403	59.0%James J. Davis35,014	59,300
1928Class I	R	18.3%William N. McNair10,246	80.1%David A. Reed44,965	56,107
1926Class III	D	52.2%William B. Wilson17,154	43.5%William S. Vare14,303	32,857
1922Class I	R	37.0%Samuel E. Shull12,994	49.3%David A. Reed17,325	35,123
1920Class III	R	27.4%John A. Farrell10,759	59.3%Boies Penrose23,259	39,247
1916Class I	R	38.6%Ellis Orvis9,745	53.4%Philander Knox13,485	25,264
1914Class III	R	23.7%A. Mitchell Palmer6,031	47.5%Boies Penrose12,085	25,424

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1991Special · Class I	R	45.2%Harris Wofford30,313	54.8%Richard Thornburgh36,798	67,111
1930Special · Class III	R	11.2%Sedgwick Kistler5,180	87.0%James J. Davis40,293	46,311
1922Special · Class III	R	40.4%Fred B. Kerr14,164	50.1%George W. Pepper17,575	35,067

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	60.0%Joshua D Shapiro68,585	38.1%Douglas V Mastriano43,580	114,398
2018	D	59.0%Thomas W Wolf64,045	39.1%Scott R Wagner42,436	108,549
2014	D	50.8%Tom Wolf40,376	49.2%Tom Corbett39,111	79,487
2010	R	39.5%Dan Onorato34,813	60.5%Tom Corbett53,261	88,074
2006	R	45.6%Ed Rendell39,711	54.4%Lynn Swann47,294	87,005
2002	R	42.0%Ed Rendell33,537	55.5%Mike Fisher44,231	79,764
1998	R	21.4%Ivan Itkin13,203	64.8%Tom Ridge39,914	61,603
1994	R	35.8%Mark Singel27,844	44.6%Tom Ridge34,689	77,734
1990	D	71.9%Bob Casey43,063	28.1%Barbara Hafer16,833	59,896
1986	R	43.3%Bob Casey29,116	56.0%Bill Scranton III37,641	67,259
1982	D	52.8%Allen Ertel37,538	46.1%Dick Thornburgh32,796	71,133
1978	R	33.1%Pete Flaherty21,426	65.8%Dick Thornburgh42,546	64,704

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+5.0

Presidential vote · 2024D+5.9

Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.9 points.

200,342 registered voters · 2026

Democratic43.0%Republican38.0%Unaffiliated15.4%Other3.6%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−1,112 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −8,960 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $56,242 in average income, against $82,800 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+5.2 on average — 11 points more Republican-leaning than Dauphin County, PA itself (D+5.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Cumberland County, PA1,194R+9.4
Lancaster County, PA625R+16.0
Lebanon County, PA522R+32.0
York County, PA496R+25.3
Philadelphia County, PA187D+58.8
Perry County, PA176R+49.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Cumberland County, PA1,732
York County, PA631
Lancaster County, PA565
Lebanon County, PA536
Perry County, PA208
Philadelphia County, PA199

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Dauphin County, PA in Dauphin County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−840
2012	−1,058
2013	−524
2014	−1,351
2015	−1,167
2016	−1,074
2017	−387
2018	−774
2019	−52
2021	+827
2022	−265
2023	−544
2024	−639
2025	−1,112

Harrisburg anchors Dauphin County's Democratic lean, but surrounding townships keep margins tight — the county voted D+5.9 in 2024, a narrower gap than many mid-size Pennsylvania counties with comparable urban cores.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 68.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.9 points.

A population of 289,593, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,242 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Baltimore County and New Castle County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Baltimore County

Maryland

93.8twin score

2016–2024 trajectory% Asian

New Castle County

Delaware

92.7twin score

2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trend% Asian≠ 2000 margin

Peoria County

Illinois

92.6twin score

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Italian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently asked questions

How did Dauphin County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dauphin County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 5.9 points (D+5.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 149,526 votes cast, 78,327 went Democratic and 69,474 went Republican.

When did Dauphin County, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Dauphin County, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania?

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania has a population of 289,593 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania is $76,242 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Dauphin County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.

Measure

Dauphin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median age

39.4

41.2

39.1

Age 18–24

8.1%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

18.1%

19.5%

17.2%

Measure

Dauphin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Median household income

$76,242

$77,971

$84,427

Poverty rate

12.9%

11.7%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

34.4%

35.2%

35.6%

Measure

Dauphin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

14.8%

12.4%

22.3%

Spanish

6.8%

5.6%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

3.4%

1.7%

2.0%

Measure

Dauphin County

Pennsylvania

United States

Catholic

14.6%

21.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

9.5%

9.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

55.5%

53.1%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

11.6%

10.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+5.9MIT Election Lab

Population

289,5932024 5-year

Median household income

$76,2422024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

60.6%2024 5-year

Black

16.3%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

11.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+9.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+68.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Baltimore County, MD · twin score 93.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

133,740

202,403

66.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

109,797

204,200

53.8%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

149,229

205,351

72.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

114,989

211,997

54.2%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

150,393

213,093

70.6%

A/A

Dauphin County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 1205420431205

1,326

719

2,067

64.2%

34.8%

D+29.4

Precinct 1215420431215

1,354

647

2,024

66.9%

32.0%

D+34.9

Precinct 1050420431050

903

1,089

2,021

44.7%

53.9%

R+9.2

Precinct 0761420430761

1,006

972

1,995

50.4%

48.7%

D+1.7

Precinct 0150420430150

649

1,236

1,905

34.1%

64.9%

R+30.8

Precinct 1145420431145

1,190

691

1,905

62.5%

36.3%

D+26.2

Precinct 0751420430751

1,045

779

1,836

56.9%

42.4%

D+14.5

Precinct 1135420431135

1,158

642

1,809

64.0%

35.5%

D+28.5

Precinct 0147420430147

1,071

688

1,803

59.4%

38.2%

D+21.2

Precinct 1195420431195

1,270

500

1,792

70.9%

27.9%

D+43.0

Precinct 0711420430711

985

758

1,769

55.7%

42.8%

D+12.8

Precinct 0870420430870

877

865

1,766

49.7%

49.0%

D+0.7

Precinct 1155420431155

1,223

408

1,650

74.1%

24.7%

D+49.4

Precinct 0720420430720

722

906

1,645

43.9%

55.1%

R+11.2

Precinct 1060420431060

748

882

1,642

45.6%

53.7%

R+8.2

Precinct 0160420430160

457

1,168

1,641

27.8%

71.2%

R+43.3

Precinct 1280420431280

946

639

1,608

58.8%

39.7%

D+19.1

Precinct 0765420430765

618

953

1,587

38.9%

60.1%

R+21.1

Precinct 1262420431262

944

626

1,584

59.6%

39.5%

D+20.1

Precinct 1272420431272

953

586

1,555

61.3%

37.7%

D+23.6

Precinct 0520420430520

634

899

1,550

40.9%

58.0%

R+17.1

Precinct 1292420431292

706

828

1,546

45.7%

53.6%

R+7.9

Precinct 0785420430785

785

734

1,530

51.3%

48.0%

D+3.3

Precinct 1175420431175

948

549

1,524

62.2%

36.0%

D+26.2

Precinct 1185420431185

910

551

1,481

61.4%

37.2%

D+24.2

Precinct 1165420431165

984

466

1,474

66.8%

31.6%

D+35.1

Precinct 1240420431240

953

483

1,454

65.5%

33.2%

D+32.3

Precinct 0600420430600

571

836

1,425

40.1%

58.7%

R+18.6

Precinct 0763420430763

731

686

1,425

51.3%

48.1%

D+3.2

Precinct 0590420430590

563

813

1,393

40.4%

58.4%

R+17.9

Precinct 0845420430845

430

878

1,322

32.5%

66.4%

R+33.9

Precinct 0039420430039

759

500

1,288

58.9%

38.8%

D+20.1

Precinct 1311420431311

332

892

1,245

26.7%

71.6%

R+45.0

Precinct 0932420430932

366

857

1,242

29.5%

69.0%

R+39.5

Precinct 0670420430670

690

526

1,232

56.0%

42.7%

D+13.3

Precinct 1372420431372

538

672

1,219

44.1%

55.1%

R+11.0

Precinct 0630420430630

584

620

1,218

47.9%

50.9%

R+3.0

Precinct 0502420430502

644

538

1,200

53.7%

44.8%

D+8.8

Precinct 1320420431320

304

871

1,184

25.7%

73.6%

R+47.9

Precinct 0530420430530

289

869

1,172

24.7%

74.1%

R+49.5

Precinct 1302420431302

685

476

1,171

58.5%

40.6%

D+17.8

Precinct 0768420430768

596

552

1,169

51.0%

47.2%

D+3.8

Precinct 1304420431304

645

506

1,165

55.4%

43.4%

D+11.9

Precinct 0767420430767

661

490

1,164

56.8%

42.1%

D+14.7

Precinct 1220420431220

570

577

1,156

49.3%

49.9%

R+0.6

Precinct 0690420430690

499

612

1,127

44.3%

54.3%

R+10.0

Precinct 0560420430560

317

789

1,119

28.3%

70.5%

R+42.2

Precinct 0021420430021

323

783

1,114

29.0%

70.3%

R+41.3

Precinct 0087420430087

511

588

1,113

45.9%

52.8%

R+6.9

Precinct 1340420431340

305

796

1,109

27.5%

71.8%

R+44.3

Precinct 0766420430766

655

430

1,096

59.8%

39.2%

D+20.5

Precinct 0762420430762

478

609

1,095

43.7%

55.6%

R+12.0

Precinct 0510420430510

507

577

1,094

46.3%

52.7%

R+6.4

Precinct 0731420430731

630

447

1,094

57.6%

40.9%

D+16.7

Precinct 0551420430551

324

742

1,078

30.1%

68.8%

R+38.8

Precinct 0580420430580

635

424

1,074

59.1%

39.5%

D+19.6

Precinct 0764420430764

472

590

1,074

43.9%

54.9%

R+11.0

Precinct 1362420431362

457

598

1,062

43.0%

56.3%

R+13.3

Precinct 0775420430775

429

621

1,060

40.5%

58.6%

R+18.1

Precinct 0610420430610

560

488

1,058

52.9%

46.1%

D+6.8

Precinct 0620420430620

665

375

1,057

62.9%

35.5%

D+27.4

Precinct 0840420430840

396

646

1,056

37.5%

61.2%

R+23.7

Precinct 1250420431250

609

429

1,055

57.7%

40.7%

D+17.1

Precinct 0835420430835

353

687

1,054

33.5%

65.2%

R+31.7

Precinct 1376420431376

459

571

1,038

44.2%

55.0%

R+10.8

Precinct 1368420431368

453

571

1,034

43.8%

55.2%

R+11.4

Precinct 0191420430191

286

739

1,032

27.7%

71.6%

R+43.9

Precinct 0194420430194

224

790

1,023

21.9%

77.2%

R+55.3

Precinct 0144420430144

586

416

1,019

57.5%

40.8%

D+16.7

Precinct 0760420430760

434

570

1,017

42.7%

56.0%

R+13.4

Precinct 0280420430280

853

144

1,016

84.0%

14.2%

D+69.8

Precinct 0430420430430

831

169

1,013

82.0%

16.7%

D+65.4

Precinct 1352420431352

396

601

1,008

39.3%

59.6%

R+20.3

Precinct 0380420430380

832

159

998

83.4%

15.9%

D+67.4

Precinct 0119420430119

515

451

981

52.5%

46.0%

D+6.5

Precinct 0640420430640

585

370

970

60.3%

38.1%

D+22.2

Precinct 0470420430470

717

225

956

75.0%

23.5%

D+51.5

Precinct 1040420431040

371

574

953

38.9%

60.2%

R+21.3

Precinct 0420420430420

797

137

949

84.0%

14.4%

D+69.5

Precinct 0940420430940

600

322

932

64.4%

34.5%

D+29.8

Precinct 1313420431313

195

714

914

21.3%

78.1%

R+56.8

Precinct 0127420430127

497

391

913

54.4%

42.8%

D+11.6

Precinct 1230420431230

531

358

902

58.9%

39.7%

D+19.2

Precinct 0681420430681

488

399

900

54.2%

44.3%

D+9.9

Precinct 0350420430350

768

120

898

85.5%

13.4%

D+72.2

Precinct 0795420430795

349

524

882

39.6%

59.4%

R+19.8

Precinct 0135420430135

411

445

874

47.0%

50.9%

R+3.9

Precinct 1330420431330

188

677

867

21.7%

78.1%

R+56.4

Precinct 0047420430047

476

378

863

55.2%

43.8%

D+11.4

Precinct 1082420431082

617

237

863

71.5%

27.5%

D+44.0

Precinct 0112420430112

412

436

861

47.9%

50.6%

R+2.8

Precinct 1374420431374

402

427

839

47.9%

50.9%

R+3.0

Precinct 0023420430023

341

484

836

40.8%

57.9%

R+17.1

Precinct 0055420430055

458

367

830

55.2%

44.2%

D+11.0

Precinct 0063420430063

404

410

826

48.9%

49.6%

R+0.7

Precinct 0890420430890

389

407

804

48.4%

50.6%

R+2.2

Precinct 0410420430410

720

802

89.8%

9.4%

D+80.4

Precinct 0740420430740

513

264

786

65.3%

33.6%

D+31.7

Precinct 0079420430079

321

437

767

41.9%

57.0%

R+15.1

Precinct 0310420430310

642

119

766

83.8%

15.5%

D+68.3

Precinct 0660420430660

521

228

758

68.7%

30.1%

D+38.7

Precinct 0460420430460

594

155

756

78.6%

20.5%

D+58.1

Precinct 0103420430103

419

316

750

55.9%

42.1%

D+13.7

Precinct 0860420430860

361

363

741

48.7%

49.0%

R+0.3

Precinct 0220420430220

558

158

724

77.1%

21.8%

D+55.2

Precinct 0900420430900

290

424

721

40.2%

58.8%

R+18.6

Precinct 0270420430270

532

172

712

74.7%

24.2%

D+50.6

Precinct 0700420430700

437

256

700

62.4%

36.6%

D+25.9

Precinct 0570420430570

399

287

695

57.4%

41.3%

D+16.1

Precinct 0095420430095

372

317

694

53.6%

45.7%

D+7.9

Precinct 0170420430170

178

501

685

26.0%

73.1%

R+47.2

Precinct 0651420430651

297

376

680

43.7%

55.3%

R+11.6

Precinct 0320420430320

576

672

85.7%

13.4%

D+72.3

Precinct 0450420430450

494

159

665

74.3%

23.9%

D+50.4

Precinct 1092420431092

461

177

643

71.7%

27.5%

D+44.2

Precinct 0390420430390

540

641

84.2%

15.4%

D+68.8

Precinct 0565420430565

184

444

633

29.1%

70.1%

R+41.1

Precinct 0230420430230

490

105

599

81.8%

17.5%

D+64.3

Precinct 0370420430370

469

113

588

79.8%

19.2%

D+60.5

Precinct 0290420430290

507

580

87.4%

11.4%

D+76.0

Precinct 0440420430440

436

137

576

75.7%

23.8%

D+51.9

Precinct 0071420430071

314

213

537

58.5%

39.7%

D+18.8

Precinct 0800420430800

112

419

536

20.9%

78.2%

R+57.3

Precinct 1400420431400

431

534

18.5%

80.7%

R+62.2

Precinct 0360420430360

407

121

531

76.6%

22.8%

D+53.9

Precinct 0340420430340

403

100

505

79.8%

19.8%

D+60.0

Precinct 0820420430820

143

359

505

28.3%

71.1%

R+42.8

Precinct 0260420430260

391

486

80.5%

18.7%

D+61.7

Precinct 0250420430250

349

445

78.4%

20.9%

D+57.5

Precinct 0030420430030

184

247

442

41.6%

55.9%

R+14.3

Precinct 1020420431020

153

273

427

35.8%

63.9%

R+28.1

Precinct 0850420430850

217

205

426

50.9%

48.1%

D+2.8

Precinct 1070420431070

225

187

415

54.2%

45.1%

D+9.2

Precinct 1120420431120

313

415

75.4%

22.7%

D+52.8

Precinct 0810420430810

304

409

24.2%

74.3%

R+50.1

Precinct 0240420430240

289

105

406

71.2%

25.9%

D+45.3

Precinct 0300420430300

320

397

80.6%

18.6%

D+62.0

Precinct 0980420430980

247

144

397

62.2%

36.3%

D+25.9

Precinct 0480420430480

319

388

82.2%

17.8%

D+64.4

Precinct 0960420430960

266

357

74.5%

24.9%

D+49.6

Precinct 0330420430330

261

342

76.3%

22.5%

D+53.8

Precinct 0200420430200

124

211

341

36.4%

61.9%

R+25.5

Precinct 0180420430180

251

338

25.1%

74.3%

R+49.1

Precinct 0400420430400

249

327

76.1%

22.6%

D+53.5

Precinct 0970420430970

216

103

325

66.5%

31.7%

D+34.8

Precinct 1410420431410

232

310

23.9%

74.8%

R+51.0

Precinct 0950420430950

211

302

69.9%

28.8%

D+41.1

Precinct 0910420430910

266

300

11.3%

88.7%

R+77.3

Precinct 1380420431380

228

287

19.5%

79.4%

R+59.9

Precinct 1420420431420

201

271

24.7%

74.2%

R+49.4

Precinct 0540420430540

187

246

23.6%

76.0%

R+52.4

Precinct 1390420431390

198

240

17.1%

82.5%

R+65.4

Precinct 0210420430210

180

225

80.0%

18.2%

D+61.8

Precinct 0010420430010

142

177

19.8%

80.2%

R+60.5

Precinct 0990420430990

122

175

30.3%

69.7%

R+39.4

Precinct 1010420431010

116

173

31.2%

67.1%

R+35.8

Precinct 1000420431000

121

154

20.8%

78.6%

R+57.8

Precinct 1030420431030

124

148

15.5%

83.8%

R+68.2

BERRYSBURG Voting District42_4204310

—

No votes

CONEWAGO TWP PCT 0142_4204320

—

No votes

CONEWAGO TWP PCT 0242_4204321

—

No votes

DAUPHIN Voting District42_4204330

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0142_4204339

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0242_4204347

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0342_4204355

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0442_4204363

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0542_4204371

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0642_4204379

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0742_4204387

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0842_4204395

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 0942_42043103

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 1042_42043111

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 1142_42043119

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 1242_42043127

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 1342_42043135

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 1442_42043143

—

No votes

DERRY TWP PCT 1542_42043144

—

No votes

EAST HANOVER TWP PCT 0142_42043150

—

No votes

EAST HANOVER TWP PCT 0242_42043160

—

No votes

ELIZABETHVILLE Voting District42_42043170

—

No votes

GRATZ Voting District42_42043180

—

No votes

HALIFAX TWP PCT 0142_42043PR151

—

No votes

HALIFAX TWP PCT 0242_42043192

—

No votes

HALIFAX Voting District42_42043200

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 01 DIST 0142_42043210

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 01 DIST 0242_42043220

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 01 DIST 0342_42043230

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 02 DIST 0142_42043240

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 02 DIST 0242_42043250

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 0342_42043260

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 0442_42043270

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 0542_42043280

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 0642_42043290

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 07 DIST 0142_42043300

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 07 DIST 0242_42043310

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 0842_42043320

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0142_42043330

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0242_42043340

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0342_42043350

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0442_42043360

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 09 DIST 0542_42043370

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0142_42043380

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0242_42043390

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0342_42043400

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 10 DIST 0442_42043410

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 1142_42043420

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 12 DIST 0142_42043430

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 13 DIST 0142_42043440

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 13 DIST 0242_42043450

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 13 DIST 0342_42043460

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 1442_42043470

—

No votes

HARRISBURG WD 1542_42043480

—

No votes

HIGHSPIRE DIST 0142_42043490

—

No votes

HIGHSPIRE DIST 0242_42043500

—

No votes

HUMMELSTOWN DIST 0142_42043510

—

No votes

HUMMELSTOWN DIST 0242_42043520

—

No votes

JACKSON TWP Voting District42_42043530

—

No votes

JEFFERSON TWP Voting District42_42043540

—

No votes

LONDONDERRY TWO DIST 0342_42043561

—

No votes

LONDONDERRY TWP DIST 0142_42043550

—

No votes

LONDONDERRY TWP DIST 0242_42043560

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0142_42043570

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0242_42043580

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0342_42043590

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0442_42043600

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0542_42043610

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0642_42043620

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0742_42043630

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0842_42043640

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 0942_42043650

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1042_42043660

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1142_42043670

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1242_42043680

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1342_42043690

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1442_42043700

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1542_42043710

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1642_42043720

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1742_42043730

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1842_42043740

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 1942_42043750

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2042_42043760

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2142_42043PR152

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2242_42043PR156

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2342_42043PR157

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2442_42043PR200

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2542_42043PR154

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2642_42043PR201

—

No votes

LOWER PAXTON TWP DIST 2742_42043PR202

—

No votes

LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0142_42043765

—

No votes

LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0242_42043775

—

No votes

LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0342_42043785

—

No votes

LOWER SWATARA TWP DIST 0442_42043795

—

No votes

LYKENS TWP Voting District42_42043800

—

No votes

LYKENS WD 0142_42043810

—

No votes

LYKENS WD 0242_42043820

—

No votes

MIDDLE PAXTON TWP DIST 0142_42043835

—

No votes

MIDDLE PAXTON TWP DIST 0242_42043840

—

No votes

MIDDLE PAXTON TWP DIST 0342_42043845

—

No votes

MIDDLETOWN WD 01 DIST 0142_42043850

—

No votes

MIDDLETOWN WD 01 DIST 0242_42043860

—

No votes

MIDDLETOWN WD 02 DIST 0142_42043870

—

No votes

MIDDLETOWN WD 02 DIST 0242_42043880

—

No votes

MIDDLETOWN WD 03 DIST 0142_42043890

—

No votes

MIDDLETOWN WD 03 DIST 0242_42043900

—

No votes

MIFFLIN TWP Voting District42_42043910

—

No votes

MILLERSBURG DIST 0142_42043920

—

No votes

MILLERSBURG DIST 0242_42043930

—

No votes

PAXTANG Voting District42_42043940

—

No votes

PENBROOK DIST 0142_42043950

—

No votes

PENBROOK DIST 0242_42043960

—

No votes

PENBROOK DIST 0342_42043970

—

No votes

PENBROOK DIST 0442_42043980

—

No votes

PILLOW Voting District42_42043990

—

No votes

REED TWP Voting District42_420431000

—

No votes

ROYALTON DIST 0142_420431010

—

No votes

ROYALTON DIST 0242_420431020

—

No votes

RUSH TWP Voting District42_420431030

—

No votes

SOUTH HANOVER TWP DIST 0142_420431040

—

No votes

SOUTH HANOVER TWP DIST 0242_420431050

—

No votes

SOUTH HANOVER TWP DIST 0342_420431060

—

No votes

STEELTON WD 0142_420431070

—

No votes

STEELTON WD 02 DIST 0142_420431080

—

No votes

STEELTON WD 02 DIST 0242_420431090

—

No votes

STEELTON WD 03 DIST 0142_420431100

—

No votes

STEELTON WD 03 DIST 0242_420431110

—

No votes

STEELTON WD 0442_420431120

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0142_420431135

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0242_420431145

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0342_420431155

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0442_420431165

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0542_420431175

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0642_420431185

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0842_420431205

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD 0942_420431215

—

No votes

SUSQUEHANNA TWP WD O742_420431195

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0142_420431220

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0242_420431230

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0342_420431240

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0442_420431250

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0542_420431260

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0642_420431270

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0742_420431280

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0842_420431290

—

No votes

SWATARA TWP DIST 0942_420431300

—

No votes

UPPER PAXTON TWP DIST 0142_42043PR160

—

No votes

UPPER PAXTON TWP DIST 0242_42043PR159

—

No votes

WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_420431320

—

No votes

WAYNE TWP Voting District42_420431330

—

No votes

WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0142_420431340

—

No votes

WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0242_420431350

—

No votes

WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0342_420431360

—

No votes

WEST HANOVER TWP DIST 0442_420431370

—

No votes

WICONISCO TWP DIST 0142_420431380

—

No votes

WICONISCO TWP DIST 0242_420431390

—

No votes

WILLIAMS TWP DIST 0142_420431400

—

No votes

WILLIAMSTOWN DIST 0142_420431410

—

No votes

WILLIAMSTOWN DIST 0242_420431420

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−18.2%
1896	−37.0%
1900	−31.9%
1904	−50.4%
1908	−32.8%
1912	+5.6%
1916	−9.2%
1920	−35.3%
1924	−46.0%
1928	−68.2%
1932	−23.1%
1936	+4.4%
1940	−5.0%
1944	−18.5%
1948	−25.4%
1952	−30.6%
1956	−35.3%
1960	−28.9%
1964	+3.8%
1968	−28.0%
1972	−40.5%
1976	−15.0%
1980	−21.4%
1984	−23.4%
1988	−16.3%
1992	−8.6%
1996	−3.7%
2000	−9.2%
2004	−8.2%
2008	+9.1%
2012	+6.0%
2016	+2.9%
2020	+8.5%
2024	+5.9%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

52.4%Harris78,327

46.5%Trump69,474

0.6%Stein893 +1

D+5.9

R+2.6

D+7.4

149,526

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic52.4%78,327
Donald J TrumpRepublican46.5%69,474
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%893
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%832

2020

53.6%Biden78,983

45.1%Trump66,408

1.3%Jorgensen1,977

D+8.5

D+5.6

D+4.1

147,368

2016

49.1%Clinton64,706

46.2%Trump60,863

2.7%Johnson3,498

D+2.9

R+3.1

D+0.8

131,783

2012

52.3%Obama64,965

46.2%Romney57,450

0.9%Johnson1,128

D+6.0

R+3.0

D+2.2

124,301

2008

54.0%Obama69,975

45.0%McCain58,238

1.0%

D+9.1

D+17.3

D+1.8

129,529

2004

45.6%Kerry55,299

53.9%Bush65,296

0.5%

R+8.2

D+0.9

R+5.8

121,208

2000

44.1%Gore44,390

53.3%Bush53,631

2.0%Nader2,059

R+9.2

R+5.4

R+9.7

100,658

1996

44.0%Clinton40,936

47.8%Dole44,417

7.5%Perot6,967

R+3.7

D+4.8

R+12.3

92,971

1992

37.4%Clinton36,990

46.0%Bush45,479

16.2%Perot16,063

R+8.6

D+7.8

R+14.1

98,910

1988

41.4%Dukakis35,079

57.8%Bush48,917

0.8%

R+16.3

D+7.1

R+8.6

84,677

1984

37.9%Mondale33,576

61.3%Reagan54,330

0.8%

R+23.4

R+2.0

R+5.2

88,658

1980

34.8%Carter27,252

56.2%Reagan44,039

9.1%

R+21.4

R+6.4

R+11.7

78,387

1976

41.3%Carter34,342

56.3%Ford46,819

2.4%

R+15.0

D+25.5

R+17.1

83,122

1972

28.9%McGovern22,587

69.4%Nixon54,307

1.8%

R+40.5

R+12.5

R+17.4

78,270

1968

31.2%Humphrey25,480

59.2%Nixon48,394

9.7%

R+28.0

R+31.8

R+27.3

81,788

1964

51.6%Johnson46,119

47.8%Goldwater42,718

0.7%

D+3.8

D+32.7

R+18.8

89,431

1960

35.3%Kennedy33,962

64.2%Nixon61,726

0.4%

R+28.9

D+6.4

R+29.0

96,115

1956

32.1%Stevenson29,226

67.5%Eisenhower61,342

0.4%

R+35.3

R+4.8

R+19.9

90,943

1952

34.6%Stevenson30,985

65.1%Eisenhower58,385

0.3%

R+30.6

R+5.2

R+19.8

89,656

1948

36.8%Truman27,729

62.2%Dewey46,861

1.1%

R+25.4

R+6.8

R+29.9

75,386

1944

40.5%Roosevelt30,684

59.0%Dewey44,725

0.4%

R+18.5

R+13.5

R+26.0

75,742

1940

47.3%Roosevelt38,305

52.4%Willkie42,394

0.3%

R+5.0

R+9.4

R+15.0

80,981

1936

51.8%Roosevelt43,256

47.4%Landon39,598

0.8%

D+4.4

D+27.4

R+19.9

83,498

1932

37.3%Roosevelt22,412

60.3%Hoover36,278

2.4%

R+23.1

D+45.2

R+40.8

60,152

1928

15.6%Smith9,115

83.8%Hoover49,108

0.7%

R+68.2

R+22.2

R+50.8

58,617

1924

22.0%Davis9,004

68.0%Coolidge27,838

9.2%La Follette3,756

R+46.0

R+10.7

R+20.9

40,916

1920

30.0%Cox11,990

65.4%Harding26,094

4.6%

R+35.3

R+26.1

R+9.1

39,923

1916

42.9%Wilson11,483

52.2%Hughes13,954

4.9%

R+9.2

R+14.9

R+12.4

26,752

1912

28.9%Wilson7,470

23.3%Taft6,012

47.8%

Roosevelt +18.9

D+38.4

R+13.9

25,819

1908

30.6%Bryan7,546

63.4%Taft15,637

6.0%

R+32.8

D+17.6

R+23.2

24,671

1904

22.2%Parker5,040

72.6%Roosevelt16,508

5.2%

R+50.4

R+18.6

R+30.8

22,734

1900

32.3%Bryan7,390

64.2%McKinley14,673

3.4%

R+31.9

D+5.1

R+24.3

22,846

1896

29.8%Bryan6,584

66.8%McKinley14,752

3.3%

R+37.0

R+18.8

R+30.9

22,069

1892

39.3%Cleveland7,520

57.5%Harrison11,010

3.3%

R+18.2

—

R+19.9

19,157

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

54.5%80,272

45.5%66,986

147,258

2020

52.2%75,460

47.8%69,065

144,525

2018

54.1%58,605

45.9%49,767

108,372

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

51.7%77,022

44.9%66,949

148,956

2022

53.8%61,599

43.8%50,141

114,446

2018Class I

54.8%Bob Casey Jr.59,533

43.4%Lou Barletta47,152

108,708

2016Class III

48.6%Katie McGinty62,551

49.5%Pat Toomey63,740

128,674

2012Class I

54.1%Bob Casey Jr.65,235

44.5%Tom Smith53,649

120,610

2010Class III

44.3%Joe Sestak38,913

55.7%Pat Toomey49,021

87,934

2006Class I

53.3%Bob Casey Jr.46,622

46.7%Rick Santorum40,832

87,463

2004Class III

34.5%Joseph Hoeffel40,562

58.4%Arlen Specter68,693

117,693

2000Class I

40.9%Rob Klink40,047

56.1%Rick Santorum54,986

98,009

1998Class III

28.3%Bill Lloyd17,209

68.0%Arlen Specter41,397

60,879

1994Class I

40.8%Harris Wofford31,226

55.1%Rick Santorum42,187

76,596

1992Class III

38.3%Lynn Yeakel37,178

56.1%Arlen Specter54,399

97,010

1988Class I

24.4%Joseph C. Vignola20,040

74.8%John Heinz61,564

82,288

1986Class III

34.3%Bob Edgar23,015

65.1%Arlen Specter43,717

67,111

1982Class I

32.1%Cyril H. Wecht21,877

66.2%John Heinz45,075

68,109

1980Class III

35.5%Peter Flaherty26,237

63.3%Arlen Specter46,777

73,924

1976Class I

38.4%William J. Green III31,028

60.5%John Heinz48,916

80,881

1974Class III

32.4%Peter Flaherty20,011

66.1%Richard Schweiker40,858

61,836

1970Class I

33.5%William G. Sesler21,850

62.0%Hugh Scott40,366

65,135

1968Class III

32.1%Joseph S. Clark25,509

64.5%Richard Schweiker51,217

79,353

1964Class I

40.1%Genevieve Blatt35,576

59.4%Hugh Scott52,723

88,733

1962Class III

37.2%Joseph S. Clark32,189

62.6%James E. Van Zandt54,122

86,509

1958Class I

42.0%George M. Leader33,948

57.5%Hugh Scott46,491

80,796

1956Class III

40.3%Joseph S. Clark36,216

59.3%James H. Duff53,280

89,821

1952Class I

37.3%Guy Kurtz Bard32,906

62.2%Edward Martin54,836

88,135

1950Class III

37.5%Francis Myers26,997

61.6%James H. Duff44,274

71,925

1946Class I

31.7%Joseph F. Guffey20,547

67.1%Edward Martin43,489

64,777

1944Class III

38.9%Francis Myers29,023

60.5%James J. Davis45,156

74,628

1940Class I

44.7%Joseph F. Guffey35,345

54.6%Jay Cooke43,218

79,094

1938Class III

42.5%George H. Earle35,767

56.9%James J. Davis47,873

84,174

1934Class I

39.9%Joseph F. Guffey26,622

58.0%David A. Reed38,675

66,689

1932Class III

36.1%Lawrence H. Rupp21,403

59.0%James J. Davis35,014

59,300

1928Class I

18.3%William N. McNair10,246

80.1%David A. Reed44,965

56,107

1926Class III

52.2%William B. Wilson17,154

43.5%William S. Vare14,303

32,857

1922Class I

37.0%Samuel E. Shull12,994

49.3%David A. Reed17,325

35,123

1920Class III

27.4%John A. Farrell10,759

59.3%Boies Penrose23,259

39,247

1916Class I

38.6%Ellis Orvis9,745

53.4%Philander Knox13,485

25,264

1914Class III

23.7%A. Mitchell Palmer6,031

47.5%Boies Penrose12,085

25,424

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1991Special · Class I

45.2%Harris Wofford30,313

54.8%Richard Thornburgh36,798

67,111

1930Special · Class III

11.2%Sedgwick Kistler5,180

87.0%James J. Davis40,293

46,311

1922Special · Class III

40.4%Fred B. Kerr14,164

50.1%George W. Pepper17,575

35,067

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

60.0%Joshua D Shapiro68,585

38.1%Douglas V Mastriano43,580

114,398

2018

59.0%Thomas W Wolf64,045

39.1%Scott R Wagner42,436

108,549

2014

50.8%Tom Wolf40,376

49.2%Tom Corbett39,111

79,487

2010

39.5%Dan Onorato34,813

60.5%Tom Corbett53,261

88,074

2006

45.6%Ed Rendell39,711

54.4%Lynn Swann47,294

87,005

2002

42.0%Ed Rendell33,537

55.5%Mike Fisher44,231

79,764

1998

21.4%Ivan Itkin13,203

64.8%Tom Ridge39,914

61,603

1994

35.8%Mark Singel27,844

44.6%Tom Ridge34,689

77,734

1990

71.9%Bob Casey43,063

28.1%Barbara Hafer16,833

59,896

1986

43.3%Bob Casey29,116

56.0%Bill Scranton III37,641

67,259

1982

52.8%Allen Ertel37,538

46.1%Dick Thornburgh32,796

71,133

1978

33.1%Pete Flaherty21,426

65.8%Dick Thornburgh42,546

64,704

Frequently asked questions

How did Dauphin County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dauphin County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 5.9 points (D+5.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 149,526 votes cast, 78,327 went Democratic and 69,474 went Republican.

When did Dauphin County, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Dauphin County, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania?

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania has a population of 289,593 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania is $76,242 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Dauphin County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.